Steel Dynamics (STLD) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Steel Dynamics · Materials · ref. ETF XLB · 50 calls · price $240.63
What the company does: Steel Dynamics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a steel producer and metal recycler in the United States.
📈 Steel Dynamics (STLD) stock price
$240.63+63.7% over range
Oct 14, 25low $142.65 · high $282.76Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
56% recommend buying · 9 analysts
📊 JPI status : Steel Dynamics has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 STLD price target & analyst consensus — price $241
The price target · all analysts combined (9 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 9$276+14.7%
Median target · of 9 targets$260+8.0%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 9$240-0.3%
Current price$240.63
Where these 9 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
889%
$255 ↔ $276
Below
111%
$240
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: UBS — 63% of its targets hit on this sector (185 calls tested). It aims for $276 (+15 %), call made on August 11, 2026, maturing on August 11, 2027 (64 d ago).
The 4 reliable analysts
$266+11 %
The 5 other firms
$257+6.8 %
How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 4 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $266 median. “The 5 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 9 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy556%
Hold444%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 STLD price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on STLD most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in STLD? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Steel Dynamics? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
💰 Steel Dynamics dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page
0.93%annual yield
📈 Steady dividend — 13 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$2.06 per share per year.
📈 Steel Dynamics fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 21.7Net margin 7.8 %Revenue growth +33.4 %Cheap for the growth
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 17 %
2023
Rev −16%Profit −37%
2024
Rev −7%Profit −37%
2025
Rev +4%Profit −23%
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on STLD
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo ↗ | 100% | +66.5% | 3 |
| UBS ↗ | 100% | +44.5% | 7 |
| Macquarie ↗ | 100% | +36.9% | 2 |
| Berenberg ↗ | 100% | +35.3% | 2 |
| Jefferies ↗ | 100% | +34.7% | 9 |
| Credit Suisse | 91% | +35.3% | 11 |
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 91% | +32.4% | 11 |
| Morgan Stanley ↗ | 90% | +38.8% | 10 |
| Barclays ↗ | 80% | +19.5% | 5 |
| Citigroup ↗ | 79% | +16.6% | 14 |
See the other 9 firms
| BMO Capital ↗ | 33% | -0.3% | 3 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 57% | +7.6% | 7 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 62% | +18.2% | 13 |
| Seaport Global ↗ | 67% | -2.0% | 3 |
| Longbow Research | 67% | -2.0% | 3 |
| Cowen & Co. | 67% | +15.3% | 3 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 70% | +1.9% | 10 |
| Nomura | 75% | +44.5% | 4 |
| Keybanc ↗ | 75% | +45.1% | 8 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Steel Dynamics would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Steel Dynamics 10 years ago would be worth $12,841 today, i.e. +29%/yr on average. Best year: 2016 (+99%), worst: 2018 (-30%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Steel Dynamics
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $2,012 | +101% |
| 3 years ago | $2,349 | +135% |
| 5 years ago | $6,223 | +522% |
Return by year (Steel Dynamics)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | +35% | $1,354 (+35%) |
| 2025 | +49% | $2,012 (+101%) |
| 2024 | -3% | $1,943 (+94%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Steel Dynamics
Loading news…
📋 All analyst calls on STLD
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$260
Price at call : $239.14 — gap to target +9%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 27
matures : Oct 9, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$272
Price at call : $229.99 — gap to target +18%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 18, 27
matures : Sep 18, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Sep 18, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$257
Price at call : $235.26 — upside +9%
Today : $240.63 — upside +7%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 18, 27
matures : Sep 18, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$273
Price at call : $237.08 — gap to target +15%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 9, 27
matures : Sep 9, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 24, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$255
Price at call : $231.08 — upside +10%
Today : $240.63 — upside +6%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 24, 27
matures : Aug 24, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$276
Price at call : $263.69 — gap to target +5%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +15%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 50.3% · +10.2% (185 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 10, 27
matures : Aug 10, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$275
Price at call : $240.57 — upside +14%
Today : $240.63 — upside +14%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
matures : Jul 22, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 22, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$260
Price at call : $240.57 — gap to target +8%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52% · +4.8% (152 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
matures : Jul 22, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$260
Price at call : $240.57 — gap to target +8%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
matures : Jul 22, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$272
Price at call : $238.64 — upside +14%
Today : $240.63 — upside +13%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 52.9% · +1.5% (155 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
matures : Jul 22, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$256
Price at call : $235.56 — gap to target +9%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 27
matures : Jul 15, 27
B of A Securities ↗
Jul 9, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$260
Price at call : $222.06 — gap to target +17%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.3% · +0.3% (183 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
matures : Jul 9, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$262
Price at call : $241.43 — upside +9%
Today : $240.63 — upside +9%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 59.5% · +5.4% (158 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 24, 27
matures : Jun 24, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jun 22, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$270
Price at call : $250.98 — gap to target +8%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52% · +4.8% (152 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 22, 27
matures : Jun 22, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 18, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$291
Price at call : $249.91 — upside +16%
Today : $240.63 — upside +21%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 18, 27
matures : Jun 18, 27
B of A Securities ↗
Jun 18, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$280
Price at call : $249.91 — gap to target +12%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +16%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.3% · +0.3% (183 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 18, 27
matures : Jun 18, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$262
Price at call : $279.55 — gap to target -6%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 10, 27
matures : Jun 10, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 4, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$293
Price at call : $276.85 — upside +6%
Today : $240.63 — upside +22%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 4, 27
matures : Jun 4, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$255
Price at call : $225.05 — upside +13%
Today : $240.63 — upside +6%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 51.8% · +2.9% (330 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
matures : Apr 22, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$235
Price at call : $225.05 — upside +4%
Today : $240.63 — upside -2%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
matures : Apr 22, 27
BMO Capital ↗
Apr 22, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$240
Price at call : $225.05 — upside +7%
Today : $240.63 — upside -0%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 51.7% · +4.5% (143 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
matures : Apr 22, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$241
Price at call : $227.46 — upside +6%
Today : $240.63 — upside +0%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 59.5% · +5.4% (158 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
matures : Apr 22, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 16, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$207
Price at call : $200.32 — upside +3%
Today : $240.63 — upside -14%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 27
matures : Apr 16, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$205
Price at call : $194.11 — gap to target +6%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 14, 27
matures : Apr 14, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$192
Price at call : $167.56 — gap to target +15%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 18, 27
matures : Mar 18, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Mar 18, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$196
Price at call : $168.75 — upside +16%
Today : $240.63 — upside -19%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 18, 27
matures : Mar 18, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Mar 2, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$210
Price at call : $197.45 — upside +6%
Today : $240.63 — upside -13%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 2, 27
matures : Mar 2, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jan 9, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$194
Price at call : $169.27 — gap to target +15%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target -19%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52% · +4.8% (152 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 9, 27
matures : Jan 9, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Dec 15, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$190
Price at call : $169.13 — upside +12%
Today : $240.63 — upside -21%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 15, 26
matures : Dec 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$190
Price at call : $173.01 — upside +10%
Today : $240.63 — upside -21%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 58.7% · +9.2% (155 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 10, 26
matures : Dec 10, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$190
Price at call : $166.14 — gap to target +14%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 26
matures : Dec 5, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Nov 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$172
Price at call : $155.07 — upside +11%
Today : $240.63 — upside -29%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 14, 26
matures : Nov 14, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $151.62 — gap to target +9%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target -31%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 50.3% · +10.2% (185 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 4, 26
matures : Nov 4, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$180
Price at call : $158.18 — upside +14%
Today : $240.63 — upside -25%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 51.8% · +2.9% (330 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 26
matures : Oct 29, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$165
Price at call : $158.02 — upside +4%
Today : $240.63 — upside -31%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 59.5% · +5.4% (158 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 27, 26
matures : Oct 27, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 24, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$173
Price at call : $152.95 — upside +13%
Today : $240.63 — upside -28%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52% · +4.8% (152 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
matures : Oct 24, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$180
Price at call : $150.72 — upside +19%
Today : $240.63 — upside -25%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 58.7% · +9.2% (155 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
matures : Oct 22, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 22, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$169
Price at call : $150.72 — upside +12%
Today : $240.63 — upside -30%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
matures : Oct 22, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Oct 22, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$167
Price at call : $148.56 — upside +12%
Today : $240.63 — upside -31%
🎯 on STLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 51.7% · +4.5% (143 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
matures : Oct 22, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$160
Price at call : $146.98 — gap to target +9%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target -34%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 13, 26
matures : Oct 13, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Sep 15, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$150
Price at call : $131.58 — upside +14%
Today : $240.63 — upside -38%
Expected +14% · Actual +82% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
+81.8%
stock +82% · XLB +12%
matured Sep 15, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$143
Price at call : $127.48 — upside +12%
Today : $240.63 — upside -41%
Expected +12% · Actual +101% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 37.3% · -5.4% (212 calls)
+100.6%
stock +101% · XLB +17%
matured Aug 14, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$150
Price at call : $128.86 — gap to target +16%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target -38%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 26
matures : Jul 14, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jun 20, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$145
Price at call : $127.43 — upside +14%
Today : $240.63 — upside -40%
Expected +14% · Actual +97% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52% · +4.8% (152 calls)
+97.0%
stock +97% · XLB +19%
matured Jun 20, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Apr 24, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $127.34 — upside +10%
Today : $240.63 — upside -42%
Expected +10% · Actual +77% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on STLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52% · +4.8% (152 calls)
+76.7%
stock +77% · XLB +25%
matured Apr 24, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$138
Price at call : $127.34 — gap to target +8%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target -43%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 26
matures : Apr 24, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $117.21 — gap to target +15%
Today : $240.63 — gap to target -44%
🎯 on STLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50.5% · +0.8% (222 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 26
matures : Apr 16, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Mar 31, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$145
Price at call : $125.08 — upside +16%
Today : $240.63 — upside -40%
Expected +16% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on STLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 51.7% · +4.5% (143 calls)
+43.9%
stock +44% · XLB +16%
matured Mar 31, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$149
Price at call : $126.66 — upside +18%
Today : $240.63 — upside -38%
Expected +18% · Actual +34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on STLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 50.3% · +10.2% (185 calls)
+34.0%
stock +34% · XLB +12%
matured Mar 24, 26
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Steel Dynamics stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Steel Dynamics, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $260 (+8% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on Steel Dynamics). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Steel Dynamics? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Steel Dynamics is $276 (+15% above today's price); the average is $260. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Steel Dynamics on our site before trusting it.
Is Steel Dynamics still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 19 analysts have a real record on Steel Dynamics, the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
Should you invest in Steel Dynamics? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in STLD (and why hesitate).
What has Steel Dynamics's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: STLD performance & returns.
Does Steel Dynamics pay a dividend?
Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: STLD's dividend.
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