Supermicro (SMCI) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Oct 2, 24

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$42

Price at call : $41.55 — gap to target +1%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +9%

🎯 on SMCI : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.8% · +7.1% (955 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 2, 25

Sep 23, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$100

Price at call : $46.59 — upside +115%

Today : $38.46 — upside +160%

Expected +115% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.2% · +11.0% (126 calls)

+0.9%

stock +1% · XLK +26%

matured Sep 23, 25

Needham ↗

Sep 18, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$60

Price at call : $43.69 — upside +37%

Today : $38.46 — upside +56%

Expected +37% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Tech : 48.3% · +13.0% (750 calls)

+5.1%

stock +5% · XLK +27%

matured Sep 18, 25

Mizuho ↗

Sep 17, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45

Price at call : $43.94 — gap to target +2%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +17%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +9.3% (600 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 17, 25

JP Morgan ↗

Sep 6, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50

Price at call : $38.65 — gap to target +29%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +30%

🎯 on SMCI : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.3% · +10.9% (665 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 6, 25

Sep 4, 24

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$43.8

Price at call : $41.46 — gap to target +6%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +14%

🎯 on SMCI : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.8% · +7.1% (955 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 4, 25

CFRA

Aug 28, 24

■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45.4

Price at call : $44.88 — gap to target +1%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +18%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 28, 25

Aug 28, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$69.3

Price at call : $44.88 — upside +54%

Today : $38.46 — upside +80%

Expected +54% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.8% · +7.1% (955 calls)

-7.4%

stock -7% · XLK +21%

matured Aug 28, 25

See the other 48 calls, newest to oldest

Aug 28, 24

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37.5

Price at call : $44.88 — gap to target -16%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target -2%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 28, 25

Goldman Sachs ↗

Aug 8, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67.5

Price at call : $50.88 — gap to target +33%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +76%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 8, 25

B of A Securities ↗

Aug 7, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70

Price at call : $50.99 — gap to target +37%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +82%

🎯 on SMCI : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.7% · +14.0% (733 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 7, 25

Aug 7, 24

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65

Price at call : $50.99 — gap to target +27%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +69%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 7, 25

Aug 7, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$130

Price at call : $49.27 — upside +164%

Today : $38.46 — upside +238%

Expected +164% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 33% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.5% · +21.3% (545 calls)

-5.3%

stock -5% · XLK +33%

matured Aug 7, 25

JP Morgan ↗

Aug 7, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$95

Price at call : $49.27 — upside +93%

Today : $38.46 — upside +147%

Expected +93% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.3% · +10.9% (665 calls)

-5.3%

stock -5% · XLK +33%

matured Aug 7, 25

Aug 2, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80

Price at call : $60.88 — gap to target +31%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +108%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 55.1% · +28.1% (372 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 2, 25

Jul 15, 24

▼ Negative · 🎯$32.5

Price at call : $89.77 — upside -64%

Today : $38.46 — upside -15%

Expected -64% · Actual -41% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.2% · +11.3% (356 calls)

+40.8%

stock -41% · XLK +10%

matured Jul 15, 25

Nomura

Jul 10, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$93

Price at call : $88.92 — gap to target +5%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +142%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 25

May 1, 24

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$89

Price at call : $76.25 — gap to target +17%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +131%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 25

Goldman Sachs ↗

May 1, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80

Price at call : $76.25 — gap to target +5%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +108%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 25

May 1, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80

Price at call : $76.25 — gap to target +5%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +108%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 55.1% · +28.1% (372 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 25

May 1, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$130

Price at call : $73.83 — upside +76%

Today : $38.46 — upside +238%

Expected +76% · Actual -56% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 33% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.5% · +21.3% (545 calls)

-55.7%

stock -56% · XLK +10%

matured May 1, 25

Keybanc ↗

Apr 24, 24

■ Sector Weight neutral · not a buy

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 47% · +4.1% (715 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 25

Apr 24, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$53

Price at call : $75.47 — gap to target -30%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +38%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 55.1% · +28.1% (372 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 25

Apr 16, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$150

Price at call : $97.63 — upside +54%

Today : $38.46 — upside +290%

Expected +54% · Actual -67% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.2% · +11.0% (126 calls)

-67.3%

stock -67% · XLK -4%

matured Apr 16, 25

Mar 25, 24

▲ Outperform · 🎯$130

Price at call : $104.28 — upside +25%

Today : $38.46 — upside +238%

Expected +25% · Actual -61% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 57.3% · +27.7% (82 calls)

-61.0%

stock -61% · XLK +5%

matured Mar 25, 25

JP Morgan ↗

Mar 25, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$115

Price at call : $104.28 — upside +10%

Today : $38.46 — upside +199%

Expected +10% · Actual -61% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.3% · +10.9% (665 calls)

-61.0%

stock -61% · XLK +5%

matured Mar 25, 25

B of A Securities ↗

Mar 13, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$128

Price at call : $118.81 — upside +8%

Today : $38.46 — upside +233%

Expected +8% · Actual -67% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.7% · +14.0% (733 calls)

-67.1%

stock -67% · XLK -1%

matured Mar 13, 25

Argus Research ↗

Mar 6, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$135

Price at call : $115.98 — upside +16%

Today : $38.46 — upside +251%

Expected +16% · Actual -67% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Tech : 53.1% · +8.7% (145 calls)

-67.0%

stock -67% · XLK +4%

matured Mar 6, 25

Goldman Sachs ↗

Mar 4, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$94.1

Price at call : $107.43 — gap to target -12%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +145%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 50.6% · +8.9% (532 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 4, 25

Feb 20, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$130

Price at call : $73.42 — upside +77%

Today : $38.46 — upside +238%

Expected +77% · Actual -19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 33% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.5% · +21.3% (545 calls)

-19.3%

stock -19% · XLK +21%

matured Feb 19, 25

Feb 16, 24

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$96

Price at call : $80.33 — gap to target +20%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +150%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +8.7% (551 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 15, 25

B of A Securities ↗

Feb 15, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$104

Price at call : $100.4 — upside +4%

Today : $38.46 — upside +170%

Expected +4% · Actual -52% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.7% · +14.0% (733 calls)

-52.3%

stock -52% · XLK +17%

matured Feb 14, 25

Feb 13, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$96.1

Price at call : $79.15 — upside +21%

Today : $38.46 — upside +150%

Expected +21% · Actual -50% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.8% · +7.1% (955 calls)

-49.9%

stock -50% · XLK +16%

matured Feb 12, 25

Jan 30, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$70

Price at call : $52.96 — upside +32%

Today : $38.46 — upside +82%

Expected +32% · Actual -46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 33% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.5% · +21.3% (545 calls)

-45.9%

stock -46% · XLK +17%

matured Jan 29, 25

Jan 30, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$53

Price at call : $52.96 — gap to target +0%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target +38%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 55.1% · +28.1% (372 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 25

Jan 30, 24

▲ Outperform · 🎯$62.5

Price at call : $52.96 — upside +18%

Today : $38.46 — upside +63%

Expected +18% · Actual -46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 57.3% · +27.7% (82 calls)

-45.9%

stock -46% · XLK +17%

matured Jan 29, 25

Jan 30, 24

▼ Negative · 🎯$25

Price at call : $51.3 — upside -51%

Today : $38.46 — upside -35%

Expected -51% · Actual -46% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.2% · +11.3% (356 calls)

+45.8%

stock -46% · XLK +15%

matured Jan 29, 25

Jan 19, 24

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$25

Price at call : $42.34 — gap to target -41%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target -35%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 55.1% · +28.1% (372 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 18, 25

Jan 19, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$39.6

Price at call : $42.34 — upside -6%

Today : $38.46 — upside +3%

Expected -6% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.8% · +7.1% (955 calls)

-23.4%

stock -23% · XLK +18%

matured Jan 18, 25

Dec 11, 23

▼ Negative · 🎯$16

Price at call : $26.23 — upside -39%

Today : $38.46 — upside -58%

Expected -39% · Actual +55% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.2% · +11.3% (356 calls)

-54.6%

stock +55% · XLK +25%

matured Dec 10, 24

Nov 2, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$33.5

Price at call : $25.5 — upside +31%

Today : $38.46 — upside -13%

Expected +31% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on SMCI : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.8% · +7.1% (955 calls)

+2.1%

stock +2% · XLK +30%

matured Nov 1, 24

Oct 30, 23

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$25

Price at call : $23.66 — gap to target +6%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target -35%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 55.1% · +28.1% (372 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 24

Nomura Instinet

Oct 20, 23

▲ Buy · 🎯$41.3

Price at call : $25.49 — upside +62%

Today : $38.46 — upside +7%

Expected +62% · Actual +88% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall

+87.5%

stock +88% · XLK +41%

matured Oct 19, 24

Sep 19, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$32.7

Price at call : $24.77 — upside +32%

Today : $38.46 — upside -15%

Expected +32% · Actual +76% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.8% · +7.1% (955 calls)

+76.3%

stock +76% · XLK +28%

matured Sep 18, 24

Aug 23, 23

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$25

Price at call : $27.76 — gap to target -10%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target -35%

🎯 on SMCI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 55.1% · +28.1% (372 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 22, 24

Aug 10, 23

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$30

Price at call : $25.44 — gap to target +18%

Today : $38.46 — gap to target -22%

🎯 on SMCI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.2% · +11.3% (356 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 9, 24

Aug 9, 23

▲ Buy · 🎯$37.5

Price at call : $26.61 — upside +41%

Today : $38.46 — upside -2%

Expected +41% · Actual +92% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 33% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.5% · +21.3% (545 calls)

+91.6%

stock +92% · XLK +22%

matured Aug 8, 24

Aug 8, 23

▲ Buy · 🎯$37.5

Price at call : $34.74 — upside +8%

Today : $38.46 — upside -2%

Expected +8% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 33% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 52.5% · +21.3% (545 calls)

+41.8%

stock +42% · XLK +16%

matured Aug 7, 24

Aug 7, 23

▲ Buy · 🎯$40

Price at call : $34.74 — upside +15%

Today : $38.46 — upside +4%

Expected +15% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.2% · +11.0% (126 calls)

+41.8%

stock +42% · XLK +16%

matured Aug 6, 24

Jul 21, 23

▲ Outperform · 🎯$34.5

Price at call : $30.94 — upside +12%

Today : $38.46 — upside -10%

Expected +12% · Actual +154% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 57.3% · +27.7% (82 calls)

+154.2%

stock +154% · XLK +28%

matured Jul 20, 24

May 24, 23

▲ Buy · 🎯$20

Price at call : $20.69 — upside -3%

Today : $38.46 — upside -48%

Expected -3% · Actual +327% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.2% · +11.0% (126 calls)

+327.3%

stock +327% · XLK +34%

matured May 23, 24

May 3, 23

▲ Buy · 🎯$15

Price at call : $13.64 — upside +10%

Today : $38.46 — upside -61%

Expected +10% · Actual +474% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 49.2% · +11.0% (126 calls)

+473.8%

stock +474% · XLK +37%

matured May 2, 24

Feb 1, 23

▲ Outperform · 🎯$17.5

Price at call : $8.19 — upside +114%

Today : $38.46 — upside -54%

Expected +114% · Actual +608% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 57.3% · +27.7% (82 calls)

+607.9%

stock +608% · XLK +41%

matured Feb 1, 24

May 5, 21

▲ Outperform · 🎯$5

Price at call : $3.63 — upside +38%

Today : $38.46 — upside -87%

Expected +38% · Actual +46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 57.3% · +27.7% (82 calls)

+46.3%

stock +46% · XLK +4%

matured May 5, 22

Jun 11, 20

▲ Outperform · 🎯$4.9

Price at call : $2.92 — upside +68%

Today : $38.46 — upside -87%

Expected +68% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on SMCI : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 57.3% · +27.7% (82 calls)

+24.0%

stock +24% · XLK +44%

matured Jun 11, 21