Mercury Systems (MRCY) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Mercury Systems · Industrials · ref. ETF XLI · 50 calls · price $76.71
What the company does: Mercury Systems, Inc., a technology company, manufactures and sells components, products, modules, and subsystems for defense prime contractors, original equipment manufacturers, government, and commercial aerospace companies.
📈 Mercury Systems (MRCY) stock price
$76.71-1.4% over range
Oct 14, 25low $66.12 · high $126.21Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
75% recommend buying · 8 analysts
📊 JPI status : Mercury Systems has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 MRCY price target & analyst consensus — price $76.71
The price target · all analysts combined (8 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 8$131+70.8%
Median target · of 8 targets$120+56.4%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 8$68-11.4%
Current price$76.71
Where these 8 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
788%
$101 ↔ $131
Below
113%
$68
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Baird — 56% of its targets hit on this sector (138 calls tested). It aims for $130 (+70 %), call made on August 20, 2026, maturing on August 20, 2027 (55 d ago).
The 1 reliable analyst
$130+70 %
The 7 other firms
$120+56 %
How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $130 median. “The 7 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 8 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy675%
Hold113%
Sell113%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 MRCY price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on MRCY most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in MRCY? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Mercury Systems? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
✅ Historical analyst reliability on MRCY
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alembic Global | 100% | +43.6% | 2 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 67% | +6.0% | 3 |
| Baird ↗ | 60% | +39.5% | 5 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | 50% | +23.0% | 2 |
| Truist Securities ↗ | 50% | +22.7% | 8 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 50% | -12.9% | 4 |
| Canaccord Genuity ↗ | 33% | +0.3% | 3 |
| RBC Capital ↗ | 33% | -17.3% | 3 |
| Raymond James ↗ | 20% | -8.7% | 5 |
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 0% | -57.9% | 8 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Mercury Systems would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Mercury Systems 10 years ago would be worth $5,464 today, i.e. +19%/yr on average. Best year: 2025 (+74%), worst: 2021 (-37%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Mercury Systems
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $2,389 | +139% |
| 3 years ago | $2,242 | +124% |
| 5 years ago | $1,139 | +14% |
Return by year (Mercury Systems)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | +37% | $1,374 (+37%) |
| 2025 | +74% | $2,389 (+139%) |
| 2024 | +15% | $2,743 (+174%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Mercury Systems
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📋 All analyst calls on MRCY
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Guggenheim ↗
Sep 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$115
Price at call : $87.01 — upside +32%
Today : $76.71 — upside +50%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 27.3% · -10.2% (11 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 15, 27
matures : Sep 15, 27
Canaccord Genuity ↗
Aug 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$128
Price at call : $91.36 — upside +40%
Today : $76.71 — upside +67%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 35.2% · -12.4% (54 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 20, 27
matures : Aug 20, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Aug 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $91.36 — upside +31%
Today : $76.71 — upside +56%
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 20, 27
matures : Aug 20, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Aug 19, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$120
Price at call : $94.23 — upside +27%
Today : $76.71 — upside +56%
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 39.4% · -4.6% (94 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 19, 27
matures : Aug 19, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$130
Price at call : $101.25 — upside +28%
Today : $76.71 — upside +69%
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 37% · -5.5% (138 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 19, 27
matures : Aug 19, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 19, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$131
Price at call : $101.25 — upside +29%
Today : $76.71 — upside +71%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 26% · -18.5% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 19, 27
matures : Aug 19, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 12, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$126
Price at call : $111.64 — upside +13%
Today : $76.71 — upside +64%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 26% · -18.5% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 12, 27
matures : Aug 12, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$101
Price at call : $100.32 — gap to target +1%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target +32%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.6% · +5.7% (138 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 13, 27
matures : Jul 13, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
Goldman Sachs ↗
May 11, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$68
Price at call : $92.32 — upside -26%
Today : $76.71 — upside -11%
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 38.8% · -7.9% (134 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
matures : May 11, 27
Canaccord Genuity ↗
May 8, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$106
Price at call : $90.34 — upside +17%
Today : $76.71 — upside +38%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 35.2% · -12.4% (54 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
matures : May 8, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $80.81 — gap to target -1%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 42.5% · +0.1% (73 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
matures : Apr 7, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Feb 4, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$109
Price at call : $77.12 — upside +41%
Today : $76.71 — upside +42%
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 4, 27
matures : Feb 4, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 20, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$55
Price at call : $99.57 — upside -45%
Today : $76.71 — upside -28%
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 38.8% · -7.9% (134 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 20, 27
matures : Jan 20, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Oct 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $77.1 — upside +30%
Today : $76.71 — upside +30%
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 15, 26
matures : Oct 15, 26
RBC Capital ↗
Oct 1, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$90
Price at call : $82.56 — upside +9%
Today : $76.71 — upside +17%
Expected +9% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 39.4% · -4.6% (94 calls)
+2.8%
stock +3% · XLI +10%
matured Oct 1, 26
Goldman Sachs ↗
Aug 13, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$39
Price at call : $66.83 — upside -42%
Today : $76.71 — upside -49%
Expected -42% · Actual +66% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 38.8% · -7.9% (134 calls)
-66.3%
stock +66% · XLI +23%
matured Aug 13, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $68.39 — gap to target -1%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.6% · +5.7% (138 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 12, 26
matures : Aug 12, 26
Truist Securities ↗
Aug 12, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $68.39 — upside +4%
Today : $76.71 — upside -7%
Expected +4% · Actual +61% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
+60.5%
stock +61% · XLI +22%
matured Aug 12, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $68.02 — upside +3%
Today : $76.71 — upside -9%
Expected +3% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 37% · -5.5% (138 calls)
+64.1%
stock +64% · XLI +22%
matured Aug 12, 26
Raymond James ↗
Aug 12, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $68.02 — upside +18%
Today : $76.71 — upside +4%
Expected +18% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 43.5% · -3.6% (161 calls)
+64.1%
stock +64% · XLI +22%
matured Aug 12, 26
RBC Capital ↗
Jul 3, 25
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $51.45 — gap to target +7%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -28%
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 39.4% · -4.6% (94 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 3, 26
matures : Jul 3, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $49.53 — gap to target +13%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.6% · +5.7% (138 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 16, 26
matures : Jun 16, 26
Truist Securities ↗
Jun 2, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $50.84 — upside +18%
Today : $76.71 — upside -22%
Expected +18% · Actual +119% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
+119.5%
stock +119% · XLI +21%
matured Jun 2, 26
Goldman Sachs ↗
May 12, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$33
Price at call : $46.73 — upside -29%
Today : $76.71 — upside -57%
Expected -29% · Actual +98% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 38.8% · -7.9% (134 calls)
-98.0%
stock +98% · XLI +23%
matured May 12, 26
RBC Capital ↗
May 7, 25
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $46.03 — gap to target +9%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -35%
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 39.4% · -4.6% (94 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 26
matures : May 7, 26
Truist Securities ↗
Mar 13, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $45.08 — upside +24%
Today : $76.71 — upside -27%
Expected +24% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
+73.4%
stock +73% · XLI +28%
matured Mar 13, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$58
Price at call : $49.88 — upside +16%
Today : $76.71 — upside -24%
Expected +16% · Actual +59% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 37% · -5.5% (138 calls)
+58.5%
stock +59% · XLI +23%
matured Feb 5, 26
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 16, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$28
Price at call : $42.92 — upside -35%
Today : $76.71 — upside -63%
Expected -35% · Actual +126% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 38.8% · -7.9% (134 calls)
-126.2%
stock +126% · XLI +19%
matured Jan 16, 26
Truist Securities ↗
Jan 14, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$44
Price at call : $43.28 — gap to target +2%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -43%
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 26
matures : Jan 14, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$42
Price at call : $43.91 — gap to target -4%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -45%
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 42.5% · +0.1% (73 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 11, 25
matures : Nov 11, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $42.7 — gap to target -6%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -48%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.6% · +5.7% (138 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 7, 25
matures : Nov 7, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $36.4 — gap to target -1%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -53%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.6% · +5.7% (138 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 5, 25
matures : Sep 5, 25
Alembic Global
Aug 19, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$48
Price at call : $38.71 — upside +24%
Today : $76.71 — upside -37%
Expected +24% · Actual +67% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
+66.7%
stock +67% · XLI +19%
matured Aug 19, 25
RBC Capital ↗
Aug 14, 24
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $40.12 — gap to target -13%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -54%
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 39.4% · -4.6% (94 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 25
matures : Aug 14, 25
Truist Securities ↗
Aug 14, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$31
Price at call : $40.12 — gap to target -23%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -60%
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 25
matures : Aug 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $40 — gap to target -8%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -52%
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 37% · -5.5% (138 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 25
matures : Aug 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $31.26 — gap to target -17%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -66%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.6% · +5.7% (138 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 24, 25
matures : May 24, 25
Truist Securities ↗
May 8, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $28.77 — gap to target -10%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -66%
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 25
matures : May 8, 25
Goldman Sachs ↗
Feb 8, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$21
Price at call : $29.3 — upside -28%
Today : $76.71 — upside -73%
Expected -28% · Actual +60% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 38.8% · -7.9% (134 calls)
-60.4%
stock +60% · XLI +18%
matured Feb 7, 25
RBC Capital ↗
Feb 7, 24
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$30
Price at call : $26.23 — gap to target +14%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -61%
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 39.4% · -4.6% (94 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 6, 25
matures : Feb 6, 25
Truist Securities ↗
Feb 7, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$28
Price at call : $26.8 — gap to target +4%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 6, 25
matures : Feb 6, 25
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 11, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$24
Price at call : $32.05 — upside -25%
Today : $76.71 — upside -69%
Expected -25% · Actual +31% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 38.8% · -7.9% (134 calls)
-30.7%
stock +31% · XLI +17%
matured Jan 10, 25
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 10, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$24
Price at call : $32.46 — upside -26%
Today : $76.71 — upside -69%
Expected -26% · Actual +29% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 38.8% · -7.9% (134 calls)
-29.1%
stock +29% · XLI +17%
matured Jan 9, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$30
Price at call : $33.5 — upside -10%
Today : $76.71 — upside -61%
Expected -10% · Actual +27% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MRCY : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 42.5% · +0.1% (73 calls)
-27.3%
stock +27% · XLI +19%
matured Jan 2, 25
Truist Securities ↗
Sep 19, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $38.4 — upside +25%
Today : $76.71 — upside -37%
Expected +25% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
-7.4%
stock -7% · XLI +29%
matured Sep 18, 24
Truist Securities ↗
Aug 16, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $37.09 — upside +29%
Today : $76.71 — upside -37%
Expected +29% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MRCY : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 44.3% · -3.5% (106 calls)
+8.1%
stock +8% · XLI +20%
matured Aug 15, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $36.17 — gap to target -3%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -54%
🎯 on MRCY : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.6% · +5.7% (138 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 15, 24
matures : Aug 15, 24
RBC Capital ↗
Aug 16, 23
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $36.17 — gap to target -3%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -54%
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 39.4% · -4.6% (94 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 15, 24
matures : Aug 15, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$25
Price at call : $36.17 — gap to target -31%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -67%
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 37% · -5.5% (138 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 15, 24
matures : Aug 15, 24
RBC Capital ↗
Jul 3, 23
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $34.91 — gap to target +15%
Today : $76.71 — gap to target -48%
🎯 on MRCY : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 39.4% · -4.6% (94 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 2, 24
matures : Jul 2, 24
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Mercury Systems stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Mercury Systems, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $120 (+56% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Mercury Systems). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Mercury Systems? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Mercury Systems is $131 (+71% above today's price); the average is $120. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Mercury Systems on our site before trusting it.
Is Mercury Systems still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 10 analysts have a real record on Mercury Systems, the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
Will Mercury Systems stock recover (go back up)?
It's down from its high. We answer with the numbers — the analysts' 12-month target and what happened after its past drops: will MRCY stock recover (go back up)?
Should you invest in Mercury Systems? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in MRCY (and why hesitate).
What has Mercury Systems's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: MRCY performance & returns.
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