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Applied Materials (AMAT) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Applied Materials · Information Technology · ref. ETF XLK · 173 calls · price $482.36
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What the company does: Applied Materials, Inc. engages in provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce semiconductors.

📈 Applied Materials (AMAT) stock price

$482.36+191.9% over range
Aug 28, 25low $156.25 · high $723Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
96% recommend buying · 26 analysts
📊 JPI status : Applied Materials is no longer in our current JPI rankings, but appeared in the past (2018) — its upside may be behind it. See the stocks picked in 2018 →

🎯 AMAT price target & analyst consensusprice $482

The price target · all analysts combined (26 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 26$900+86.6%
Median target · of 26 targets$650+34.8%
Lowest target · 2 firms of 26$500+3.7%
Current price$482.36
Where these 26 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 26100% $500 ↔ $900
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Craig-Hallum73% of its targets hit on this sector (86 calls tested). It aims for $585 (+21 %), call made on August 15, 2026, maturing on August 15, 2027 (13 d ago).

The 19 reliable analysts $700+45 %
The 7 other firms $517+7.2 %
How to read it: the 19 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 19 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $700 median. “The 7 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 26 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy2596%
Hold14%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Applied Materials? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

💰 Applied Materials dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page

0.29%annual yield
📈 Steady dividend8 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$1.91 per share per year.

📈 Applied Materials fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page

P/E 41.3Net margin 30.1 %Revenue growth +24.8 %Cheap for the growth

Revenue, net income and margin per year

Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 25 %
2023
Rev +3%Profit +5%
2024
Rev +2%Profit +5%
2025
Rev +4%Profit −2%

🔎 Detailed analyses

🏛️ Which US Congress members hold Applied Materials (AMAT)?

6 Congress members have disclosed AMAT buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
Marjorie Greene · 37%Zoe Lofgren · 41%Deborah Ross Patrick Fallon · 46%Kathy Manning · 43%Greg Stanton · 48%
→ Full members ranking (who beats the market)

✅ Historical analyst reliability on AMAT

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm % right i Gain vs sector i Calls i
Wolfe Research  100% +133.3% 2
Pacific Crest 100% +67.5% 4
Berenberg  100% +50.0% 4
Piper Sandler  100% +42.0% 4
Summit Insights Group 100% +30.4% 2
DA Davidson  90% +31.8% 10
Nomura 88% +26.3% 8
Evercore ISI Group  86% +101.7% 7
Craig-Hallum  86% +26.3% 7
Mizuho  84% +69.5% 25
See the other 23 firms
Barclays  0% -47.1% 3
Morgan Stanley  25% -42.5% 4
Credit Suisse 40% +12.4% 10
Bernstein  50% +14.7% 4
Jefferies  50% +32.1% 4
Raymond James  50% +32.5% 4
Susquehanna  56% +17.5% 9
B. Riley Securities  58% +26.4% 19
RBC Capital  60% -2.1% 5
UBS  60% +22.3% 5
B of A Securities  60% +26.8% 15
Cantor Fitzgerald  60% +71.3% 10
Deutsche Bank  65% +33.4% 17
JP Morgan  68% +41.4% 19
Needham  72% +41.5% 29
Stifel  74% +45.1% 27
CLSA 75% +63.1% 4
Wells Fargo  78% +52.9% 32
TD Cowen  80% +26.7% 5
Keybanc  80% +43.4% 15
Goldman Sachs  80% +49.1% 20
Citigroup  81% +49.9% 36
Cowen & Co. 83% +36.2% 6

📊 What $1,000 invested in Applied Materials would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Applied Materials 10 years ago would be worth $38,315 today, i.e. +44%/yr on average. Best year: 2025 (+136%), worst: 2018 (-33%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Applied Materials

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$4,574+357%
3 years ago$6,225+522%
5 years ago$6,117+512%
→ See Applied Materials's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Applied Materials)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+94%$1,942 (+94%)
2025+136%$4,574 (+357%)
2024-22%$3,586 (+259%)
→ See Applied Materials's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Applied Materials

Loading news…

📋 All analyst calls on AMAT

Mizuho 
Aug 25, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$590
Price at call : $480.04 — upside +23%
Today : $482.36 — upside +22%
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 25, 27
UBS 
Aug 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$675
Price at call : $535.31 — upside +26%
Today : $482.36 — upside +40%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 52.5% · +10.5% (556 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 27
Craig-Hallum 
Aug 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$585
Price at call : $535.31 — upside +9%
Today : $482.36 — upside +21%
🎯 on AMAT : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.8% · +8.3% (86 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 27
Morgan Stanley 
Aug 14, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$642
Price at call : $535.31 — gap to target +20%
Today : $482.36 — gap to target +33%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +6.4% (980 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 27
Bernstein 
Aug 14, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$700
Price at call : $535.31 — upside +31%
Today : $482.36 — upside +45%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 47.5% · +5.4% (120 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 27
TD Cowen 
Aug 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$700
Price at call : $535.31 — upside +31%
Today : $482.36 — upside +45%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 42% · +1.0% (174 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 27
RBC Capital 
Aug 14, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$600
Price at call : $535.31 — upside +12%
Today : $482.36 — upside +24%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 40.4% · -9.0% (446 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$700
Price at call : $535.31 — upside +31%
Today : $482.36 — upside +45%
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 27
See the other 165 calls, newest to oldest
JP Morgan 
Aug 14, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$660
Price at call : $507.18 — upside +30%
Today : $482.36 — upside +37%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 49.3% · +10.9% (665 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$650
Price at call : $507.18 — upside +28%
Today : $482.36 — upside +35%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 49.7% · +14.0% (733 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 27
Needham 
Aug 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$740
Price at call : $507.18 — upside +46%
Today : $482.36 — upside +53%
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 27
UBS 
Jul 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$705
Price at call : $560.93 — upside +26%
Today : $482.36 — upside +46%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 52.5% · +10.5% (556 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 27
Stifel 
Jul 10, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$650
Price at call : $602.5 — upside +8%
Today : $482.36 — upside +35%
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 27
Needham 
Jul 10, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$740
Price at call : $602.5 — upside +23%
Today : $482.36 — upside +53%
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 27
TD Cowen 
Jul 9, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$700
Price at call : $602.5 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside +45%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 42% · +1.0% (174 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
Mizuho 
Jul 9, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$650
Price at call : $588.66 — upside +10%
Today : $482.36 — upside +35%
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$647
Price at call : $592.79 — gap to target +9%
Today : $482.36 — gap to target +34%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +6.4% (980 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 6, 27
Susquehanna 
Jun 30, 26
▲ Positive · 🎯$900
Price at call : $650.91 — upside +38%
Today : $482.36 — upside +87%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 45.2% · +11.3% (356 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 30, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$850
Price at call : $723 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside +76%
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 29, 27
Keybanc 
Jun 29, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$750
Price at call : $694.64 — upside +8%
Today : $482.36 — upside +55%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 47% · +4.1% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 29, 27
Wells Fargo 
Jun 26, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$740
Price at call : $694.64 — upside +7%
Today : $482.36 — upside +53%
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$790
Price at call : $694.64 — upside +14%
Today : $482.36 — upside +64%
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 27
Jefferies 
Jun 26, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$770
Price at call : $694.64 — upside +11%
Today : $482.36 — upside +60%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 47.2% · +2.9% (453 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$720
Price at call : $585.88 — upside +23%
Today : $482.36 — upside +49%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 49.7% · +14.0% (733 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 23, 27
Wells Fargo 
Jun 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$715
Price at call : $640.18 — upside +12%
Today : $482.36 — upside +48%
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 22, 27
Citigroup 
Jun 17, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$710
Price at call : $617.11 — upside +15%
Today : $482.36 — upside +47%
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 17, 27
Barclays 
Jun 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$590
Price at call : $552.64 — upside +7%
Today : $482.36 — upside +22%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 49.8% · +7.1% (955 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 11, 27
UBS 
Jun 10, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$570
Price at call : $552.64 — upside +3%
Today : $482.36 — upside +18%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 52.5% · +10.5% (556 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 10, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$650
Price at call : $497.01 — upside +31%
Today : $482.36 — upside +35%
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 10, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$575
Price at call : $450.06 — upside +28%
Today : $482.36 — upside +19%
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 28, 27
Mizuho 
May 27, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$540
Price at call : $449.68 — upside +20%
Today : $482.36 — upside +12%
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 27, 27
Argus Research 
May 19, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$500
Price at call : $426.85 — upside +17%
Today : $482.36 — upside +4%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 53.1% · +8.7% (145 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 19, 27
Morgan Stanley 
May 18, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$502
Price at call : $413.57 — gap to target +21%
Today : $482.36 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +6.4% (980 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 18, 27
UBS 
May 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$515
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +25%
Today : $482.36 — upside +7%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 52.5% · +10.5% (556 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
Citigroup 
May 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$550
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +33%
Today : $482.36 — upside +14%
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$540
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +31%
Today : $482.36 — upside +12%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 49.7% · +14.0% (733 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
Deutsche Bank 
May 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$550
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +33%
Today : $482.36 — upside +14%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 52.6% · +4.0% (574 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$515
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +25%
Today : $482.36 — upside +7%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +8.5% (323 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
TD Cowen 
May 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$525
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +27%
Today : $482.36 — upside +9%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 42% · +1.0% (174 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$550
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +33%
Today : $482.36 — upside +14%
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
Wolfe Research 
May 15, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$550
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +33%
Today : $482.36 — upside +14%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 46% · +17.3% (100 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
JP Morgan 
May 15, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$515
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +25%
Today : $482.36 — upside +7%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 49.3% · +10.9% (665 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
Jefferies 
May 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$510
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +23%
Today : $482.36 — upside +6%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 47.2% · +2.9% (453 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
Goldman Sachs 
May 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$520
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +26%
Today : $482.36 — upside +8%
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
Barclays 
May 15, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$500
Price at call : $413.57 — upside +21%
Today : $482.36 — upside +4%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 49.8% · +7.1% (955 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
Wells Fargo 
May 15, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$520
Price at call : $436.62 — upside +19%
Today : $482.36 — upside +8%
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
Mizuho 
May 15, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$500
Price at call : $436.62 — upside +15%
Today : $482.36 — upside +4%
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
RBC Capital 
May 15, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$520
Price at call : $436.62 — upside +19%
Today : $482.36 — upside +8%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 40.4% · -9.0% (446 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$575
Price at call : $436.62 — upside +32%
Today : $482.36 — upside +19%
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
Keybanc 
May 15, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$550
Price at call : $436.62 — upside +26%
Today : $482.36 — upside +14%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 47% · +4.1% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
HSBC 
May 8, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$517
Price at call : $443.62 — upside +17%
Today : $482.36 — upside +7%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 58.1% · +27.2% (43 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$500
Price at call : $410.82 — upside +22%
Today : $482.36 — upside +4%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 55.6% · -5.3% (9 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 5, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$485
Price at call : $395.64 — upside +23%
Today : $482.36 — upside +1%
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 13, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$450
Price at call : $354.91 — upside +27%
Today : $482.36 — upside -7%
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$305
Price at call : $256.41 — upside +19%
Today : $482.36 — upside -37%
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$270
Price at call : $226.01 — upside +19%
Today : $482.36 — upside -44%
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 14, 26
Craig-Hallum 
Nov 14, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$190
Price at call : $226.01 — gap to target -16%
Today : $482.36 — gap to target -61%
🎯 on AMAT : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.8% · +8.3% (86 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$265
Price at call : $219.48 — upside +21%
Today : $482.36 — upside -45%
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 10, 26
Daiwa Capital 
Aug 20, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $160.96 — gap to target +6%
Today : $482.36 — gap to target -65%
🎯 on AMAT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 57.1% · +22.4% (14 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 20, 26
Citigroup 
Aug 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$205
Price at call : $163.53 — upside +25%
Today : $482.36 — upside -58%
Expected +25% · Actual +227% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
+227.3%
stock +227% · XLK +43%
matured Aug 15, 26
Wells Fargo 
Aug 15, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$205
Price at call : $161.76 — upside +27%
Today : $482.36 — upside -58%
Expected +27% · Actual +231% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
+230.9%
stock +231% · XLK +43%
matured Aug 15, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$200
Price at call : $161.76 — upside +24%
Today : $482.36 — upside -59%
Expected +24% · Actual +231% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
+230.9%
stock +231% · XLK +43%
matured Aug 15, 26
Stifel 
Aug 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$180
Price at call : $161.76 — upside +11%
Today : $482.36 — upside -63%
Expected +11% · Actual +231% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
+230.9%
stock +231% · XLK +43%
matured Aug 15, 26
Mizuho 
Aug 15, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$200
Price at call : $161.76 — upside +24%
Today : $482.36 — upside -59%
Expected +24% · Actual +231% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
+230.9%
stock +231% · XLK +43%
matured Aug 15, 26
Mizuho 
Jul 14, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$220
Price at call : $199.29 — upside +10%
Today : $482.36 — upside -54%
Expected +10% · Actual +191% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
+190.8%
stock +191% · XLK +41%
matured Jul 14, 26
Goldman Sachs 
Jul 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$225
Price at call : $198.03 — upside +14%
Today : $482.36 — upside -53%
Expected +14% · Actual +204% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
+204.3%
stock +204% · XLK +45%
matured Jul 10, 26
Wells Fargo 
Jul 8, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$215
Price at call : $194.99 — upside +10%
Today : $482.36 — upside -55%
Expected +10% · Actual +193% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
+192.6%
stock +193% · XLK +42%
matured Jul 8, 26
Citigroup 
Jul 7, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$220
Price at call : $194.99 — upside +13%
Today : $482.36 — upside -54%
Expected +13% · Actual +193% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
+192.6%
stock +193% · XLK +42%
matured Jul 7, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$220
Price at call : $180.18 — upside +22%
Today : $482.36 — upside -54%
Expected +22% · Actual +227% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
+226.9%
stock +227% · XLK +48%
matured Jun 24, 26
Mizuho 
May 16, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$195
Price at call : $165.94 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside -60%
Expected +18% · Actual +149% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
+149.2%
stock +149% · XLK +49%
matured May 16, 26
Citigroup 
May 16, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$190
Price at call : $165.94 — upside +14%
Today : $482.36 — upside -61%
Expected +14% · Actual +149% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
+149.2%
stock +149% · XLK +49%
matured May 16, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$200
Price at call : $165.94 — upside +21%
Today : $482.36 — upside -59%
Expected +21% · Actual +149% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
+149.2%
stock +149% · XLK +49%
matured May 16, 26
Wells Fargo 
May 16, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$200
Price at call : $165.94 — upside +21%
Today : $482.36 — upside -59%
Expected +21% · Actual +149% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
+149.2%
stock +149% · XLK +49%
matured May 16, 26
Needham 
May 16, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$195
Price at call : $165.57 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside -60%
Expected +18% · Actual +150% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
+149.8%
stock +150% · XLK +48%
matured May 16, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$200
Price at call : $173.03 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside -59%
Expected +16% · Actual +152% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
+152.3%
stock +152% · XLK +52%
matured May 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$215
Price at call : $167.99 — upside +28%
Today : $482.36 — upside -55%
Expected +28% · Actual +157% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
+156.7%
stock +157% · XLK +54%
matured May 12, 26
Stifel 
Apr 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$195
Price at call : $138.19 — upside +41%
Today : $482.36 — upside -60%
Expected +41% · Actual +182% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
+182.1%
stock +182% · XLK +57%
matured Apr 15, 26
Citigroup 
Apr 11, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $144.53 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside -65%
Expected +18% · Actual +174% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
+173.8%
stock +174% · XLK +45%
matured Apr 11, 26
Citigroup 
Feb 18, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$202
Price at call : $174.06 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside -58%
Expected +16% · Actual +112% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
+112.5%
stock +112% · XLK +16%
matured Feb 18, 26
Needham 
Feb 14, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$195
Price at call : $169.2 — upside +15%
Today : $482.36 — upside -60%
Expected +15% · Actual +112% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
+112.3%
stock +112% · XLK +16%
matured Feb 14, 26
Stifel 
Feb 11, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$235
Price at call : $180.89 — upside +30%
Today : $482.36 — upside -51%
Expected +30% · Actual +82% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
+81.5%
stock +82% · XLK +18%
matured Feb 11, 26
Wells Fargo 
Jan 13, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$200
Price at call : $173.65 — upside +15%
Today : $482.36 — upside -59%
Expected +15% · Actual +74% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
+73.9%
stock +74% · XLK +27%
matured Jan 13, 26
Needham 
Jan 13, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$200
Price at call : $170.86 — upside +17%
Today : $482.36 — upside -59%
Expected +17% · Actual +78% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
+78.4%
stock +78% · XLK +29%
matured Jan 13, 26
Mizuho 
Jan 10, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$210
Price at call : $170.86 — upside +23%
Today : $482.36 — upside -56%
Expected +23% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
+79.8%
stock +80% · XLK +29%
matured Jan 10, 26
Goldman Sachs 
Jan 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$202
Price at call : $170.86 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside -58%
Expected +18% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
+79.8%
stock +80% · XLK +29%
matured Jan 10, 26
Wells Fargo 
Dec 6, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$210
Price at call : $171.86 — upside +22%
Today : $482.36 — upside -56%
Expected +22% · Actual +56% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
+56.0%
stock +56% · XLK +23%
matured Dec 6, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$250
Price at call : $170.73 — upside +46%
Today : $482.36 — upside -48%
Expected +46% · Actual +34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
+34.0%
stock +34% · XLK +24%
matured Nov 15, 25
Wells Fargo 
Nov 15, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$220
Price at call : $168.88 — upside +30%
Today : $482.36 — upside -54%
Expected +30% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
+35.4%
stock +35% · XLK +24%
matured Nov 15, 25
Needham 
Nov 15, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$225
Price at call : $168.88 — upside +33%
Today : $482.36 — upside -53%
Expected +33% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
+35.4%
stock +35% · XLK +24%
matured Nov 15, 25
Stifel 
Nov 12, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$250
Price at call : $182.79 — upside +37%
Today : $482.36 — upside -48%
Expected +37% · Actual +22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
+22.1%
stock +22% · XLK +22%
matured Nov 12, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$250
Price at call : $205.06 — upside +22%
Today : $482.36 — upside -48%
Expected +22% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
+7.4%
stock +7% · XLK +26%
matured Oct 8, 25
Wells Fargo 
Oct 3, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$235
Price at call : $201.97 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside -51%
Expected +16% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
+10.9%
stock +11% · XLK +28%
matured Oct 3, 25
Mizuho 
Sep 20, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$225
Price at call : $194.04 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside -53%
Expected +16% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
+3.3%
stock +3% · XLK +27%
matured Sep 20, 25
Citigroup 
Sep 16, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$217
Price at call : $188.59 — upside +15%
Today : $482.36 — upside -55%
Expected +15% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
-5.5%
stock -6% · XLK +24%
matured Sep 16, 25
Stifel 
Aug 16, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$270
Price at call : $207.9 — upside +30%
Today : $482.36 — upside -44%
Expected +30% · Actual -21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
-21.3%
stock -21% · XLK +20%
matured Aug 16, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$250
Price at call : $207.9 — upside +20%
Today : $482.36 — upside -48%
Expected +20% · Actual -21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
-21.3%
stock -21% · XLK +20%
matured Aug 16, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$280
Price at call : $207.9 — upside +35%
Today : $482.36 — upside -42%
Expected +35% · Actual -21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
-21.3%
stock -21% · XLK +20%
matured Aug 16, 25
Needham 
Aug 16, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$260
Price at call : $207.9 — upside +25%
Today : $482.36 — upside -46%
Expected +25% · Actual -21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
-21.3%
stock -21% · XLK +20%
matured Aug 16, 25
Citigroup 
Aug 5, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$240
Price at call : $181.89 — upside +32%
Today : $482.36 — upside -50%
Expected +32% · Actual -2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
-1.5%
stock -2% · XLK +31%
matured Aug 5, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$290
Price at call : $220.07 — upside +32%
Today : $482.36 — upside -40%
Expected +32% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
-12.5%
stock -13% · XLK +16%
matured Jul 16, 25
Stifel 
Jul 15, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$275
Price at call : $245.84 — upside +12%
Today : $482.36 — upside -43%
Expected +12% · Actual -21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
-20.8%
stock -21% · XLK +11%
matured Jul 15, 25
Needham 
Jul 15, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$260
Price at call : $245.55 — upside +6%
Today : $482.36 — upside -46%
Expected +6% · Actual -19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
-18.8%
stock -19% · XLK +10%
matured Jul 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$300
Price at call : $239.99 — upside +25%
Today : $482.36 — upside -38%
Expected +25% · Actual -29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
-29.4%
stock -29% · XLK +5%
matured Jun 20, 25
Wells Fargo 
Jun 17, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$280
Price at call : $242.86 — upside +15%
Today : $482.36 — upside -42%
Expected +15% · Actual -28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
-28.3%
stock -28% · XLK +4%
matured Jun 17, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$255
Price at call : $219.95 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside -47%
Expected +16% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
-24.6%
stock -25% · XLK +9%
matured May 17, 25
Wells Fargo 
May 17, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$255
Price at call : $219.95 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside -47%
Expected +16% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
-24.6%
stock -25% · XLK +9%
matured May 17, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$260
Price at call : $219.95 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside -46%
Expected +18% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
-24.6%
stock -25% · XLK +9%
matured May 17, 25
Stifel 
May 17, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$240
Price at call : $212.08 — upside +13%
Today : $482.36 — upside -50%
Expected +13% · Actual -22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
-21.8%
stock -22% · XLK +11%
matured May 17, 25
Mizuho 
May 17, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$245
Price at call : $212.08 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside -49%
Expected +16% · Actual -22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
-21.8%
stock -22% · XLK +11%
matured May 17, 25
Needham 
May 17, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$240
Price at call : $212.08 — upside +13%
Today : $482.36 — upside -50%
Expected +13% · Actual -22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
-21.8%
stock -22% · XLK +11%
matured May 17, 25
Stifel 
May 15, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$230
Price at call : $217.49 — upside +6%
Today : $482.36 — upside -52%
Expected +6% · Actual -20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
-19.7%
stock -20% · XLK +10%
matured May 15, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$260
Price at call : $210.41 — upside +24%
Today : $482.36 — upside -46%
Expected +24% · Actual -29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 60% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.5% · +35.1% (202 calls)
-28.8%
stock -29% · XLK -2%
matured Apr 8, 25
Goldman Sachs 
Feb 20, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$220
Price at call : $190.33 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside -54%
Expected +16% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
-7.5%
stock -8% · XLK +21%
matured Feb 19, 25
Mizuho 
Feb 17, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$225
Price at call : $189.14 — upside +19%
Today : $482.36 — upside -53%
Expected +19% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
-9.1%
stock -9% · XLK +21%
matured Feb 16, 25
Goldman Sachs 
Feb 16, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$220
Price at call : $189.14 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside -54%
Expected +16% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
-9.1%
stock -9% · XLK +21%
matured Feb 15, 25
Citigroup 
Feb 16, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$211
Price at call : $189.14 — upside +12%
Today : $482.36 — upside -56%
Expected +12% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
-9.1%
stock -9% · XLK +21%
matured Feb 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$250
Price at call : $189.14 — upside +32%
Today : $482.36 — upside -48%
Expected +32% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
-9.1%
stock -9% · XLK +21%
matured Feb 15, 25
Stifel 
Feb 16, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$230
Price at call : $189.14 — upside +22%
Today : $482.36 — upside -52%
Expected +22% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
-9.1%
stock -9% · XLK +21%
matured Feb 15, 25
Needham 
Feb 16, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$240
Price at call : $199.57 — upside +20%
Today : $482.36 — upside -50%
Expected +20% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
-13.8%
stock -14% · XLK +20%
matured Feb 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$220
Price at call : $180.31 — upside +22%
Today : $482.36 — upside -54%
Expected +22% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
+0.3%
stock +0% · XLK +16%
matured Feb 11, 25
Mizuho 
Nov 17, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$167
Price at call : $152.57 — upside +9%
Today : $482.36 — upside -65%
Expected +9% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
+11.9%
stock +12% · XLK +24%
matured Nov 16, 24
Needham 
Nov 17, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$180
Price at call : $148.59 — upside +21%
Today : $482.36 — upside -63%
Expected +21% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
+14.9%
stock +15% · XLK +26%
matured Nov 16, 24
Needham 
Oct 13, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$180
Price at call : $141.14 — upside +28%
Today : $482.36 — upside -63%
Expected +28% · Actual +52% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
+51.5%
stock +52% · XLK +39%
matured Oct 12, 24
Mizuho 
Sep 15, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$158
Price at call : $140.27 — upside +13%
Today : $482.36 — upside -67%
Expected +13% · Actual +34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
+33.7%
stock +34% · XLK +30%
matured Sep 14, 24
Berenberg 
Aug 21, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $147.85 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside -64%
Expected +18% · Actual +41% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50% · +3.8% (36 calls)
+41.4%
stock +41% · XLK +34%
matured Aug 20, 24
Goldman Sachs 
Aug 21, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $148.77 — upside +4%
Today : $482.36 — upside -68%
Expected +4% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
+38.6%
stock +39% · XLK +33%
matured Aug 20, 24
Craig-Hallum 
Aug 18, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$160
Price at call : $148.77 — upside +8%
Today : $482.36 — upside -67%
Expected +8% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.8% · +8.3% (86 calls)
+41.8%
stock +42% · XLK +34%
matured Aug 17, 24
Stifel 
Aug 18, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $148.77 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside -64%
Expected +18% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
+41.8%
stock +42% · XLK +34%
matured Aug 17, 24
Mizuho 
Aug 18, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$158
Price at call : $142.66 — upside +11%
Today : $482.36 — upside -67%
Expected +11% · Actual +48% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
+47.9%
stock +48% · XLK +36%
matured Aug 17, 24
Berenberg 
Aug 18, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $142.66 — upside +23%
Today : $482.36 — upside -64%
Expected +23% · Actual +48% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50% · +3.8% (36 calls)
+47.9%
stock +48% · XLK +36%
matured Aug 17, 24
Mizuho 
Jul 24, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$152
Price at call : $138.35 — upside +10%
Today : $482.36 — upside -68%
Expected +10% · Actual +59% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
+58.8%
stock +59% · XLK +28%
matured Jul 23, 24
Citigroup 
Jul 14, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $145.5 — upside +17%
Today : $482.36 — upside -65%
Expected +17% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
+68.8%
stock +69% · XLK +31%
matured Jul 13, 24
Mizuho 
Jun 22, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $136.07 — upside +3%
Today : $482.36 — upside -71%
Expected +3% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)
+68.9%
stock +69% · XLK +32%
matured Jun 21, 24
Goldman Sachs 
May 19, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $126.95 — upside +6%
Today : $482.36 — upside -72%
Expected +6% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
+73.3%
stock +73% · XLK +36%
matured May 18, 24
Wells Fargo 
May 19, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$150
Price at call : $126.95 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside -69%
Expected +18% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
+73.3%
stock +73% · XLK +36%
matured May 18, 24
Stifel 
May 19, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$150
Price at call : $126.95 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside -69%
Expected +18% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
+73.3%
stock +73% · XLK +36%
matured May 18, 24
Needham 
May 19, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $126.95 — upside +10%
Today : $482.36 — upside -71%
Expected +10% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
+73.3%
stock +73% · XLK +36%
matured May 18, 24
Citigroup 
May 19, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$160
Price at call : $126.95 — upside +26%
Today : $482.36 — upside -67%
Expected +26% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
+73.3%
stock +73% · XLK +36%
matured May 18, 24
Wells Fargo 
Mar 14, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$135
Price at call : $120.34 — upside +12%
Today : $482.36 — upside -72%
Expected +12% · Actual +67% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
+66.7%
stock +67% · XLK +49%
matured Mar 13, 24
Needham 
Mar 1, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $117.26 — upside +15%
Today : $482.36 — upside -72%
Expected +15% · Actual +72% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)
+71.9%
stock +72% · XLK +53%
matured Feb 29, 24
Goldman Sachs 
Feb 21, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $111.28 — upside +8%
Today : $482.36 — upside -75%
Expected +8% · Actual +71% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
+71.0%
stock +71% · XLK +46%
matured Feb 21, 24
Wells Fargo 
Feb 17, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$135
Price at call : $111.28 — upside +21%
Today : $482.36 — upside -72%
Expected +21% · Actual +70% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)
+70.0%
stock +70% · XLK +47%
matured Feb 17, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$150
Price at call : $115.44 — upside +30%
Today : $482.36 — upside -69%
Expected +30% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
+63.8%
stock +64% · XLK +43%
matured Feb 17, 24
Citigroup 
Feb 17, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$136
Price at call : $115.44 — upside +18%
Today : $482.36 — upside -72%
Expected +18% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
+63.8%
stock +64% · XLK +43%
matured Feb 17, 24
Goldman Sachs 
Feb 17, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $115.44 — upside +4%
Today : $482.36 — upside -75%
Expected +4% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
+63.8%
stock +64% · XLK +43%
matured Feb 17, 24
Craig-Hallum 
Nov 18, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$126
Price at call : $104.7 — upside +20%
Today : $482.36 — upside -74%
Expected +20% · Actual +46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.8% · +8.3% (86 calls)
+45.7%
stock +46% · XLK +40%
matured Nov 18, 23
Citigroup 
Nov 17, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $104.45 — upside +29%
Today : $482.36 — upside -72%
Expected +29% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +16.5% (856 calls)
+42.3%
stock +42% · XLK +39%
matured Nov 17, 23
Berenberg 
Oct 14, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $74.82 — upside +60%
Today : $482.36 — upside -75%
Expected +60% · Actual +88% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50% · +3.8% (36 calls)
+88.4%
stock +88% · XLK +46%
matured Oct 14, 23
Goldman Sachs 
Oct 13, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$93
Price at call : $79.42 — upside +17%
Today : $482.36 — upside -81%
Expected +17% · Actual +78% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
+77.7%
stock +78% · XLK +40%
matured Oct 13, 23
Craig-Hallum 
Aug 19, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$126
Price at call : $100.81 — upside +25%
Today : $482.36 — upside -74%
Expected +25% · Actual +48% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.8% · +8.3% (86 calls)
+47.6%
stock +48% · XLK +17%
matured Aug 19, 23
DA Davidson 
Aug 19, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $100.81 — upside +54%
Today : $482.36 — upside -68%
Expected +54% · Actual +48% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 90% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.1% · +7.3% (167 calls)
+47.6%
stock +48% · XLK +17%
matured Aug 19, 23
Stifel 
Aug 19, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$184
Price at call : $104.63 — upside +76%
Today : $482.36 — upside -62%
Expected +76% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.4% · +10.2% (663 calls)
+42.2%
stock +42% · XLK +14%
matured Aug 19, 23
Goldman Sachs 
Aug 19, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$109
Price at call : $104.63 — upside +4%
Today : $482.36 — upside -77%
Expected +4% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
+42.2%
stock +42% · XLK +14%
matured Aug 19, 23
Goldman Sachs 
May 23, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$133
Price at call : $109.93 — upside +21%
Today : $482.36 — upside -72%
Expected +21% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
+13.2%
stock +13% · XLK +16%
matured May 23, 23
Craig-Hallum 
May 20, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$145
Price at call : $109.93 — upside +32%
Today : $482.36 — upside -70%
Expected +32% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.8% · +8.3% (86 calls)
+15.1%
stock +15% · XLK +18%
matured May 20, 23
DA Davidson 
May 20, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $106.46 — upside +60%
Today : $482.36 — upside -65%
Expected +60% · Actual +19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 90% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.1% · +7.3% (167 calls)
+18.9%
stock +19% · XLK +20%
matured May 20, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $106.46 — upside +32%
Today : $482.36 — upside -71%
Expected +32% · Actual +19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
+18.9%
stock +19% · XLK +20%
matured May 20, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$145
Price at call : $110.48 — upside +31%
Today : $482.36 — upside -70%
Expected +31% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
+9.4%
stock +9% · XLK +13%
matured May 16, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $131.86 — upside +33%
Today : $482.36 — upside -64%
Expected +33% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
-10.2%
stock -10% · XLK -7%
matured Feb 14, 23
Goldman Sachs 
Apr 7, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$151
Price at call : $139.14 — upside +9%
Today : $482.36 — upside -69%
Expected +9% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)
-12.0%
stock -12% · XLK +12%
matured Apr 7, 22
DA Davidson 
Apr 7, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $139.14 — upside +19%
Today : $482.36 — upside -66%
Expected +19% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 90% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.1% · +7.3% (167 calls)
-12.0%
stock -12% · XLK +12%
matured Apr 7, 22
Craig-Hallum 
Apr 7, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $139.14 — upside +22%
Today : $482.36 — upside -65%
Expected +22% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.8% · +8.3% (86 calls)
-12.0%
stock -12% · XLK +12%
matured Apr 7, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$195
Price at call : $143.05 — upside +36%
Today : $482.36 — upside -60%
Expected +36% · Actual -15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
-14.9%
stock -15% · XLK +14%
matured Apr 5, 22
Craig-Hallum 
Feb 4, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$124
Price at call : $100.71 — upside +23%
Today : $482.36 — upside -74%
Expected +23% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.8% · +8.3% (86 calls)
+35.2%
stock +35% · XLK +17%
matured Feb 4, 22
DA Davidson 
Jan 26, 21
▲ Buy
Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 90% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.1% · +7.3% (167 calls)
+28.5%
stock +28% · XLK +14%
matured Jan 26, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$72
Price at call : $52.04 — upside +38%
Today : $482.36 — upside -85%
Expected +38% · Actual +137% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.4% · +15.1% (170 calls)
+137.5%
stock +137% · XLK +44%
matured May 15, 21
Craig-Hallum 
Oct 24, 19
▲ Buy
Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMAT : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.8% · +8.3% (86 calls)
+10.7%
stock +11% · XLK +45%
matured Oct 23, 20
DA Davidson 
Feb 13, 14
▲ Buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $18.87 — upside +11%
Today : $482.36 — upside -96%
Expected +11% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 90% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.1% · +7.3% (167 calls)
+27.8%
stock +28% · XLK +18%
matured Feb 13, 15
DA Davidson 
Nov 15, 13
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $17.52 — upside +14%
Today : $482.36 — upside -96%
Expected +14% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 90% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.1% · +7.3% (167 calls)
+28.3%
stock +28% · XLK +21%
matured Nov 15, 14
DA Davidson 
Aug 16, 13
▲ Buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $15.55 — upside +16%
Today : $482.36 — upside -96%
Expected +16% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 90% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.1% · +7.3% (167 calls)
+42.1%
stock +42% · XLK +25%
matured Aug 16, 14
DA Davidson 
Feb 14, 13
▲ Buy · 🎯$17
Price at call : $13.89 — upside +22%
Today : $482.36 — upside -96%
Expected +22% · Actual +37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 90% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.1% · +7.3% (167 calls)
+36.5%
stock +37% · XLK +21%
matured Feb 14, 14
DA Davidson 
Feb 11, 13
▲ Buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $13.66 — upside +17%
Today : $482.36 — upside -97%
Expected +17% · Actual +31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 90% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.1% · +7.3% (167 calls)
+31.1%
stock +31% · XLK +20%
matured Feb 11, 14
DA Davidson 
Nov 13, 12
▲ Buy · 🎯$15
Price at call : $10.36 — upside +45%
Today : $482.36 — upside -97%
Expected +45% · Actual +70% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMAT : 90% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.1% · +7.3% (167 calls)
+69.5%
stock +70% · XLK +23%
matured Nov 13, 13

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Applied Materials stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Applied Materials, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $650 (+35% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Applied Materials). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Applied Materials? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Applied Materials is $900 (+87% above today's price); the average is $650. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Applied Materials on our site before trusting it.

Is Applied Materials still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 33 analysts have a real record on Applied Materials, the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in Applied Materials? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in AMAT (and why hesitate).

What has Applied Materials's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: AMAT performance & returns.

Does Applied Materials pay a dividend?

Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: AMAT's dividend.

What is the best month to buy AMAT?

The 12 months ranked by the stock's past returns: best & worst month to buy AMAT.

Are insiders buying AMAT stock?

Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on AMAT.

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)