Logo Radian Group, Inc.

Radian Group, Inc. (RDN) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Radian Group, Inc. · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 54 calls · price $33.75
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What the company does: Radian Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mortgage insurance in the United States.

📈 Radian Group, Inc. (RDN) stock price

$33.75-0.6% over range
Oct 14, 25low $30.61 · high $39.71Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
75% recommend buying · 4 analysts
📊 JPI status : Radian Group, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 RDN price target & analyst consensus — price $33.75

The price target · all analysts combined (4 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 4$47+39.3%
Median target · of 4 targets$43.5+28.9%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 4$36+6.7%
Current price$33.75
Where these 4 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 4100% $36 ↔ $47
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Keefe, Bruyette & Woods — 67% of its targets hit on this sector (296 calls tested). It aims for $44 (+30 %), call made on August 12, 2026, maturing on August 12, 2027 (63 d ago).

The 1 reliable analyst $44+30 %
The 3 other firms $43+27 %
How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $44 median. “The 3 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 4 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy375%
Hold125%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Radian Group, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

🏛️ Radian Group, Inc. insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page

1 insider bought1 buys / 6 mo $5.8M

🔎 Detailed analyses

✅ Historical analyst reliability on RDN

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm ↕ % right i ↕ Gain vs sector i ↕ Calls i ↕
Susquehanna ↗ 100% +61.4% 2
FBR Capital 100% +46.9% 2
B of A Securities ↗ 80% +17.8% 5
Compass Point ↗ 75% +19.6% 4
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗ 71% +10.9% 14
Deutsche Bank ↗ 67% +29.6% 6
Barclays ↗ 57% +15.1% 7
Macquarie ↗ 50% +14.7% 2
BTIG ↗ 50% -2.1% 2
JMP Securities 33% -20.8% 3

📊 What $1,000 invested in Radian Group, Inc. would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Radian Group, Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $2,756 today, i.e. +11%/yr on average. Best year: 2019 (+54%), worst: 2018 (-21%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Radian Group, Inc.

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,163+16%
3 years ago$1,935+93%
5 years ago$1,822+82%
→ See Radian Group, Inc.'s full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Radian Group, Inc.)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+3%$1,025 (+3%)
2025+13%$1,163 (+16%)
2024+11%$1,292 (+29%)
→ See Radian Group, Inc.'s full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Radian Group, Inc.

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📋 All analyst calls on RDN

Barclays ↗
Oct 5, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $34.11 — gap to target +6%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 48.9% · +2.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 5, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$44
Price at call : $36.36 — upside +21%
Today : $33.75 — upside +30%
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 27
Barclays ↗
Aug 10, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $36.5 — gap to target -4%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 48.9% · +2.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 10, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$46
Price at call : $37.5 — upside +23%
Today : $33.75 — upside +36%
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 27
RBC Capital ↗
May 22, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$47
Price at call : $35.72 — upside +32%
Today : $33.75 — upside +39%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
Barclays ↗
May 11, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$39
Price at call : $37.2 — gap to target +5%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +16%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 48.9% · +2.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $37.31 — upside +15%
Today : $33.75 — upside +27%
🎯 on RDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 60.3% · +8.4% (121 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 29, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$43
Price at call : $34.42 — upside +25%
Today : $33.75 — upside +27%
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 27
See the other 46 calls, newest to oldest
Barclays ↗
Apr 6, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $34.22 — gap to target +8%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 48.9% · +2.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 6, 27
UBS ↗
Mar 12, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$39
Price at call : $32.99 — gap to target +18%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +16%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$42
Price at call : $34.24 — upside +23%
Today : $33.75 — upside +24%
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 27
Roth Capital
Jan 2, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $36.31 — upside +24%
Today : $33.75 — upside +33%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 2, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$41
Price at call : $36.97 — gap to target +11%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +21%
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 18, 26
UBS ↗
Oct 15, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $32.74 — gap to target +22%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +19%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 15, 26
Barclays ↗
Oct 6, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $34.74 — gap to target +7%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 48.9% · +2.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 6, 26
UBS ↗
Sep 19, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $36.47 — gap to target +18%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +27%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 19, 26
UBS ↗
Jul 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $33.67 — gap to target +13%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 26
Barclays ↗
Jul 8, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $35.01 — gap to target -0%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 48.9% · +2.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 8, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $35.64 — gap to target +7%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 26
Compass Point ↗
May 23, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $33.28 — gap to target +11%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 36.1% · -3.0% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 23, 26
UBS ↗
May 5, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $33.58 — gap to target +7%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 5, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$38
Price at call : $33.89 — upside +12%
Today : $33.75 — upside +13%
Expected +12% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
+4.6%
stock +5% · XLF +4%
matured May 2, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$37
Price at call : $32.29 — upside +15%
Today : $33.75 — upside +10%
Expected +15% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
+7.1%
stock +7% · XLF +9%
matured Apr 8, 26
UBS ↗
Feb 19, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$34
Price at call : $32.81 — gap to target +4%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 26
UBS ↗
Jan 10, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $30.6 — gap to target +8%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 10, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$40
Price at call : $30.6 — upside +31%
Today : $33.75 — upside +19%
Expected +31% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
+16.5%
stock +17% · XLF +18%
matured Jan 8, 26
Barclays ↗
Oct 8, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $34.18 — gap to target -3%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 48.9% · +2.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$39
Price at call : $34.2 — upside +14%
Today : $33.75 — upside +16%
Expected +14% · Actual -2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
-2.1%
stock -2% · XLF +25%
matured Aug 5, 25
RBC Capital ↗
Aug 2, 24
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $33.94 — gap to target +9%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 2, 25
Roth MKM ↗
Aug 2, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $33.94 — upside +18%
Today : $33.75 — upside +19%
Expected +18% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on RDN : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
-3.1%
stock -3% · XLF +27%
matured Aug 2, 25
Barclays ↗
Aug 2, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $33.94 — gap to target -6%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -5%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 48.9% · +2.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 2, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$36
Price at call : $31.88 — upside +13%
Today : $33.75 — upside +7%
Expected +13% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
+5.9%
stock +6% · XLF +23%
matured Jun 3, 25
UBS ↗
May 22, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$31.5
Price at call : $30.89 — gap to target +2%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $31.13 — gap to target +12%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 4, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$29
Price at call : $27.38 — upside +6%
Today : $33.75 — upside -14%
Expected +6% · Actual +23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
+22.8%
stock +23% · XLF +33%
matured Dec 12, 24
UBS ↗
Dec 6, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$28
Price at call : $25.13 — gap to target +11%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 24
RBC Capital ↗
Aug 4, 23
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$29
Price at call : $28 — gap to target +4%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 3, 24
RBC Capital ↗
Jun 21, 23
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $25.04 — gap to target +4%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 20, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$27.5
Price at call : $25.46 — gap to target +8%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -19%
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 12, 24
▼ Underperform
Actual +25% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on RDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 60.3% · +8.4% (121 calls)
-25.2%
stock +25% · XLF +28%
matured May 8, 24
RBC Capital ↗
May 5, 23
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $24.85 — gap to target +5%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 4, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$27.5
Price at call : $24.79 — upside +11%
Today : $33.75 — upside -19%
Expected +11% · Actual +26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
+26.3%
stock +26% · XLF +27%
matured May 4, 24
Compass Point ↗
Apr 11, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$29
Price at call : $23.11 — upside +25%
Today : $33.75 — upside -14%
Expected +25% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 36.1% · -3.0% (61 calls)
+29.8%
stock +30% · XLF +26%
matured Apr 10, 24
RBC Capital ↗
Feb 10, 23
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$24
Price at call : $21.97 — gap to target +9%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 10, 24
Barclays ↗
Jan 6, 23
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $18.71 — gap to target +12%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -38%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 48.9% · +2.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 6, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$24
Price at call : $18.77 — upside +28%
Today : $33.75 — upside -29%
Expected +28% · Actual +49% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on RDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 60.3% · +8.4% (121 calls)
+49.4%
stock +49% · XLF +10%
matured Dec 15, 23
BTIG ↗
Dec 6, 22
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on RDN : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 53.7% · +9.5% (41 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 6, 23
Compass Point ↗
Nov 9, 22
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$22.5
Price at call : $19.76 — gap to target +14%
Today : $33.75 — gap to target -33%
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 36.1% · -3.0% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 9, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$25
Price at call : $19.49 — upside +28%
Today : $33.75 — upside -26%
Expected +28% · Actual +33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
+33.0%
stock +33% · XLF +3%
matured Oct 17, 23
Barclays ↗
Oct 13, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$24
Price at call : $19.46 — upside +23%
Today : $33.75 — upside -29%
Expected +23% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on RDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 48.9% · +2.8% (176 calls)
+34.9%
stock +35% · XLF +5%
matured Oct 13, 23
▲ Outperform
Actual +33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
+33.0%
stock +33% · XLF +56%
matured Oct 7, 21
▲ Outperform · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $16.03 — upside +15%
Today : $33.75 — upside -45%
Expected +15% · Actual -30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
-29.9%
stock -30% · XLF -14%
matured Feb 17, 16
▲ Outperform · 🎯$19
Price at call : $16.29 — upside +17%
Today : $33.75 — upside -44%
Expected +17% · Actual -21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
-21.0%
stock -21% · XLF +3%
matured Dec 16, 15
▲ Outperform · 🎯$19.5
Price at call : $16.53 — upside +18%
Today : $33.75 — upside -42%
Expected +18% · Actual -16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on RDN : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
-15.6%
stock -16% · XLF +2%
matured Nov 3, 15

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Radian Group, Inc. stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Radian Group, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $43.50 (+29% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Radian Group, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Radian Group, Inc.? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Radian Group, Inc. is $47.00 (+39% above today's price); the average is $43.50. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Radian Group, Inc. on our site before trusting it.

Is Radian Group, Inc. still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 10 analysts have a real record on Radian Group, Inc., the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

What has Radian Group, Inc.'s past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: RDN performance & returns.

Are insiders buying RDN stock?

Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on RDN.

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