Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) stock recover?

Hilton Grand Vacations · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · price $35.18
Logo Hilton Grand VacationsSee the full Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) profile
In short — Hilton Grand Vacations is down 34 % from its 12-month high. Analysts target $51 over 12 months, i.e. +44 % from the current price. Over 2017-2026, Hilton Grand Vacations saw 3 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was +29 % on median (positive 100% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 67% of cases, in about 21 months. We answer with facts, not a promise.

What do analysts say about HGV?

Average price target from 6 analysts: $51 over ~12 months (Hold consensus), i.e. +44 % from the current price. Most reliable firm on HGV: Morgan Stanley (100% hit rate, 2 scored calls). A target is a 12-month view, not for tomorrow.

What happened after its past drops?

Over 2017-2026, Hilton Grand Vacations saw 3 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was +29 % on median (positive 100% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 67% of cases, in about 21 months. (monthly history 2017-2026 — transparency data, not a guarantee)

HGV's biggest months

📈 Best month — November 2020+35 %
📉 Worst month — March 2020-41 %

⚠️ Drop measured from the 12-month high; analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon; monthly history since 2013. Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Frequently asked questions

Will Hilton Grand Vacations stock recover?

No one can guarantee it, and we won't. What we know: it's down 34 % from its high; analysts target $51 over 12 months (+44 % from the current price). Over 2017-2026, Hilton Grand Vacations saw 3 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was +29 % on median (positive 100% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 67% of cases, in about 21 months. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Why has HGV dropped so much?

We don't assert the cause of a drop — a headline can be a consequence or a coincidence. What we measure is what comes next: the analysts' target and the stock's historical behavior after this kind of drop.

Should I buy HGV now that it's down?

A drop is not a buy signal by itself. Cross-check with the analysts' target, their real reliability on the stock (most solid: Morgan Stanley, 100% hit rate), and the fundamentals. This is not personalized advice.

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