Does Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Essent Group Ltd. month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -3.2% | -3.3% | -3.9% | +3.6% | -4.3% | +11.0% | +2.6% | |||||
| 2025 | +7.0% | -1.1% | +0.2% | -1.4% | +1.9% | +4.7% | -7.8% | +12.1% | +1.3% | -4.7% | +3.6% | +3.6% |
| 2024 | +4.6% | -2.9% | +11.1% | -11.0% | +7.0% | -0.9% | +11.8% | +2.3% | +0.0% | -6.7% | -3.7% | -5.8% |
| 2023 | +13.2% | -2.5% | -6.8% | +6.0% | +4.0% | +6.0% | +6.0% | +1.2% | -5.8% | -0.1% | +2.3% | +9.1% |
| 2022 | +0.2% | -3.2% | -6.7% | -1.7% | +5.6% | -9.1% | +7.4% | -4.2% | -12.8% | +13.5% | +1.3% | -3.0% |
| 2021 | -3.2% | -1.4% | +15.2% | +10.7% | -9.0% | -6.0% | +0.5% | +4.2% | -6.5% | +9.1% | -13.4% | +9.5% |
| 2020 | -4.6% | -12.0% | -39.6% | +3.7% | +21.0% | +9.7% | -1.2% | -0.4% | +3.7% | +7.7% | +10.1% | -1.5% |
| 2019 | +16.3% | +8.5% | +0.7% | +9.2% | -1.1% | +0.1% | -1.8% | +5.1% | -1.7% | +9.3% | +4.9% | -4.9% |
| 2018 | +7.1% | -3.1% | -5.6% | -22.6% | +4.1% | +4.4% | +7.2% | +12.9% | +2.1% | -10.9% | -2.2% | -11.4% |
| 2017 | +6.8% | +0.7% | +3.9% | +2.3% | -2.0% | +2.4% | +3.4% | +1.7% | +3.6% | +5.2% | +3.8% | -1.9% |
| 2016 | -17.9% | +7.1% | +8.1% | -1.8% | +7.1% | -0.2% | +9.9% | +10.9% | +0.1% | -0.6% | +15.4% | +6.1% |
| 2015 | -9.0% | -0.7% | +3.0% | +4.3% | +2.2% | +7.2% | +7.0% | -8.5% | -7.2% | -3.0% | +2.6% | -11.4% |
| 2014 | +4.3% | -7.6% | -3.2% | -16.1% | +5.8% | +0.7% | -9.4% | +15.7% | +1.7% | +13.7% | +3.5% | +2.0% |
| 2013 | +3.5% | +10.7% | ||||||||||
| Average | +1.7% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -1.1% | +3.3% | +2.3% | +2.7% | +4.4% | -1.8% | +2.7% | +2.4% | +0.1% |
| % of years up | 62% | 23% | 54% | 54% | 69% | 69% | 69% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 77% | 46% |
| Years observed | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Essent Group Ltd. month by month: the summary
Over 2013-2026, here's what Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT) stock did each month, on average: January +1.7% (up 62% of 13 years), February -1.6% (up 23% of 13 years), March -1.8% (up 54% of 13 years), April -1.1% (up 54% of 13 years), May +3.3% (up 69% of 13 years), June +2.3% (up 69% of 13 years), July +2.7% (up 69% of 13 years), August +4.4% (up 75% of 12 years), September -1.8% (up 50% of 12 years), October +2.7% (up 50% of 12 years), November +2.4% (up 77% of 13 years), December +0.1% (up 46% of 13 years). In other words, ESNT historically rose in January, May, June, July, August, October, November, December, and fell in February, March, April, September.
Does Essent Group Ltd. really go up in August?
Over 2013-2026, August is Essent Group Ltd.'s strongest month: +4.4% on average, positive in 9 of 12 years. At the other end, March shows -1.8%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Essent Group Ltd. stock go up or down in November?
Over 13 years, ESNT rose +2.4% on average in November, finishing the month up 10 times out of 13 (77%). Median: +3.5%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Essent Group Ltd. stock go up or down in May?
Over 13 years, ESNT rose +3.3% on average in May, finishing the month up 9 times out of 13 (69%). Median: +4.0%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Essent Group Ltd. stock go up or down in July?
Over 13 years, ESNT rose +2.7% on average in July, finishing the month up 9 times out of 13 (69%). Median: +3.4%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Essent Group Ltd. stock go up or down in October?
Over 12 years, ESNT rose +2.7% on average in October, finishing the month up 6 times out of 12 (50%). Median: +2.6%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 12 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Essent Group Ltd. stock go up or down in June?
Over 13 years, ESNT rose +2.3% on average in June, finishing the month up 9 times out of 13 (69%). Median: +2.4%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Essent Group Ltd. stock go up or down in September?
Over 12 years, ESNT fell -1.8% on average in September, finishing the month up 6 times out of 12 (50%). Median: +0.1%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 12 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Essent Group Ltd. stock?
Historically, August: over the last 14 years, ESNT gained +4.4% on average that month and finished up 75% of the time (12 years observed). March is the weakest month (-1.8%). This is not a prediction: 14 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Do Essent Group's quarterly earnings move the stock?
August — when Essent Group reports quarterly earnings — has been its best month over 14 years (+4.4% on average, up 75% of years). Earnings are a known driver of moves. ⚠️ This is a past tendency over a short history, not a rule. Use it as context, never as a buy plan.
Why does Essent Group Ltd. stock often rise in August?
August has averaged as its best month over 14 years (+4.4%, up 75% of years). This month covers Essent Group's quarterly earnings release — a known driver of moves, and over this history it has tended to push the stock higher.
Why is Essent Group Ltd. stock weaker in March?
March has averaged as its weakest month over 14 years (-1.8%, up only 54% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 14 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For ESNT it's August (+4.4% on average over 14 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on ESNT, November is the most consistent month (77% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 14 times out of 14 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On ESNT's real monthly closing prices from 2013 to 2026 (14 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.