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Valero Energy (VLO) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Valero Energy · Energy · ref. ETF XLE · 140 calls · price $346.59
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What the company does: Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally.

📈 Valero Energy (VLO) stock price

$346.59+129.3% over range
Aug 28, 25low $151.16 · high $350.05Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
57% recommend buying · 14 analysts
📊 JPI status : Valero Energy is no longer in our current JPI rankings, but appeared in the past (2015) — its upside may be behind it. See the stocks picked in 2015 →
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Buy” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.

🎯 VLO price target & analyst consensusprice $347

The price target · all analysts combined (14 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 14$357+3.0%
Median target · of 14 targets$301-13.2%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 14$203-41.4%
Current price$346.59
Where these 14 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 429% $350 ↔ $357
Below 1071% $203 ↔ $340
Targets haven't kept up with the price. 57% of ratings say “Buy”, yet 10 of 14 targets sit below the current price: the stock has risen past what analysts were aiming for, and some haven't raised their target yet. Read it as a dated view, not as a forecast of a drop.
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Goldman Sachs68% of its targets hit on this sector (128 calls tested). It aims for $357 (+3.0 %), call made on July 23, 2026, maturing on July 23, 2027 (36 d ago).

The 8 reliable analysts $332-4.3 %
The 6 other firms $267-23 %
How to read it: the 8 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 3 aim above the price, 5 below, hence their $332 median. “The 6 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 14 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy17%
Buy750%
Hold536%
Sell17%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Valero Energy? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

💰 Valero Energy dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page

1.73%annual yield
That's ~$4.66 per share per year.

📈 Valero Energy fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page

P/E 14.5Net margin 5.4 %Revenue growth +51.7 %Cheap for the growth

Revenue, net income and margin per year

Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 7 %
2023
Rev −18%Profit −23%
2024
Rev −10%Profit −69%
2025
Rev −6%Profit −15%

🔎 Detailed analyses

🏛️ Which US Congress members hold Valero Energy (VLO)?

4 Congress members have disclosed VLO buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
Susie Lee · 43%John Curtis · 62%Michael Guest · 42%Michael Burgess · 40%
→ Full members ranking (who beats the market)

✅ Historical analyst reliability on VLO

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm % right i Gain vs sector i Calls i
Cowen & Co. 100% +46.4% 3
Jefferies  100% +42.1% 6
Tudor Pickering 100% +36.5% 4
Dahlman Rose 100% +22.4% 2
RBC Capital  92% +35.8% 24
UBS  88% +54.4% 8
Mizuho  86% +27.0% 14
Raymond James  84% +34.1% 37
Scotiabank  83% +23.5% 6
Credit Suisse 82% +16.9% 11
See the other 16 firms
Edward Jones 0% -17.8% 2
TD Cowen  33% -11.2% 3
Goldman Sachs  50% +0.7% 16
BMO Capital  50% +2.6% 2
Oppenheimer  50% +16.2% 4
Standpoint Research 50% +22.9% 2
Deutsche Bank  62% +11.0% 8
Morgan Stanley  65% +17.5% 20
Macquarie  67% -3.6% 3
Piper Sandler  74% +32.5% 31
B of A Securities  75% +16.7% 8
Citigroup  75% +22.3% 20
Argus Research  75% +44.1% 4
JP Morgan  78% +20.5% 32
Barclays  79% +22.4% 42
Wells Fargo  81% +27.8% 26

📊 What $1,000 invested in Valero Energy would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Valero Energy 10 years ago would be worth $3,683 today, i.e. +14%/yr on average. Best year: 2022 (+69%), worst: 2020 (-40%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Valero Energy

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$2,124+112%
3 years ago$2,053+105%
5 years ago$4,604+360%
→ See Valero Energy's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Valero Energy)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+60%$1,600 (+60%)
2025+33%$2,124 (+112%)
2024-6%$2,003 (+100%)
→ See Valero Energy's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Valero Energy

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📋 All analyst calls on VLO

Mizuho 
Aug 4, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$300
Price at call : $302.39 — gap to target -1%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 45.7% · +1.0% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 4, 27
TD Cowen 
Aug 3, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$350
Price at call : $308.73 — gap to target +13%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 3, 27
UBS 
Jul 31, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$355
Price at call : $307.54 — upside +15%
Today : $346.59 — upside +2%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 56.8% · +12.7% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 27
Wells Fargo 
Jul 31, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$356
Price at call : $307.54 — upside +16%
Today : $346.59 — upside +3%
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 27
Barclays 
Jul 31, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$323
Price at call : $312.9 — upside +3%
Today : $346.59 — upside -7%
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 27
Goldman Sachs 
Jul 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$357
Price at call : $305.26 — upside +17%
Today : $346.59 — upside +3%
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
TD Cowen 
Jul 21, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$338
Price at call : $310.92 — gap to target +9%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 27
Citigroup 
Jul 14, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$302
Price at call : $292.66 — gap to target +3%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 27
See the other 132 calls, newest to oldest
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$300
Price at call : $301.43 — gap to target -0%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 63.3% · +7.0% (30 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 13, 27
Raymond James 
Jul 13, 26
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$340
Price at call : $301.43 — upside +13%
Today : $346.59 — upside -2%
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 13, 27
Barclays 
Jul 1, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$279
Price at call : $269.44 — upside +4%
Today : $346.59 — upside -20%
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 1, 27
TD Cowen 
Jun 29, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$292
Price at call : $260.44 — gap to target +12%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 29, 27
Morgan Stanley 
Jun 12, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$255
Price at call : $247.16 — gap to target +3%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -26%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.1% · +2.5% (388 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 12, 27
Mizuho 
May 27, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$289
Price at call : $244.85 — gap to target +18%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 45.7% · +1.0% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 27, 27
Citigroup 
May 1, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$259
Price at call : $251.63 — gap to target +3%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -25%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
TD Cowen 
Apr 27, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$255
Price at call : $240.27 — gap to target +6%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -26%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 27, 27
Morgan Stanley 
Apr 24, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$222
Price at call : $238.25 — gap to target -7%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -36%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.1% · +2.5% (388 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 27
Scotiabank 
Apr 22, 26
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$226
Price at call : $233.83 — upside -3%
Today : $346.59 — upside -35%
🎯 on VLO : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
Wolfe Research 
Apr 21, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$203
Price at call : $234.36 — upside -13%
Today : $346.59 — upside -41%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 53.6% · +2.2% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 27
Citigroup 
Apr 15, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$246
Price at call : $241.74 — gap to target +2%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 27
Barclays 
Apr 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$261
Price at call : $235.1 — upside +11%
Today : $346.59 — upside -25%
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 8, 27
Piper Sandler 
Apr 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$263
Price at call : $235.1 — upside +12%
Today : $346.59 — upside -24%
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 8, 27
BMO Capital 
Apr 6, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$270
Price at call : $251.49 — upside +7%
Today : $346.59 — upside -22%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 66.7% · +8.1% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 6, 27
UBS 
Apr 2, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$280
Price at call : $245.58 — upside +14%
Today : $346.59 — upside -19%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 56.8% · +12.7% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 2, 27
Wells Fargo 
Mar 31, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$292
Price at call : $247.08 — upside +18%
Today : $346.59 — upside -16%
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 31, 27
Raymond James 
Mar 25, 26
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$290
Price at call : $248.14 — upside +17%
Today : $346.59 — upside -16%
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 25, 27
Goldman Sachs 
Mar 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$237
Price at call : $230.59 — upside +3%
Today : $346.59 — upside -32%
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
Citigroup 
Feb 9, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$212
Price at call : $199.5 — gap to target +6%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -39%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 9, 27
Piper Sandler 
Jan 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$220
Price at call : $181.43 — upside +21%
Today : $346.59 — upside -37%
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 30, 27
Morgan Stanley 
Jan 30, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$182
Price at call : $181.43 — gap to target +0%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -47%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.1% · +2.5% (388 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 30, 27
Morgan Stanley 
Jan 27, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$180
Price at call : $184.02 — gap to target -2%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -48%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.1% · +2.5% (388 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 27, 27
JP Morgan 
Jan 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$200
Price at call : $185.28 — upside +8%
Today : $346.59 — upside -42%
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
Piper Sandler 
Jan 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$217
Price at call : $185.28 — upside +17%
Today : $346.59 — upside -37%
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
Mizuho 
Dec 12, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$192
Price at call : $168.3 — gap to target +14%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -45%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 45.7% · +1.0% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 12, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$195
Price at call : $171.91 — gap to target +13%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -44%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 53.3% · +6.7% (122 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 11, 26
Barclays 
Nov 17, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$184
Price at call : $185.43 — upside -1%
Today : $346.59 — upside -47%
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 17, 26
Piper Sandler 
Nov 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$223
Price at call : $178.4 — upside +25%
Today : $346.59 — upside -36%
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 14, 26
Wells Fargo 
Nov 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$220
Price at call : $179.18 — upside +23%
Today : $346.59 — upside -37%
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 10, 26
TD Cowen 
Oct 24, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $174.35 — gap to target -5%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -52%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
Raymond James 
Oct 24, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$195
Price at call : $174.35 — upside +12%
Today : $346.59 — upside -44%
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
Piper Sandler 
Oct 24, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$201
Price at call : $174.35 — upside +15%
Today : $346.59 — upside -42%
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
JP Morgan 
Oct 24, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$197
Price at call : $171.05 — upside +15%
Today : $346.59 — upside -43%
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
Raymond James 
Oct 17, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$181
Price at call : $160.17 — upside +13%
Today : $346.59 — upside -48%
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
Wells Fargo 
Oct 17, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$216
Price at call : $157.77 — upside +37%
Today : $346.59 — upside -38%
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
Jefferies 
Oct 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$194
Price at call : $158.02 — upside +23%
Today : $346.59 — upside -44%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 58.1% · +9.3% (124 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 10, 26
JP Morgan 
Oct 9, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$177
Price at call : $162.01 — upside +9%
Today : $346.59 — upside -49%
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
Barclays 
Oct 7, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$169
Price at call : $162.44 — upside +4%
Today : $346.59 — upside -51%
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 7, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $160.4 — gap to target +9%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -50%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.1% · +2.5% (388 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 3, 26
UBS 
Sep 22, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$183
Price at call : $170.39 — upside +7%
Today : $346.59 — upside -47%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 56.8% · +12.7% (199 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 22, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$185
Price at call : $166.44 — gap to target +11%
Today : $346.59 — gap to target -47%
🎯 on VLO : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 63.3% · +7.0% (30 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 19, 26
Piper Sandler 
Jul 28, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$168
Price at call : $144.73 — upside +16%
Today : $346.59 — upside -52%
Expected +16% · Actual +108% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
+108.2%
stock +108% · XLE +32%
matured Jul 28, 26
Piper Sandler 
Jul 22, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$159
Price at call : $145.11 — upside +10%
Today : $346.59 — upside -54%
Expected +10% · Actual +114% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
+114.3%
stock +114% · XLE +39%
matured Jul 22, 26
Raymond James 
Jul 15, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$172
Price at call : $143.19 — upside +20%
Today : $346.59 — upside -50%
Expected +20% · Actual +110% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+109.7%
stock +110% · XLE +32%
matured Jul 15, 26
Piper Sandler 
Jul 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$160
Price at call : $153.05 — upside +5%
Today : $346.59 — upside -54%
Expected +5% · Actual +93% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
+93.3%
stock +93% · XLE +27%
matured Jul 10, 26
Wells Fargo 
Jul 9, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$168
Price at call : $149.07 — upside +13%
Today : $346.59 — upside -52%
Expected +13% · Actual +89% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+88.7%
stock +89% · XLE +25%
matured Jul 9, 26
Raymond James 
Jun 30, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $138.01 — upside +12%
Today : $346.59 — upside -55%
Expected +12% · Actual +95% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+95.2%
stock +95% · XLE +24%
matured Jun 30, 26
Goldman Sachs 
May 13, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$154
Price at call : $134.32 — upside +15%
Today : $346.59 — upside -56%
Expected +15% · Actual +82% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
+82.2%
stock +82% · XLE +36%
matured May 13, 26
Barclays 
May 12, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$141
Price at call : $135.11 — upside +4%
Today : $346.59 — upside -59%
Expected +4% · Actual +81% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+80.7%
stock +81% · XLE +34%
matured May 12, 26
Piper Sandler 
May 9, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $130.49 — upside +7%
Today : $346.59 — upside -60%
Expected +7% · Actual +90% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
+90.1%
stock +90% · XLE +35%
matured May 9, 26
JP Morgan 
Apr 28, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$147
Price at call : $115.52 — upside +27%
Today : $346.59 — upside -58%
Expected +27% · Actual +118% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
+117.5%
stock +118% · XLE +43%
matured Apr 28, 26
Scotiabank 
Apr 11, 25
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$136
Price at call : $110.33 — upside +23%
Today : $346.59 — upside -61%
Expected +23% · Actual +119% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+119.4%
stock +119% · XLE +44%
matured Apr 11, 26
Raymond James 
Apr 9, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $109.01 — upside +42%
Today : $346.59 — upside -55%
Expected +42% · Actual +119% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+119.1%
stock +119% · XLE +48%
matured Apr 9, 26
Piper Sandler 
Mar 7, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$144
Price at call : $126.8 — upside +14%
Today : $346.59 — upside -58%
Expected +14% · Actual +70% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
+70.3%
stock +70% · XLE +28%
matured Mar 7, 26
Wells Fargo 
Jan 31, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$159
Price at call : $136.18 — upside +17%
Today : $346.59 — upside -54%
Expected +17% · Actual +32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+32.3%
stock +32% · XLE +14%
matured Jan 31, 26
Wells Fargo 
Dec 9, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$160
Price at call : $132.32 — upside +21%
Today : $346.59 — upside -54%
Expected +21% · Actual +33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+33.0%
stock +33% · XLE +2%
matured Dec 9, 25
Barclays 
Nov 11, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $137.02 — upside +2%
Today : $346.59 — upside -60%
Expected +2% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+29.6%
stock +30% · XLE -4%
matured Nov 11, 25
Scotiabank 
Oct 10, 24
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$141
Price at call : $142.34 — upside -1%
Today : $346.59 — upside -59%
Expected -1% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+13.4%
stock +13% · XLE -7%
matured Oct 10, 25
Wells Fargo 
Oct 9, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$165
Price at call : $142.71 — upside +16%
Today : $346.59 — upside -52%
Expected +16% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+10.7%
stock +11% · XLE -8%
matured Oct 9, 25
Barclays 
Oct 2, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$146
Price at call : $144.03 — upside +1%
Today : $346.59 — upside -58%
Expected +1% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+11.4%
stock +11% · XLE -4%
matured Oct 2, 25
JP Morgan 
Oct 2, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$151
Price at call : $144.03 — upside +5%
Today : $346.59 — upside -56%
Expected +5% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
+11.4%
stock +11% · XLE -4%
matured Oct 2, 25
Goldman Sachs 
Sep 16, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$131
Price at call : $135.8 — upside -4%
Today : $346.59 — upside -62%
Expected -4% · Actual +21% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
-20.5%
stock +21% · XLE +3%
matured Sep 16, 25
Scotiabank 
Jul 12, 24
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$173
Price at call : $148.75 — upside +16%
Today : $346.59 — upside -50%
Expected +16% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+0.1%
stock +0% · XLE -4%
matured Jul 12, 25
Barclays 
Jul 9, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$165
Price at call : $144.9 — upside +14%
Today : $346.59 — upside -52%
Expected +14% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+6.8%
stock +7% · XLE -1%
matured Jul 9, 25
JP Morgan 
Jul 2, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$172
Price at call : $158.5 — upside +9%
Today : $346.59 — upside -50%
Expected +9% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
-8.8%
stock -9% · XLE -5%
matured Jul 2, 25
Barclays 
Jul 1, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$171
Price at call : $157.96 — upside +8%
Today : $346.59 — upside -51%
Expected +8% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
-10.1%
stock -10% · XLE -5%
matured Jul 1, 25
Piper Sandler 
Jun 14, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$169
Price at call : $150.07 — upside +13%
Today : $346.59 — upside -51%
Expected +13% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
-8.2%
stock -8% · XLE -0%
matured Jun 14, 25
Piper Sandler 
May 14, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$187
Price at call : $157.71 — upside +19%
Today : $346.59 — upside -46%
Expected +19% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
-14.2%
stock -14% · XLE -9%
matured May 14, 25
Barclays 
Apr 30, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$173
Price at call : $159.87 — upside +8%
Today : $346.59 — upside -50%
Expected +8% · Actual -27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
-27.4%
stock -27% · XLE -14%
matured Apr 30, 25
Scotiabank 
Apr 11, 24
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$165
Price at call : $173.54 — upside -5%
Today : $346.59 — upside -52%
Expected -5% · Actual -36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
-36.4%
stock -36% · XLE -18%
matured Apr 11, 25
Piper Sandler 
Apr 3, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$198
Price at call : $180.61 — upside +10%
Today : $346.59 — upside -43%
Expected +10% · Actual -42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
-42.0%
stock -42% · XLE -19%
matured Apr 3, 25
Barclays 
Apr 3, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$179
Price at call : $180.61 — upside -1%
Today : $346.59 — upside -48%
Expected -1% · Actual -42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
-42.0%
stock -42% · XLE -19%
matured Apr 3, 25
JP Morgan 
Apr 1, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$178
Price at call : $177.22 — upside +0%
Today : $346.59 — upside -49%
Expected +0% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
-24.6%
stock -25% · XLE -2%
matured Apr 1, 25
Goldman Sachs 
Mar 22, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$171
Price at call : $168.49 — upside +1%
Today : $346.59 — upside -51%
Expected +1% · Actual -22% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
+21.7%
stock -22% · XLE -0%
matured Mar 22, 25
Piper Sandler 
Mar 8, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$161
Price at call : $150.54 — upside +7%
Today : $346.59 — upside -54%
Expected +7% · Actual -16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
-15.8%
stock -16% · XLE -1%
matured Mar 8, 25
Barclays 
Jan 29, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$149
Price at call : $141.89 — upside +5%
Today : $346.59 — upside -57%
Expected +5% · Actual -2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
-1.7%
stock -2% · XLE +6%
matured Jan 28, 25
Raymond James 
Jan 26, 24
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $137.91 — upside +12%
Today : $346.59 — upside -55%
Expected +12% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+2.5%
stock +2% · XLE +7%
matured Jan 25, 25
Raymond James 
Oct 27, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$154
Price at call : $124.24 — upside +24%
Today : $346.59 — upside -56%
Expected +24% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+6.5%
stock +6% · XLE +5%
matured Oct 26, 24
Raymond James 
Oct 6, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$156
Price at call : $126.53 — upside +23%
Today : $346.59 — upside -55%
Expected +23% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+13.8%
stock +14% · XLE +9%
matured Oct 5, 24
Piper Sandler 
Oct 3, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$171
Price at call : $128.67 — upside +33%
Today : $346.59 — upside -51%
Expected +33% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
+11.9%
stock +12% · XLE +8%
matured Oct 2, 24
Raymond James 
Sep 20, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$164
Price at call : $142.97 — upside +15%
Today : $346.59 — upside -53%
Expected +15% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
-3.0%
stock -3% · XLE -2%
matured Sep 19, 24
Goldman Sachs 
Sep 1, 23
▼ Sell · 🎯$128
Price at call : $133.58 — upside -4%
Today : $346.59 — upside -63%
Expected -4% · Actual +6% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
-5.8%
stock +6% · XLE -2%
matured Aug 31, 24
Barclays 
Aug 7, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$142
Price at call : $131.34 — upside +8%
Today : $346.59 — upside -59%
Expected +8% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+12.9%
stock +13% · XLE -0%
matured Aug 6, 24
RBC Capital 
Jul 28, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$151
Price at call : $128.91 — upside +17%
Today : $346.59 — upside -56%
Expected +17% · Actual +22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
+22.1%
stock +22% · XLE +4%
matured Jul 27, 24
RBC Capital 
Jul 17, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$151
Price at call : $115.42 — upside +31%
Today : $346.59 — upside -56%
Expected +31% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
+30.0%
stock +30% · XLE +14%
matured Jul 16, 24
JP Morgan 
Jul 7, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$171
Price at call : $112.61 — upside +52%
Today : $346.59 — upside -51%
Expected +52% · Actual +31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
+31.4%
stock +31% · XLE +10%
matured Jul 6, 24
Raymond James 
Jun 7, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$150
Price at call : $113.52 — upside +32%
Today : $346.59 — upside -57%
Expected +32% · Actual +37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+37.2%
stock +37% · XLE +10%
matured Jun 6, 24
Goldman Sachs 
Jun 2, 23
▼ Sell · 🎯$113
Price at call : $109.27 — upside +3%
Today : $346.59 — upside -67%
Expected +3% · Actual +41% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
-40.9%
stock +41% · XLE +14%
matured Jun 1, 24
Piper Sandler 
May 18, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$155
Price at call : $111.55 — upside +39%
Today : $346.59 — upside -55%
Expected +39% · Actual +49% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
+48.9%
stock +49% · XLE +20%
matured May 17, 24
Barclays 
May 8, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$139
Price at call : $107.38 — upside +29%
Today : $346.59 — upside -60%
Expected +29% · Actual +46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+45.9%
stock +46% · XLE +16%
matured May 7, 24
RBC Capital 
Apr 28, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$151
Price at call : $115.41 — upside +31%
Today : $346.59 — upside -56%
Expected +31% · Actual +45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
+45.1%
stock +45% · XLE +15%
matured Apr 27, 24
Raymond James 
Apr 28, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$169
Price at call : $114.67 — upside +47%
Today : $346.59 — upside -51%
Expected +47% · Actual +46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+46.1%
stock +46% · XLE +13%
matured Apr 27, 24
RBC Capital 
Apr 19, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$159
Price at call : $122.95 — upside +29%
Today : $346.59 — upside -54%
Expected +29% · Actual +33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
+33.3%
stock +33% · XLE +11%
matured Apr 18, 24
Raymond James 
Apr 10, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$176
Price at call : $135.1 — upside +30%
Today : $346.59 — upside -49%
Expected +30% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+30.5%
stock +30% · XLE +14%
matured Apr 9, 24
Barclays 
Apr 6, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$166
Price at call : $132.59 — upside +25%
Today : $346.59 — upside -52%
Expected +25% · Actual +38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
+38.3%
stock +38% · XLE +15%
matured Apr 5, 24
Piper Sandler 
Apr 6, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$188
Price at call : $132.59 — upside +42%
Today : $346.59 — upside -46%
Expected +42% · Actual +38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 48.1% · +1.5% (208 calls)
+38.3%
stock +38% · XLE +15%
matured Apr 5, 24
JP Morgan 
Mar 28, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$172
Price at call : $136.02 — upside +26%
Today : $346.59 — upside -50%
Expected +26% · Actual +23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
+23.4%
stock +23% · XLE +16%
matured Mar 27, 24
RBC Capital 
Jan 30, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$165
Price at call : $140.19 — upside +18%
Today : $346.59 — upside -52%
Expected +18% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
+1.2%
stock +1% · XLE -5%
matured Jan 30, 24
Raymond James 
Jan 30, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$174
Price at call : $140.19 — upside +24%
Today : $346.59 — upside -50%
Expected +24% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
+1.2%
stock +1% · XLE -5%
matured Jan 30, 24
JP Morgan 
Jan 27, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$160
Price at call : $140.19 — upside +14%
Today : $346.59 — upside -54%
Expected +14% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
-1.3%
stock -1% · XLE -6%
matured Jan 27, 24
Barclays 
Jan 27, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$159
Price at call : $143.21 — upside +11%
Today : $346.59 — upside -54%
Expected +11% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +4.5% (400 calls)
-3.4%
stock -3% · XLE -8%
matured Jan 27, 24
Goldman Sachs 
Jan 19, 23
▼ Sell · 🎯$126
Price at call : $138.47 — upside -9%
Today : $346.59 — upside -64%
Expected -9% · Actual -7% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
+7.4%
stock -7% · XLE -11%
matured Jan 19, 24
RBC Capital 
Jan 18, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$156
Price at call : $138.47 — upside +13%
Today : $346.59 — upside -55%
Expected +13% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
-7.4%
stock -7% · XLE -11%
matured Jan 18, 24
Raymond James 
Jan 13, 23
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$169
Price at call : $136.13 — upside +24%
Today : $346.59 — upside -51%
Expected +24% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.5% (329 calls)
-5.0%
stock -5% · XLE -10%
matured Jan 13, 24
JP Morgan 
Jan 6, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $128.58 — upside +9%
Today : $346.59 — upside -60%
Expected +9% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
+0.5%
stock +1% · XLE -4%
matured Jan 6, 24
Wells Fargo 
Jan 5, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $127.56 — upside +10%
Today : $346.59 — upside -60%
Expected +10% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+1.3%
stock +1% · XLE -4%
matured Jan 5, 24
RBC Capital 
Oct 26, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$151
Price at call : $128.27 — upside +18%
Today : $346.59 — upside -56%
Expected +18% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
-3.7%
stock -4% · XLE -5%
matured Oct 26, 23
Wells Fargo 
Oct 26, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$137
Price at call : $126.74 — upside +8%
Today : $346.59 — upside -60%
Expected +8% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
-1.1%
stock -1% · XLE -2%
matured Oct 26, 23
RBC Capital 
Oct 14, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$149
Price at call : $115.5 — upside +29%
Today : $346.59 — upside -57%
Expected +29% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
+11.9%
stock +12% · XLE +11%
matured Oct 14, 23
JP Morgan 
Oct 7, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$149
Price at call : $110.86 — upside +34%
Today : $346.59 — upside -57%
Expected +34% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
+14.5%
stock +15% · XLE +11%
matured Oct 7, 23
JP Morgan 
Sep 21, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$151
Price at call : $107.59 — upside +40%
Today : $346.59 — upside -56%
Expected +40% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
+35.0%
stock +35% · XLE +18%
matured Sep 21, 23
Wells Fargo 
Sep 21, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$131
Price at call : $105.53 — upside +24%
Today : $346.59 — upside -62%
Expected +24% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+38.6%
stock +39% · XLE +17%
matured Sep 21, 23
JP Morgan 
Sep 6, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$148
Price at call : $112.62 — upside +31%
Today : $346.59 — upside -57%
Expected +31% · Actual +21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
+21.0%
stock +21% · XLE +16%
matured Sep 6, 23
JP Morgan 
Jul 29, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$148
Price at call : $110.65 — upside +34%
Today : $346.59 — upside -57%
Expected +34% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 59.9% · +5.0% (207 calls)
+16.5%
stock +17% · XLE +14%
matured Jul 29, 23
RBC Capital 
Jul 29, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$143
Price at call : $110.65 — upside +29%
Today : $346.59 — upside -59%
Expected +29% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
+16.5%
stock +17% · XLE +14%
matured Jul 29, 23
Wells Fargo 
Jul 29, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$130
Price at call : $110.77 — upside +17%
Today : $346.59 — upside -62%
Expected +17% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+16.4%
stock +16% · XLE +12%
matured Jul 29, 23
RBC Capital 
Jul 15, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$141
Price at call : $106.31 — upside +33%
Today : $346.59 — upside -59%
Expected +33% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
+7.0%
stock +7% · XLE +16%
matured Jul 15, 23
Goldman Sachs 
Jun 21, 22
▼ Sell · 🎯$109
Price at call : $116.47 — upside -6%
Today : $346.59 — upside -69%
Expected -6% · Actual -4% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
+4.2%
stock -4% · XLE +3%
matured Jun 21, 23
Wells Fargo 
Jun 14, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$166
Price at call : $133.75 — upside +24%
Today : $346.59 — upside -52%
Expected +24% · Actual -16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
-16.4%
stock -16% · XLE -5%
matured Jun 14, 23
Wells Fargo 
May 18, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$136
Price at call : $124.68 — upside +9%
Today : $346.59 — upside -61%
Expected +9% · Actual -11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
-10.5%
stock -11% · XLE -3%
matured May 18, 23
RBC Capital 
Apr 27, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$120
Price at call : $109.51 — upside +10%
Today : $346.59 — upside -65%
Expected +10% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
+4.7%
stock +5% · XLE +12%
matured Apr 27, 23
Wells Fargo 
Apr 27, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$126
Price at call : $109.51 — upside +15%
Today : $346.59 — upside -64%
Expected +15% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+4.7%
stock +5% · XLE +12%
matured Apr 27, 23
Wells Fargo 
Apr 21, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$122
Price at call : $104.91 — upside +16%
Today : $346.59 — upside -65%
Expected +16% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.4% · +7.0% (337 calls)
+14.0%
stock +14% · XLE +9%
matured Apr 21, 23
RBC Capital 
Apr 6, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$108
Price at call : $103.3 — upside +5%
Today : $346.59 — upside -69%
Expected +5% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.5% · +7.5% (160 calls)
+28.3%
stock +28% · XLE +11%
matured Apr 6, 23
Goldman Sachs 
Mar 1, 21
▼ Sell · 🎯$68
Price at call : $77.8 — upside -13%
Today : $346.59 — upside -80%
Expected -13% · Actual +4% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
-3.6%
stock +4% · XLE +44%
matured Mar 1, 22
Goldman Sachs 
Oct 1, 20
▼ Sell · 🎯$37
Price at call : $40.28 — upside -8%
Today : $346.59 — upside -89%
Expected -8% · Actual +83% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
-82.8%
stock +83% · XLE +85%
matured Oct 1, 21
Scotiabank 
Jul 13, 20
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$72
Price at call : $54.4 — upside +32%
Today : $346.59 — upside -79%
Expected +32% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+24.4%
stock +24% · XLE +39%
matured Jul 13, 21
Goldman Sachs 
May 1, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$73
Price at call : $58.76 — upside +24%
Today : $346.59 — upside -79%
Expected +24% · Actual +33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
+33.0%
stock +33% · XLE +42%
matured May 1, 21
Goldman Sachs 
Mar 2, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $67.87 — upside +21%
Today : $346.59 — upside -76%
Expected +21% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
+12.9%
stock +13% · XLE +4%
matured Mar 2, 21
Goldman Sachs 
Jun 6, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$92
Price at call : $74.47 — upside +24%
Today : $346.59 — upside -73%
Expected +24% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on VLO : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
+0.2%
stock +0% · XLE -26%
matured Jun 5, 20
Scotiabank 
Oct 15, 13
▲ Sector Outperform
Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on VLO : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 53.8% · +4.7% (91 calls)
+19.9%
stock +20% · XLE -5%
matured Oct 15, 14

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Valero Energy stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Valero Energy, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $301 (-13% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on Valero Energy). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Valero Energy? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Valero Energy is $357 (+3% above today's price); the average is $301. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Valero Energy on our site before trusting it.

Is Valero Energy still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 26 analysts have a real record on Valero Energy, the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in Valero Energy? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in VLO (and why hesitate).

What has Valero Energy's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: VLO performance & returns.

Does Valero Energy pay a dividend?

Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: VLO's dividend.

What is the best month to buy VLO?

The 12 months ranked by the stock's past returns: best & worst month to buy VLO.

Are insiders buying VLO stock?

Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on VLO.

Other Energy stocks

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)