Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Archer Daniels Midland · Consumer Staples · ref. ETF XLP · 50 calls · price $79.1
What the company does: Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) stands as a major global enterprise in the agricultural sector, focused on the sourcing, transportation, storage, processing, and distribution of a wide array of agricultural commodities, finished goods, and essential ingredients.
📈 Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) stock price
$79.1+26.2% over range
Aug 28, 25low $56 · high $87.32Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
20% recommend buying · 5 analysts
📊 JPI status : Archer Daniels Midland has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Hold” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.
🎯 ADM price target & analyst consensus — price $79.10
The price target · all analysts combined (5 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 5$95+20.1%
Median target · of 5 targets$79-0.1%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 5$74-6.4%
Current price$79.1
Where these 5 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
240%
$90 ↔ $95
Below
360%
$74 ↔ $79
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Morgan Stanley — 63% of its targets hit on this sector (423 calls tested). It aims for $79 (-0.1 %), call made on August 6, 2026, maturing on August 6, 2027 (22 d ago).
The 2 reliable analysts
$87+10 %
The 3 other firms
$77-2.7 %
How to read it: the 2 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 1 below, hence their $87 median. “The 3 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 5 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy120%
Hold360%
Sell120%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 ADM price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on ADM most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in ADM? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Archer Daniels Midland? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
💰 Archer Daniels Midland dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page
2.69%annual yield
🏆 Aristocrat — 25 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$2.06 per share per year.
📈 Archer Daniels Midland fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 21.9Net margin 2.2 %Revenue growth +7.2 %Cheap for the growth
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 4 %
2023
Rev −8%Profit −20%
2024
Rev −9%Profit −48%
2025
Rev −6%Profit −40%
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on ADM
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standpoint Research | 100% | +35.8% | 2 |
| Miller Tabak | 100% | +26.7% | 2 |
| Stephens & Co. ↗ | 83% | +29.3% | 6 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 83% | +20.2% | 6 |
| Baird ↗ | 75% | +18.9% | 12 |
| Stifel ↗ | 68% | +26.8% | 19 |
| BMO Capital ↗ | 67% | +14.9% | 3 |
| UBS ↗ | 50% | +11.8% | 4 |
| Macquarie ↗ | 50% | +7.7% | 2 |
| Barclays ↗ | 42% | -0.3% | 12 |
See the other 6 firms
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 0% | -4.9% | 2 |
| Buckingham Research | 25% | -3.9% | 4 |
| Citigroup ↗ | 27% | -4.9% | 11 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 29% | -11.8% | 7 |
| Credit Suisse | 33% | -22.0% | 3 |
| Argus Research ↗ | 40% | -2.9% | 5 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Archer Daniels Midland would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Archer Daniels Midland 10 years ago would be worth $2,185 today, i.e. +8%/yr on average. Best year: 2020 (+50%), worst: 2023 (-33%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Archer Daniels Midland
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,619 | +62% |
| 3 years ago | $960 | -4% |
| 5 years ago | $1,350 | +35% |
Return by year (Archer Daniels Midland)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | +11% | $1,107 (+11%) |
| 2025 | +46% | $1,619 (+62%) |
| 2024 | -11% | $1,439 (+44%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Archer Daniels Midland
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📋 All analyst calls on ADM
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $77.58 — gap to target +16%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.1% · -2.5% (339 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 27
matures : Aug 5, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Aug 5, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$79
Price at call : $77.58 — gap to target +2%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -0%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 51.1% · +0.5% (423 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 27
matures : Aug 5, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 20, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $85.67 — upside -30%
Today : $79.1 — upside -24%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 51.1% · +0.5% (423 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 20, 27
matures : Jul 20, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$95
Price at call : $78.02 — upside +22%
Today : $79.1 — upside +20%
🎯 on ADM : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 49.8% · +3.0% (253 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 15, 27
matures : Jun 15, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $77.66 — upside +16%
Today : $79.1 — upside +14%
🎯 on ADM : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 49.8% · +3.0% (253 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
matures : May 8, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$74
Price at call : $77.53 — upside -5%
Today : $79.1 — upside -6%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.7% · +1.2% (373 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
matures : May 6, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
May 6, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$58
Price at call : $77.53 — upside -25%
Today : $79.1 — upside -27%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 51.1% · +0.5% (423 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
matures : May 6, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$85
Price at call : $77.53 — gap to target +10%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.1% · -2.5% (339 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
matures : May 6, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $72.15 — gap to target +7%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.2% · -0.2% (180 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 6, 27
matures : Apr 6, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $73.83 — gap to target +4%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.1% · -2.5% (339 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 1, 27
matures : Apr 1, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$65
Price at call : $71.66 — upside -9%
Today : $79.1 — upside -18%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.7% · +1.2% (373 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 24, 27
matures : Mar 24, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $67.88 — gap to target +0%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.1% · -2.5% (339 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
matures : Feb 19, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$61
Price at call : $65.43 — upside -7%
Today : $79.1 — upside -23%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.7% · +1.2% (373 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 4, 27
matures : Feb 4, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $67.12 — upside -11%
Today : $79.1 — upside -24%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.7% · +1.2% (373 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 27
matures : Jan 21, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Dec 16, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $57.98 — upside -14%
Today : $79.1 — upside -37%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 51.1% · +0.5% (423 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 16, 26
matures : Dec 16, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$59
Price at call : $56.29 — upside +5%
Today : $79.1 — upside -25%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.7% · +1.2% (373 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 5, 26
matures : Nov 5, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Aug 12, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $58.56 — gap to target -3%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -28%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 51.1% · +0.5% (423 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 12, 26
matures : Aug 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $58.56 — upside +20%
Today : $79.1 — upside -12%
Expected +20% · Actual +36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ADM : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 49.8% · +3.0% (253 calls)
+36.1%
stock +36% · XLP +3%
matured Aug 11, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$61
Price at call : $56.73 — gap to target +8%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.1% · -2.5% (339 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 26
matures : Aug 6, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $55.31 — upside -10%
Today : $79.1 — upside -37%
Expected -10% · Actual +41% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.1% · -2.5% (339 calls)
-40.9%
stock +41% · XLP +2%
matured Jul 2, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $50.01 — upside +20%
Today : $79.1 — upside -24%
Expected +20% · Actual +59% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ADM : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 49.8% · +3.0% (253 calls)
+58.8%
stock +59% · XLP +5%
matured May 19, 26
B of A Securities ↗
May 8, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $48.53 — upside -7%
Today : $79.1 — upside -43%
Expected -7% · Actual +65% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 46.6% · +1.2% (247 calls)
-64.5%
stock +65% · XLP +3%
matured May 8, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Apr 15, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $46.13 — gap to target +2%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -41%
🎯 on ADM : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 46.6% · +1.2% (247 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 26
matures : Apr 15, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $46.13 — gap to target +6%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -38%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.9% · -1.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 26
matures : Apr 15, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$48
Price at call : $48.4 — upside -1%
Today : $79.1 — upside -39%
Expected -1% · Actual +41% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.1% · -2.5% (339 calls)
-40.5%
stock +41% · XLP +9%
matured Feb 24, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Feb 11, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $45.22 — gap to target +4%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -41%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 51.1% · +0.5% (423 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 26
matures : Feb 11, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Feb 11, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$48
Price at call : $46.44 — upside +3%
Today : $79.1 — upside -39%
Expected +3% · Actual +49% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 46.6% · +1.2% (247 calls)
-49.2%
stock +49% · XLP +10%
matured Feb 11, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Feb 5, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $45.55 — gap to target +8%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -38%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 57.3% · +5.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 5, 26
matures : Feb 5, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $51.22 — upside -2%
Today : $79.1 — upside -37%
Expected -2% · Actual +32% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.1% · -2.5% (339 calls)
-32.2%
stock +32% · XLP +6%
matured Jan 21, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Jan 14, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$54
Price at call : $51.19 — upside +5%
Today : $79.1 — upside -32%
Expected +5% · Actual +26% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 46.6% · +1.2% (247 calls)
-26.2%
stock +26% · XLP +8%
matured Jan 14, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $52.28 — gap to target +5%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -30%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.9% · -1.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 25
matures : Dec 4, 25
BMO Capital ↗
Dec 4, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $51.77 — gap to target -1%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -36%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 57.3% · +5.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 25
matures : Dec 4, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$56
Price at call : $51.77 — upside +8%
Today : $79.1 — upside -29%
Expected +8% · Actual +15% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.1% · -2.5% (339 calls)
-14.7%
stock +15% · XLP -5%
matured Dec 4, 25
Morgan Stanley ↗
Nov 12, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $51.43 — gap to target +1%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -34%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 51.1% · +0.5% (423 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 12, 25
matures : Nov 12, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $59.05 — gap to target +8%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -19%
🎯 on ADM : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 49.8% · +3.0% (253 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 9, 25
matures : Sep 9, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66
Price at call : $60.48 — gap to target +9%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.7% · +1.2% (373 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 25
matures : Jul 31, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $64.56 — gap to target -2%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.9% · -1.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 25
matures : Jul 15, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $63.24 — gap to target +1%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -19%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.9% · -1.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 3, 25
matures : Apr 3, 25
B of A Securities ↗
Mar 14, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$74
Price at call : $59.31 — gap to target +25%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on ADM : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 46.6% · +1.2% (247 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 14, 25
matures : Mar 14, 25
BMO Capital ↗
Mar 13, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $58.21 — gap to target +3%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -24%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 57.3% · +5.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 13, 25
matures : Mar 13, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $58.21 — gap to target +12%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -18%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.2% · -0.2% (180 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 13, 25
matures : Mar 13, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $56.76 — gap to target +0%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -28%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.9% · -1.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 31, 25
matures : Jan 31, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $52.05 — gap to target -2%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -36%
🎯 on ADM : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 49.8% · +3.0% (253 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 25, 25
matures : Jan 25, 25
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 23, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $52.31 — gap to target +28%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.5% · +0.1% (202 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 22, 25
matures : Jan 22, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $52.31 — gap to target +7%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 56.9% · +7.9% (197 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 25
matures : Jan 21, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $52.31 — upside +15%
Today : $79.1 — upside -24%
Expected +15% · Actual -3% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.1% · -2.5% (339 calls)
+3.4%
stock -3% · XLP +7%
matured Jan 21, 25
Roth MKM
Jan 22, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66
Price at call : $52.31 — gap to target +26%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 25
matures : Jan 21, 25
BMO Capital ↗
Jan 22, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66
Price at call : $51.69 — gap to target +28%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 57.3% · +5.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 25
matures : Jan 21, 25
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 22, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $51.69 — gap to target +30%
Today : $79.1 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.5% · +0.1% (202 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 25
matures : Jan 21, 25
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Archer Daniels Midland stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Archer Daniels Midland, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $79.00 (0% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Archer Daniels Midland). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Archer Daniels Midland? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Archer Daniels Midland is $95.00 (+20% above today's price); the average is $79.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Archer Daniels Midland on our site before trusting it.
Is Archer Daniels Midland still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 16 analysts have a real record on Archer Daniels Midland, the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
Should you invest in Archer Daniels Midland? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in ADM (and why hesitate).
What has Archer Daniels Midland's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: ADM performance & returns.
Does Archer Daniels Midland pay a dividend?
Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: ADM's dividend.
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