Should I buy Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock or is it too late?
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Goldman Sachs — 67% of its targets hit on this sector (129 calls tested). It aims for $472 (-1.0 %), call made on September 22, 2026, maturing on September 22, 2027 (22 d ago).
Firm-by-firm track record on Marathon Petroleum
| Firm | % right | Gain vs sector | Calls | Aims for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | 80 % | +39.1 % | 5 | $450 -6% |
| Morgan Stanley | 76 % | +37.3 % | 29 | $453 -5% |
| Scotiabank | 80 % | +35.5 % | 10 | $210 -56% |
| Raymond James | 80 % | +32.0 % | 30 | $445 -7% |
| Wells Fargo | 75 % | +29.4 % | 28 | $400 -16% |
| Barclays | 77 % | +24.1 % | 35 | $488 +2% |
| Goldman Sachs | 83 % | +19.2 % | 6 | $472 -1% |
| Jefferies | 83 % | +18.0 % | 6 | $413 -13% |
✅ Reasons to believe
- 64% of analysts rate it a buy (Buy consensus, 14 ratings) — a sign of market conviction.
- Reasonable valuation (P/E ~17) relative to its sector.
⚠️ Reasons to hesitate
- Even the most reliable firm on MPC, Piper Sandler (100% hit rate, 3 scored calls), only targets $462 (call made on September 3, 2026, maturing on September 3, 2027) (-3%) in its most recent call, and $184 (call made on January 8, 2026, maturing on January 8, 2027) (-61%) in the one coming due soonest. The stock may already have run past its target.
- The consensus is not unanimous: of 14 ratings, 5 are neutral.
- Limited upside: the median target is only -7% from the current price.
- A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
- Volatile stock: sharp swings — including steep drops — are part of its profile.
The analyst consensus on MPC
Median target $445 (-7%) · 14 ratings · Buy consensus
⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.
Frequently asked questions
Should you invest in Marathon Petroleum now?
We won't decide for you. The facts: 64% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $445 (-7%), and Piper Sandler (most reliable on MPC, 100%) targets $462. Weigh that against valuation (P/E ~17) and volatility. This is not personalized advice.
Is it too late to invest in Marathon Petroleum?
The stated upside is small: the median target ($445) sits just -7% from the price ($477) (most reliable on MPC: Piper Sandler, 100%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.
Is Marathon Petroleum still worth investing in?
It depends on the gap between the price ($477) and its estimated value: analysts target $445 on median (-7%), with 64% buys (most reliable on MPC: Piper Sandler, 100%). Cross-check with their real reliability on MPC and the cautions above. Information, not advice.
What's the main risk in buying MPC?
Even the most reliable firm on MPC, Piper Sandler (100% hit rate, 3 scored calls), only targets $462 (call made on September 3, 2026, maturing on September 3, 2027) (-3%) in its most recent call, and $184 (call made on January 8, 2026, maturing on January 8, 2027) (-61%) in the one coming due soonest. The stock may already have run past its target.
→ Go deeper: the full Marathon Petroleum profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).