Home › Stocks › S&P 400 Mid Cap › Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Hilton Grand Vacations · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 56 calls · price $43.83
🔔 Price alerts Create an alert → Target Consensus Fundamentals Reliability $1,000 invested Analyses All calls What the company does: Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates the resorts, timeshare plans, and ancillary reservation services under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand in the United States, Japan, and Europe.
📈 Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) stock price 24h 7d 30d 90d 6mo 1yr 5yr
$43.83 -8.2% over range
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
Sell Buy
Hold
38% recommend buying · 8 analysts
📊 JPI status : Hilton Grand Vacations is no longer in our current JPI rankings, but appeared in the past (2024) — its upside may be behind it . See the stocks picked in 2024 → 🎯 HGV price target & analyst consensus — price $43.83 The price target · all analysts combined (8 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 8 $74 +68.8%
Median target · of 8 targets $52 +18.6%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 8 $46 +5.0%
Current price $43.83
Where these 8 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
8 100%
$46 ↔ $74
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.
The consensus · 8 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy 0 0%
Buy 3 38%
Hold 5 63%
Sell 0 0%
Strong Sell 0 0%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Hilton Grand Vacations? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
Should I buy Hilton Grand Vacations stock? Are the analysts reliable on HGV? How high can HGV go?
P/E 25.6 Net margin 3.2 % Revenue growth +6.2 % Average P/E
Revenue, net income and margin per year Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
✅ Historical analyst reliability on HGV Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
See the other 1 firms 📰 Recent news on Hilton Grand Vacations Loading news…
📋 All analyst calls on HGV ■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $43.49 — gap to target +24%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +23%
🎯 on HGV : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.7% · +2.7% (420 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Aug 18, 27
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $46.25 — gap to target +2%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Aug 3, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$74
Price at call : $45.29 — upside +63%
Today : $43.83 — upside +69%
🎯 on HGV : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.9% · -12.8% (70 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Jul 31, 27
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$46
Price at call : $46.14 — gap to target -0%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Jul 31, 27
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$58
Price at call : $48.31 — gap to target +20%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +32%
🎯 on HGV : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.7% · +2.7% (420 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Jul 17, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $46.06 — upside +54%
Today : $43.83 — upside +62%
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : May 18, 27
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $45.35 — gap to target +12%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +16%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : May 1, 27
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $46.01 — gap to target +2%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on HGV : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Apr 16, 27
See the other 48 calls, newest to oldest ■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $44.92 — gap to target +22%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +25%
🎯 on HGV : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.7% · +2.7% (420 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Apr 10, 27
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $43.22 — upside +27%
Today : $43.83 — upside +25%
🎯 on HGV : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j) matures : Mar 9, 27
■ Hold
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $44.31 — gap to target +13%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on HGV : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.9% · +2.1% (145 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Mar 2, 27
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $44.31 — gap to target +8%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Mar 2, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$69
Price at call : $43.11 — upside +60%
Today : $43.83 — upside +57%
🎯 on HGV : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.9% · -12.8% (70 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Feb 27, 27
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $46.71 — gap to target +5%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on HGV : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.7% · +2.7% (420 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Jan 16, 27
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$42
Price at call : $37.39 — gap to target +12%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on HGV : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Nov 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$59
Price at call : $38.32 — upside +54%
Today : $43.83 — upside +35%
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Nov 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $46.74 — upside +33%
Today : $43.83 — upside +41%
Expected +33% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
-2.9% stock -3% · XLY +2%
matured Aug 21, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$76
Price at call : $44.26 — upside +72%
Today : $43.83 — upside +73%
Expected +72% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.9% · -12.8% (70 calls)
+2.3% stock +2% · XLY +8%
matured Aug 1, 26
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $44.49 — gap to target +10%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Aug 1, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$73
Price at call : $48.75 — upside +50%
Today : $43.83 — upside +67%
Expected +50% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.9% · -12.8% (70 calls)
+1.2% stock +1% · XLY +1%
matured Jul 21, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$50
Price at call : $37.81 — upside +32%
Today : $43.83 — upside +14%
Expected +32% · Actual +29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+28.6% stock +29% · XLY +21%
matured May 5, 26
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$42
Price at call : $38.42 — gap to target +9%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : May 2, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $38.42 — upside +82%
Today : $43.83 — upside +60%
Expected +82% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.9% · -12.8% (70 calls)
+18.0% stock +18% · XLY +18%
matured May 2, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$34
Price at call : $38.42 — upside -12%
Today : $43.83 — upside -22%
Expected -12% · Actual +18% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-18.0% stock +18% · XLY +18%
matured May 2, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$38
Price at call : $33.37 — upside +14%
Today : $43.83 — upside -13%
Expected +14% · Actual +40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.7% · +2.7% (420 calls)
+39.5% stock +40% · XLY +28%
matured Apr 22, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$30
Price at call : $33.1 — upside -9%
Today : $43.83 — upside -32%
Expected -9% · Actual +43% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-43.1% stock +43% · XLY +25%
matured Apr 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $37.53 — upside +68%
Today : $43.83 — upside +44%
Expected +68% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
+15.2% stock +15% · XLY +16%
matured Mar 7, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$42
Price at call : $41 — upside +2%
Today : $43.83 — upside -4%
Expected +2% · Actual +9% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-8.9% stock +9% · XLY +12%
matured Mar 4, 26
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $42.47 — gap to target +6%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Feb 28, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$60
Price at call : $42.9 — upside +40%
Today : $43.83 — upside +37%
Expected +40% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.9% · -12.8% (70 calls)
+0.5% stock +0% · XLY +7%
matured Feb 28, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$47
Price at call : $38.06 — upside +23%
Today : $43.83 — upside +7%
Expected +23% · Actual +22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.7% · +2.7% (420 calls)
+21.9% stock +22% · XLY +7%
matured Jan 6, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$50
Price at call : $38.65 — upside +29%
Today : $43.83 — upside +14%
Expected +29% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+17.3% stock +17% · XLY +7%
matured Dec 18, 25
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$41
Price at call : $40.31 — gap to target +2%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Dec 13, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$37
Price at call : $41.03 — upside -10%
Today : $43.83 — upside -16%
Expected -10% · Actual +5% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-4.8% stock +5% · XLY +3%
matured Dec 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $41.64 — upside +22%
Today : $43.83 — upside +16%
Expected +22% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
+2.2% stock +2% · XLY +6%
matured Nov 26, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $43.19 — upside +27%
Today : $43.83 — upside +25%
Expected +27% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.9% · -12.8% (70 calls)
-6.5% stock -6% · XLY +10%
matured Nov 12, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$44
Price at call : $42.42 — upside +4%
Today : $43.83 — upside +0%
Expected +4% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-5.4% stock -5% · XLY +9%
matured Nov 8, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$31
Price at call : $37.32 — upside -17%
Today : $43.83 — upside -29%
Expected -17% · Actual +19% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-19.3% stock +19% · XLY +22%
matured Sep 18, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $36.48 — upside +43%
Today : $43.83 — upside +19%
Expected +43% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
+30.3% stock +30% · XLY +29%
matured Sep 5, 25
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $33.97 — gap to target +6%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target -18%
🎯 on HGV : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.6% · -0.3% (372 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Aug 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$40
Price at call : $33.97 — upside +18%
Today : $43.83 — upside -9%
Expected +18% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
+28.1% stock +28% · XLY +29%
matured Aug 9, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$57
Price at call : $34.57 — upside +65%
Today : $43.83 — upside +30%
Expected +65% · Actual +26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.9% · -12.8% (70 calls)
+25.9% stock +26% · XLY +29%
matured Aug 9, 25
■ Hold
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $34.57 — gap to target +1%
Today : $43.83 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on HGV : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.9% · +2.1% (145 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Aug 9, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $41.79 — upside +70%
Today : $43.83 — upside +62%
Expected +70% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
-9.1% stock -9% · XLY +23%
matured May 28, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$59
Price at call : $43.7 — upside +35%
Today : $43.83 — upside +35%
Expected +35% · Actual -24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.6% · -0.3% (372 calls)
-24.3% stock -24% · XLY +8%
matured Apr 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $47.4 — upside +33%
Today : $43.83 — upside +44%
Expected +33% · Actual -19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 71% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32.9% · -12.8% (70 calls)
-19.0% stock -19% · XLY +11%
matured Mar 26, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $45.05 — upside +55%
Today : $43.83 — upside +60%
Expected +55% · Actual -18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
-18.3% stock -18% · XLY +10%
matured Mar 15, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $44.32 — upside +24%
Today : $43.83 — upside +25%
Expected +24% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-4.2% stock -4% · XLY +16%
matured Mar 1, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$54
Price at call : $45.13 — upside +20%
Today : $43.83 — upside +23%
Expected +20% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +3.0% (389 calls)
-5.9% stock -6% · XLY +15%
matured Mar 1, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $41.74 — upside +32%
Today : $43.83 — upside +25%
Expected +32% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+1.0% stock +1% · XLY +27%
matured Feb 12, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$66
Price at call : $35.32 — upside +87%
Today : $43.83 — upside +51%
Expected +87% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
+18.5% stock +18% · XLY +29%
matured Nov 14, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $45.29 — upside +66%
Today : $43.83 — upside +71%
Expected +66% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
-25.0% stock -25% · XLY +2%
matured Aug 10, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$76
Price at call : $42.41 — upside +79%
Today : $43.83 — upside +73%
Expected +79% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
+1.6% stock +2% · XLY +21%
matured May 15, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $50.21 — upside +49%
Today : $43.83 — upside +71%
Expected +49% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
-11.7% stock -12% · XLY +24%
matured Mar 5, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $42.47 — upside +46%
Today : $43.83 — upside +41%
Expected +46% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
-13.5% stock -14% · XLY +16%
matured Nov 15, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $44.96 — upside +40%
Today : $43.83 — upside +44%
Expected +40% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.5% · -4.8% (177 calls)
+0.7% stock +1% · XLY +0%
matured Aug 12, 23
Frequently asked questions Should I buy Hilton Grand Vacations stock? This isn't buy advice. For Hilton Grand Vacations, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $52.00 (+19% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Hilton Grand Vacations). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Hilton Grand Vacations? How high can it go? The most bullish analyst target on Hilton Grand Vacations is $74.00 (+69% above today's price); the average is $52.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Hilton Grand Vacations on our site before trusting it.
Is Hilton Grand Vacations still a good buy? The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 11 analysts have a real record on Hilton Grand Vacations, the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
Should you invest in Hilton Grand Vacations? The case for and against The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in HGV (and why hesitate) .
What has Hilton Grand Vacations's past performance been? Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: HGV performance & returns .