Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Marathon Petroleum · Energy · ref. ETF XLE · 95 calls · price $363.54
What the company does: Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States.
📈 Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock price
$363.54+102.8% over range
Aug 28, 25low $162.63 · high $366.21Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
75% recommend buying · 12 analysts
📊 JPI status : Marathon Petroleum is no longer in our current JPI rankings, but appeared in the past (2016, 2015) — its upside may be behind it. See the stocks picked in 2016 →
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Buy” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.
🎯 MPC price target & analyst consensus — price $364
The price target · all analysts combined (12 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 12$376+3.4%
Median target · of 12 targets$325.5-10.5%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 12$210-42.2%
Current price$363.54
Where these 12 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
217%
$375 ↔ $376
Below
1083%
$210 ↔ $359
⏳ Targets haven't kept up with the price. 75% of ratings say “Buy”, yet 10 of 12 targets sit below the current price: the stock has risen past what analysts were aiming for, and some haven't raised their target yet. Read it as a dated view, not as a forecast of a drop.
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Goldman Sachs — 68% of its targets hit on this sector (128 calls tested). It aims for $376 (+3.4 %), call made on July 23, 2026, maturing on July 23, 2027 (36 d ago).
The 8 reliable analysts
$333-8.6 %
The 4 other firms
$299-18 %
How to read it: the 8 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 7 below, hence their $333 median. “The 4 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 12 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy975%
Hold325%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 MPC price target all
All 15 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 15 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on MPC most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in MPC? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Marathon Petroleum? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
💰 Marathon Petroleum dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page
1.48%annual yield
That's ~$3.91 per share per year.
📈 Marathon Petroleum fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 12.6Net margin 5.5 %Revenue growth +53.7 %Cheap for the growth
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 8 %
2023
Rev −16%Profit −33%
2024
Rev −7%Profit −64%
2025
Rev −4%Profit +17%
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on MPC
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Sandler ↗ | 100% | +46.8% | 3 |
| Cowen & Co. | 100% | +45.9% | 4 |
| Imperial Capital | 100% | +26.4% | 5 |
| BMO Capital ↗ | 100% | +10.2% | 2 |
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 83% | +19.2% | 6 |
| Jefferies ↗ | 83% | +18.0% | 6 |
| Credit Suisse | 82% | +27.1% | 11 |
| Raymond James ↗ | 79% | +29.1% | 29 |
| Scotiabank ↗ | 78% | +22.4% | 9 |
| Barclays ↗ | 77% | +24.1% | 35 |
See the other 12 firms
| Citigroup ↗ | 35% | +2.5% | 17 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 40% | -2.8% | 10 |
| Macquarie ↗ | 50% | -7.7% | 2 |
| TD Cowen ↗ | 50% | +9.1% | 2 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 54% | +6.9% | 13 |
| Oppenheimer ↗ | 67% | +19.7% | 3 |
| RBC Capital ↗ | 75% | +20.1% | 8 |
| UBS ↗ | 75% | +24.9% | 4 |
| Mizuho ↗ | 75% | +26.4% | 4 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 75% | +28.9% | 4 |
| Wells Fargo ↗ | 75% | +29.4% | 28 |
| Morgan Stanley ↗ | 75% | +34.2% | 28 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Marathon Petroleum would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Marathon Petroleum 10 years ago would be worth $4,932 today, i.e. +17%/yr on average. Best year: 2022 (+82%), worst: 2020 (-31%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Marathon Petroleum
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,833 | +83% |
| 3 years ago | $2,197 | +120% |
| 5 years ago | $6,182 | +518% |
Return by year (Marathon Petroleum)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | +57% | $1,572 (+57%) |
| 2025 | +17% | $1,833 (+83%) |
| 2024 | -6% | $1,723 (+72%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Marathon Petroleum
Loading news…
📋 All analyst calls on MPC
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$304
Price at call : $336.42 — gap to target -10%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 45.7% · +1.0% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 27
matures : Aug 11, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$344
Price at call : $298.2 — upside +15%
Today : $363.54 — upside -5%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 27
matures : Aug 6, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$321
Price at call : $298.2 — upside +8%
Today : $363.54 — upside -12%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 27
matures : Aug 6, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$375
Price at call : $299.25 — upside +25%
Today : $363.54 — upside +3%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 27
matures : Aug 5, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$318
Price at call : $299.25 — gap to target +6%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 27
matures : Aug 5, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 5, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$359
Price at call : $299.25 — upside +20%
Today : $363.54 — upside -1%
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 27
matures : Aug 5, 27
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Aug 5, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$330
Price at call : $299.25 — gap to target +10%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 63.3% · +7.0% (30 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 27
matures : Aug 5, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jul 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$376
Price at call : $312.27 — upside +20%
Today : $363.54 — upside +3%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
matures : Jul 22, 27
See the other 87 calls, newest to oldest
▲ Buy · 🎯$357
Price at call : $315.82 — upside +13%
Today : $363.54 — upside -2%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 27
matures : Jul 21, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$303
Price at call : $299.18 — gap to target +1%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 27
matures : Jul 14, 27
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Jul 13, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$300
Price at call : $303.4 — gap to target -1%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 63.3% · +7.0% (30 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 13, 27
matures : Jul 13, 27
Raymond James ↗
Jul 13, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$335
Price at call : $303.4 — upside +10%
Today : $363.54 — upside -8%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 13, 27
matures : Jul 13, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$289
Price at call : $296.88 — upside -3%
Today : $363.54 — upside -21%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 13, 27
matures : Jul 13, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$315
Price at call : $255.67 — upside +23%
Today : $363.54 — upside -13%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 29, 27
matures : Jun 29, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jun 12, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$265
Price at call : $250.86 — upside +6%
Today : $363.54 — upside -27%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.1% · +2.5% (388 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 12, 27
matures : Jun 12, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$284
Price at call : $247.05 — gap to target +15%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 45.7% · +1.0% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 27, 27
matures : May 27, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
May 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$291
Price at call : $244.87 — upside +19%
Today : $363.54 — upside -20%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
matures : May 7, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$257
Price at call : $242.26 — gap to target +6%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
matures : May 6, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$320
Price at call : $242.26 — upside +32%
Today : $363.54 — upside -12%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
matures : May 6, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$270
Price at call : $242.26 — upside +11%
Today : $363.54 — upside -26%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
matures : May 6, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
May 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$335
Price at call : $245.78 — upside +36%
Today : $363.54 — upside -8%
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
matures : May 6, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Apr 24, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$233
Price at call : $227.21 — upside +3%
Today : $363.54 — upside -36%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.1% · +2.5% (388 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 27
matures : Apr 24, 27
Scotiabank ↗
Apr 22, 26
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$210
Price at call : $221.1 — upside -5%
Today : $363.54 — upside -42%
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
matures : Apr 22, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$243
Price at call : $225.29 — gap to target +8%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -33%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 27
matures : Apr 10, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$230
Price at call : $225.29 — upside +2%
Today : $363.54 — upside -37%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 27
matures : Apr 10, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Apr 9, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$228
Price at call : $222.62 — gap to target +2%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -37%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
matures : Apr 9, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$280
Price at call : $241.4 — upside +16%
Today : $363.54 — upside -23%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 56.8% · +12.7% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 2, 27
matures : Apr 2, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Mar 31, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$331
Price at call : $244.18 — upside +36%
Today : $363.54 — upside -9%
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 31, 27
matures : Mar 31, 27
Raymond James ↗
Mar 25, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$270
Price at call : $248.31 — upside +9%
Today : $363.54 — upside -26%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 25, 27
matures : Mar 25, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$224
Price at call : $236.24 — gap to target -5%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -38%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 45.7% · +1.0% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
matures : Mar 17, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
Mar 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$239
Price at call : $226.18 — upside +6%
Today : $363.54 — upside -34%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
matures : Mar 12, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$210
Price at call : $204.15 — gap to target +3%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -42%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 9, 27
matures : Feb 9, 27
BMO Capital ↗
Feb 9, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$225
Price at call : $204.15 — upside +10%
Today : $363.54 — upside -38%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 66.7% · +8.1% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 9, 27
matures : Feb 9, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 4, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$217
Price at call : $195.83 — upside +11%
Today : $363.54 — upside -40%
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 4, 27
matures : Feb 4, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$182
Price at call : $177.59 — gap to target +2%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -50%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 27
matures : Jan 14, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$194
Price at call : $181.09 — upside +7%
Today : $363.54 — upside -47%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
matures : Jan 13, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$205
Price at call : $175.85 — gap to target +17%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -44%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 45.7% · +1.0% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
matures : Jan 13, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Jan 8, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$184
Price at call : $176.17 — gap to target +4%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -49%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
matures : Jan 8, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$202
Price at call : $199.61 — upside +1%
Today : $363.54 — upside -44%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 17, 26
matures : Nov 17, 26
Piper Sandler ↗
Nov 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$231
Price at call : $195.97 — gap to target +18%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -36%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 14, 26
matures : Nov 14, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Nov 5, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$213
Price at call : $186.18 — upside +14%
Today : $363.54 — upside -41%
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 5, 26
matures : Nov 5, 26
Raymond James ↗
Oct 17, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$203
Price at call : $186.27 — upside +9%
Today : $363.54 — upside -44%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
matures : Oct 17, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 17, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$214
Price at call : $184.47 — upside +16%
Today : $363.54 — upside -41%
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
matures : Oct 17, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$194
Price at call : $183.12 — upside +6%
Today : $363.54 — upside -47%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 13, 26
matures : Oct 13, 26
Scotiabank ↗
Oct 9, 25
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$189
Price at call : $180.89 — upside +4%
Today : $363.54 — upside -48%
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
matures : Oct 9, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 3, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$200
Price at call : $193.52 — upside +3%
Today : $363.54 — upside -45%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.1% · +2.5% (388 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 3, 26
matures : Oct 3, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$220
Price at call : $198.69 — upside +11%
Today : $363.54 — upside -39%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 56.8% · +12.7% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 26, 26
matures : Sep 26, 26
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Sep 19, 25
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$210
Price at call : $187.25 — gap to target +12%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -42%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 63.3% · +7.0% (30 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 19, 26
matures : Sep 19, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$188
Price at call : $182.99 — gap to target +3%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -48%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 45.7% · +1.0% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 15, 26
matures : Sep 15, 26
Piper Sandler ↗
Sep 11, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$222
Price at call : $180.28 — gap to target +23%
Today : $363.54 — gap to target -39%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 11, 26
matures : Sep 11, 26
Raymond James ↗
Jul 15, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$200
Price at call : $172.37 — upside +16%
Today : $363.54 — upside -45%
Expected +16% · Actual +77% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+77.4%
stock +77% · XLE +32%
matured Jul 15, 26
Scotiabank ↗
Jul 11, 25
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$180
Price at call : $175.63 — upside +2%
Today : $363.54 — upside -50%
Expected +2% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+69.0%
stock +69% · XLE +29%
matured Jul 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$189
Price at call : $175.63 — upside +8%
Today : $363.54 — upside -48%
Expected +8% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+69.0%
stock +69% · XLE +29%
matured Jul 11, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$205
Price at call : $182.26 — upside +12%
Today : $363.54 — upside -44%
Expected +12% · Actual +56% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+55.7%
stock +56% · XLE +24%
matured Jul 10, 26
Raymond James ↗
Jun 30, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$188
Price at call : $169.95 — upside +11%
Today : $363.54 — upside -48%
Expected +11% · Actual +56% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+55.9%
stock +56% · XLE +24%
matured Jun 30, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 11, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$182
Price at call : $164.66 — upside +11%
Today : $363.54 — upside -50%
Expected +11% · Actual +58% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+58.4%
stock +58% · XLE +32%
matured Jun 11, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
May 13, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$180
Price at call : $163.52 — upside +10%
Today : $363.54 — upside -50%
Expected +10% · Actual +52% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+52.2%
stock +52% · XLE +36%
matured May 13, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$159
Price at call : $162.84 — upside -2%
Today : $363.54 — upside -56%
Expected -2% · Actual +53% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+53.0%
stock +53% · XLE +34%
matured May 12, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$141
Price at call : $122.23 — upside +15%
Today : $363.54 — upside -61%
Expected +15% · Actual +82% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+82.5%
stock +82% · XLE +41%
matured Apr 14, 26
Scotiabank ↗
Apr 11, 25
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$147
Price at call : $124.85 — upside +18%
Today : $363.54 — upside -60%
Expected +18% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+80.5%
stock +80% · XLE +44%
matured Apr 11, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 11, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$175
Price at call : $124.85 — upside +40%
Today : $363.54 — upside -52%
Expected +40% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+80.5%
stock +80% · XLE +44%
matured Apr 11, 26
Raymond James ↗
Apr 9, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$183
Price at call : $121.53 — upside +51%
Today : $363.54 — upside -50%
Expected +51% · Actual +83% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+83.2%
stock +83% · XLE +48%
matured Apr 9, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Mar 21, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$185
Price at call : $149.96 — upside +23%
Today : $363.54 — upside -49%
Expected +23% · Actual +55% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+55.1%
stock +55% · XLE +29%
matured Mar 21, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$161
Price at call : $146.16 — upside +10%
Today : $363.54 — upside -56%
Expected +10% · Actual +57% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+56.6%
stock +57% · XLE +27%
matured Mar 14, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 5, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$183
Price at call : $151.93 — upside +20%
Today : $363.54 — upside -50%
Expected +20% · Actual +34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+33.6%
stock +34% · XLE +20%
matured Feb 5, 26
Raymond James ↗
Jan 17, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$192
Price at call : $150.82 — upside +27%
Today : $363.54 — upside -47%
Expected +27% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+16.0%
stock +16% · XLE +2%
matured Jan 17, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$182
Price at call : $142.27 — upside +28%
Today : $363.54 — upside -50%
Expected +28% · Actual +23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+23.4%
stock +23% · XLE +5%
matured Jan 10, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Dec 9, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$186
Price at call : $151.06 — upside +23%
Today : $363.54 — upside -49%
Expected +23% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+26.6%
stock +27% · XLE +2%
matured Dec 9, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$159
Price at call : $155.21 — upside +2%
Today : $363.54 — upside -56%
Expected +2% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+26.9%
stock +27% · XLE -4%
matured Nov 11, 25
Scotiabank ↗
Oct 10, 24
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$170
Price at call : $164.26 — upside +3%
Today : $363.54 — upside -53%
Expected +3% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+11.7%
stock +12% · XLE -7%
matured Oct 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$168
Price at call : $164.26 — upside +2%
Today : $363.54 — upside -54%
Expected +2% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+11.7%
stock +12% · XLE -7%
matured Oct 10, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 9, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$183
Price at call : $164.85 — upside +11%
Today : $363.54 — upside -50%
Expected +11% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+9.7%
stock +10% · XLE -8%
matured Oct 9, 25
Scotiabank ↗
Jul 12, 24
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$191
Price at call : $166.71 — upside +15%
Today : $363.54 — upside -47%
Expected +15% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+5.3%
stock +5% · XLE -4%
matured Jul 12, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 12, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$196
Price at call : $166.71 — upside +18%
Today : $363.54 — upside -46%
Expected +18% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+5.3%
stock +5% · XLE -4%
matured Jul 12, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$185
Price at call : $174.14 — upside +6%
Today : $363.54 — upside -49%
Expected +6% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+0.2%
stock +0% · XLE -5%
matured Jul 1, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 6, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$223
Price at call : $175.1 — upside +27%
Today : $363.54 — upside -39%
Expected +27% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
-8.5%
stock -8% · XLE -7%
matured Jun 6, 25
Raymond James ↗
May 30, 24
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$230
Price at call : $176.61 — upside +30%
Today : $363.54 — upside -37%
Expected +30% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
-10.1%
stock -10% · XLE -11%
matured May 30, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$195
Price at call : $180.92 — upside +8%
Today : $363.54 — upside -46%
Expected +8% · Actual -20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
-20.0%
stock -20% · XLE -14%
matured May 6, 25
Scotiabank ↗
Apr 11, 24
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$207
Price at call : $208.77 — upside -1%
Today : $363.54 — upside -43%
Expected -1% · Actual -40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
-40.2%
stock -40% · XLE -18%
matured Apr 11, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$221
Price at call : $219.13 — upside +1%
Today : $363.54 — upside -39%
Expected +1% · Actual -44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
-44.5%
stock -44% · XLE -20%
matured Apr 5, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 4, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$227
Price at call : $216.25 — upside +5%
Today : $363.54 — upside -38%
Expected +5% · Actual -44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
-44.0%
stock -44% · XLE -19%
matured Apr 4, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$168
Price at call : $171.12 — upside -2%
Today : $363.54 — upside -54%
Expected -2% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
-8.3%
stock -8% · XLE +8%
matured Feb 4, 25
Raymond James ↗
Jan 31, 24
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$185
Price at call : $165.6 — upside +12%
Today : $363.54 — upside -49%
Expected +12% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
-9.4%
stock -9% · XLE +8%
matured Jan 30, 25
Raymond James ↗
Nov 1, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $155.21 — upside +13%
Today : $363.54 — upside -52%
Expected +13% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
-6.3%
stock -6% · XLE +4%
matured Oct 31, 24
Raymond James ↗
Oct 6, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$171
Price at call : $143.18 — upside +19%
Today : $363.54 — upside -53%
Expected +19% · Actual +21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+21.0%
stock +21% · XLE +9%
matured Oct 5, 24
Raymond James ↗
Sep 20, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$177
Price at call : $152.67 — upside +16%
Today : $363.54 — upside -51%
Expected +16% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+9.0%
stock +9% · XLE -2%
matured Sep 19, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$152
Price at call : $141.78 — upside +7%
Today : $363.54 — upside -58%
Expected +7% · Actual +19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+19.4%
stock +19% · XLE -0%
matured Aug 6, 24
Raymond James ↗
Aug 2, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $135.87 — upside +21%
Today : $363.54 — upside -55%
Expected +21% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+27.5%
stock +27% · XLE +6%
matured Aug 1, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$132
Price at call : $120.01 — upside +10%
Today : $363.54 — upside -64%
Expected +10% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+35.1%
stock +35% · XLE +7%
matured Jul 10, 24
Raymond James ↗
Jun 7, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$150
Price at call : $114.12 — upside +31%
Today : $363.54 — upside -59%
Expected +31% · Actual +54% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+54.0%
stock +54% · XLE +10%
matured Jun 6, 24
Raymond James ↗
Feb 1, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $122.97 — upside +34%
Today : $363.54 — upside -55%
Expected +34% · Actual +36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+36.2%
stock +36% · XLE -5%
matured Feb 1, 24
Scotiabank ↗
Jul 13, 20
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$48
Price at call : $36.2 — upside +33%
Today : $363.54 — upside -87%
Expected +33% · Actual +52% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+52.3%
stock +52% · XLE +39%
matured Jul 13, 21
Scotiabank ↗
Dec 15, 15
▲ Sector Outperform
Actual -2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
-1.5%
stock -2% · XLE +22%
matured Dec 14, 16
Scotiabank ↗
Apr 21, 14
▲ Sector Outperform
Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+10.9%
stock +11% · XLE -13%
matured Apr 21, 15
Scotiabank ↗
Oct 15, 13
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$40
Price at call : $34.47 — upside +16%
Today : $363.54 — upside -89%
Expected +16% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MPC : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+13.8%
stock +14% · XLE -4%
matured Oct 15, 14
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Marathon Petroleum stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Marathon Petroleum, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $326 (-10% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on Marathon Petroleum). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Marathon Petroleum? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Marathon Petroleum is $376 (+3% above today's price); the average is $326. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Marathon Petroleum on our site before trusting it.
Is Marathon Petroleum still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 22 analysts have a real record on Marathon Petroleum, the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
Should you invest in Marathon Petroleum? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in MPC (and why hesitate).
What has Marathon Petroleum's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: MPC performance & returns.
Does Marathon Petroleum pay a dividend?
Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: MPC's dividend.
What is the best month to buy MPC?
The 12 months ranked by the stock's past returns: best & worst month to buy MPC.
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