Should I buy Tractor Supply (TSCO) stock or is it too late?

Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary · price $35

See the full Tractor Supply (TSCO) profile

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: UBS — 69% of its targets hit on this sector (477 calls tested). It aims for $33 (-4.9 %), call made on July 15, 2026, maturing on July 15, 2027 (44 d ago).

The 14 reliable analysts $38+9.5 %

The 3 other firms $45+30 %

How to read it: the 14 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 10 aim above the price, 4 below, hence their $38 median. “The 3 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on Tractor Supply

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
Morgan Stanley	88 %	+58.6 %	8	$45 +30%
Stephens & Co.	89 %	+52.3 %	9	$48 +39%
Goldman Sachs	91 %	+32.4 %	11	$38 +10%
Gordon Haskett	71 %	+25.1 %	7	$50 +44%
Wells Fargo	81 %	+21.5 %	26	$35 +1%
Piper Sandler	75 %	+18.6 %	28	$31 -11%
Guggenheim	62 %	+17.5 %	8	$40 +15%
Raymond James	72 %	+13.2 %	18	$40 +15%

In short — Should you invest in Tractor Supply? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are fairly positive (59% buy, median target $38, i.e. +10%), and the most reliable on TSCO targets even higher. But the stock is volatile. We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

Median price target $38, i.e. +10% from the current price ($35).
The most reliable firm on TSCO, Citigroup (100% hit rate, 2 scored calls), targets $46 (call made on April 23, 2026, maturing on April 23, 2027) (+33%) in its most recent call, and $55 (call made on April 7, 2026, maturing on April 7, 2027) (+59%) in the one coming due soonest.
8 analysts rated reliable (≥55% hit rate, beat their sector) are bullish on the stock.
Pays a dividend (2.9% yield), raised for 15 years — regular income on top of potential upside.
Reasonable valuation (P/E ~18) relative to its sector.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

The consensus is not unanimous: of 17 ratings, 7 are neutral.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
Volatile stock: sharp swings — including steep drops — are part of its profile.

The analyst consensus on TSCO

Median target $38 (+10%) · 17 ratings · Buy consensus

Strong Buy00%

Buy1059%

Hold741%

Sell00%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in Tractor Supply now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 59% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $38 (+10%), and Citigroup (most reliable on TSCO, 100%) targets $46. Weigh that against valuation (P/E ~18) and volatility. This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in Tractor Supply?

Not according to analysts: the median target ($38) is still +10% above the current price ($35) (most reliable on TSCO: Citigroup, 100%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is Tractor Supply still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($35) and its estimated value: analysts target $38 on median (+10%), with 59% buys (most reliable on TSCO: Citigroup, 100%). Cross-check with their real reliability on TSCO and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying TSCO?

The consensus is not unanimous: of 17 ratings, 7 are neutral.

→ Go deeper: the full Tractor Supply profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).