United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
United Fire Group, Inc. · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 32 calls · price $53.88
What the company does: United Fire Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in writing property and casualty insurance in the United States.
📈 United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) stock price
$53.88+74.8% over range
Aug 28, 25low $30.03 · high $54.93Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
100% recommend buying · 2 analysts
📊 JPI status : United Fire Group, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Buy” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.
🎯 UFCS price target & analyst consensus — price $53.88
The price target · all analysts combined (2 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 2$60+11.4%
Median target · of 2 targets$52.5-2.6%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 2$45-16.5%
Current price$53.88
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Piper Sandler — 65% of its targets hit on this sector (326 calls tested). It aims for $60 (+11 %), call made on August 6, 2026, maturing on August 6, 2027 (22 d ago).
The 1 reliable analyst
$60+11 %
The 1 other firm
$45-16 %
How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $60 median. “The 1 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 2 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy2100%
Hold00%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 UFCS price target all
All 32 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 32 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on UFCS most reliable
Their real reliability on UFCS, firm by firm: who was right, who was wrong.
→ See their reliability on UFCSAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about United Fire Group, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
🏛️ United Fire Group, Inc. insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page
1 insider bought1 buys / 6 mo $204k
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on UFCS
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jones Trading | 100% | +61.9% | 3 |
| Piper Sandler ↗ | 64% | -2.5% | 11 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in United Fire Group, Inc. would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in United Fire Group, Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $1,281 today, i.e. +3%/yr on average. Best year: 2025 (+38%), worst: 2020 (-23%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in United Fire Group, Inc.
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,841 | +84% |
| 3 years ago | $1,810 | +81% |
| 5 years ago | $1,754 | +75% |
Return by year (United Fire Group, Inc.)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | +33% | $1,330 (+33%) |
| 2025 | +38% | $1,841 (+84%) |
| 2024 | +21% | $2,219 (+122%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on United Fire Group, Inc.
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📋 All analyst calls on UFCS
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 5, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $54.93 — upside +9%
Today : $53.88 — upside +11%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 27
matures : Aug 5, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
May 7, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$57
Price at call : $48.22 — upside +18%
Today : $53.88 — upside +6%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
matures : May 7, 27
Jones Trading
May 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $48.22 — upside -7%
Today : $53.88 — upside -16%
🎯 on UFCS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.5% · +11.8% (8 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
matures : May 7, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
May 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$45
Price at call : $46.8 — upside -4%
Today : $53.88 — upside -16%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
matures : May 6, 27
Jones Trading
Mar 2, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $38.48 — upside +4%
Today : $53.88 — upside -26%
🎯 on UFCS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.5% · +11.8% (8 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 2, 27
matures : Mar 2, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Feb 12, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$41
Price at call : $39.33 — gap to target +4%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -24%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
matures : Feb 12, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Dec 22, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $37.23 — gap to target -1%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -31%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 22, 26
matures : Dec 22, 26
Jones Trading
Nov 12, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $37.03 — upside +3%
Today : $53.88 — upside -29%
🎯 on UFCS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.5% · +11.8% (8 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 12, 26
matures : Nov 12, 26
See the other 24 calls, newest to oldest
Jones Trading
Aug 11, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $29.92 — upside +10%
Today : $53.88 — upside -39%
Expected +10% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on UFCS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.5% · +11.8% (8 calls)
+80.3%
stock +80% · XLF +12%
matured Aug 11, 26
Jones Trading
May 12, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $28.16 — upside +14%
Today : $53.88 — upside -41%
Expected +14% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on UFCS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.5% · +11.8% (8 calls)
+72.9%
stock +73% · XLF -0%
matured May 12, 26
Jones Trading
Mar 5, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $28.54 — upside +12%
Today : $53.88 — upside -41%
Expected +12% · Actual +32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on UFCS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.5% · +11.8% (8 calls)
+32.3%
stock +32% · XLF +2%
matured Mar 5, 26
Piper Sandler ↗
Feb 13, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$28
Price at call : $26.5 — gap to target +6%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -48%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 26
matures : Feb 13, 26
Piper Sandler ↗
Nov 18, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $27.47 — gap to target -5%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -52%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 18, 25
matures : Nov 18, 25
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 8, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$19
Price at call : $18.53 — upside +3%
Today : $53.88 — upside -65%
Expected +3% · Actual +57% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
-56.8%
stock +57% · XLF +23%
matured Aug 8, 25
Piper Sandler ↗
Apr 1, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$21
Price at call : $21.43 — upside -2%
Today : $53.88 — upside -61%
Expected -2% · Actual +38% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
-37.9%
stock +38% · XLF +20%
matured Apr 1, 25
Piper Sandler ↗
Oct 6, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$18
Price at call : $19.43 — upside -7%
Today : $53.88 — upside -67%
Expected -7% · Actual -1% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+0.7%
stock -1% · XLF +36%
matured Oct 5, 24
Piper Sandler ↗
Jul 6, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$22
Price at call : $22.93 — upside -4%
Today : $53.88 — upside -59%
Expected -4% · Actual -10% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+10.3%
stock -10% · XLF +23%
matured Jul 5, 24
Piper Sandler ↗
Apr 4, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$26
Price at call : $26.62 — upside -2%
Today : $53.88 — upside -52%
Expected -2% · Actual -18% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+18.1%
stock -18% · XLF +31%
matured Apr 3, 24
Piper Sandler ↗
Feb 13, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$25
Price at call : $28.16 — upside -11%
Today : $53.88 — upside -54%
Expected -11% · Actual -24% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+23.9%
stock -24% · XLF +5%
matured Feb 13, 24
Piper Sandler ↗
Oct 28, 22
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$31
Price at call : $26.12 — gap to target +19%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -42%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 28, 23
matures : Oct 28, 23
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 5, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$37
Price at call : $27.81 — upside +33%
Today : $53.88 — upside -31%
Expected +33% · Actual -24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
-24.3%
stock -24% · XLF +5%
matured Aug 5, 23
Piper Sandler ↗
Jun 27, 22
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $33.11 — gap to target +12%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -31%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 27, 23
matures : Jun 27, 23
Piper Sandler ↗
Mar 21, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$37
Price at call : $30.96 — upside +20%
Today : $53.88 — upside -31%
Expected +20% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
-13.2%
stock -13% · XLF -18%
matured Mar 21, 23
Piper Sandler ↗
Dec 1, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$25
Price at call : $22.48 — upside +11%
Today : $53.88 — upside -54%
Expected +11% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+29.7%
stock +30% · XLF -7%
matured Dec 1, 22
Sidoti & Co.
Jun 28, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $27.95 — upside +36%
Today : $53.88 — upside -29%
Expected +36% · Actual +19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on UFCS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 22.2% · -13.2% (9 calls)
+18.7%
stock +19% · XLF -13%
matured Jun 28, 22
Sidoti & Co.
Sep 18, 20
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $20.47 — gap to target +27%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -52%
🎯 on UFCS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 22.2% · -13.2% (9 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 18, 21
matures : Sep 18, 21
Sidoti & Co.
May 4, 20
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$31
Price at call : $26.78 — gap to target +16%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -42%
🎯 on UFCS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 22.2% · -13.2% (9 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 4, 21
matures : May 4, 21
Piper Sandler ↗
Apr 6, 20
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$30
Price at call : $30.55 — gap to target -2%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -44%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 6, 21
matures : Apr 6, 21
Piper Sandler ↗
Sep 22, 17
▲ Buy
Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+12.3%
stock +12% · XLF +12%
matured Sep 22, 18
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Nov 5, 14
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $30.97 — gap to target +7%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -39%
🎯 on UFCS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 5, 15
matures : Nov 5, 15
Piper Sandler ↗
Feb 11, 14
▲ Buy
Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+9.6%
stock +10% · XLF +14%
matured Feb 11, 15
Piper Sandler ↗
Jul 10, 12
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$23
Price at call : $22.21 — gap to target +4%
Today : $53.88 — gap to target -57%
🎯 on UFCS : 64% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 13
matures : Jul 10, 13
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy United Fire Group, Inc. stock?
This isn't buy advice. For United Fire Group, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $52.50 (-3% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on United Fire Group, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy United Fire Group, Inc.? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on United Fire Group, Inc. is $60.00 (+11% above today's price); the average is $52.50. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on United Fire Group, Inc. on our site before trusting it.
Is United Fire Group, Inc. still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 2 analysts have a real record on United Fire Group, Inc., the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
What has United Fire Group, Inc.'s past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: UFCS performance & returns.
Are insiders buying UFCS stock?
Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on UFCS.
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