Should I buy United Parcel Service (UPS) stock or is it too late?

United Parcel Service · Industrials · price $106

See the full United Parcel Service (UPS) profile

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: BMO Capital — 75% of its targets hit on this sector (178 calls tested). It aims for $115 (+8.8 %), call made on July 30, 2026, maturing on July 30, 2027 (29 d ago).

The 10 reliable analysts $119+12 %

How to read it: the 10 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 9 aim above the price, 1 below, hence their $119 median.

Firm-by-firm track record on United Parcel Service

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
Deutsche Bank	59 %	+8.5 %	17	$106 +0%
Wells Fargo	36 %	+7.4 %	22	$110 +4%
UBS	46 %	+4.4 %	24	$124 +17%
Raymond James	42 %	+1.5 %	26	$130 +23%
B of A Securities	46 %	+1.3 %	13	$81 -23%
Berenberg	50 %	-1.9 %	10	$200 +89%
Oppenheimer	37 %	-2.0 %	19	$117 +11%
Stifel	27 %	-2.2 %	22	$115 +9%

In short — Should you invest in United Parcel Service? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are fairly positive (55% buy, median target $119, i.e. +12%), and the most reliable on UPS targets even higher. We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

Median price target $119, i.e. +12% from the current price ($106).
The most reliable firm on UPS, Truist Securities (67% hit rate, 3 scored calls), targets $130 (call made on January 28, 2026, maturing on January 28, 2027) (+23%) in its most recent call, and $120 (call made on October 29, 2025, maturing on October 29, 2026) (+14%) in the one coming due soonest.
6 analysts rated reliable (≥55% hit rate, beat their sector) are bullish on the stock.
Pays a dividend (6.0% yield), raised for 16 years — regular income on top of potential upside.
Reasonable valuation (P/E ~20) relative to its sector.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

The consensus is not unanimous: of 11 ratings, 4 are neutral and 1 is a sell.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.

The analyst consensus on UPS

Median target $119 (+12%) · 11 ratings · Hold consensus

Strong Buy00%

Buy655%

Hold436%

Sell19%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in United Parcel Service now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 55% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $119 (+12%), and Truist Securities (most reliable on UPS, 67%) targets $130. Weigh that against valuation (P/E ~20). This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in United Parcel Service?

Not according to analysts: the median target ($119) is still +12% above the current price ($106) (most reliable on UPS: Truist Securities, 67%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is United Parcel Service still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($106) and its estimated value: analysts target $119 on median (+12%), with 55% buys (most reliable on UPS: Truist Securities, 67%). Cross-check with their real reliability on UPS and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying UPS?

The consensus is not unanimous: of 11 ratings, 4 are neutral and 1 is a sell.

→ Go deeper: the full United Parcel Service profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).