Does Valero Energy (VLO) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Valero Energy month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +11.5% | +12.8% | +20.7% | +2.2% | -3.1% | +6.4% | +20.1% | |||||
| 2025 | +8.5% | -1.7% | +1.0% | -12.1% | +11.1% | +4.2% | +2.1% | +10.7% | +12.0% | -0.4% | +4.2% | -7.9% |
| 2024 | +6.8% | +1.8% | +20.7% | -6.3% | -1.7% | -0.2% | +3.2% | -9.3% | -8.0% | -3.9% | +7.2% | -11.9% |
| 2023 | +10.4% | -5.9% | +6.0% | -17.9% | -6.7% | +9.6% | +9.9% | +0.8% | +9.1% | -10.4% | -1.3% | +3.7% |
| 2022 | +10.5% | +0.7% | +21.6% | +9.8% | +16.3% | -18.0% | +4.2% | +5.7% | -8.8% | +17.5% | +6.4% | -5.1% |
| 2021 | -0.2% | +36.4% | -7.0% | +3.3% | +8.7% | -2.9% | -14.2% | -1.0% | +6.4% | +9.6% | -13.4% | +12.2% |
| 2020 | -10.0% | -21.4% | -31.5% | +39.7% | +5.2% | -11.7% | -4.4% | -6.5% | -17.6% | -10.9% | +39.3% | +5.2% |
| 2019 | +17.1% | -7.1% | +4.0% | +6.9% | -22.3% | +21.6% | -0.4% | -11.7% | +13.2% | +13.8% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
| 2018 | +4.4% | -5.8% | +2.6% | +19.6% | +9.3% | -8.6% | +6.8% | -0.4% | -3.5% | -19.9% | -12.3% | -6.2% |
| 2017 | -3.7% | +3.3% | -2.4% | -2.5% | -4.9% | +9.7% | +2.2% | -1.3% | +13.0% | +2.5% | +8.5% | +7.3% |
| 2016 | -4.0% | -11.5% | +6.8% | -8.2% | -7.1% | -6.8% | +2.5% | +5.9% | -4.2% | +11.8% | +3.9% | +11.0% |
| 2015 | +6.8% | +16.7% | +3.1% | -10.6% | +4.1% | +5.7% | +4.8% | -9.5% | +1.3% | +9.7% | +9.0% | -1.6% |
| 2014 | +1.4% | -6.1% | +10.7% | +7.7% | -2.0% | -10.6% | +1.4% | +6.6% | -14.5% | +8.3% | -3.0% | +1.8% |
| 2013 | +4.3% | -0.2% | -11.4% | +10.2% | -14.4% | +2.9% | -0.7% | -3.9% | +20.6% | +11.1% | +10.2% | |
| Average | +4.6% | +1.2% | +4.0% | +1.4% | +1.2% | -1.1% | +2.9% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +3.7% | +4.5% | +1.3% |
| % of years up | 69% | 50% | 71% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 79% | 38% | 46% | 62% | 62% | 54% |
| Years observed | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Valero Energy month by month: the summary
Over 2013-2026, here's what Valero Energy (VLO) stock did each month, on average: January +4.6% (up 69% of 13 years), February +1.2% (up 50% of 14 years), March +4.0% (up 71% of 14 years), April +1.4% (up 50% of 14 years), May +1.2% (up 50% of 14 years), June -1.1% (up 43% of 14 years), July +2.9% (up 79% of 14 years), August -0.8% (up 38% of 13 years), September -0.4% (up 46% of 13 years), October +3.7% (up 62% of 13 years), November +4.5% (up 62% of 13 years), December +1.3% (up 54% of 13 years). In other words, VLO historically rose in January, February, March, April, May, July, October, November, December, and fell in June, August, September.
Does Valero Energy really go up in January?
Over 2013-2026, January is Valero Energy's strongest month: +4.6% on average, positive in 9 of 13 years. At the other end, June shows -1.1%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Valero Energy stock go up or down in July?
Over 14 years, VLO rose +2.9% on average in July, finishing the month up 11 times out of 14 (79%). Median: +2.7%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Valero Energy stock go up or down in August?
Over 13 years, VLO fell -0.8% on average in August, finishing the month up 5 times out of 13 (38%). Median: -0.7%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Valero Energy stock go up or down in November?
Over 13 years, VLO rose +4.5% on average in November, finishing the month up 8 times out of 13 (62%). Median: +4.2%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Valero Energy stock go up or down in March?
Over 14 years, VLO rose +4.0% on average in March, finishing the month up 10 times out of 14 (71%). Median: +3.6%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Valero Energy stock go up or down in October?
Over 13 years, VLO rose +3.7% on average in October, finishing the month up 8 times out of 13 (62%). Median: +8.3%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Valero Energy stock go up or down in April?
Over 14 years, VLO rose +1.4% on average in April, finishing the month up 7 times out of 14 (50%). Median: -0.2%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Valero Energy stock?
Historically, January: over the last 14 years, VLO gained +4.6% on average that month and finished up 69% of the time (13 years observed). June is the weakest month (-1.1%). This is not a prediction: 14 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does Valero Energy stock often rise in January?
January has averaged as its best month over 14 years (+4.6%, up 69% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 14 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For VLO it's January (+4.6% on average over 14 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on VLO, July is the most consistent month (79% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 14 times out of 14 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On VLO's real monthly closing prices from 2013 to 2026 (14 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.