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Carvana (CVNA) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Carvana · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 56 calls · price $60.39
🏆JPI 2026 portfoliosSee tracking →
What the company does: Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars.

📈 Carvana (CVNA) stock price

$60.39-12.7% over range
Oct 14, 25low $56.26 · high $95.69Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
76% recommend buying · 17 analysts
📊 JPI status : Carvana has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 CVNA price target & analyst consensus — price $60.39

The price target · all analysts combined (17 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 17$120+98.7%
Median target · of 17 targets$83+37.4%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 17$67+10.9%
Current price$60.39
Where these 17 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 17100% $67 ↔ $120
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Stephens & Co. — 78% of its targets hit on this sector (94 calls tested). It aims for $83 (+37 %), call made on October 7, 2026, maturing on October 7, 2027 (7 d ago).

The 10 reliable analysts $85+41 %
The 7 other firms $83+37 %
How to read it: the 10 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 10 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $85 median. “The 7 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 17 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy1376%
Hold424%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Carvana? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

📈 Carvana fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page

P/E 32.0Net margin 6.3 %Revenue growth +52.4 %Cheap for the growth

Revenue, net income and margin per year

Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. -21 %
2023
Rev −21%
2024
Rev +27%Profit +169%
2025
Rev +49%Profit +369%

🏛️ Carvana insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page

1 insider bought1 buys / 6 mo $1.5M

🔎 Detailed analyses

🏛️ Which US Congress members hold Carvana (CVNA)?

1 Congress member has disclosed CVNA buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
Josh Gottheimer 5× · 56%
→ Full members ranking (who beats the market)

✅ Historical analyst reliability on CVNA

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm ↕ % right i ↕ Gain vs sector i ↕ Calls i ↕
BMO Capital ↗ 100% +196.6% 2
William Blair ↗ 100% +176.8% 2
Piper Sandler ↗ 91% +108.9% 11
JMP Securities 87% +195.0% 30
B. Riley Securities ↗ 80% +84.6% 5
Citigroup ↗ 78% +89.0% 18
Baird ↗ 78% +62.8% 9
BTIG ↗ 75% +112.7% 4
Wells Fargo ↗ 75% +97.8% 20
B of A Securities ↗ 71% +76.0% 14
See the other 13 firms
CFRA 0% -493.0% 3
Wedbush ↗ 0% -205.4% 6
Keybanc ↗ 0% -89.7% 2
Stifel ↗ 0% -89.5% 2
Morgan Stanley ↗ 12% -155.0% 17
Jefferies ↗ 20% -68.4% 5
Truist Securities ↗ 25% -27.7% 4
RBC Capital ↗ 33% -100.0% 9
Cowen & Co. 33% -35.0% 6
Oppenheimer ↗ 40% +28.5% 5
JP Morgan ↗ 64% +24.9% 14
Needham ↗ 68% +71.7% 25
Stephens & Co. ↗ 71% +55.7% 7

📊 What $1,000 invested in Carvana would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Carvana 10 years ago would be worth $29,649 today, i.e. +46%/yr on average. Best year: 2023 (+1017%), worst: 2022 (-98%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Carvana

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,858+86%
3 years ago$69,430+6843%
5 years ago$1,374+37%
→ See Carvana's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Carvana)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)-18%$822 (-18%)
2025+126%$1,858 (+86%)
2024+235%$6,216 (+522%)
→ See Carvana's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Carvana

Loading news…

📋 All analyst calls on CVNA

BTIG ↗
Oct 9, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$87
Price at call : $63.73 — upside +37%
Today : $60.39 — upside +44%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 53.2% · +8.5% (139 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$83
Price at call : $62.76 — upside +32%
Today : $60.39 — upside +37%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 53.2% · +6.2% (94 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 6, 27
Barclays ↗
Oct 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$80
Price at call : $62.76 — upside +27%
Today : $60.39 — upside +32%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.1% · +0.6% (734 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 6, 27
Oppenheimer ↗
Sep 30, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$90
Price at call : $63.04 — upside +43%
Today : $60.39 — upside +49%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +7.9% (294 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 30, 27
BTIG ↗
Aug 4, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$87
Price at call : $68.03 — upside +28%
Today : $60.39 — upside +44%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 53.2% · +8.5% (139 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 4, 27
Citigroup ↗
Jul 31, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $66.13 — upside +36%
Today : $60.39 — upside +49%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +0.3% (624 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 27
Barclays ↗
Jul 31, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$93
Price at call : $62.36 — upside +49%
Today : $60.39 — upside +54%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.1% · +0.6% (734 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 27
BNP Paribas
Jul 30, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$69
Price at call : $62.36 — gap to target +11%
Today : $60.39 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 27
See the other 48 calls, newest to oldest
RBC Capital ↗
Jul 30, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$82
Price at call : $62.36 — upside +31%
Today : $60.39 — upside +36%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 43.4% · -8.5% (332 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $62.36 — gap to target +20%
Today : $60.39 — gap to target +24%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.9% · -5.7% (231 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 27
Citizens
Jul 30, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$83
Price at call : $62.36 — upside +33%
Today : $60.39 — upside +37%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$80
Price at call : $61.44 — upside +30%
Today : $60.39 — upside +32%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.8% · +4.5% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$90
Price at call : $61.44 — upside +46%
Today : $60.39 — upside +49%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.7% · -7.4% (777 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 27
BTIG ↗
Jul 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$87
Price at call : $61.44 — upside +42%
Today : $60.39 — upside +44%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 53.2% · +8.5% (139 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 27
Needham ↗
Jul 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $61.44 — upside +95%
Today : $60.39 — upside +99%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.8% · +9.9% (173 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 27
Barclays ↗
Jul 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$94
Price at call : $62.75 — upside +50%
Today : $60.39 — upside +56%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.1% · +0.6% (734 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 21, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$85
Price at call : $62.75 — upside +35%
Today : $60.39 — upside +41%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.8% · +4.5% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 27
Jefferies ↗
Jul 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $70.38 — upside +28%
Today : $60.39 — upside +49%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 43.6% · +5.4% (273 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Jun 11, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$85
Price at call : $64.1 — upside +33%
Today : $60.39 — upside +41%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 43.4% · -8.5% (332 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 11, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Jun 5, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$92
Price at call : $69.45 — upside +32%
Today : $60.39 — upside +52%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 43.4% · -8.5% (332 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 5, 27
BTIG ↗
Jun 5, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$97
Price at call : $66.51 — upside +46%
Today : $60.39 — upside +61%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 53.2% · +8.5% (139 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 5, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$86
Price at call : $63.65 — gap to target +35%
Today : $60.39 — gap to target +42%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.9% · -5.7% (231 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 2, 27
Barclays ↗
May 14, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$93
Price at call : $69.53 — upside +34%
Today : $60.39 — upside +54%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.1% · +0.6% (734 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 14, 27
BTIG ↗
May 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$97
Price at call : $76.23 — upside +27%
Today : $60.39 — upside +61%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 53.2% · +8.5% (139 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
BTIG ↗
May 8, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$19.4
Price at call : $77.94 — upside -75%
Today : $60.39 — upside -68%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 53.2% · +8.5% (139 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
DA Davidson ↗
May 1, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $75.31 — gap to target -11%
Today : $60.39 — gap to target +11%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -5.1% (129 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
RBC Capital ↗
May 1, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$92
Price at call : $75.31 — upside +22%
Today : $60.39 — upside +52%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 43.4% · -8.5% (332 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
Citizens
May 1, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$103
Price at call : $75.31 — upside +37%
Today : $60.39 — upside +71%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
JP Morgan ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$93
Price at call : $76.52 — upside +22%
Today : $60.39 — upside +54%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
UBS ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$104
Price at call : $76.52 — upside +36%
Today : $60.39 — upside +72%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$102
Price at call : $76.52 — upside +33%
Today : $60.39 — upside +69%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.7% · -7.4% (777 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Barclays ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$95
Price at call : $76.52 — upside +24%
Today : $60.39 — upside +57%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.1% · +0.6% (734 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$86
Price at call : $76.52 — gap to target +12%
Today : $60.39 — gap to target +42%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.9% · -5.7% (231 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$95
Price at call : $79.16 — upside +20%
Today : $60.39 — upside +57%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.8% · +4.5% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
BTIG ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$97
Price at call : $79.16 — upside +23%
Today : $60.39 — upside +61%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 53.2% · +8.5% (139 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Needham ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $79.16 — upside +52%
Today : $60.39 — upside +99%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.8% · +9.9% (173 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $83.36 — gap to target -2%
Today : $60.39 — gap to target +36%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.1% · -5.6% (390 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 27
JP Morgan ↗
Apr 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$91
Price at call : $67.26 — upside +35%
Today : $60.39 — upside +51%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
Barclays ↗
Apr 7, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$86
Price at call : $67.76 — upside +27%
Today : $60.39 — upside +42%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.1% · +0.6% (734 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$72
Price at call : $63.37 — gap to target +14%
Today : $60.39 — gap to target +19%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.1% · -5.6% (390 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 6, 27
Needham ↗
Mar 16, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $61.19 — upside +63%
Today : $60.39 — upside +66%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.8% · +9.9% (173 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 16, 27
Citigroup ↗
Feb 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$93
Price at call : $65.02 — upside +43%
Today : $60.39 — upside +54%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +0.3% (624 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 20, 27
UBS ↗
Feb 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$97
Price at call : $65.02 — upside +49%
Today : $60.39 — upside +61%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.2% · +2.3% (485 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 20, 27
Barclays ↗
Feb 20, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$90
Price at call : $65.02 — upside +38%
Today : $60.39 — upside +49%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.1% · +0.6% (734 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 20, 27
DA Davidson ↗
Feb 19, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $67.32 — gap to target -5%
Today : $60.39 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -5.1% (129 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
JP Morgan ↗
Feb 19, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$98
Price at call : $67.32 — upside +46%
Today : $60.39 — upside +62%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.9% · -2.0% (561 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Feb 19, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$88
Price at call : $67.32 — upside +31%
Today : $60.39 — upside +46%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 43.4% · -8.5% (332 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$78
Price at call : $66.56 — gap to target +17%
Today : $60.39 — gap to target +29%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.9% · -5.7% (231 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 19, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$85
Price at call : $66.56 — upside +28%
Today : $60.39 — upside +41%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.8% · +4.5% (551 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
Stephens & Co. ↗
Feb 19, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$103.8
Price at call : $66.56 — upside +56%
Today : $60.39 — upside +72%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 53.2% · +6.2% (94 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
Gordon Haskett ↗
Jul 14, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65.8
Price at call : $69.68 — gap to target -6%
Today : $60.39 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on CVNA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 56.1% · +4.8% (41 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $20.02 — upside -0%
Today : $60.39 — upside -67%
Expected -0% · Actual +142% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CVNA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.7% · +4.3% (38 calls)
+142.0%
stock +142% · XLY +49%
matured May 7, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $17.2 — upside +22%
Today : $60.39 — upside -65%
Expected +22% · Actual +226% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CVNA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.7% · +4.3% (38 calls)
+226.3%
stock +226% · XLY +55%
matured May 5, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$25
Price at call : $20.81 — upside +20%
Today : $60.39 — upside -59%
Expected +20% · Actual +174% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CVNA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.7% · +4.3% (38 calls)
+173.9%
stock +174% · XLY +36%
matured Feb 24, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$7.6
Price at call : $5.36 — upside +42%
Today : $60.39 — upside -87%
Expected +42% · Actual +149% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CVNA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.7% · +4.3% (38 calls)
+149.3%
stock +149% · XLY +12%
matured May 10, 19
▼ Sell · 🎯$2.4
Price at call : $3.23 — upside -26%
Today : $60.39 — upside -96%
Expected -26% · Actual +268% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CVNA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.7% · +4.3% (38 calls)
-268.2%
stock +268% · XLY +30%
matured Sep 22, 18

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Carvana stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Carvana, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $83.00 (+37% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Carvana). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Carvana? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Carvana is $120 (+99% above today's price); the average is $83.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Carvana on our site before trusting it.

Is Carvana still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 23 analysts have a real record on Carvana, the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in Carvana? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in CVNA (and why hesitate).

What has Carvana's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: CVNA performance & returns.

Are insiders buying CVNA stock?

Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on CVNA.

Other Cons. disc. stocks

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)