In short —17 price targets published on Arch Capital Group over 90 days: 7 bullish, 0 bearish (41% positive), median target $110. The highest-ranked firm to weigh in is Cantor Fitzgerald (rank 7, 58.6% hit rate). For each call below we show the firm's real track record — not just its opinion.
The last 17 analyst calls on ACGL
Newest first. The "verdict" is our read on the firm, based on its past calls replayed against actual prices.
Neutral
Morgan Stanley · Equal-Weight · target $100 (+3% vs price that day)
Our verdict — Morgan Stanley ranks #48 of 65 in our leaderboard: 100% hit rate on Arch Capital Group (8 scored calls on this stock), 12.5% average gain per call, +3 pts vs its sector.
Bullish
Wells Fargo · Overweight · target $107 (+10% vs price that day)
Our verdict — Wells Fargo ranks #45 of 65 in our leaderboard: 72.4% hit rate on Arch Capital Group (29 scored calls on this stock), 14.7% average gain per call, +3 pts vs its sector.
Our verdict — Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ranks #58 of 65 in our leaderboard: 87.5% hit rate on Arch Capital Group (8 scored calls on this stock), 9.4% average gain per call, +0 pts vs its sector.
Neutral
JP Morgan · Neutral · target $113 (+16% vs price that day)
Our verdict — JP Morgan ranks #36 of 65 in our leaderboard: 63.1% hit rate across all stocks, 16% average gain per call, +4 pts vs its sector.
Our verdict — Cantor Fitzgerald ranks #7 of 65 in our leaderboard: 58.6% hit rate across all stocks, 38.2% average gain per call, +13 pts vs its sector.
Bullish
Morgan Stanley · Overweight · target $105 (+11% vs price that day)
Our verdict — Morgan Stanley ranks #48 of 65 in our leaderboard: 100% hit rate on Arch Capital Group (8 scored calls on this stock), 12.5% average gain per call, +3 pts vs its sector.
Neutral
Mizuho · Neutral · target $100 (+3% vs price that day)
Our verdict — Mizuho ranks #30 of 65 in our leaderboard: 61.1% hit rate across all stocks, 20.2% average gain per call, +5 pts vs its sector.
Neutral
JP Morgan · Neutral · target $118 (+21% vs price that day)
Our verdict — JP Morgan ranks #36 of 65 in our leaderboard: 63.1% hit rate across all stocks, 16% average gain per call, +4 pts vs its sector.
Our verdict — Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ranks #58 of 65 in our leaderboard: 87.5% hit rate on Arch Capital Group (8 scored calls on this stock), 9.4% average gain per call, +0 pts vs its sector.
Neutral
BMO Capital · Market Perform · target $102 (+3% vs price that day)
Our verdict — BMO Capital ranks #42 of 65 in our leaderboard: 65% hit rate across all stocks, 14.9% average gain per call, +3 pts vs its sector.
Our verdict — Cantor Fitzgerald ranks #7 of 65 in our leaderboard: 58.6% hit rate across all stocks, 38.2% average gain per call, +13 pts vs its sector.
Bullish
Morgan Stanley · Overweight · target $111 (+10% vs price that day)
Our verdict — Morgan Stanley ranks #48 of 65 in our leaderboard: 100% hit rate on Arch Capital Group (8 scored calls on this stock), 12.5% average gain per call, +3 pts vs its sector.
Bullish
RBC Capital · Outperform · target $120 (+19% vs price that day)
Our verdict — RBC Capital ranks #62 of 65 in our leaderboard: 82.4% hit rate on Arch Capital Group (17 scored calls on this stock), 9% average gain per call, -2 pts vs its sector.
Bullish
Wells Fargo · Overweight · target $117 (+16% vs price that day)
Our verdict — Wells Fargo ranks #45 of 65 in our leaderboard: 72.4% hit rate on Arch Capital Group (29 scored calls on this stock), 14.7% average gain per call, +3 pts vs its sector.
Bullish
Roth Capital · Buy · target $110 (+5% vs price that day)
No verdict — this firm doesn't have enough scored calls for us to judge it reliably.
Our verdict — B of A Securities ranks #27 of 65 in our leaderboard: 0% hit rate on Arch Capital Group (7 scored calls on this stock), 18.4% average gain per call, +5 pts vs its sector.
Neutral
JP Morgan · Neutral · target $116 (+15% vs price that day)
Our verdict — JP Morgan ranks #36 of 65 in our leaderboard: 63.1% hit rate across all stocks, 16% average gain per call, +4 pts vs its sector.
⚠️ Price targets as published by the firms, timestamped at their publication date. The upside shown is vs the price on the day of the call, not today's price. Informational data, not investment advice.
Frequently asked questions
What are analysts saying about ACGL right now?
Over the last 90 days, 17 price targets were published on Arch Capital Group: 7 bullish and 0 bearish (41% positive). The median target is $110. The latest call is from October 13, 2026.
Should you trust these price targets?
Not blindly — that's the point of this page: next to each call we show the firm's real track record — its rank among 65 tracked firms, its hit rate and its average gain per call. An ambitious target from a firm that is wrong 6 times out of 10 is not worth the same as one from a consistent firm.
Which firm covering ACGL is the most reliable?
Among the firms that published on Arch Capital Group in the last 90 days, our highest-ranked is Cantor Fitzgerald (rank 7 of 65, 58.6% hit rate, 38.2% average gain per call).
Where does this data come from?
From analyst price targets, timestamped at publication then replayed against the actual price. Firm rankings come from our analyst leaderboard. Updated daily.
💬 A question about Arch Capital Group?The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.