Should I buy Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) stock or is it too late?
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Morgan Stanley — 63% of its targets hit on this sector (423 calls tested). It aims for $79 (-0.1 %), call made on August 6, 2026, maturing on August 6, 2027 (22 d ago).
Firm-by-firm track record on Archer Daniels Midland
| Firm | % right | Gain vs sector | Calls | Aims for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifel | 68 % | +26.8 % | 19 | $56 -29% |
| JP Morgan | 83 % | +20.2 % | 6 | $74 -6% |
| Baird | 75 % | +18.9 % | 12 | $61 -23% |
| Barclays | 42 % | -0.3 % | 12 | $90 +14% |
| Citigroup | 27 % | -4.9 % | 11 | $49 -38% |
| B of A Securities | 29 % | -11.8 % | 7 | $45 -43% |
| Stephens & Co. | 83 % | +29.3 % | 6 | — |
| Argus Research | 40 % | -2.9 % | 5 | — |
✅ Reasons to believe
- Pays a dividend (2.7% yield), raised for 25 years — regular income on top of potential upside.
⚠️ Reasons to hesitate
- Even the most reliable firm on ADM, JP Morgan (83% hit rate, 6 scored calls), only targets $74 (call made on May 6, 2026, maturing on May 6, 2027) (-6%) in its most recent call, and $59 (call made on November 5, 2025, maturing on November 5, 2026) (-25%) in the one coming due soonest. The stock may already have run past its target.
- The consensus is not unanimous: of 5 ratings, 3 are neutral and 1 is a sell.
- Limited upside: the median target is only +0% from the current price.
- A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
The analyst consensus on ADM
Median target $79 (+0%) · 5 ratings · Hold consensus
⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.
Frequently asked questions
Should you invest in Archer Daniels Midland now?
We won't decide for you. The facts: 20% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $79 (+0%), and JP Morgan (most reliable on ADM, 83%) targets $74. Weigh that against valuation (P/E ~22). This is not personalized advice.
Is it too late to invest in Archer Daniels Midland?
The stated upside is small: the median target ($79) sits just +0% from the price ($79) (most reliable on ADM: JP Morgan, 83%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.
Is Archer Daniels Midland still worth investing in?
It depends on the gap between the price ($79) and its estimated value: analysts target $79 on median (+0%), with 20% buys (most reliable on ADM: JP Morgan, 83%). Cross-check with their real reliability on ADM and the cautions above. Information, not advice.
What's the main risk in buying ADM?
Even the most reliable firm on ADM, JP Morgan (83% hit rate, 6 scored calls), only targets $74 (call made on May 6, 2026, maturing on May 6, 2027) (-6%) in its most recent call, and $59 (call made on November 5, 2025, maturing on November 5, 2026) (-25%) in the one coming due soonest. The stock may already have run past its target.
→ Go deeper: the full Archer Daniels Midland profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).