Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Texas Pacific Land Corporation · Energy · ref. ETF XLE · 15 calls · price $369.71
What the company does: Texas Pacific Land Corporation engages in the land and resource management, and water services and operations businesses.
📈 Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) stock price
$369.71+20.3% over range
Aug 28, 25low $273.56 · high $539.79Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
No recent rating
📊 JPI status : Texas Pacific Land Corporation has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 TPL price target & analyst consensus — price $370
The price target · all analysts combined (2 targets)
Highest target$639+72.8%
Median target · of 2 targets$442+19.6%
Lowest target$245-33.7%
Current price$369.71
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.
The consensus · 0 ratings (last 6 months)
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 TPL price target all
All 15 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 15 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on TPL most reliable
Their real reliability on TPL, firm by firm: who was right, who was wrong.
→ See their reliability on TPLAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Texas Pacific Land Corporation? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
💰 Texas Pacific Land Corporation dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page
0.55%annual yield
That's ~$2.27 per share per year.
📈 Texas Pacific Land Corporation fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 47.2Net margin 60.3 %Revenue growth +31.2 %Cheap for the growth
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 67 %
2023
Rev −5%Profit −9%
2024
Rev −100%Profit +12%
2025
Profit +6%
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on TPL
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| BWS Financial | 83% | +42.5% | 6 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Texas Pacific Land Corporation would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Texas Pacific Land Corporation 10 years ago would be worth $28,961 today, i.e. +40%/yr on average. Best year: 2024 (+172%), worst: 2023 (-12%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Texas Pacific Land Corporation
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $919 | -8% |
| 3 years ago | $2,213 | +121% |
| 5 years ago | $3,568 | +257% |
Return by year (Texas Pacific Land Corporation)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -17% | $835 (-17%) |
| 2025 | +10% | $919 (-8%) |
| 2024 | +172% | $2,500 (+150%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Texas Pacific Land Corporation
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📋 All analyst calls on TPL
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
▲ Overweight · 🎯$639
Price at call : $502.85 — upside +27%
Today : $369.71 — upside +73%
🎯 on TPL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 47.6% · +6.3% (103 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 23, 27
matures : Feb 23, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$350
Price at call : $288.22 — upside +21%
Today : $369.71 — upside -5%
🎯 on TPL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 47.6% · +6.3% (103 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 2, 26
matures : Dec 2, 26
BWS Financial
Aug 12, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$305.6667
Price at call : $273.19 — upside +12%
Today : $369.71 — upside -17%
Expected +12% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TPL : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+7.7%
stock +8% · XLE -4%
matured Aug 12, 25
BWS Financial
May 10, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$305.6667
Price at call : $201.76 — upside +52%
Today : $369.71 — upside -17%
Expected +52% · Actual +122% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TPL : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+121.6%
stock +122% · XLE -10%
matured May 10, 25
BWS Financial
Apr 2, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$305.6667
Price at call : $195.63 — upside +56%
Today : $369.71 — upside -17%
Expected +56% · Actual +108% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TPL : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+108.0%
stock +108% · XLE -11%
matured Apr 2, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$157.1111
Price at call : $167.28 — gap to target -6%
Today : $369.71 — gap to target -58%
🎯 on TPL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 53.5% · +8.1% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 22, 25
matures : Jan 22, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$173.1111
Price at call : $194.03 — gap to target -11%
Today : $369.71 — gap to target -53%
🎯 on TPL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 53.5% · +8.1% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 29, 24
matures : Nov 29, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$153.1111
Price at call : $151.71 — gap to target +1%
Today : $369.71 — gap to target -59%
🎯 on TPL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 53.5% · +8.1% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 21, 24
matures : May 21, 24
See the other 7 calls, newest to oldest
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$155.4444
Price at call : $164.18 — gap to target -5%
Today : $369.71 — gap to target -58%
🎯 on TPL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 53.5% · +8.1% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 26, 24
matures : Apr 26, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$155.1111
Price at call : $191.97 — gap to target -19%
Today : $369.71 — gap to target -58%
🎯 on TPL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 53.5% · +8.1% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 11, 24
matures : Apr 11, 24
Credit Suisse
Sep 29, 21
▼ Underperform · 🎯$88.8889
Price at call : $137.84 — upside -36%
Today : $369.71 — upside -76%
Expected -36% · Actual +43% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TPL : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
-43.3%
stock +43% · XLE +37%
matured Sep 29, 22
BWS Financial
May 10, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$222.2222
Price at call : $192 — upside +16%
Today : $369.71 — upside -40%
Expected +16% · Actual -26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TPL : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-26.2%
stock -26% · XLE +49%
matured May 10, 22
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$151
Price at call : $177.78 — gap to target -15%
Today : $369.71 — gap to target -59%
🎯 on TPL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 53.5% · +8.1% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 1, 22
matures : Apr 1, 22
BWS Financial
Mar 1, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$188.8889
Price at call : $123.09 — upside +53%
Today : $369.71 — upside -49%
Expected +53% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TPL : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+8.8%
stock +9% · XLE +44%
matured Mar 1, 22
BWS Financial
Jan 12, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$127.7778
Price at call : $92.69 — upside +38%
Today : $369.71 — upside -65%
Expected +38% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TPL : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+35.2%
stock +35% · XLE +46%
matured Jan 12, 22
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Texas Pacific Land Corporation stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Texas Pacific Land Corporation, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $442 (+20% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 83% of the time (6 calls tracked on Texas Pacific Land Corporation). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Texas Pacific Land Corporation? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Texas Pacific Land Corporation is $639 (+73% above today's price); the average is $442. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Texas Pacific Land Corporation on our site before trusting it.
Is Texas Pacific Land Corporation still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 1 analyst have a real record on Texas Pacific Land Corporation, the best hitting 83% over 6 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
What has Texas Pacific Land Corporation's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: TPL performance & returns.
Does Texas Pacific Land Corporation pay a dividend?
Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: TPL's dividend.
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