Armour Residential REIT (ARR) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Armour Residential REIT · Real Estate · ref. ETF XLRE · 15 calls · price $16.41
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What the company does: ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR), founded in 2008 and based in Vero Beach, Florida, primarily allocates its capital to residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) within the United States.

📈 Armour Residential REIT (ARR) stock price

$16.41+8.4% over range
Aug 28, 25low $14.05 · high $19.12Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
50% recommend buying · 2 analysts
📊 JPI status : Armour Residential REIT has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 ARR price target & analyst consensusprice $16.41

The price target · all analysts combined (2 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 2$19+15.8%
Median target · of 2 targets$18.5+12.7%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 2$18+9.7%
Current price$16.41
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say

No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.

The consensus · 2 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy150%
Hold150%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
💬 A question about Armour Residential REIT? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

📊 What $1,000 invested in Armour Residential REIT would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Armour Residential REIT 10 years ago would be worth $157 today, i.e. -17%/yr on average. Best year: 2017 (+19%), worst: 2022 (-43%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Armour Residential REIT

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$907-9%
3 years ago$608-39%
5 years ago$317-68%
→ See Armour Residential REIT's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Armour Residential REIT)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)-3%$967 (-3%)
2025-6%$907 (-9%)
2024-2%$886 (-11%)
→ See Armour Residential REIT's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Armour Residential REIT

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📋 All analyst calls on ARR

UBS 
Apr 24, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $17.61 — gap to target +2%
Today : $16.41 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 28.6% · +0.8% (21 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 27
Jones Trading
Apr 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $17.62 — upside +8%
Today : $16.41 — upside +16%
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 14.3% · -7.1% (7 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
Jones Trading
Feb 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $17.89 — upside +12%
Today : $16.41 — upside +22%
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 14.3% · -7.1% (7 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 20, 27
Jones Trading
Jan 16, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$20.5
Price at call : $19.12 — upside +7%
Today : $16.41 — upside +25%
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 14.3% · -7.1% (7 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 16, 27
Compass Point 
Dec 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $16.87 — upside +10%
Today : $16.41 — upside +13%
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 44.9% · -1.9% (49 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 15, 26
UBS 
Sep 3, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$15.5
Price at call : $15.63 — gap to target -1%
Today : $16.41 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 28.6% · +0.8% (21 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 3, 26
UBS 
Jul 11, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $16.85 — gap to target -5%
Today : $16.41 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 28.6% · +0.8% (21 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 11, 26
▲ Buy
Actual +4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ARR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Real estate : 50% · -2.4% (8 calls)
+3.7%
stock +4% · XLRE +6%
matured Apr 28, 26
See the other 7 calls, newest to oldest
Jones Trading
Apr 24, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 14.3% · -7.1% (7 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 26
JMP Securities
Jan 23, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 23, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $20.52 — gap to target +2%
Today : $16.41 — gap to target +28%
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 48.6% · +7.6% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 29, 25
JMP Securities
Apr 19, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 19, 25
JMP Securities
Apr 18, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 18, 25
UBS 
Dec 6, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $18.54 — gap to target -0%
Today : $16.41 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 28.6% · +0.8% (21 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $17.21 — gap to target +16%
Today : $16.41 — gap to target +22%
🎯 on ARR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 48.6% · +7.6% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 15, 24

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Armour Residential REIT stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Armour Residential REIT, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $18.50 (+13% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock, detailed on our site. We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Armour Residential REIT? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Armour Residential REIT is $19.00 (+16% above today's price); the average is $18.50. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Armour Residential REIT on our site before trusting it.

Is Armour Residential REIT still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: we replay every analyst call against real prices to keep only those with a real edge. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

What has Armour Residential REIT's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: ARR performance & returns.

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)