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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
AvalonBay Communities · Real Estate · ref. ETF XLRE · 51 calls · price $184.06
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What the company does: At the close of 2020, AvalonBay Communities held a direct or indirect ownership stake in a substantial portfolio encompassing 291 apartment communities.

📈 AvalonBay Communities (AVB) stock price

$68.14-1.1% over range
Jul 17, 26low $63.66 · high $68.93Aug 24, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
22% recommend buying · 9 analysts
📊 JPI status : AvalonBay Communities has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Hold” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.

🎯 AVB price target & analyst consensus — price $184

The price target · all analysts combined (9 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 9$75.19-59.1%
Median target · of 9 targets$69.1-62.5%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 9$67.31-63.4%
Current price$184.06
Where these 9 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Below 9100% $67.31 ↔ $75.19
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say

No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.

The consensus · 9 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy222%
Hold778%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about AvalonBay Communities? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

💰 AvalonBay Communities dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page

3.71%annual yield
That's ~$7.06 per share per year.

📈 AvalonBay Communities fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page

P/E 25.2Net margin 33.3 %Revenue growth +2.3 %Average P/E

Revenue, net income and margin per year

Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 44 %
2023
Rev +7%Profit −18%
2024
Rev +5%Profit +16%
2025
Rev +4%Profit −3%

🔎 Detailed analyses

🏛️ Which US Congress members hold AvalonBay Communities (AVB)?

1 Congress member has disclosed AVB buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
Daniel Goldman 1× · 25%
→ Full members ranking (who beats the market)

✅ Historical analyst reliability on AVB

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm ↕ % right i ↕ Gain vs sector i ↕ Calls i ↕
Credit Suisse 0% 0.0% 2
Stifel ↗ 0% 0.0% 4
Deutsche Bank ↗ 0% 0.0% 17
Keybanc ↗ 0% 0.0% 13
Jefferies ↗ 0% 0.0% 3
UBS ↗ 0% 0.0% 3
JP Morgan ↗ 0% 0.0% 9
BMO Capital ↗ 0% 0.0% 3
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey 0% 0.0% 7
Evercore ISI Group ↗ 0% 0.0% 7
See the other 11 firms
Truist Securities ↗ 0% 0.0% 4
Barclays ↗ 0% 0.0% 3
Morgan Stanley ↗ 0% 0.0% 11
Goldman Sachs ↗ 0% 0.0% 4
Wells Fargo ↗ 0% 0.0% 8
Argus Research ↗ 0% 0.0% 4
B of A Securities ↗ 0% 0.0% 2
Mizuho ↗ 0% 0.0% 10
Piper Sandler ↗ 0% 0.0% 9
BTIG ↗ 0% 0.0% 3
Baird ↗ 0% 0.0% 2

📊 What $1,000 invested in AvalonBay Communities would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in AvalonBay Communities 10 years ago would be worth $1,025 today, i.e. +0%/yr on average. Best year: 2021 (+57%), worst: 2022 (-36%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in AvalonBay Communities

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$858-14%
3 years ago$1,168+17%
5 years ago$1,176+18%
→ See AvalonBay Communities's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (AvalonBay Communities)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+4%$1,041 (+4%)
2025-18%$858 (-14%)
2024+17%$1,008 (+1%)
→ See AvalonBay Communities's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on AvalonBay Communities

Loading news…

📋 All analyst calls on AVB

Barclays ↗
Aug 17, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$73.7558
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -60%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 40.6% · -1.2% (404 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 17, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70.1754
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +6%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -62%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 45.9% · +0.7% (157 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Jul 21, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75.188
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +14%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -59%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 35.4% · +0.2% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 27
Barclays ↗
Jul 14, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$73.3978
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +11%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -60%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 40.6% · -1.2% (404 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 27
Scotiabank ↗
Jul 9, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$69.8174
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +6%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -62%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 36.6% · -0.4% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$72.3237
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +10%
Today : $184.06 — upside -61%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 48.1% · +1.5% (131 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 16, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
May 29, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$69.8174
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +6%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -62%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 35.4% · +0.2% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 29, 27
UBS ↗
May 14, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67.6692
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +3%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 38.1% · -1.8% (97 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 14, 27
See the other 43 calls, newest to oldest
Scotiabank ↗
May 14, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66.9531
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +2%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -64%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 36.6% · -0.4% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 14, 27
Barclays ↗
May 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$72.6817
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +10%
Today : $184.06 — upside -61%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 40.6% · -1.2% (404 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68.0272
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +3%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 64.7% · +8.3% (17 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 4, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Apr 29, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67.3111
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +2%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 45.6% · -0.8% (206 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 29, 27
Barclays ↗
Apr 27, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$73.7558
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +12%
Today : $184.06 — upside -60%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 40.6% · -1.2% (404 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 27, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 23, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$68.3852
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +4%
Today : $184.06 — upside -63%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 52.7% · +2.5% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68.3852
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +4%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 45.9% · +0.7% (157 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 6, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Mar 26, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$72.6817
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +10%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -61%
🎯 on AVB : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Real estate : 53.3% · +1.8% (225 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 26, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Mar 16, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$74.4719
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +13%
Today : $184.06 — upside -60%
🎯 on AVB : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Real estate : 53.3% · +1.8% (225 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 16, 27
Barclays ↗
Mar 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$72.3237
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +10%
Today : $184.06 — upside -61%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 40.6% · -1.2% (404 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 6, 27
Scotiabank ↗
Mar 4, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68.0272
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +3%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 36.6% · -0.4% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 4, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$71.9656
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +9%
Today : $184.06 — upside -61%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 48.1% · +1.5% (131 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 4, 27
Citigroup ↗
Feb 13, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70.8915
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +8%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -61%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 56.7% · +4.9% (194 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Feb 9, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65.5209
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target -1%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -64%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 35.4% · +0.2% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 9, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66.5951
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +1%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -64%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 64.7% · +8.3% (17 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 9, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Feb 6, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66.9531
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +2%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -64%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 45.6% · -0.8% (206 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 6, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$72.6817
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +10%
Today : $184.06 — upside -61%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 48.1% · +1.5% (131 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 20, 27
Barclays ↗
Jan 13, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$77.6942
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +18%
Today : $184.06 — upside -58%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 40.6% · -1.2% (404 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
UBS ↗
Jan 8, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68.3852
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +4%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 38.1% · -1.8% (97 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$69.8174
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +6%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -62%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$73.3978
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +11%
Today : $184.06 — upside -60%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 48.1% · +1.5% (131 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 2, 26
Barclays ↗
Nov 25, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$77.3362
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +17%
Today : $184.06 — upside -58%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 40.6% · -1.2% (404 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 25, 26
Mizuho ↗
Nov 24, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68.3852
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +4%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 48% · +0.2% (171 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 24, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Nov 13, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$79.6634
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +21%
Today : $184.06 — upside -57%
🎯 on AVB : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Real estate : 53.3% · +1.8% (225 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 13, 26
UBS ↗
Nov 10, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68.7433
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +4%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 38.1% · -1.8% (97 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 10, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Nov 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$69.1013
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +5%
Today : $184.06 — upside -62%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 52.7% · +2.5% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 10, 26
RBC Capital ↗
Nov 4, 25
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70.5335
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +7%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -62%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 45.6% · -0.8% (206 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 4, 26
Scotiabank ↗
Nov 4, 25
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$69.1013
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +5%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -62%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 36.6% · -0.4% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 4, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$73.0397
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +11%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -60%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 45.9% · +0.7% (157 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 3, 26
Piper Sandler ↗
Nov 3, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68.0272
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +3%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 35.4% · +0.2% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 3, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$76.6201
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +16%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -58%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 45.9% · +0.7% (157 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 13, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$73.3978
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +11%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -60%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 64.7% · +8.3% (17 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 1, 26
Barclays ↗
Sep 30, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$81.9907
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +24%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -55%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 40.6% · -1.2% (404 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 30, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$77.3362
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +17%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -58%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 45.9% · +0.7% (157 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$78.0523
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +18%
Today : $184.06 — upside -58%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 48.1% · +1.5% (131 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 11, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 27, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$76.2621
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +16%
Today : $184.06 — upside -59%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 52.7% · +2.5% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 27, 26
Scotiabank ↗
Aug 14, 25
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80.9166
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +23%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -56%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 36.6% · -0.4% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 26
Mizuho ↗
Aug 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$71.2496
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +8%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -61%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 48% · +0.2% (171 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Aug 13, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$80.5585
Price at call : $65.9005 — upside +22%
Today : $184.06 — upside -56%
Expected +22% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AVB : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Real estate : 53.3% · +1.8% (225 calls)
0.0%
stock +0% · XLRE +10%
matured Aug 13, 26
Barclays ↗
Aug 12, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$81.6327
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +24%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -56%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 40.6% · -1.2% (404 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 12, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75.904
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +15%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -59%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 45.9% · +0.7% (157 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 12, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$77.3362
Price at call : $65.9005 — gap to target +17%
Today : $184.06 — gap to target -58%
🎯 on AVB : no call matured yet · 📊 on Real estate : 45.9% · +0.7% (157 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 4, 26
Zelman & Assoc ↗
Feb 13, 25
▲ Outperform
Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AVB : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 overall : 37.5% · -1.4% (8 calls)
0.0%
stock +0% · XLRE +4%
matured Feb 13, 26

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy AvalonBay Communities stock?

This isn't buy advice. For AvalonBay Communities, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $69.10 (-62% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 0% of the time (2 calls tracked on AvalonBay Communities). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy AvalonBay Communities? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on AvalonBay Communities is $75.19 (-59% above today's price); the average is $69.10. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on AvalonBay Communities on our site before trusting it.

Is AvalonBay Communities still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 21 analysts have a real record on AvalonBay Communities, the best hitting 0% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in AvalonBay Communities? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in AVB (and why hesitate).

What has AvalonBay Communities's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: AVB performance & returns.

Does AvalonBay Communities pay a dividend?

Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: AVB's dividend.

Other Real estate stocks

Go further

JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)