Fastenal (FAST) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Fastenal · Industrials · ref. ETF XLI · 50 calls · price $51.43
What the company does: Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.
📈 Fastenal (FAST) stock price
$51.43+20.3% over range
Oct 14, 25low $39.15 · high $52.38Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
25% recommend buying · 4 analysts
📊 JPI status : Fastenal has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Hold” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.
🎯 FAST price target & analyst consensus — price $51.43
The price target · all analysts combined (4 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 4$55+6.9%
Median target · of 4 targets$49-4.7%
Lowest target · 2 firms of 4$46-10.6%
Current price$51.43
Where these 4 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
250%
$52 ↔ $55
Below
250%
$46
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Barclays — 59% of its targets hit on this sector (957 calls tested). It aims for $46 (-11 %), call made on July 17, 2026, maturing on July 17, 2027 (89 d ago).
The 2 reliable analysts
$49-4.8 %
The 2 other firms
$50.50-1.8 %
How to read it: the 2 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 1 below, hence their $49 median. “The 2 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 4 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy125%
Hold375%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 FAST price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on FAST most reliable
Their real reliability on FAST, firm by firm: who was right, who was wrong.
→ See their reliability on FASTAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Fastenal? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
💰 Fastenal dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page
1.93%annual yield
That's ~$0.92 per share per year.
📈 Fastenal fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 44.0Net margin 15.5 %Revenue growth +14.7 %Somewhat expensive
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 16 %
2023
Rev +5%Profit +6%
2024
Rev +3%Profit −0%
2025
Rev +9%Profit +9%
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on FAST
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baird ↗ | 100% | +31.7% | 5 |
| Wells Fargo ↗ | 100% | +29.9% | 2 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 100% | +18.6% | 2 |
| Wunderlich Securities | 100% | +14.9% | 3 |
| Argus Research ↗ | 100% | +14.7% | 3 |
| William Blair ↗ | 100% | +13.3% | 3 |
| Stifel ↗ | 80% | +9.9% | 10 |
| Raymond James ↗ | 50% | +9.7% | 4 |
| Edward Jones | 50% | +3.6% | 2 |
| Morgan Stanley ↗ | 45% | -9.2% | 11 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Fastenal would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Fastenal 10 years ago would be worth $4,737 today, i.e. +17%/yr on average. Best year: 2023 (+35%), worst: 2022 (-11%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Fastenal
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,312 | +31% |
| 3 years ago | $1,900 | +90% |
| 5 years ago | $2,107 | +111% |
Return by year (Fastenal)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | +11% | $1,108 (+11%) |
| 2025 | +18% | $1,312 (+31%) |
| 2024 | +7% | $1,408 (+41%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Fastenal
Loading news…
📋 All analyst calls on FAST
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 16, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $46.67 — gap to target +11%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 55% · +3.6% (1011 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 16, 27
matures : Jul 16, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$46
Price at call : $46.67 — gap to target -1%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 16, 27
matures : Jul 16, 27
DA Davidson ↗
Jul 15, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$46
Price at call : $45.36 — gap to target +1%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 58.4% · +19.2% (77 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 27
matures : Jul 15, 27
Rothschild & Co
Jul 13, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $47.05 — upside +17%
Today : $51.43 — upside +7%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 13, 27
matures : Jul 13, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 8, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $46.35 — gap to target +4%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 55% · +3.6% (1011 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 8, 27
matures : Jul 8, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $48.31 — gap to target -3%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 6, 27
matures : Jul 6, 27
DA Davidson ↗
Jun 16, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$46
Price at call : $44.88 — gap to target +2%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 58.4% · +19.2% (77 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 16, 27
matures : Jun 16, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$46
Price at call : $46.46 — gap to target -1%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 3, 27
matures : Jun 3, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $45.56 — gap to target -1%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 27
matures : Apr 17, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$50
Price at call : $44.62 — upside +12%
Today : $51.43 — upside -3%
🎯 on FAST : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 45% · +1.5% (369 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 14, 27
matures : Apr 14, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$44
Price at call : $46.8 — gap to target -6%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 6, 27
matures : Mar 6, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$52
Price at call : $46.46 — upside +12%
Today : $51.43 — upside +1%
🎯 on FAST : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 45% · +1.5% (369 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 6, 27
matures : Mar 6, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $44.78 — gap to target -4%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 27
matures : Jan 21, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $42.34 — upside +23%
Today : $51.43 — upside +1%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 62.1% · +9.3% (293 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 15, 26
matures : Dec 15, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$44
Price at call : $40.45 — gap to target +9%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 13, 26
matures : Nov 13, 26
Wolfe Research ↗
Nov 13, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$43
Price at call : $40.75 — upside +6%
Today : $51.43 — upside -16%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 57.1% · +9.0% (105 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 13, 26
matures : Nov 13, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$38
Price at call : $40.97 — upside -7%
Today : $51.43 — upside -26%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.1% · -1.0% (81 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 12, 26
matures : Nov 12, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $42.24 — gap to target +7%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 26
matures : Oct 14, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $47.55 — gap to target +3%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -5%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 26
matures : Oct 8, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$46
Price at call : $47.99 — gap to target -4%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.9% · +6.8% (582 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 4, 26
matures : Sep 4, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $47.48 — upside +16%
Today : $51.43 — upside +7%
Expected +16% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on FAST : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 45% · +1.5% (369 calls)
+9.2%
stock +9% · XLI +23%
matured Aug 7, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$41
Price at call : $45.6 — gap to target -10%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.9% · +6.8% (582 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 26
matures : Jul 15, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $45.13 — gap to target +4%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on FAST : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 45% · +1.5% (369 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 26
matures : Jul 15, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
Jul 15, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $45.13 — gap to target -0%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 46.8% · +5.6% (141 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 26
matures : Jul 15, 26
Loop Capital ↗
Jul 8, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $43.4 — gap to target +4%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.2% · -5.3% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 8, 26
matures : Jul 8, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $41.47 — gap to target -8%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -26%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.9% · +6.8% (582 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 27, 26
matures : May 27, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
May 23, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $41.64 — gap to target -4%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 55% · +3.6% (1011 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 23, 26
matures : May 23, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
May 22, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $40.72 — gap to target -53%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 55% · +3.6% (1011 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 26
matures : May 22, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
Apr 15, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $40.83 — gap to target -2%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 46.8% · +5.6% (141 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 26
matures : Apr 15, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $40.65 — gap to target +6%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on FAST : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 45% · +1.5% (369 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 14, 26
matures : Apr 14, 26
William Blair ↗
Mar 10, 25
▲ Outperform
Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on FAST : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51.7% · +17.8% (29 calls)
+16.0%
stock +16% · XLI +29%
matured Mar 10, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$41
Price at call : $37.8 — gap to target +8%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on FAST : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.8% · +3.0% (445 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 26
matures : Jan 21, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $39.63 — gap to target +9%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on FAST : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.8% · +3.0% (445 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 11, 25
matures : Dec 11, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$42.5
Price at call : $40.53 — gap to target +5%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 62.1% · +9.3% (293 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 6, 25
matures : Dec 6, 25
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 14, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $38.46 — gap to target -1%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -26%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 55% · +3.6% (1011 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 25
matures : Oct 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $38.46 — gap to target -6%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -30%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.9% · +6.8% (582 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 25
matures : Oct 14, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $38.35 — upside +12%
Today : $51.43 — upside -16%
Expected +12% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on FAST : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.8% · +3.0% (445 calls)
+11.5%
stock +11% · XLI +10%
matured Oct 14, 25
Stephens & Co. ↗
Oct 14, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37.5
Price at call : $38.35 — gap to target -2%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 46.8% · +5.6% (141 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 25
matures : Oct 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $38.35 — gap to target +4%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on FAST : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 45% · +1.5% (369 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 25
matures : Oct 14, 25
B of A Securities ↗
Oct 7, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$42.5
Price at call : $35 — upside +21%
Today : $51.43 — upside -17%
Expected +21% · Actual +36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on FAST : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 50.4% · +3.0% (502 calls)
+35.6%
stock +36% · XLI +14%
matured Oct 7, 25
Morgan Stanley ↗
Sep 6, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $34.04 — gap to target +6%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -30%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 55% · +3.6% (1011 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 6, 25
matures : Sep 6, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $34.51 — upside +16%
Today : $51.43 — upside -22%
Expected +16% · Actual +32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on FAST : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.8% · +3.0% (445 calls)
+32.1%
stock +32% · XLI +17%
matured Jul 15, 25
Stephens & Co. ↗
Jul 15, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$28
Price at call : $33.92 — gap to target -17%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -46%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 46.8% · +5.6% (141 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 25
matures : Jul 15, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$32.5
Price at call : $32.72 — gap to target -1%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -37%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 62.1% · +9.3% (293 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 11, 25
matures : Jul 11, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$34.5
Price at call : $33.21 — gap to target +4%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -33%
🎯 on FAST : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 45% · +1.5% (369 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 25
matures : May 7, 25
Loop Capital ↗
Apr 15, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $34.4 — gap to target -4%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -36%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.2% · -5.3% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 25
matures : Apr 15, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $34.69 — gap to target -8%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -38%
🎯 on FAST : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 60.9% · +8.3% (23 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 25
matures : Apr 15, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35.5
Price at call : $35.22 — gap to target +1%
Today : $51.43 — gap to target -31%
🎯 on FAST : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 45% · +1.5% (369 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 12, 25
matures : Apr 12, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$42.5
Price at call : $37.85 — upside +12%
Today : $51.43 — upside -17%
Expected +12% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on FAST : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.8% · +3.0% (445 calls)
+0.5%
stock +1% · XLI +8%
matured Mar 18, 25
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Fastenal stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Fastenal, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $49.00 (-5% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (5 calls tracked on Fastenal). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Fastenal? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Fastenal is $55.00 (+7% above today's price); the average is $49.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Fastenal on our site before trusting it.
Is Fastenal still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 11 analysts have a real record on Fastenal, the best hitting 100% over 5 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
What has Fastenal's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: FAST performance & returns.
Does Fastenal pay a dividend?
Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: FAST's dividend.
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