Will Mercury Systems (MRCY) stock recover?

Mercury Systems · Industrials · ref. ETF XLI · price $76.71
Logo Mercury SystemsSee the full Mercury Systems (MRCY) profile
In short — Mercury Systems is down 32 % from its 12-month high. Analysts target $120 over 12 months, i.e. +56 % from the current price. Over 2013-2026, Mercury Systems saw 3 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was -4 % on median (positive 33% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 67% of cases, in about 19.5 months. We answer with facts, not a promise.

What do analysts say about MRCY?

Average price target from 8 analysts: $120 over ~12 months (Buy consensus), i.e. +56 % from the current price. Most reliable firm on MRCY: Alembic Global (100% hit rate, 2 scored calls). A target is a 12-month view, not for tomorrow.

What happened after its past drops?

Over 2013-2026, Mercury Systems saw 3 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was -4 % on median (positive 33% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 67% of cases, in about 19.5 months. (monthly history 2013-2026 — transparency data, not a guarantee)

MRCY's biggest months

📈 Best month — May 2026+42 %
📉 Worst month — April 2018-34 %

⚠️ Drop measured from the 12-month high; analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon; monthly history since 2013. Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Frequently asked questions

Will Mercury Systems stock recover?

No one can guarantee it, and we won't. What we know: it's down 32 % from its high; analysts target $120 over 12 months (+56 % from the current price). Over 2013-2026, Mercury Systems saw 3 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was -4 % on median (positive 33% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 67% of cases, in about 19.5 months. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Why has MRCY dropped so much?

We don't assert the cause of a drop — a headline can be a consequence or a coincidence. What we measure is what comes next: the analysts' target and the stock's historical behavior after this kind of drop.

Should I buy MRCY now that it's down?

A drop is not a buy signal by itself. Cross-check with the analysts' target, their real reliability on the stock (most solid: Alembic Global, 100% hit rate), and the fundamentals. This is not personalized advice.

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