Should I buy Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) stock or is it too late?

Texas Roadhouse · Consumer Discretionary · price $162

See the full Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) profile

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Stephens & Co. — 71% of its targets hit on this sector (56 calls tested). It aims for $205 (+26 %), call made on August 8, 2026, maturing on August 8, 2027 (67 d ago).

The 4 reliable analysts $225+39 %

The 14 other firms $204+26 %

How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 4 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $225 median. “The 14 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on Texas Roadhouse

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
Raymond James	80 %	+36.6 %	20	$110 -32%
Citigroup	89 %	+30.5 %	9	$209 +29%
Deutsche Bank	75 %	+21.3 %	8	$212 +31%
BMO Capital	100 %	+20.8 %	5	$180 +11%
Wedbush	71 %	+20.1 %	35	$210 +29%
Evercore ISI Group	80 %	+16.9 %	5	$200 +23%
Guggenheim	67 %	+16.4 %	6	$210 +29%
BTIG	80 %	+14.5 %	5	$220 +36%

In short — Should you invest in Texas Roadhouse? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are fairly positive (61% buy, median target $209, i.e. +29%), and the most reliable on TXRH targets even higher. But the stock is volatile. We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

61% of analysts rate it a buy (Buy consensus, 18 ratings) — a sign of market conviction.
Median price target $209, i.e. +29% from the current price ($162).
The most reliable firm on TXRH, Stephens & Co. (100% hit rate, 3 scored calls), targets $205 (call made on August 7, 2026, maturing on August 7, 2027) (+26%) in its most recent call, and $180 (call made on February 20, 2026, maturing on February 20, 2027) (+11%) in the one coming due soonest.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

The consensus is not unanimous: of 18 ratings, 7 are neutral.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
Volatile stock: sharp swings — including steep drops — are part of its profile.

The analyst consensus on TXRH

Median target $209 (+29%) · 18 ratings · Buy consensus

Strong Buy00%

Buy1161%

Hold739%

Sell00%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in Texas Roadhouse now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 61% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $209 (+29%), and Stephens & Co. (most reliable on TXRH, 100%) targets $205. Weigh that against valuation and volatility. This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in Texas Roadhouse?

Not according to analysts: the median target ($209) is still +29% above the current price ($162) (most reliable on TXRH: Stephens & Co., 100%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is Texas Roadhouse still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($162) and its estimated value: analysts target $209 on median (+29%), with 61% buys (most reliable on TXRH: Stephens & Co., 100%). Cross-check with their real reliability on TXRH and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying TXRH?

The consensus is not unanimous: of 18 ratings, 7 are neutral.

→ Go deeper: the full Texas Roadhouse profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).