NVR, Inc. (NVR) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 50 calls · price $5797.61
What the company does: NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates through Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking segments.
📈 NVR, Inc. (NVR) stock price
$5797.61-25.1% over range
Oct 14, 25low $5563.62 · high $8097.25Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
40% recommend buying · 5 analysts
📊 JPI status : NVR, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 NVR price target & analyst consensus — price $5,798
The price target · all analysts combined (4 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 4$7400+27.6%
Median target · of 4 targets$6800+17.3%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 4$5058-12.8%
Current price$5797.61
Where these 4 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
375%
$6400 ↔ $7400
Below
125%
$5058
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: UBS — 68% of its targets hit on this sector (485 calls tested). It aims for $7,400 (+28 %), call made on July 25, 2026, maturing on July 25, 2027 (81 d ago).
The 4 reliable analysts
$6,800+17 %
How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 3 aim above the price, 1 below, hence their $6,800 median.
The consensus · 5 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy240%
Hold240%
Sell120%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 NVR price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on NVR most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in NVR? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about NVR, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
📈 NVR, Inc. fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 15.1Net margin 11.8 %Revenue growth -10.9 %Average P/E
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 17 %
2023
Rev −10%Profit −8%
2024
Rev +10%Profit +6%
2025
Rev −2%Profit −20%
🏛️ NVR, Inc. insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page
1 insider bought1 buys / 6 mo $405k
🔎 Detailed analyses
🏛️ Which US Congress members hold NVR, Inc. (NVR)?
2 Congress members have disclosed NVR buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
Kathy Manning 1× · 43%Maria Salazar 1×
✅ Historical analyst reliability on NVR
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| UBS ↗ | 100% | +24.3% | 2 |
| Keybanc ↗ | 67% | +23.4% | 6 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 60% | +18.8% | 5 |
| Buckingham Research | 33% | +12.8% | 3 |
| Credit Suisse | 25% | -21.3% | 4 |
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 0% | -31.7% | 2 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in NVR, Inc. would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in NVR, Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $4,147 today, i.e. +15%/yr on average. Best year: 2017 (+110%), worst: 2018 (-31%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in NVR, Inc.
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $833 | -17% |
| 3 years ago | $1,477 | +48% |
| 5 years ago | $1,670 | +67% |
Return by year (NVR, Inc.)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -7% | $934 (-7%) |
| 2025 | -11% | $833 (-17%) |
| 2024 | +17% | $973 (-3%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on NVR, Inc.
Loading news…
📋 All analyst calls on NVR
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 1, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$5058
Price at call : $6126.38 — upside -17%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -13%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.7% · -7.4% (777 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 1, 27
matures : Oct 1, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$7400
Price at call : $6311.54 — gap to target +17%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +28%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 27
matures : Jul 25, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Jul 24, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$6400
Price at call : $6311.54 — gap to target +1%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.5% · -5.4% (318 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 24, 27
matures : Jul 24, 27
B of A Securities ↗
Jul 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$7200
Price at call : $6325.4 — upside +14%
Today : $5797.61 — upside +24%
🎯 on NVR : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.1% · -5.6% (390 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 20, 27
matures : Jul 20, 27
Zelman & Assoc ↗
Jul 7, 26
▲ Buy
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 25% · -17.7% (4 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 27
matures : Jul 7, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$7700
Price at call : $6503.95 — gap to target +18%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +33%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
matures : Apr 23, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Apr 23, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$6600
Price at call : $6503.95 — gap to target +1%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.5% · -5.4% (318 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
matures : Apr 23, 27
B of A Securities ↗
Apr 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$8225
Price at call : $6933.5 — upside +19%
Today : $5797.61 — upside +42%
🎯 on NVR : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.1% · -5.6% (390 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 20, 27
matures : Apr 20, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
Truist Securities ↗
Apr 16, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$7100
Price at call : $7000.92 — gap to target +1%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +22%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.5% · -5.4% (318 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 27
matures : Apr 16, 27
Seaport Global ↗
Apr 7, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$5664
Price at call : $6492.24 — upside -13%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -2%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 63.2% · +0.9% (19 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
matures : Apr 7, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Mar 4, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$7700
Price at call : $7251.27 — gap to target +6%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +33%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.5% · -5.4% (318 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 4, 27
matures : Mar 4, 27
Zelman& Assoc ↗
Jan 29, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$7675
Price at call : $7623.76 — gap to target +1%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +32%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
matures : Jan 29, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$8150
Price at call : $7146.45 — gap to target +14%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +41%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 6, 27
matures : Jan 6, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$8500
Price at call : $7430.92 — gap to target +14%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +47%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
matures : Oct 23, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Oct 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$9000
Price at call : $7584.9 — upside +19%
Today : $5797.61 — upside +55%
Expected +19% · Actual -24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NVR : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.1% · -5.6% (390 calls)
-24.2%
stock -24% · XLY -4%
matured Oct 10, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$8150
Price at call : $7792.93 — gap to target +5%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +41%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 24, 26
matures : Jul 24, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$7600
Price at call : $7792.93 — gap to target -2%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +31%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 24, 26
matures : Jul 24, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$7900
Price at call : $7146.88 — gap to target +11%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +36%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 26
matures : Apr 23, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$8900
Price at call : $8140.57 — gap to target +9%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +54%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 26
matures : Jan 29, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$8570
Price at call : $7965.01 — gap to target +8%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +48%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 26
matures : Jan 29, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$8750
Price at call : $7845.22 — gap to target +12%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +51%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 26
matures : Jan 8, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$9245
Price at call : $8587.63 — gap to target +8%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +59%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 13, 25
matures : Dec 13, 25
Seaport Global ↗
Nov 11, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 63.2% · +0.9% (19 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 11, 25
matures : Nov 11, 25
B of A Securities ↗
Oct 23, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$10600
Price at call : $9456.4 — upside +12%
Today : $5797.61 — upside +83%
Expected +12% · Actual -21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NVR : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.1% · -5.6% (390 calls)
-21.4%
stock -21% · XLY +19%
matured Oct 23, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$9450
Price at call : $9456.4 — gap to target -0%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +63%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 25
matures : Oct 23, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$8175
Price at call : $7725 — gap to target +6%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target +41%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 25
matures : Apr 24, 25
Deutsche Bank ↗
Jun 1, 23
▼ Sell · 🎯$4400
Price at call : $5570.61 — upside -21%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -24%
Expected -21% · Actual +38% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NVR : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · -0.3% (458 calls)
-37.9%
stock +38% · XLY +15%
matured May 31, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$6000
Price at call : $5149.44 — upside +17%
Today : $5797.61 — upside +3%
Expected +17% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on NVR : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +1.4% (235 calls)
+42.4%
stock +42% · XLY +16%
matured Feb 6, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$5120
Price at call : $4354.74 — upside +18%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -12%
Expected +18% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on NVR : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +1.4% (235 calls)
+44.5%
stock +44% · XLY +17%
matured Nov 14, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$4800
Price at call : $4133.2 — upside +16%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -17%
Expected +16% · Actual +50% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on NVR : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +1.4% (235 calls)
+49.6%
stock +50% · XLY +6%
matured Sep 19, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$4300
Price at call : $4372.53 — gap to target -2%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -26%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 27, 23
matures : Jul 27, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$4330
Price at call : $4387.66 — gap to target -1%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -25%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 12, 23
matures : Jul 12, 23
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 17, 22
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$4145
Price at call : $3699.92 — gap to target +12%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.8% · +4.5% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 17, 23
matures : Jun 17, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$4100
Price at call : $3670 — gap to target +12%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 16, 23
matures : Jun 16, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$4770
Price at call : $4419.99 — gap to target +8%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -18%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 13, 23
matures : Apr 13, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$5100
Price at call : $4813.61 — upside +6%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -12%
Expected +6% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NVR : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +1.4% (235 calls)
+10.6%
stock +11% · XLY -17%
matured Mar 15, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$5300
Price at call : $4776.56 — gap to target +11%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 10, 23
matures : Mar 10, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$5700
Price at call : $5299.55 — upside +8%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -2%
Expected +8% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NVR : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +1.4% (235 calls)
-5.4%
stock -5% · XLY -20%
matured Feb 8, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$5500
Price at call : $5431.38 — gap to target +1%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -5%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 3, 23
matures : Feb 3, 23
▼ Sell · 🎯$4825
Price at call : $5187.72 — upside -7%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -17%
Expected -7% · Actual -3% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
+3.1%
stock -3% · XLY -25%
matured Jan 20, 23
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 16, 21
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$5000
Price at call : $4984.85 — gap to target +0%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.8% · +4.5% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 22
matures : Apr 16, 22
Wolfe Research ↗
Mar 16, 21
■ Peer Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.7% · +0.7% (49 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 16, 22
matures : Mar 16, 22
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$5290
Price at call : $4584.74 — gap to target +15%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on NVR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 11, 22
matures : Mar 11, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$5450
Price at call : $4699.58 — upside +16%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -6%
Expected +16% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NVR : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +1.4% (235 calls)
-1.3%
stock -1% · XLY +2%
matured Feb 22, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$5558
Price at call : $4034.32 — upside +38%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -4%
Expected +38% · Actual +45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on NVR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
+45.3%
stock +45% · XLY +30%
matured Dec 9, 21
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 24, 20
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$2950
Price at call : $2847.37 — gap to target +4%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -49%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.8% · +4.5% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 21
matures : Apr 24, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$2700
Price at call : $2286.27 — upside +18%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -53%
Expected +18% · Actual +93% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on NVR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
+93.4%
stock +93% · XLY +89%
matured Mar 18, 21
B of A Securities ↗
Mar 12, 20
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on NVR : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.1% · -5.6% (390 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 21
matures : Mar 12, 21
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 29, 20
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$4300
Price at call : $3898.56 — gap to target +10%
Today : $5797.61 — gap to target -26%
🎯 on NVR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.8% · +4.5% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 28, 21
matures : Jan 28, 21
B of A Securities ↗
Jan 29, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$4525
Price at call : $3898.56 — upside +16%
Today : $5797.61 — upside -22%
Expected +16% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on NVR : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.1% · -5.6% (390 calls)
+15.9%
stock +16% · XLY +32%
matured Jan 28, 21
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy NVR, Inc. stock?
This isn't buy advice. For NVR, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $6,800 (+17% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on NVR, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy NVR, Inc.? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on NVR, Inc. is $7,400 (+28% above today's price); the average is $6,800. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on NVR, Inc. on our site before trusting it.
Is NVR, Inc. still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 6 analysts have a real record on NVR, Inc., the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
Should you invest in NVR, Inc.? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in NVR (and why hesitate).
What has NVR, Inc.'s past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: NVR performance & returns.
Are insiders buying NVR stock?
Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on NVR.
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