Should I buy ExxonMobil (XOM) stock or is it too late?

ExxonMobil · Energy · price $156

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Mizuho — 63% of its targets hit on this sector (199 calls tested). It aims for $170 (+8.7 %), call made on July 10, 2026, maturing on July 10, 2027 (49 d ago).

The 4 reliable analysts $174+11 %

The 14 other firms $172+9.9 %

How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 4 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $174 median. “The 14 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on ExxonMobil

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
JP Morgan	100 %	+22.1 %	6	$170 +9%
Morgan Stanley	95 %	+16.7 %	22	$177 +13%
Barclays	74 %	+16.4 %	19	$177 +13%
Piper Sandler	79 %	+13.2 %	14	$182 +16%
B of A Securities	64 %	+12.1 %	11	$158 +1%
Wells Fargo	53 %	+11.4 %	17	$185 +18%
UBS	62 %	+10.6 %	16	$174 +11%
Scotiabank	57 %	+7.2 %	7	$163 +4%

In short — Should you invest in ExxonMobil? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are fairly positive (56% buy, median target $174, i.e. +11%), and the most reliable on XOM targets even higher. But the stock is volatile. We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

Median price target $174, i.e. +11% from the current price ($156).
The most reliable firm on XOM, JP Morgan (100% hit rate, 6 scored calls), targets $170 (call made on April 9, 2026, maturing on April 9, 2027) (+9%) in its most recent call.
Pays a dividend (3.0% yield), raised for 23 years — regular income on top of potential upside.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

The consensus is not unanimous: of 18 ratings, 8 are neutral.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
Volatile stock: sharp swings — including steep drops — are part of its profile.

The analyst consensus on XOM

Median target $174 (+11%) · 18 ratings · Buy consensus

Strong Buy00%

Buy1056%

Hold844%

Sell00%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in ExxonMobil now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 56% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $174 (+11%), and JP Morgan (most reliable on XOM, 100%) targets $170. Weigh that against valuation (P/E ~20) and volatility. This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in ExxonMobil?

Not according to analysts: the median target ($174) is still +11% above the current price ($156) (most reliable on XOM: JP Morgan, 100%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is ExxonMobil still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($156) and its estimated value: analysts target $174 on median (+11%), with 56% buys (most reliable on XOM: JP Morgan, 100%). Cross-check with their real reliability on XOM and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying XOM?

The consensus is not unanimous: of 18 ratings, 8 are neutral.

→ Go deeper: the full ExxonMobil profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).