Is Wolfe Research a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 59.6% of Wolfe Research's targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +15.7% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. +8.5% vs its sector, across 505 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: fairly reliable. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.
59.6%profitable calls
+15.7%avg gain / call
+8.5%vs sector
505scored calls

In which sectors is Wolfe Research reliable?

SectorCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
Tech10067%+33.2%+33.4%+75.3% (14)
Comm.6066.7%+24.5%+24.5%-4.5% (6)
Industry10060%+13.3%+14.8%-6.6% (7)
Materials1861.1%+13.4%+13.9%
Finance6155.7%+12.6%+12.3%+3.2% (20)
Health4667.4%+10.3%+9.0%+10.2% (9)
Utilities2055%+4.0%+4.6%-12.5% (3)
Cons. staples862.5%+8.0%+3.9%-39.9% (4)
Energy2454.2%+0.6%+3.7%-9.6% (3)
Cons. disc.4748.9%+5.1%+3.3%+8.7% (3)
Real estate2128.6%-4.1%-6.6%-11.5% (6)

The 25 stocks Wolfe Research performed best on

StockCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
META Meta Platforms8100%+111.5%+111.5%
NVDA Nvidia4100%+106.3%+106.3%
UBER Uber7100%+63.4%+63.4%-10.0% (1)
TDG TransDigm Group3100%+56.5%+56.5%
DASH DoorDash366.7%+45.3%+45.3%
VMC Vulcan Materials Company4100%+43.0%+43.0%
PANW Palo Alto Networks5100%+41.1%+41.1%
NOW ServiceNow683.3%+38.8%+38.8%
TFC Truist Financial4100%+35.6%+35.6%
ADBE Adobe Inc.560%+33.1%+33.1%-18.9% (1)
WFC Wells Fargo666.7%+35.0%+32.8%
ORCL Oracle Corporation3100%+32.6%+32.6%-53.7% (1)
MMM 3M8100%+31.0%+31.0%
MSFT Microsoft6100%+30.0%+30.0%+29.9% (1)
NFLX Netflix666.7%+27.3%+27.3%-3.2% (2)
SCHW Charles Schwab Corporation366.7%+15.9%+26.4%
ABBV AbbVie3100%+24.9%+24.9%+3.5% (1)
CHRW C.H. Robinson560%+19.6%+23.4%
CHTR Charter Communications475%+21.6%+21.6%
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A)1361.5%+20.5%+20.5%+21.1% (1)
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C)966.7%+19.0%+19.0%
TMUS T-Mobile US366.7%+12.9%+12.9%
AXP American Express540%+12.0%+12.0%
KMI Kinder Morgan450%-2.0%+11.5%
BA Boeing450%+7.5%+7.5%
% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.

❓ Wolfe Research: frequently asked questions

Is Wolfe Research a reliable analyst? How accurate are their price targets?

Over 12 months, 59.6% of Wolfe Research's targets were profitable, averaging +15.7% per call (+8.5% vs their sector), across 505 timestamped calls. Verdict: fairly reliable. We judge on real results, not reputation — the call-by-call detail is further up this page.

JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)