Is Morgan Stanley a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 61.3% of Morgan Stanley's targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +12.2% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. +2.8% vs its sector, across 6620 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: fairly reliable. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.

61.3%profitable calls

+12.2%avg gain / call

+2.8%vs sector

6620scored calls

In which sectors is Morgan Stanley reliable?

Sector

Calls

% profitable

Avg gain 2015+

Avg gain 2020+

Last 12 months

▸ Tech

936

67%

+31.4%

+35.4%

+41.4% (143)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
HPQ	▼ Underweight	Aug 24, 26	Aug 24, 27	$29.52	🎯$17	$29.63	-42%	+0% so far
ADI	▲ Overweight	Aug 20, 26	Aug 20, 27	$373.09	🎯$458	$374.52	+23%	+0% so far
KEYS	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$316.51	🎯$425	$325.82	+34%	+3% so far
FSLR	▲ Overweight	Aug 18, 26	Aug 18, 27	$220.01	🎯$323	$210.1	+47%	-5% so far
CSCO	▲ Overweight	Aug 13, 26	Aug 13, 27	$113.47	🎯$135	$112.15	+19%	-1% so far
HPE	▲ Overweight	Aug 10, 26	Aug 10, 27	$54.68	🎯$69	$54.41	+26%	+0% so far
CDW	▲ Overweight	Aug 6, 26	Aug 6, 27	$135.81	🎯$171	$148.97	+26%	+10% so far
APP	▲ Overweight	Aug 6, 26	Aug 6, 27	$346.8	🎯$650	$312.63	+87%	-10% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 936 calls.

▸ Energy

367

61.9%

+12.9%

+23.6%

+10.7% (59)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
EQT	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$53.89	🎯$67	$54.77	+24%	+2% so far
EXE	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$96.07	🎯$129	$98	+34%	+2% so far
COP	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$134.89	🎯$151	$129.52	+12%	-4% so far
XOM	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$166.15	🎯$177	$156.44	+7%	-6% so far
CVX	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$205.77	🎯$218	$199.77	+6%	-3% so far
WMB	▲ Overweight	Aug 18, 26	Aug 18, 27	$73.24	🎯$103	$74.19	+41%	+1% so far
TRGP	▲ Overweight	Aug 18, 26	Aug 18, 27	$297.09	🎯$343	$288.95	+15%	-3% so far
SLB	▲ Overweight	Jul 27, 26	Jul 27, 27	$49.98	🎯$55	$55.01	+10%	+10% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 367 calls.

▸ Comm.

287

62.7%

+18.7%

+20.0%

+6.1% (21)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
TKO	▲ Overweight	Aug 4, 26	Aug 4, 27	$184.51	🎯$230	$184.34	+25%	+0% so far
T	▲ Overweight	Jul 23, 26	Jul 23, 27	$24.13	🎯$27	$25.43	+12%	+5% so far
GOOGL	▲ Overweight	Jul 23, 26	Jul 23, 27	$319.74	🎯$400	$340.65	+25%	+7% so far
NFLX	▲ Overweight	Jul 17, 26	Jul 17, 27	$67.6	🎯$83	$79.84	+23%	+18% so far
NFLX	▲ Overweight	Jul 14, 26	Jul 14, 27	$73.53	🎯$90	$79.84	+22%	+9% so far
TMUS	▲ Overweight	Jul 7, 26	Jul 7, 27	$180.14	🎯$230	$177.75	+28%	-1% so far
T	▲ Overweight	Jul 7, 26	Jul 7, 27	$21.12	🎯$25	$25.43	+18%	+20% so far
GOOGL	▲ Overweight	Jun 30, 26	Jun 30, 27	$357.37	🎯$415	$340.65	+16%	-5% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 287 calls.

▸ Materials

138

62.3%

+13.6%

+17.5%

+13.9% (18)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
MLM	▲ Overweight	Aug 13, 26	Aug 13, 27	$547.93	🎯$639	$528.59	+17%	-4% so far
SHW	▲ Overweight	Jul 29, 26	Jul 29, 27	$344.84	🎯$395	$345.21	+15%	+0% so far
LYB	▲ Overweight	Jul 20, 26	Jul 20, 27	$61.19	🎯$72	$63.06	+18%	+3% so far
IFF	▲ Overweight	Jul 1, 26	Jul 1, 27	$81.15	🎯$95	$86.85	+17%	+7% so far
CTVA	▲ Overweight	May 28, 26	May 28, 27	$80.6	🎯$95	$82.4	+18%	+2% so far
LYB	▲ Overweight	Apr 21, 26	Apr 21, 27	$72	🎯$77	$63.06	+7%	-12% so far
MLM	▲ Overweight	Apr 6, 26	Apr 6, 27	$594.43	🎯$664	$528.59	+12%	-11% so far
MLM	▲ Overweight	Mar 9, 26	Mar 9, 27	$607.54	🎯$702	$528.59	+16%	-13% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 138 calls.

▸ Health

752

67.7%

+14.1%

+14.2%

+4.4% (75)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
MRK	▲ Overweight	Aug 20, 26	Aug 20, 27	$148.99	🎯$179	$149.54	+20%	+0% so far
CAH	▲ Overweight	Aug 12, 26	Aug 12, 27	$231.24	🎯$265	$235.13	+15%	+2% so far
A	▲ Overweight	Aug 12, 26	Aug 12, 27	$149.29	🎯$175	$157.69	+17%	+6% so far
CRL	▲ Overweight	Aug 7, 26	Aug 7, 27	$277	🎯$300	$296.41	+8%	+7% so far
COR	▲ Overweight	Aug 7, 26	Aug 7, 27	$325	🎯$346	$321.23	+6%	-1% so far
LH	▲ Overweight	Jul 31, 26	Jul 31, 27	$307.42	🎯$338	$336.54	+10%	+9% so far
TMO	▲ Overweight	Jul 27, 26	Jul 27, 27	$576.41	🎯$650	$630.7	+13%	+9% so far
HCA	▼ Underweight	Jul 27, 26	Jul 27, 27	$418.19	🎯$380	$419.34	-9%	+0% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 752 calls.

▸ Industry

964

57%

+9.4%

+14.1%

+2.9% (69)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
HONA	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$170.37	🎯$205	$160.75	+20%	-6% so far
AXON	▲ Overweight	Aug 6, 26	Aug 6, 27	$571.01	🎯$640	$611.2	+12%	+7% so far
GD	▲ Overweight	Jul 30, 26	Jul 30, 27	$383.42	🎯$465	$380.06	+21%	-1% so far
GEV	▲ Overweight	Jul 23, 26	Jul 23, 27	$1014.75	🎯$1350	$953.83	+33%	-6% so far
WAB	▲ Overweight	Jul 23, 26	Jul 23, 27	$302.5	🎯$355	$297.28	+17%	-2% so far
EFX	▲ Overweight	Jul 22, 26	Jul 22, 27	$166.72	🎯$225	$190.36	+35%	+14% so far
URI	▲ Overweight	Jul 17, 26	Jul 17, 27	$1012.71	🎯$1165	$1037.51	+15%	+2% so far
UAL	▲ Overweight	Jul 17, 26	Jul 17, 27	$117.52	🎯$190	$112.39	+62%	-4% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 964 calls.

▸ Utilities

777

60.1%

+10.0%

+10.7%

-4.8% (49)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
VST	▲ Overweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$135.66	🎯$227	$139.81	+67%	+3% so far
SO	▼ Underweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$90.1	🎯$89	$89.05	-1%	-1% so far
SRE	▲ Overweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$84.57	🎯$104	$84.75	+23%	+0% so far
PEG	▲ Overweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$73.53	🎯$91	$73.33	+24%	+0% so far
PPL	▲ Overweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$35.04	🎯$42	$34.44	+20%	-2% so far
NEE	▲ Overweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$84.1	🎯$114	$83.47	+36%	-1% so far
FE	▲ Overweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$46.57	🎯$52	$46.25	+12%	-1% so far
EIX	▼ Underweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$73.97	🎯$65	$73.68	-12%	+0% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 777 calls.

▸ Finance

1071

59%

+8.2%

+9.7%

+4.4% (139)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
PRU	▼ Underweight	Aug 24, 26	Aug 24, 27	$120.15	🎯$105	$120.37	-13%	+0% so far
MET	▲ Overweight	Aug 24, 26	Aug 24, 27	$95.87	🎯$111	$96.25	+16%	+0% so far
BRO	▼ Underweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$71.49	🎯$60	$71.39	-16%	+0% so far
AJG	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$257.45	🎯$290	$260.15	+13%	+1% so far
AON	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$348.43	🎯$410	$349.56	+18%	+0% so far
AIZ	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$278.31	🎯$320	$285.41	+15%	+3% so far
MA	▲ Overweight	Jul 31, 26	Jul 31, 27	$570.97	🎯$681	$591.73	+19%	+4% so far
CPAY	▲ Overweight	Jul 28, 26	Jul 28, 27	$392.85	🎯$415	$403.67	+6%	+3% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 1071 calls.

▸ Cons. staples

400

63.3%

+4.4%

+5.7%

-3.1% (33)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
WMT	▲ Overweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$106.49	🎯$125	$102.63	+17%	-4% so far
PM	▲ Overweight	Jul 23, 26	Jul 23, 27	$193	🎯$215	$190.48	+11%	-1% so far
ADM	▼ Underweight	Jul 20, 26	Jul 20, 27	$85.67	🎯$60	$79.1	-30%	-8% so far
GIS	▼ Underweight	Jun 5, 26	Jun 5, 27	$33.14	🎯$32	$40.44	-3%	+22% so far
PM	▲ Overweight	Jun 3, 26	Jun 3, 27	$174.99	🎯$200	$190.48	+14%	+9% so far
MNST	▲ Overweight	Jun 1, 26	Jun 1, 27	$89.1	🎯$103	$46.7	+16%	-48% so far
ADM	▼ Underweight	May 6, 26	May 6, 27	$77.53	🎯$58	$79.1	-25%	+2% so far
CL	▲ Overweight	Apr 23, 26	Apr 23, 27	$84.65	🎯$95	$90.96	+12%	+7% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 400 calls.

▸ Cons. disc.

722

59.8%

+1.9%

+2.4%

-2.6% (71)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
TJX	▲ Overweight	Aug 20, 26	Aug 20, 27	$140.53	🎯$178	$134.22	+27%	-4% so far
TPR	▲ Overweight	Aug 14, 26	Aug 14, 27	$129.02	🎯$159	$123.24	+23%	-4% so far
ORLY	▲ Overweight	Jul 30, 26	Jul 30, 27	$89.35	🎯$108	$87.83	+21%	-2% so far
ABNB	▼ Underweight	Jul 30, 26	Jul 30, 27	$151.52	🎯$125	$184.4	-18%	+22% so far
CVNA	▲ Overweight	Jul 30, 26	Jul 30, 27	$61.44	🎯$90	$74.09	+46%	+21% so far
SBUX	▲ Overweight	Jul 30, 26	Jul 30, 27	$105.85	🎯$115	$107.26	+9%	+1% so far
GM	▲ Overweight	Jul 22, 26	Jul 22, 27	$80.67	🎯$101	$86.18	+25%	+7% so far
MAR	▲ Overweight	Jul 17, 26	Jul 17, 27	$366.93	🎯$380	$353.87	+4%	-4% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 722 calls.

▸ Real estate

206

48.1%

+1.1%

-1.9%

+21.3% (17)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
MAA	▲ Overweight	Aug 12, 26	Aug 12, 27	$134.2	🎯$147	$128.79	+10%	-4% so far
MAA	▲ Overweight	Jun 25, 26	Jun 25, 27	$140.72	🎯$155	$128.79	+10%	-8% so far
ARE	▼ Underweight	Jun 11, 26	Jun 11, 27	$53.17	🎯$53	$52.28	+0%	-2% so far
DOC	▲ Overweight	May 22, 26	May 22, 27	$20.03	🎯$20	$21.22	+0%	+6% so far
DOC	▲ Overweight	Apr 28, 26	Apr 28, 27	$15.99	🎯$18	$21.22	+13%	+33% so far
REG	▲ Overweight	Apr 21, 26	Apr 21, 27	$79	🎯$88	$75.46	+11%	-4% so far
EQIX	▲ Overweight	Apr 13, 26	Apr 13, 27	$1057.37	🎯$1250	$1076.45	+18%	+2% so far
EQR	▲ Overweight	Mar 26, 26	Mar 26, 27	$69	🎯$74	$63.66	+7%	-8% so far

Sample (0 recent finished + 8 in progress) of 206 calls.

The 25 stocks Morgan Stanley performed best on

Stock

Calls

% profitable

Avg gain 2015+

Avg gain 2020+

Last 12 months

▸ WDC Western Digital

63.6%

+290.7%

+305.1%

+148.8% (7)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
WDC	▲ Overweight	Jun 15, 26	Jun 15, 27	$681.08	🎯$650	$462	-5%	-32% so far
WDC	▲ Overweight	Apr 6, 26	Apr 6, 27	$311.96	🎯$380	$462	+22%	+48% so far
WDC	▲ Overweight	Jan 30, 26	Jan 30, 27	$270.23	🎯$306	$462	+13%	+71% so far
WDC	▲ Overweight	Jan 22, 26	Jan 22, 27	$236.39	🎯$260	$462	+10%	+95% so far
WDC	▲ Overweight	Dec 17, 25	Dec 17, 26	$175.01	🎯$228	$462	+30%	+164% so far
WDC	▲ Overweight	Sep 29, 25	Sep 29, 26	$120.06	🎯$171	$462	+42%	+285% so far
WDC	▲ Overweight	Sep 3, 25	Sep 3, 26	$90.49	🎯$99	$462	+9%	+411% so far
WDC	▲ Overweight	Jul 31, 25	Jul 31, 26	$78.69	🎯$92	$544.53	+17%	+592.4%

Sample (1 recent finished + 7 in progress) of 22 calls.

▸ STX Seagate Technology

76.9%

+277.4%

+109.4% (6)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
STX	▲ Overweight	Jul 29, 26	Jul 29, 27	$851.68	🎯$1187	$847.2	+39%	-1% so far
STX	▲ Overweight	Jun 15, 26	Jun 15, 27	$1031.34	🎯$1035	$847.2	+0%	-18% so far
STX	▲ Overweight	Apr 6, 26	Apr 6, 27	$468.72	🎯$582	$847.2	+24%	+81% so far
STX	▲ Overweight	Jan 22, 26	Jan 22, 27	$346.1	🎯$372	$847.2	+7%	+145% so far
STX	▲ Overweight	Dec 17, 25	Dec 17, 26	$292	🎯$337	$847.2	+15%	+190% so far
STX	▲ Overweight	Sep 29, 25	Sep 29, 26	$236.06	🎯$265	$847.2	+12%	+259% so far
STX	▲ Overweight	Jul 30, 25	Jul 30, 26	$157.01	🎯$168	$855.7	+7%	+445.3%
STX	▲ Overweight	Jul 14, 25	Jul 14, 26	$149.05	🎯$167	$828.72	+12%	+455.7%

Sample (2 recent finished + 6 in progress) of 13 calls.

▸ MRNA Moderna

100%

+161.5%

+206.8%

—

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
MRNA	▲ Overweight	Nov 11, 20	Nov 11, 21	$82.44	🎯$100	$225.89	+21%	+173.9%
MRNA	▲ Overweight	May 20, 20	May 20, 21	$73.47	🎯$90	$166.04	+22%	+125.9%
MRNA	▲ Overweight	Apr 15, 20	Apr 15, 21	$40.6	🎯$37	$170.93	-9%	+320.7%
MRNA	▲ Overweight	Jan 2, 19	Jan 2, 20	$15.33	🎯$29	$19.16	+89%	+25.4%

▸ FCX Freeport-McMoRan

72.7%

+115.4%

+169.0%

+86.6% (2)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
FCX	▲ Overweight	Nov 19, 25	Nov 19, 26	$41.25	🎯$44	$78.42	+7%	+90% so far
FCX	▲ Overweight	Oct 8, 25	Oct 8, 26	$42.85	🎯$46	$78.42	+7%	+83% so far
FCX	▲ Overweight	Sep 19, 24	Sep 19, 25	$44.53	🎯$58	$44.98	+30%	+1.4%
FCX	▲ Overweight	Jun 21, 24	Jun 21, 25	$49.56	🎯$62	$41.13	+25%	-17.4%
FCX	▲ Overweight	Dec 10, 20	Dec 10, 21	$24.61	🎯$28	$37.65	+14%	+52.9%
FCX	▲ Overweight	Sep 24, 20	Sep 24, 21	$15.38	—	$32.3	—	+109.6%
FCX	▲ Overweight	Jun 23, 20	Jun 23, 21	$11.08	🎯$12.5	$37.23	+13%	+235.6%
FCX	▲ Overweight	Jun 9, 20	Jun 9, 21	$11.27	🎯$11.4	$40.68	+1%	+261.1%

Sample (6 recent finished + 2 in progress) of 11 calls.

▸ GEV GE Vernova

100%

+155.5%

+35.2% (5)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
GEV	▲ Overweight	Jul 23, 26	Jul 23, 27	$1014.75	🎯$1350	$953.83	+33%	-6% so far
GEV	▲ Overweight	Mar 23, 26	Mar 23, 27	$909.41	🎯$960	$953.83	+6%	+5% so far
GEV	▲ Overweight	Dec 16, 25	Dec 16, 26	$614.19	🎯$822	$953.83	+34%	+55% so far
GEV	▲ Overweight	Oct 30, 25	Oct 30, 26	$585.14	🎯$710	$953.83	+21%	+63% so far
GEV	▲ Overweight	Oct 16, 25	Oct 16, 26	$600	🎯$690	$953.83	+15%	+59% so far
GEV	▲ Overweight	Jul 24, 25	Jul 24, 26	$623.97	🎯$675	$1017.07	+8%	+62.6%
GEV	▲ Overweight	Jun 24, 25	Jun 24, 26	$510.84	🎯$511	$1057.44	+0%	+107%
GEV	▲ Overweight	Apr 24, 25	Apr 24, 26	$372.42	🎯$422	$1120.98	+13%	+200.8%

▸ KLAC KLA Corporation

100%

+131.0%

+2.7% (2)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
KLAC	▲ Overweight	Jul 6, 26	Jul 6, 27	$216.47	🎯$274	$183.77	+27%	-15% so far
KLAC	▲ Overweight	Feb 25, 26	Feb 25, 27	$152.43	🎯$1809	$183.77	+1087%	+21% so far
KLAC	▲ Overweight	Aug 1, 25	Aug 1, 26	$88.66	🎯$928	$182.64	+947%	+106.1%
KLAC	▲ Overweight	Jul 1, 25	Jul 1, 26	$92.11	🎯$916	$235.8	+894%	+155.7%
KLAC	▲ Overweight	May 1, 25	May 1, 26	$69.82	🎯$868	$171.06	+1143%	+145.4%
KLAC	▲ Overweight	Mar 31, 25	Mar 31, 26	$67.98	🎯$870	$147.52	+1180%	+116.6%

▸ CMI Cummins

75%

+69.9%

+100.7%

-13.1% (2)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
CMI	▲ Overweight	Jul 17, 26	Jul 17, 27	$639.43	🎯$761	$573.87	+19%	-10% so far
CMI	▲ Overweight	May 6, 26	May 6, 27	$682.88	🎯$752	$573.87	+10%	-16% so far
CMI	▲ Overweight	May 6, 25	May 6, 26	$297.94	🎯$350	$682.28	+17%	+129.2%
CMI	▲ Overweight	Apr 16, 25	Apr 16, 26	$281.81	🎯$340	$628.44	+21%	+122.6%
CMI	▲ Overweight	Jan 8, 24	Jan 7, 25	$239.41	🎯$278	$359.12	+16%	+50.3%
CMI	▼ Underweight	Oct 28, 15	Oct 27, 16	$103.23	🎯$79	$125.94	-23%	-22.3%

▸ KEY KeyCorp

42.9%

+27.4%

+91.6%

—

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
KEY	▲ Overweight	Mar 17, 20	Mar 17, 21	$8.16	🎯$19	$20.73	+133%	+153.9%
KEY	▲ Overweight	Mar 5, 20	Mar 5, 21	$15.98	🎯$20	$20.61	+25%	+29.3%
KEY	▲ Overweight	Oct 3, 19	Oct 2, 20	$17.27	🎯$20.5	$12.78	+19%	-26.1%
KEY	▲ Overweight	Sep 18, 18	Sep 18, 19	$19.74	🎯$25	$18.16	+27%	-7.7%
KEY	▲ Overweight	Apr 24, 18	Apr 24, 19	$20.07	🎯$25	$17.06	+25%	-14.6%
KEY	▲ Overweight	Dec 14, 17	Dec 14, 18	$19.52	🎯$23	$15.23	+18%	-22.5%
KEY	▲ Overweight	Jul 5, 16	Jul 5, 17	$10.68	🎯$15	$19.22	+40%	+79.8%

▸ NVDA Nvidia

93.3%

+82.8%

+91.5%

+19.8% (7)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
NVDA	▲ Overweight	May 21, 26	May 21, 27	$219.51	🎯$288	$227.98	+31%	+4% so far
NVDA	▲ Overweight	May 18, 26	May 18, 27	$222.32	🎯$285	$227.98	+28%	+3% so far
NVDA	▲ Overweight	Feb 26, 26	Feb 26, 27	$177.19	🎯$260	$227.98	+47%	+29% so far
NVDA	▲ Overweight	Dec 1, 25	Dec 1, 26	$181.46	🎯$250	$227.98	+38%	+26% so far
NVDA	▲ Overweight	Nov 20, 25	Nov 20, 26	$178.88	🎯$235	$227.98	+31%	+27% so far
NVDA	▲ Overweight	Nov 14, 25	Nov 14, 26	$190.17	🎯$220	$227.98	+16%	+20% so far
NVDA	▲ Overweight	Aug 28, 25	Aug 28, 26	$174.18	🎯$210	$227.98	+21%	+31% so far
NVDA	▲ Overweight	Aug 18, 25	Aug 18, 26	$182.01	🎯$206	$220.23	+13%	+20.7%

Sample (1 recent finished + 7 in progress) of 30 calls.

▸ GE GE Aerospace

100%

+75.4%

+21.4% (1)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
GE	▲ Overweight	Apr 22, 26	Apr 22, 27	$282.34	🎯$400	$342.73	+42%	+21% so far
GE	▲ Overweight	Aug 10, 23	Aug 9, 24	$91.46	🎯$125	$166.46	+37%	+82.5%
GE	▲ Overweight	Jul 26, 23	Jul 25, 24	$92.11	🎯$122	$169.48	+32%	+84.4%
GE	▲ Overweight	Mar 31, 23	Mar 30, 24	$76.3	🎯$110	$139.63	+44%	+83.4%
GE	▲ Overweight	Jan 25, 23	Jan 25, 24	$64.48	🎯$90	$103.81	+40%	+60.8%
GE	▲ Overweight	Jan 23, 23	Jan 23, 24	$63.66	🎯$85	$103.77	+34%	+62.9%
GE	▲ Overweight	Oct 27, 22	Oct 27, 23	$47.35	🎯$88	$84.76	+86%	+79.3%
GE	▲ Overweight	Oct 12, 22	Oct 12, 23	$42.33	🎯$85	$87.2	+101%	+106.2%

Sample (7 recent finished + 1 in progress) of 12 calls.

▸ VST Vistra Corp.

82.9%

+68.8%

+71.6%

-10.5% (3)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
VST	▲ Overweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$135.66	🎯$227	$139.81	+67%	+3% so far
VST	▲ Overweight	Jul 28, 26	Jul 28, 27	$142.81	🎯$212	$139.81	+48%	-2% so far
VST	▲ Overweight	Sep 25, 25	Sep 25, 26	$207.22	🎯$223	$139.81	+8%	-33% so far
VST	▲ Overweight	Jun 18, 25	Jun 18, 26	$185.1	🎯$186	$166.59	+0%	-9.6%
VST	▲ Overweight	May 22, 25	May 22, 26	$154.72	🎯$178	$156.27	+15%	+1%
VST	▲ Overweight	Apr 23, 25	Apr 23, 26	$124.23	🎯$172	$163.98	+38%	+32.3%
VST	▲ Overweight	Feb 20, 25	Feb 20, 26	$150.44	🎯$173	$168.49	+15%	+11.5%
VST	▲ Overweight	Nov 22, 24	Nov 22, 25	$154.14	🎯$169	$175.72	+10%	+13.6%

Sample (5 recent finished + 3 in progress) of 41 calls.

▸ CEG Constellation Energy

100%

+71.4%

+0.8% (2)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
CEG	▲ Overweight	Aug 21, 26	Aug 21, 27	$273.43	🎯$364	$282.41	+33%	+3% so far
CEG	▲ Overweight	Apr 21, 26	Apr 21, 27	$287.16	🎯$360	$282.41	+25%	-2% so far
CEG	▲ Overweight	Nov 22, 24	Nov 22, 25	$248.93	🎯$322	$353.48	+29%	+42.3%
CEG	▲ Overweight	Sep 23, 24	Sep 23, 25	$257.12	🎯$313	$336.83	+22%	+30.9%
CEG	▲ Overweight	Aug 23, 24	Aug 23, 25	$194.89	🎯$233	$309.88	+20%	+59.4%
CEG	▲ Overweight	Jun 24, 24	Jun 24, 25	$222.37	🎯$241	$315.77	+8%	+41.7%
CEG	▲ Overweight	May 28, 24	May 28, 25	$220.74	🎯$237	$302.41	+7%	+37.4%
CEG	▲ Overweight	Mar 26, 24	Mar 26, 25	$184.89	🎯$193	$208.93	+4%	+13.2%

Sample (6 recent finished + 2 in progress) of 30 calls.

▸ KEYS Keysight Technologies

100%

+70.7%

+2.2% (2)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
KEYS	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 26	Aug 19, 27	$316.51	🎯$425	$325.82	+34%	+3% so far
KEYS	▲ Overweight	Jul 13, 26	Jul 13, 27	$320.83	🎯$400	$325.82	+25%	+2% so far
KEYS	▲ Overweight	May 13, 25	May 13, 26	$165.06	🎯$180	$361.48	+9%	+118.8%
KEYS	▲ Overweight	Apr 8, 25	Apr 8, 26	$127.96	🎯$156	$318.62	+22%	+148.8%
KEYS	▲ Overweight	Nov 20, 24	Nov 20, 25	$165.48	🎯$180	$170.44	+9%	+2.5%
KEYS	▲ Overweight	Sep 15, 23	Sep 14, 24	$132.86	🎯$165	$150.13	+24%	+12.5%

▸ DOV Dover Corporation

100%

+42.9%

+67.1%

—

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
DOV	▲ Overweight	Oct 21, 20	Oct 21, 21	$113.73	🎯$131	$169.46	+15%	+49.1%
DOV	▲ Overweight	Jul 23, 20	Jul 23, 21	$105.75	🎯$117	$163.91	+11%	+55.4%
DOV	▲ Overweight	Jul 14, 20	Jul 14, 21	$98.64	🎯$107	$154.86	+8%	+57.4%
DOV	▲ Overweight	Apr 22, 20	Apr 22, 21	$86.32	🎯$99	$147.61	+15%	+70.9%
DOV	▲ Overweight	Apr 15, 20	Apr 15, 21	$84.39	🎯$94	$139.24	+11%	+65.2%
DOV	▲ Overweight	Mar 23, 20	Mar 23, 21	$65.37	🎯$86	$133.35	+32%	+104.4%
DOV	▲ Overweight	Jul 20, 18	Jul 20, 19	$80.24	🎯$83	$97.09	+3%	+21.1%
DOV	▲ Overweight	Apr 30, 18	Apr 30, 19	$74.88	🎯$106	$98.09	+42%	+30.9%

Sample (8 recent finished + 0 in progress) of 12 calls.

▸ NXPI NXP Semiconductors

100%

+51.3%

+64.1%

—

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
NXPI	▲ Overweight	Feb 12, 25	Feb 12, 26	$219.79	🎯$257	$241.77	+17%	+10.2%
NXPI	▲ Overweight	Feb 3, 21	Feb 3, 22	$174.1	🎯$190	$198.47	+9%	+13.9%
NXPI	▲ Overweight	Dec 14, 20	Dec 14, 21	$160.06	🎯$177	$228.89	+11%	+43.3%
NXPI	▲ Overweight	Oct 28, 20	Oct 28, 21	$129.77	🎯$162	$199.85	+25%	+54%
NXPI	▲ Overweight	Oct 12, 20	Oct 12, 21	$142.08	🎯$159	$183.28	+12%	+28.9%
NXPI	▲ Overweight	Oct 5, 20	Oct 5, 21	$130.9	🎯$147	$191.11	+12%	+45.8%
NXPI	▲ Overweight	Jun 16, 20	Jun 16, 21	$113.26	🎯$122	$200.47	+8%	+76.8%
NXPI	▲ Overweight	Apr 27, 20	Apr 27, 21	$97.13	🎯$110	$203	+13%	+109.4%

Sample (8 recent finished + 0 in progress) of 15 calls.

▸ TSCO Tractor Supply

87.5%

+58.6%

—

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
TSCO	▼ Underweight	Apr 26, 24	Apr 26, 25	$55.58	🎯$235	$48.91	+323%	+11.8%
TSCO	▼ Underweight	Jan 16, 24	Jan 15, 25	$44.85	🎯$195	$52.92	+335%	-18.4%
TSCO	▲ Overweight	Jul 8, 20	Jul 8, 21	$27.12	🎯$145	$37.15	+435%	+37.3%
TSCO	▲ Overweight	May 28, 20	May 28, 21	$23.8	🎯$125	$36.41	+425%	+52.7%
TSCO	▲ Overweight	Apr 24, 20	Apr 24, 21	$20.62	🎯$100	$38.15	+385%	+85.2%
TSCO	▲ Overweight	Apr 8, 20	Apr 8, 21	$18.14	🎯$95	$35.37	+424%	+94.8%
TSCO	▲ Overweight	Mar 17, 20	Mar 17, 21	$14.12	🎯$100	$33.75	+608%	+138.6%
TSCO	▲ Overweight	Jan 21, 20	Jan 20, 21	$18.57	🎯$115	$31.01	+519%	+67.1%

▸ MPC Marathon Petroleum

74.1%

+34.2%

+57.6%

+64.3% (3)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
MPC	▲ Overweight	Jun 12, 26	Jun 12, 27	$250.86	🎯$265	$363.54	+6%	+45% so far
MPC	▲ Overweight	Apr 24, 26	Apr 24, 27	$227.21	🎯$233	$363.54	+3%	+60% so far
MPC	▲ Overweight	Oct 3, 25	Oct 3, 26	$193.52	🎯$200	$363.54	+3%	+88% so far
MPC	▲ Overweight	Jul 16, 25	Jul 16, 26	$172.37	🎯$182	$305.09	+6%	+77.4%
MPC	▲ Overweight	Apr 24, 25	Apr 24, 26	$137.44	🎯$160	$226.78	+16%	+65.3%
MPC	▲ Overweight	Sep 16, 24	Sep 16, 25	$163.87	🎯$182	$185.17	+11%	+12.7%
MPC	▲ Overweight	Oct 17, 23	Oct 16, 24	$153.99	🎯$160	$158.61	+4%	+2.8%
MPC	▲ Overweight	Aug 2, 23	Aug 1, 24	$136.22	🎯$150	$164.83	+10%	+20.9%

Sample (5 recent finished + 3 in progress) of 27 calls.

▸ COHR Coherent Corp.

100%

+56.2%

—

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
COHR	▲ Overweight	Aug 17, 23	Aug 16, 24	$33.44	🎯$39	$76.58	+17%	+129.2%
COHR	▲ Overweight	Aug 3, 23	Aug 2, 24	$50.16	🎯$55	$56.18	+10%	+12.1%
COHR	▲ Overweight	May 11, 23	May 10, 24	$29.16	🎯$40	$53.65	+37%	+84.1%
COHR	▲ Overweight	Feb 9, 23	Feb 9, 24	$42.86	🎯$48	$62.15	+12%	+45.5%
COHR	▲ Overweight	Dec 13, 22	Dec 13, 23	$38.4	🎯$45	$42.24	+17%	+10%

▸ LLY Lilly (Eli)

94.7%

+54.4%

+56.0%

+16.4% (6)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
LLY	▲ Overweight	Jul 8, 26	Jul 8, 27	$1216.95	🎯$1347	$1176.1	+11%	-3% so far
LLY	▲ Overweight	Apr 10, 26	Apr 10, 27	$929.55	🎯$1327	$1176.1	+43%	+27% so far
LLY	▲ Overweight	Feb 5, 26	Feb 5, 27	$1020.84	🎯$1313	$1176.1	+29%	+15% so far
LLY	▲ Overweight	Nov 24, 25	Nov 24, 26	$1109.94	🎯$1290	$1176.1	+16%	+6% so far
LLY	▲ Overweight	Nov 13, 25	Nov 13, 26	$1022.87	🎯$1171	$1176.1	+14%	+15% so far
LLY	▲ Overweight	Oct 3, 25	Oct 3, 26	$845.05	🎯$1023	$1176.1	+21%	+39% so far
LLY	▲ Overweight	Jul 10, 25	Jul 10, 26	$793.01	🎯$1135	$1181.58	+43%	+49%
LLY	▲ Overweight	Apr 9, 25	Apr 9, 26	$720.91	🎯$1124	$937.18	+56%	+30.3%

Sample (2 recent finished + 6 in progress) of 38 calls.

▸ CRWD CrowdStrike

88.9%

+53.5%

+40.6% (6)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
CRWD	▲ Overweight	Jul 21, 26	Jul 21, 27	$188.42	🎯$227	$227.96	+20%	+21% so far
CRWD	▲ Overweight	Jul 7, 26	Jul 7, 27	$191.12	🎯$172	$227.96	-10%	+19% so far
CRWD	▲ Overweight	Jul 2, 26	Jul 2, 27	$193.98	🎯$172.5	$227.96	-11%	+18% so far
CRWD	▲ Overweight	Jun 4, 26	Jun 4, 27	$167.76	🎯$690	$227.96	+311%	+36% so far
CRWD	▲ Overweight	May 20, 26	May 20, 27	$162.06	🎯$610	$227.96	+276%	+41% so far
CRWD	▲ Overweight	Mar 10, 26	Mar 10, 27	$109.08	🎯$510	$227.96	+368%	+109% so far
CRWD	▲ Overweight	Jun 4, 25	Jun 4, 26	$115.74	🎯$490	$167.82	+323%	+45%
CRWD	▲ Overweight	May 15, 25	May 15, 26	$109.82	🎯$455	$154.85	+314%	+40.9%

Sample (2 recent finished + 6 in progress) of 27 calls.

▸ AIG American International Group

58.3%

+16.5%

+53.1%

—

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
AIG	▲ Overweight	Aug 16, 21	Aug 16, 22	$54.61	🎯$62	$57.34	+14%	+4.9%
AIG	▲ Overweight	May 27, 21	May 27, 22	$52.71	🎯$60	$59.04	+14%	+11.9%
AIG	▲ Overweight	Feb 25, 21	Feb 25, 22	$43.95	🎯$52	$63.29	+18%	+43.7%
AIG	▲ Overweight	Aug 5, 20	Aug 5, 21	$29.32	🎯$36	$51.02	+23%	+73.8%
AIG	▲ Overweight	Jun 11, 20	Jun 11, 21	$31.61	🎯$38	$52.16	+20%	+64.6%
AIG	▲ Overweight	Apr 1, 20	Apr 1, 21	$21.25	🎯$35	$46.75	+65%	+120%
AIG	▲ Overweight	Nov 14, 19	Nov 13, 20	$54.19	🎯$65	$37.39	+20%	-31.1%
AIG	▲ Overweight	May 30, 19	May 29, 20	$51.07	🎯$58	$30.64	+14%	-40.2%

Sample (8 recent finished + 0 in progress) of 12 calls.

▸ META Meta Platforms

78.6%

+52.0%

—

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
META	▲ Overweight	Aug 1, 24	Aug 1, 25	$497.74	🎯$575	$751.59	+16%	+50.7%
META	▲ Overweight	Sep 28, 23	Sep 27, 24	$303.96	🎯$375	$568.41	+23%	+86.7%
META	▲ Overweight	Jul 27, 23	Jul 26, 24	$311.71	🎯$375	$464.45	+20%	+49.4%
META	▲ Overweight	Jul 13, 23	Jul 12, 24	$308.87	🎯$350	$497.28	+13%	+60.6%
META	▲ Overweight	Apr 27, 23	Apr 26, 24	$238.56	🎯$300	$443.72	+26%	+85.8%
META	▲ Overweight	Mar 21, 23	Mar 20, 24	$202.16	🎯$250	$505.4	+24%	+150.1%
META	▲ Overweight	Oct 10, 22	Oct 10, 23	$133.79	🎯$205	$322.43	+53%	+140.6%
META	▲ Overweight	Aug 19, 22	Aug 19, 23	$167.96	🎯$225	$290.57	+34%	+72.6%

Sample (8 recent finished + 0 in progress) of 14 calls.

▸ STLD Steel Dynamics

88.9%

+41.2%

+51.8%

+54.2% (1)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
STLD	▲ Overweight	Oct 24, 25	Oct 24, 26	$152.95	🎯$173	$235.84	+13%	+54% so far
STLD	▲ Overweight	Jun 20, 25	Jun 20, 26	$127.43	🎯$145	$251.04	+14%	+97%
STLD	▲ Overweight	Apr 24, 25	Apr 24, 26	$127.34	🎯$140	$225.39	+10%	+76.7%
STLD	▲ Overweight	Mar 7, 25	Mar 7, 26	$119.4	🎯$158	$182.68	+32%	+52.7%
STLD	▲ Overweight	Jun 14, 21	Jun 14, 22	$63.13	🎯$71	$71.34	+12%	+12.5%
STLD	▲ Overweight	May 11, 21	May 11, 22	$60.85	🎯$70	$74.85	+15%	+22.8%
STLD	▲ Overweight	Mar 12, 21	Mar 12, 22	$48.55	🎯$53	$71.37	+9%	+47.3%
STLD	▲ Overweight	Jan 27, 21	Jan 27, 22	$35.28	🎯$44	$54.33	+25%	+54%

Sample (7 recent finished + 1 in progress) of 9 calls.

▸ ANET Arista Networks

89.5%

+44.1%

+51.7%

+33.9% (6)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
ANET	▲ Overweight	Aug 5, 26	Aug 5, 27	$192.32	🎯$220	$201.09	+14%	+5% so far
ANET	▲ Overweight	Jun 12, 26	Jun 12, 27	$163.24	🎯$190	$201.09	+16%	+23% so far
ANET	▲ Overweight	Dec 17, 25	Dec 17, 26	$122.36	🎯$159	$201.09	+30%	+64% so far
ANET	▲ Overweight	Oct 10, 25	Oct 10, 26	$154.1	🎯$171	$201.09	+11%	+30% so far
ANET	▲ Overweight	Sep 12, 25	Sep 12, 26	$145.43	🎯$140	$201.09	-4%	+38% so far
ANET	▲ Overweight	Sep 3, 25	Sep 3, 26	$141.17	🎯$135	$201.09	-4%	+42% so far
ANET	▲ Overweight	Aug 6, 25	Aug 6, 26	$139.28	🎯$125	$188.03	-10%	+35.5%
ANET	▲ Overweight	Jul 31, 25	Jul 31, 26	$123.22	🎯$120	$179.9	-3%	+46.4%

Sample (2 recent finished + 6 in progress) of 19 calls.

▸ HWM Howmet Aerospace

100%

+51.4%

—

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
HWM	▲ Overweight	Jul 17, 25	Jul 17, 26	$188.83	🎯$210	$271.92	+11%	+44.3%
HWM	▲ Overweight	Feb 19, 25	Feb 19, 26	$138.44	🎯$155	$257.5	+12%	+86.4%
HWM	▲ Overweight	Aug 2, 23	Aug 1, 24	$48.18	🎯$60	$90.1	+25%	+87.1%
HWM	▲ Overweight	May 3, 23	May 2, 24	$44.7	🎯$50	$76.88	+12%	+72.5%
HWM	▲ Overweight	Feb 15, 23	Feb 15, 24	$43.41	🎯$49	$63.38	+13%	+45.8%
HWM	▲ Overweight	Dec 12, 22	Dec 12, 23	$39.21	🎯$47	$54.11	+20%	+38.3%
HWM	▲ Overweight	Sep 8, 22	Sep 8, 23	$35.85	🎯$45	$47.68	+26%	+32.9%
HWM	▲ Overweight	Feb 3, 22	Feb 3, 23	$32.52	🎯$43	$40	+32%	+22.6%

Sample (8 recent finished + 0 in progress) of 9 calls.

% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.

❓ Morgan Stanley: frequently asked questions

Is Morgan Stanley a reliable analyst? How accurate are their price targets?

Over 12 months, 61.3% of Morgan Stanley's targets were profitable, averaging +12.2% per call (+2.8% vs their sector), across 6620 timestamped calls. Verdict: fairly reliable. We judge on real results, not reputation — the call-by-call detail is further up this page.