Does Carvana (CVNA) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Carvana month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.0% | -16.7% | -5.9% | +25.9% | -7.8% | -9.8% | -5.3% | |||||
| 2025 | +21.7% | -5.8% | -10.3% | +16.9% | +33.9% | +3.0% | +15.8% | -4.7% | +1.4% | -18.7% | +22.2% | +12.7% |
| 2024 | -18.7% | +76.4% | +15.7% | -5.7% | +20.6% | +28.7% | +3.5% | +13.0% | +15.6% | +42.0% | +5.3% | -21.9% |
| 2023 | +113.7% | -7.4% | +4.3% | -29.1% | +85.6% | +100.8% | +77.4% | +9.6% | -16.6% | -35.7% | +15.9% | +69.2% |
| 2022 | -30.1% | -7.2% | -20.7% | -51.4% | -49.2% | -23.3% | +29.0% | +13.2% | -38.5% | -33.3% | -43.2% | -38.3% |
| 2021 | +9.0% | +8.5% | -7.4% | +8.7% | -7.1% | +13.8% | +11.8% | -2.8% | -8.1% | +0.5% | -7.5% | -17.3% |
| 2020 | -13.9% | +4.6% | -33.5% | +45.4% | +16.1% | +29.2% | +28.9% | +39.4% | +3.3% | -16.9% | +35.0% | -4.3% |
| 2019 | +13.6% | +20.7% | +29.4% | +23.3% | -19.1% | +8.1% | +1.5% | +27.7% | -18.7% | +22.9% | +17.5% | -3.4% |
| 2018 | +0.0% | +5.0% | +14.5% | +14.2% | +10.1% | +44.2% | +3.4% | +50.6% | -8.7% | -34.4% | +11.7% | -24.5% |
| 2017 | -9.5% | +103.5% | -4.6% | -8.5% | -17.6% | -3.4% | +14.1% | +17.9% | ||||
| Average | +10.0% | +8.7% | -1.6% | +5.3% | +7.4% | +29.8% | +16.1% | +15.3% | -9.8% | -8.6% | +7.9% | -1.1% |
| % of years up | 44% | 56% | 44% | 67% | 50% | 80% | 80% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 78% | 33% |
| Years observed | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Carvana month by month: the summary
Over 2017-2026, here's what Carvana (CVNA) stock did each month, on average: January +10.0% (up 44% of 9 years), February +8.7% (up 56% of 9 years), March -1.6% (up 44% of 9 years), April +5.3% (up 67% of 9 years), May +7.4% (up 50% of 10 years), June +29.8% (up 80% of 10 years), July +16.1% (up 80% of 10 years), August +15.3% (up 67% of 9 years), September -9.8% (up 33% of 9 years), October -8.6% (up 33% of 9 years), November +7.9% (up 78% of 9 years), December -1.1% (up 33% of 9 years). In other words, CVNA historically rose in January, February, April, May, June, July, August, November, and fell in March, September, October, December.
Does Carvana really go up in June?
Over 2017-2026, June is Carvana's strongest month: +29.8% on average, positive in 8 of 10 years. At the other end, September shows -9.8%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Carvana stock go up or down in August?
Over 9 years, CVNA rose +15.3% on average in August, finishing the month up 6 times out of 9 (67%). Median: +13.0%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 9 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Carvana stock go up or down in July?
Over 10 years, CVNA rose +16.1% on average in July, finishing the month up 8 times out of 10 (80%). Median: +7.7%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 10 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Carvana stock go up or down in January?
Over 9 years, CVNA rose +10.0% on average in January, finishing the month up 4 times out of 9 (44%). Median: +0.0%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 9 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Carvana stock go up or down in February?
Over 9 years, CVNA rose +8.7% on average in February, finishing the month up 5 times out of 9 (56%). Median: +4.6%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 9 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Carvana stock go up or down in October?
Over 9 years, CVNA fell -8.6% on average in October, finishing the month up 3 times out of 9 (33%). Median: -16.9%. It's one of its weakest months. ⚠️ 9 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Carvana stock go up or down in November?
Over 9 years, CVNA rose +7.9% on average in November, finishing the month up 7 times out of 9 (78%). Median: +14.1%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 9 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Carvana stock?
Historically, June: over the last 10 years, CVNA gained +29.8% on average that month and finished up 80% of the time (10 years observed). September is the weakest month (-9.8%). This is not a prediction: 10 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does Carvana stock often rise in June?
June has averaged as its best month over 10 years (+29.8%, up 80% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 10 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For CVNA it's June (+29.8% on average over 10 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on CVNA, June is the most consistent month (80% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 10 times out of 10 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On CVNA's real monthly closing prices from 2017 to 2026 (10 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.