Will Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) stock recover?

Texas Pacific Land Corporation · Energy · ref. ETF XLE · price $369.13
Logo Texas Pacific Land CorporationSee the full Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) profile
In short — Texas Pacific Land Corporation is down 38 % from its 12-month high. Analysts target $443 over 12 months, i.e. +20 % from the current price. Over 2013-2026, Texas Pacific Land Corporation saw 7 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was +11 % on median (positive 71% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 71% of cases, in about 18 months. We answer with facts, not a promise.

What do analysts say about TPL?

Average price target from 2 analysts: $443 over ~12 months (Hold consensus), i.e. +20 % from the current price. Most reliable firm on TPL: BWS Financial (83% hit rate, 6 scored calls). A target is a 12-month view, not for tomorrow.

What happened after its past drops?

Over 2013-2026, Texas Pacific Land Corporation saw 7 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was +11 % on median (positive 71% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 71% of cases, in about 18 months. (monthly history 2013-2026 — transparency data, not a guarantee)

TPL's biggest months

📈 Best month — February 2026+51 %
📉 Worst month — March 2020-45 %

⚠️ Drop measured from the 12-month high; analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon; monthly history since 2013. Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Frequently asked questions

Will Texas Pacific Land Corporation stock recover?

No one can guarantee it, and we won't. What we know: it's down 38 % from its high; analysts target $443 over 12 months (+20 % from the current price). Over 2013-2026, Texas Pacific Land Corporation saw 7 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was +11 % on median (positive 71% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 71% of cases, in about 18 months. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Why has TPL dropped so much?

We don't assert the cause of a drop — a headline can be a consequence or a coincidence. What we measure is what comes next: the analysts' target and the stock's historical behavior after this kind of drop.

Should I buy TPL now that it's down?

A drop is not a buy signal by itself. Cross-check with the analysts' target, their real reliability on the stock (most solid: BWS Financial, 83% hit rate), and the fundamentals. This is not personalized advice.

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