Should I buy Simon Property Group (SPG) stock or is it too late?

Simon Property Group · Real Estate · price $215

See the full Simon Property Group (SPG) profile

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Citigroup — 66% of its targets hit on this sector (194 calls tested). It aims for $230 (+7.0 %), call made on August 18, 2026, maturing on August 18, 2027 (10 d ago).

The 4 reliable analysts $224+4.0 %

The 8 other firms $219+1.7 %

How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 3 aim above the price, 1 below, hence their $224 median. “The 8 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on Simon Property Group

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
Stifel	71 %	+10.8 %	14	$209 -3%
Piper Sandler	75 %	+8.3 %	8	$285 +33%
Barclays	68 %	+5.3 %	19	$215 +0%
Evercore ISI Group	67 %	+2.0 %	6	$215 +0%
Morgan Stanley	46 %	-0.3 %	13	$207 -4%
Citigroup	60 %	-4.0 %	10	$230 +7%
Argus Research	50 %	-8.1 %	6	$185 -14%
Deutsche Bank	61 %	+23.1 %	18	—

In short — Should you invest in Simon Property Group? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are split (23% buy, median target $220, i.e. +2%), and the most reliable on SPG targets even higher. We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

The most reliable firm on SPG, Piper Sandler (75% hit rate, 8 scored calls), targets $285 (call made on July 21, 2026, maturing on July 21, 2027) (+33%) in its most recent call, and $210 (call made on September 18, 2025, maturing on September 18, 2026) (-2%) in the one coming due soonest.
Pays a dividend (4.0% yield) — regular income on top of potential upside.
Reasonable valuation (P/E ~15) relative to its sector.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

The consensus is not unanimous: of 13 ratings, 10 are neutral.
Limited upside: the median target is only +2% from the current price.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.

The analyst consensus on SPG

Median target $220 (+2%) · 13 ratings · Hold consensus

Strong Buy00%

Buy323%

Hold1077%

Sell00%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in Simon Property Group now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 23% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $220 (+2%), and Piper Sandler (most reliable on SPG, 75%) targets $285. Weigh that against valuation (P/E ~15). This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in Simon Property Group?

The stated upside is small: the median target ($220) sits just +2% from the price ($215) (most reliable on SPG: Piper Sandler, 75%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is Simon Property Group still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($215) and its estimated value: analysts target $220 on median (+2%), with 23% buys (most reliable on SPG: Piper Sandler, 75%). Cross-check with their real reliability on SPG and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying SPG?

The consensus is not unanimous: of 13 ratings, 10 are neutral.

→ Go deeper: the full Simon Property Group profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).