Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Arbor Realty Trust · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 50 calls · price $2.81
What the company does: Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured finance assets in the multifamily, single-family rental, and commercial real estate markets in the United States.
📈 Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) stock price
$2.81-76.2% over range
Oct 14, 25low $2.81 · high $11.93Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Sell
0% recommend buying · 4 analysts
📊 JPI status : Arbor Realty Trust has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 ABR price target & analyst consensus — price $2.81
The price target · all analysts combined (4 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 4$5.5+95.7%
Median target · of 4 targets$3.5+24.6%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 4$3+6.8%
Current price$2.81
Where these 4 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
4100%
$3 ↔ $8.50
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Keefe, Bruyette & Woods — 67% of its targets hit on this sector (296 calls tested). It aims for $3 (+6.8 %), call made on October 10, 2026, maturing on October 10, 2027 (4 d ago).
The 3 reliable analysts
$3.50+25 %
The 1 other firm
$8.50+203 %
How to read it: the 3 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 3 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $3.50 median. “The 1 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 4 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy00%
Hold250%
Sell250%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 ABR price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on ABR most reliable
Their real reliability on ABR, firm by firm: who was right, who was wrong.
→ See their reliability on ABRAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Arbor Realty Trust? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
🏛️ Arbor Realty Trust insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page
3 insiders bought3 buys / 6 mo $341k👥 Cluster buy
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on ABR
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wedbush ↗ | 100% | +8.4% | 3 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 90% | +24.9% | 10 |
| Piper Sandler ↗ | 83% | +14.8% | 6 |
| Raymond James ↗ | 57% | +22.6% | 14 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 50% | -1.3% | 4 |
| JMP Securities | 33% | -1.6% | 18 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Arbor Realty Trust would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Arbor Realty Trust 10 years ago would be worth $699 today, i.e. -4%/yr on average. Best year: 2019 (+43%), worst: 2025 (-44%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Arbor Realty Trust
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $361 | -64% |
| 3 years ago | $379 | -62% |
| 5 years ago | $353 | -65% |
Return by year (Arbor Realty Trust)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -36% | $644 (-36%) |
| 2025 | -44% | $361 (-64%) |
| 2024 | -9% | $329 (-67%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Arbor Realty Trust
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📋 All analyst calls on ABR
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Oct 9, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$3
Price at call : $2.83 — upside +6%
Today : $2.81 — upside +7%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 27
matures : Oct 9, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Oct 9, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$3.5
Price at call : $2.83 — upside +24%
Today : $2.81 — upside +25%
🎯 on ABR : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.7% · +3.7% (327 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 27
matures : Oct 9, 27
Citizens
Sep 29, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 29, 27
matures : Sep 29, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 3, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$5
Price at call : $5.22 — upside -4%
Today : $2.81 — upside +78%
🎯 on ABR : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.7% · +3.7% (327 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 3, 27
matures : Aug 3, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Aug 3, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$5
Price at call : $5.16 — upside -3%
Today : $2.81 — upside +78%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 3, 27
matures : Aug 3, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$5.5
Price at call : $5.18 — gap to target +6%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +96%
🎯 on ABR : 100% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 27
matures : Jul 17, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Jul 2, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$5.5
Price at call : $5.27 — upside +4%
Today : $2.81 — upside +96%
🎯 on ABR : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.7% · +3.7% (327 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 2, 27
matures : Jul 2, 27
Citizens
May 14, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$8.5
Price at call : $5.79 — upside +47%
Today : $2.81 — upside +202%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : May 14, 27
matures : May 14, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
May 12, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$6.5
Price at call : $5.88 — upside +11%
Today : $2.81 — upside +131%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 12, 27
matures : May 12, 27
Citizens
Apr 2, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$11
Price at call : $7.5 — upside +47%
Today : $2.81 — upside +291%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 2, 27
matures : Apr 2, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Mar 4, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$8
Price at call : $8.85 — upside -10%
Today : $2.81 — upside +185%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 4, 27
matures : Mar 4, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jan 8, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$7.5
Price at call : $8.07 — upside -7%
Today : $2.81 — upside +167%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
matures : Jan 8, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Dec 22, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$8
Price at call : $7.81 — upside +2%
Today : $2.81 — upside +185%
🎯 on ABR : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.7% · +3.7% (327 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 22, 26
matures : Dec 22, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Dec 15, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$8.5
Price at call : $8.38 — upside +1%
Today : $2.81 — upside +202%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 15, 26
matures : Dec 15, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$9
Price at call : $8.85 — upside +2%
Today : $2.81 — upside +220%
🎯 on ABR : 100% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
matures : Dec 4, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Nov 3, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$11
Price at call : $9.52 — gap to target +16%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +291%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 3, 26
matures : Nov 3, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$10
Price at call : $9.52 — upside +5%
Today : $2.81 — upside +256%
🎯 on ABR : 100% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 3, 26
matures : Nov 3, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$11.5
Price at call : $11.8 — upside -3%
Today : $2.81 — upside +309%
🎯 on ABR : 100% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 20, 26
matures : Oct 20, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Oct 9, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12
Price at call : $11.39 — gap to target +5%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +327%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
matures : Oct 9, 26
Piper Sandler ↗
Oct 8, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$11.5
Price at call : $12.09 — upside -5%
Today : $2.81 — upside +309%
Expected -5% · Actual -74% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ABR : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.7% · +3.7% (327 calls)
+74.4%
stock -74% · XLF +1%
matured Oct 8, 26
JMP Securities
Aug 19, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$13
Price at call : $11.49 — upside +13%
Today : $2.81 — upside +363%
Expected +13% · Actual -55% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ABR : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-55.0%
stock -55% · XLF +9%
matured Aug 19, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Aug 5, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$11.5
Price at call : $11.79 — gap to target -2%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +309%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 26
matures : Aug 5, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
May 6, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$11
Price at call : $10.44 — gap to target +5%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +291%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 26
matures : May 6, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$10
Price at call : $10.32 — upside -3%
Today : $2.81 — upside +256%
Expected -3% · Actual -20% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ABR : 100% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
+19.7%
stock -20% · XLF +5%
matured May 5, 26
JMP Securities
May 2, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$13.5
Price at call : $10.74 — upside +26%
Today : $2.81 — upside +380%
Expected +26% · Actual -27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ABR : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-26.6%
stock -27% · XLF +4%
matured May 2, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$10.5
Price at call : $10.73 — upside -2%
Today : $2.81 — upside +274%
Expected -2% · Actual -26% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ABR : 100% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
+26.5%
stock -26% · XLF +12%
matured Apr 16, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Apr 7, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$11.75
Price at call : $10.53 — gap to target +12%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +318%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 26
matures : Apr 7, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 25, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12
Price at call : $12.06 — gap to target -0%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +327%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 25, 26
matures : Feb 25, 26
Raymond James ↗
Feb 24, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on ABR : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -2.5% (356 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 24, 26
matures : Feb 24, 26
Citizens Capital Markets
Feb 24, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$15
Price at call : $11.68 — upside +28%
Today : $2.81 — upside +434%
Expected +28% · Actual -38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ABR : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
-37.6%
stock -38% · XLF +0%
matured Feb 24, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$12.5
Price at call : $13.6 — upside -8%
Today : $2.81 — upside +345%
Expected -8% · Actual -41% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ABR : 100% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
+40.7%
stock -41% · XLF +6%
matured Jan 21, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jan 14, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13.5
Price at call : $13.63 — gap to target -1%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +380%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 26
matures : Jan 14, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$13.5
Price at call : $15.4 — upside -12%
Today : $2.81 — upside +380%
Expected -12% · Actual -23% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ABR : 100% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
+22.9%
stock -23% · XLF +11%
matured Oct 17, 25
JMP Securities
Sep 27, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$16.5
Price at call : $15.66 — upside +5%
Today : $2.81 — upside +487%
Expected +5% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ABR : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-23.2%
stock -23% · XLF +20%
matured Sep 27, 25
Raymond James ↗
Sep 19, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$16
Price at call : $15 — upside +7%
Today : $2.81 — upside +469%
Expected +7% · Actual -22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ABR : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -2.5% (356 calls)
-21.7%
stock -22% · XLF +18%
matured Sep 19, 25
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 5, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$12.5
Price at call : $13.28 — upside -6%
Today : $2.81 — upside +345%
Expected -6% · Actual -11% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ABR : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.7% · +3.7% (327 calls)
+11.2%
stock -11% · XLF +27%
matured Aug 5, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$11.5
Price at call : $13.49 — upside -15%
Today : $2.81 — upside +309%
Expected -15% · Actual -16% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ABR : 100% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
+15.9%
stock -16% · XLF +20%
matured Jul 16, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jul 10, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$14
Price at call : $15.09 — gap to target -7%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +398%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 25
matures : Jul 10, 25
JMP Securities
Jun 20, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$16
Price at call : $14.1 — upside +13%
Today : $2.81 — upside +469%
Expected +13% · Actual -28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ABR : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-28.2%
stock -28% · XLF +21%
matured Jun 20, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13
Price at call : $13.42 — gap to target -3%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +363%
🎯 on ABR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 36.6% · +2.0% (41 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 25
matures : May 6, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13
Price at call : $12.2 — gap to target +7%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +363%
🎯 on ABR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 36.6% · +2.0% (41 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 11, 25
matures : Apr 11, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Apr 10, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13.25
Price at call : $12.42 — gap to target +7%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +372%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 25
matures : Apr 10, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$12
Price at call : $12.34 — upside -3%
Today : $2.81 — upside +327%
Expected -3% · Actual -15% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ABR : 100% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
+15.4%
stock -15% · XLF +12%
matured Apr 10, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 21, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13.5
Price at call : $12.84 — gap to target +5%
Today : $2.81 — gap to target +380%
🎯 on ABR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 20, 25
matures : Feb 20, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$17
Price at call : $13.41 — upside +27%
Today : $2.81 — upside +505%
Expected +27% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ABR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 36.6% · +2.0% (41 calls)
+3.1%
stock +3% · XLF +32%
matured Feb 19, 25
JMP Securities
Feb 1, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$17
Price at call : $12.85 — upside +32%
Today : $2.81 — upside +505%
Expected +32% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ABR : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+5.1%
stock +5% · XLF +32%
matured Jan 31, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$17
Price at call : $12.48 — upside +36%
Today : $2.81 — upside +505%
Expected +36% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ABR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 36.6% · +2.0% (41 calls)
+17.5%
stock +18% · XLF +43%
matured Nov 29, 24
Raymond James ↗
Aug 23, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$17
Price at call : $15.34 — upside +11%
Today : $2.81 — upside +505%
Expected +11% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ABR : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -2.5% (356 calls)
-14.2%
stock -14% · XLF +30%
matured Aug 22, 24
Piper Sandler ↗
Jul 31, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$16
Price at call : $16.91 — upside -5%
Today : $2.81 — upside +469%
Expected -5% · Actual -20% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ABR : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.7% · +3.7% (327 calls)
+19.6%
stock -20% · XLF +24%
matured Jul 30, 24
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Arbor Realty Trust stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Arbor Realty Trust, the analyst consensus is "Sell", with an average price target of $3.50 (+25% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on Arbor Realty Trust). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Arbor Realty Trust? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Arbor Realty Trust is $5.50 (+96% above today's price); the average is $3.50. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Arbor Realty Trust on our site before trusting it.
Is Arbor Realty Trust still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 6 analysts have a real record on Arbor Realty Trust, the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Sell". Make your call on data, not noise.
Will Arbor Realty Trust stock recover (go back up)?
It's down from its high. We answer with the numbers — the analysts' 12-month target and what happened after its past drops: will ABR stock recover (go back up)?
What has Arbor Realty Trust's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: ABR performance & returns.
Are insiders buying ABR stock?
Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on ABR.
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