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Jefferies (JEF) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Jefferies · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 50 calls · price $52.84
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What the company does: Jefferies Financial Group Inc. operates as an investment banking and capital markets firm in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific.

📈 Jefferies (JEF) stock price

$52.84-19.3% over range
Aug 28, 25low $36.02 · high $70.36Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
40% recommend buying · 5 analysts
📊 JPI status : Jefferies has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 JEF price target & analyst consensusprice $52.84

The price target · all analysts combined (5 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 5$83+57.1%
Median target · of 5 targets$60+13.6%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 5$50-5.4%
Current price$52.84
Where these 5 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 480% $54 ↔ $83
Below 120% $50
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Oppenheimer66% of its targets hit on this sector (77 calls tested). It aims for $83 (+57 %), call made on June 26, 2026, maturing on June 26, 2027 (63 d ago).

The 2 reliable analysts $74+40 %
The 3 other firms $54+2.2 %
How to read it: the 2 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 2 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $74 median. “The 3 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 5 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy240%
Hold360%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Jefferies? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

💰 Jefferies dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page

3.12%annual yield
📈 Steady dividend9 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$1.60 per share per year.

📈 Jefferies fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page

P/E 14.8Net margin 23.0 %Revenue growth +35.0 %Cheap for the growth

Revenue, net income and margin per year

Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 13 %
2023
Rev −21%Profit −66%
2024
Rev +50%Profit +154%
2025
Rev +4%Profit −6%

🏛️ Jefferies insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page

1 insider bought4 buys / 6 mo $1305.3M

🔎 Detailed analyses

✅ Historical analyst reliability on JEF

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm % right i Gain vs sector i Calls i
Oppenheimer  69% +18.2% 16
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods  50% +41.0% 2
Goldman Sachs  50% +17.3% 4
Morgan Stanley  0% -35.6% 6

📊 What $1,000 invested in Jefferies would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Jefferies 10 years ago would be worth $3,864 today, i.e. +14%/yr on average. Best year: 2016 (+84%), worst: 2025 (-33%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Jefferies

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$755-25%
3 years ago$1,323+32%
5 years ago$1,800+80%
→ See Jefferies's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Jefferies)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+13%$1,126 (+13%)
2025-33%$755 (-25%)
2024+58%$1,195 (+20%)
→ See Jefferies's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Jefferies

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📋 All analyst calls on JEF

UBS 
Jun 25, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $49.1 — gap to target +32%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +23%
🎯 on JEF : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 50.8% · +0.3% (118 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 27
Oppenheimer 
Jun 25, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$83
Price at call : $49.1 — upside +69%
Today : $52.84 — upside +57%
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 27
UBS 
Jun 18, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $62.1 — gap to target +8%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +27%
🎯 on JEF : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 50.8% · +0.3% (118 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 18, 27
Oppenheimer 
Jun 12, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$87
Price at call : $61.66 — upside +41%
Today : $52.84 — upside +65%
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 12, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $59.03 — gap to target -15%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target -5%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 9, 27
BMO Capital 
Jun 8, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $59.03 — gap to target +2%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on JEF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 20.4% · -12.2% (54 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 8, 27
Goldman Sachs 
Apr 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $46.84 — upside +15%
Today : $52.84 — upside +2%
🎯 on JEF : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 68.4% · +11.3% (117 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 14, 27
Goldman Sachs 
Mar 26, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $39.85 — upside +18%
Today : $52.84 — upside -11%
🎯 on JEF : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 68.4% · +11.3% (117 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 26, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
BMO Capital 
Mar 23, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$42
Price at call : $40.55 — gap to target +4%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on JEF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 20.4% · -12.2% (54 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 23, 27
Oppenheimer 
Mar 13, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$74
Price at call : $36.78 — upside +101%
Today : $52.84 — upside +40%
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 13, 27
UBS 
Mar 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$59
Price at call : $36.36 — upside +62%
Today : $52.84 — upside +12%
🎯 on JEF : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 50.8% · +0.3% (118 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
Goldman Sachs 
Mar 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $36.36 — upside +49%
Today : $52.84 — upside +2%
🎯 on JEF : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 68.4% · +11.3% (117 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
Oppenheimer 
Dec 11, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$97
Price at call : $62 — upside +56%
Today : $52.84 — upside +84%
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$78
Price at call : $59.58 — upside +31%
Today : $52.84 — upside +48%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 8, 26
Oppenheimer 
Oct 17, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$81
Price at call : $54.04 — upside +50%
Today : $52.84 — upside +53%
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
BMO Capital 
Oct 17, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $51.7 — gap to target +6%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on JEF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 20.4% · -12.2% (54 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
Goldman Sachs 
Oct 14, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$74
Price at call : $54.6 — upside +36%
Today : $52.84 — upside +40%
🎯 on JEF : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 68.4% · +11.3% (117 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 26
BMO Capital 
Oct 3, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$69
Price at call : $62.43 — gap to target +11%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +31%
🎯 on JEF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 20.4% · -12.2% (54 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 3, 26
Morgan Stanley 
Sep 30, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$74
Price at call : $65.42 — gap to target +13%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +40%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 30, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$72
Price at call : $64.22 — gap to target +12%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +36%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 8, 26
Morgan Stanley 
Jun 26, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $55.75 — gap to target -3%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 26
Morgan Stanley 
Jun 23, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $55.34 — gap to target -1%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 23, 26
Goldman Sachs 
May 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $52.7 — upside +18%
Today : $52.84 — upside +17%
Expected +18% · Actual -2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 68.4% · +11.3% (117 calls)
-1.6%
stock -2% · XLF +0%
matured May 15, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$41
Price at call : $41.06 — gap to target -0%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 26
Morgan Stanley 
Mar 27, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$75
Price at call : $52.22 — upside +44%
Today : $52.84 — upside +42%
Expected +44% · Actual -24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
-24.1%
stock -24% · XLF -2%
matured Mar 27, 26
Oppenheimer 
Mar 19, 25
■ Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 19, 26
Morgan Stanley 
Mar 13, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$81
Price at call : $56.33 — upside +44%
Today : $52.84 — upside +53%
Expected +44% · Actual -35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
-34.7%
stock -35% · XLF +2%
matured Mar 13, 26
Oppenheimer 
Jan 3, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$81
Price at call : $81.31 — upside -0%
Today : $52.84 — upside +53%
Expected -0% · Actual -21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
-20.7%
stock -21% · XLF +16%
matured Jan 3, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$97
Price at call : $79.51 — upside +22%
Today : $52.84 — upside +84%
Expected +22% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
-25.1%
stock -25% · XLF +7%
matured Dec 9, 25
Oppenheimer 
Nov 14, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$83
Price at call : $73.5 — upside +13%
Today : $52.84 — upside +57%
Expected +13% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
-24.5%
stock -25% · XLF +6%
matured Nov 14, 25
Oppenheimer 
Nov 5, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$73
Price at call : $72.06 — upside +1%
Today : $52.84 — upside +38%
Expected +1% · Actual -26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
-26.0%
stock -26% · XLF +6%
matured Nov 5, 25
Morgan Stanley 
Sep 26, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $61.08 — gap to target +10%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +27%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 26, 25
Morgan Stanley 
Sep 23, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $62.48 — gap to target +2%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +21%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 23, 25
UBS 
Sep 17, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $60.78 — upside +10%
Today : $52.84 — upside +27%
Expected +10% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on JEF : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 50.8% · +0.3% (118 calls)
+15.8%
stock +16% · XLF +20%
matured Sep 17, 25
Oppenheimer 
Sep 13, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$66
Price at call : $58.54 — upside +13%
Today : $52.84 — upside +25%
Expected +13% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
+14.3%
stock +14% · XLF +21%
matured Sep 13, 25
Morgan Stanley 
Jul 23, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$59
Price at call : $54.6 — gap to target +8%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 25
Oppenheimer 
Jun 14, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$57
Price at call : $44.96 — upside +27%
Today : $52.84 — upside +8%
Expected +27% · Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
+19.9%
stock +20% · XLF +23%
matured Jun 14, 25
Oppenheimer 
Apr 30, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$56
Price at call : $43.06 — upside +30%
Today : $52.84 — upside +6%
Expected +30% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
+8.5%
stock +9% · XLF +21%
matured Apr 30, 25
Oppenheimer 
Apr 2, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$54
Price at call : $44.16 — upside +22%
Today : $52.84 — upside +2%
Expected +22% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
+8.6%
stock +9% · XLF +14%
matured Apr 2, 25
Oppenheimer 
Mar 8, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$52
Price at call : $43.33 — upside +20%
Today : $52.84 — upside -2%
Expected +20% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
+23.7%
stock +24% · XLF +18%
matured Mar 8, 25
Oppenheimer 
Sep 6, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$43
Price at call : $36.84 — upside +17%
Today : $52.84 — upside -19%
Expected +17% · Actual +57% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
+56.9%
stock +57% · XLF +31%
matured Sep 5, 24
Goldman Sachs 
Aug 22, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $34.25 — upside +17%
Today : $52.84 — upside -24%
Expected +17% · Actual +68% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on JEF : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 68.4% · +11.3% (117 calls)
+67.8%
stock +68% · XLF +30%
matured Aug 21, 24
Morgan Stanley 
Jul 12, 23
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $35.25 — gap to target +2%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 11, 24
Morgan Stanley 
Jun 28, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$27
Price at call : $33.07 — upside -18%
Today : $52.84 — upside -49%
Expected -18% · Actual +48% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
-47.9%
stock +48% · XLF +25%
matured Jun 27, 24
Morgan Stanley 
Jun 21, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$27
Price at call : $32.33 — upside -16%
Today : $52.84 — upside -49%
Expected -16% · Actual +42% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
-41.9%
stock +42% · XLF +25%
matured Jun 20, 24
Oppenheimer 
Jun 13, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $33.02 — upside +36%
Today : $52.84 — upside -15%
Expected +36% · Actual +32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
+32.4%
stock +32% · XLF +22%
matured Jun 12, 24
Morgan Stanley 
Apr 12, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$27
Price at call : $30.57 — upside -12%
Today : $52.84 — upside -49%
Expected -12% · Actual +40% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on JEF : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 50.1% · +1.8% (387 calls)
-39.9%
stock +40% · XLF +26%
matured Apr 11, 24
Oppenheimer 
Apr 6, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$40
Price at call : $31.42 — upside +27%
Today : $52.84 — upside -24%
Expected +27% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
+39.5%
stock +39% · XLF +30%
matured Apr 5, 24
Oppenheimer 
Mar 24, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$42
Price at call : $29.42 — upside +43%
Today : $52.84 — upside -21%
Expected +43% · Actual +54% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on JEF : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 37.7% · -3.6% (77 calls)
+53.8%
stock +54% · XLF +33%
matured Mar 23, 24
Goldman Sachs 
Jan 11, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $37.72 — gap to target +6%
Today : $52.84 — gap to target -24%
🎯 on JEF : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 68.4% · +11.3% (117 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 11, 24

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Jefferies stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Jefferies, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $60.00 (+14% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 69% of the time (16 calls tracked on Jefferies). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Jefferies? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Jefferies is $83.00 (+57% above today's price); the average is $60.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Jefferies on our site before trusting it.

Is Jefferies still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 4 analysts have a real record on Jefferies, the best hitting 69% over 16 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in Jefferies? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in JEF (and why hesitate).

What has Jefferies's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: JEF performance & returns.

Does Jefferies pay a dividend?

Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: JEF's dividend.

Are insiders buying JEF stock?

Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on JEF.

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
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