Arch Capital Group (ACGL) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Arch Capital Group · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 73 calls · price $96.85
What the company does: Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia.
📈 Arch Capital Group (ACGL) stock price
$96.85+5.0% over range
Oct 14, 25low $84.72 · high $106.48Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
46% recommend buying · 13 analysts
📊 JPI status : Arch Capital Group has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 ACGL price target & analyst consensus — price $96.85
The price target · all analysts combined (13 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 13$134+38.4%
Median target · of 13 targets$107+10.5%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 13$95-1.9%
Current price$96.85
Where these 13 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
1292%
$100 ↔ $134
Below
18%
$95
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Cantor Fitzgerald — 76% of its targets hit on this sector (21 calls tested). It aims for $105 (+8.4 %), call made on October 8, 2026, maturing on October 8, 2027 (6 d ago).
The 8 reliable analysts
$106+9.4 %
The 5 other firms
$110+14 %
How to read it: the 8 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 7 aim above the price, 1 below, hence their $106 median. “The 5 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 13 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy646%
Hold754%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 ACGL price target all
All 17 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 17 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on ACGL most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in ACGL? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Arch Capital Group? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
📈 Arch Capital Group fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 7.6Net margin 24.4 %Revenue growth -10.5 %Low P/E
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 13 %
2023
Rev +22%Profit +207%
2024
Rev +17%Profit −3%
2025
Rev +5%Profit +2%
🏛️ Arch Capital Group insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page
1 insider bought1 buys / 6 mo $499k
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on ACGL
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley ↗ | 100% | +18.9% | 8 |
| BMO Capital ↗ | 100% | +14.0% | 2 |
| Wolfe Research ↗ | 100% | +13.6% | 2 |
| Barclays ↗ | 95% | +36.4% | 21 |
| Jefferies ↗ | 88% | +37.4% | 8 |
| JMP Securities | 85% | +20.0% | 20 |
| UBS ↗ | 84% | +20.7% | 19 |
| RBC Capital ↗ | 82% | +22.2% | 17 |
| Wells Fargo ↗ | 72% | +18.1% | 29 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗ | 70% | +4.4% | 10 |
See the other 5 firms
| B of A Securities ↗ | 0% | -11.4% | 7 |
| Roth MKM ↗ | 0% | -9.6% | 2 |
| MKM Partners | 33% | -9.8% | 3 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 40% | +5.4% | 5 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 50% | -3.5% | 4 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Arch Capital Group would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Arch Capital Group 10 years ago would be worth $4,175 today, i.e. +15%/yr on average. Best year: 2019 (+61%), worst: 2020 (-16%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Arch Capital Group
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,051 | +5% |
| 3 years ago | $1,546 | +55% |
| 5 years ago | $2,691 | +169% |
Return by year (Arch Capital Group)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | +1% | $1,012 (+1%) |
| 2025 | +4% | $1,051 (+5%) |
| 2024 | +24% | $1,307 (+31%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Arch Capital Group
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📋 All analyst calls on ACGL
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 13, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $96.85 — gap to target +3%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.1% (1123 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 13, 27
matures : Oct 13, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 12, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$107
Price at call : $96.85 — upside +10%
Today : $96.85 — upside +10%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 12, 27
matures : Oct 12, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Oct 12, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$95
Price at call : $97.16 — gap to target -2%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 12, 27
matures : Oct 12, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$113
Price at call : $97.16 — gap to target +16%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +17%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · -0.7% (513 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 27
matures : Oct 9, 27
Cantor Fitzgerald ↗
Oct 7, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$105
Price at call : $94.33 — gap to target +11%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 76.2% · +16.9% (21 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 7, 27
matures : Oct 7, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$105
Price at call : $94.33 — upside +11%
Today : $96.85 — upside +8%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.1% (1123 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 6, 27
matures : Oct 6, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $96.7 — gap to target +3%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 28.4% · -1.6% (74 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 16, 27
matures : Sep 16, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$118
Price at call : $97.29 — gap to target +21%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +22%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · -0.7% (513 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 27
matures : Aug 11, 27
See the other 65 calls, newest to oldest
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Aug 11, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$99
Price at call : $98.26 — gap to target +1%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 27
matures : Aug 11, 27
BMO Capital ↗
Aug 5, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $99.09 — gap to target +3%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.1% · +2.8% (268 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 27
matures : Aug 5, 27
Cantor Fitzgerald ↗
Aug 3, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$110
Price at call : $101.12 — gap to target +9%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 76.2% · +16.9% (21 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 3, 27
matures : Aug 3, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Aug 3, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$111
Price at call : $101.12 — upside +10%
Today : $96.85 — upside +15%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.1% (1123 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 3, 27
matures : Aug 3, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Jul 30, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$120
Price at call : $100.53 — upside +19%
Today : $96.85 — upside +24%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44.5% · -1.3% (479 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 27
matures : Jul 30, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$117
Price at call : $100.53 — upside +16%
Today : $96.85 — upside +21%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 27
matures : Jul 30, 27
Roth Capital
Jul 29, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$110
Price at call : $104.55 — upside +5%
Today : $96.85 — upside +14%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 29, 27
matures : Jul 29, 27
B of A Securities ↗
Jul 29, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$134
Price at call : $104.55 — upside +28%
Today : $96.85 — upside +38%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 50.4% · +4.2% (452 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 29, 27
matures : Jul 29, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$116
Price at call : $100.55 — gap to target +15%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +20%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · -0.7% (513 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 20, 27
matures : Jul 20, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$104
Price at call : $103.06 — gap to target +1%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 28.4% · -1.6% (74 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 13, 27
matures : Jul 13, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$114
Price at call : $101.06 — upside +13%
Today : $96.85 — upside +18%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
matures : Jul 9, 27
Cantor Fitzgerald ↗
Jul 9, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $101.06 — gap to target +1%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 76.2% · +16.9% (21 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
matures : Jul 9, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$104
Price at call : $101.7 — gap to target +2%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 28.4% · -1.6% (74 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
matures : Jul 9, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $101.7 — upside +18%
Today : $96.85 — upside +24%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 48.2% · +2.3% (498 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 8, 27
matures : Jul 8, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jul 8, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$99
Price at call : $102.01 — gap to target -3%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 8, 27
matures : Jul 8, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$106
Price at call : $102.85 — gap to target +3%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.7% · +0.4% (973 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 27
matures : Jul 7, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $101.81 — upside +8%
Today : $96.85 — upside +14%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.1% (1123 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 6, 27
matures : Jul 6, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
May 5, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $94.7 — gap to target +8%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 5, 27
matures : May 5, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$101
Price at call : $94.14 — gap to target +7%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 28.4% · -1.6% (74 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 5, 27
matures : May 5, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$122.5
Price at call : $93.82 — upside +31%
Today : $96.85 — upside +26%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.2% · +0.1% (647 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
matures : Apr 30, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $94.46 — upside +16%
Today : $96.85 — upside +14%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
matures : Apr 30, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$110
Price at call : $98.85 — gap to target +11%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · -0.7% (513 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 20, 27
matures : Apr 20, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$106
Price at call : $98.84 — gap to target +7%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.7% · +0.4% (973 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 8, 27
matures : Apr 8, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Apr 7, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$105
Price at call : $98.6 — gap to target +6%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
matures : Apr 7, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$114
Price at call : $98.06 — upside +16%
Today : $96.85 — upside +18%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 48.2% · +2.3% (498 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 17, 27
matures : Feb 17, 27
Cantor Fitzgerald ↗
Feb 17, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $98.06 — gap to target +2%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 76.2% · +16.9% (21 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 17, 27
matures : Feb 17, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $98.88 — upside +21%
Today : $96.85 — upside +24%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.2% · +0.1% (647 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 27
matures : Feb 13, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 13, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$104
Price at call : $98.88 — gap to target +5%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 27
matures : Feb 13, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $99.85 — gap to target +2%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 28.4% · -1.6% (74 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
matures : Feb 12, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Feb 11, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$115
Price at call : $99.85 — upside +15%
Today : $96.85 — upside +19%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44.5% · -1.3% (479 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 27
matures : Feb 11, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$109
Price at call : $99.85 — upside +9%
Today : $96.85 — upside +13%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 27
matures : Feb 11, 27
Cantor Fitzgerald ↗
Jan 14, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$97
Price at call : $91.29 — gap to target +6%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +0%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 76.2% · +16.9% (21 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 27
matures : Jan 14, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$104
Price at call : $95.18 — gap to target +9%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.7% · +0.4% (973 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
matures : Jan 8, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 8, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$93
Price at call : $95.18 — upside -2%
Today : $96.85 — upside -4%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 55.4% · +4.9% (386 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
matures : Jan 8, 27
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Jan 7, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $96.38 — gap to target +4%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 55.1% · +0.9% (245 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
matures : Jan 7, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$117
Price at call : $96.38 — gap to target +21%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +21%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · -0.7% (513 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
matures : Jan 7, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jan 6, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $95.16 — gap to target +7%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 6, 27
matures : Jan 6, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$95
Price at call : $95.58 — gap to target -1%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 28.4% · -1.6% (74 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 16, 26
matures : Dec 16, 26
Roth Capital
Dec 2, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$110
Price at call : $92.72 — upside +19%
Today : $96.85 — upside +14%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 2, 26
matures : Dec 2, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Nov 17, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $91.79 — upside +20%
Today : $96.85 — upside +14%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.1% (1123 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 17, 26
matures : Nov 17, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 29, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$106
Price at call : $86.64 — upside +22%
Today : $96.85 — upside +9%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 26
matures : Oct 29, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$111
Price at call : $84.72 — gap to target +31%
Today : $96.85 — gap to target +15%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · -0.7% (513 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 28, 26
matures : Oct 28, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 8, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$111
Price at call : $92.23 — upside +20%
Today : $96.85 — upside +15%
Expected +20% · Actual +4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
+3.6%
stock +4% · XLF +3%
matured Oct 8, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 31, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$107
Price at call : $88 — upside +22%
Today : $96.85 — upside +10%
Expected +22% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
+14.9%
stock +15% · XLF +12%
matured Jul 31, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $87.84 — upside +25%
Today : $96.85 — upside +14%
Expected +25% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
+17.3%
stock +17% · XLF +8%
matured Jul 10, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
May 6, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$113
Price at call : $92.69 — upside +22%
Today : $96.85 — upside +17%
Expected +22% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
+2.0%
stock +2% · XLF +4%
matured May 6, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
May 1, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$108
Price at call : $92.48 — upside +17%
Today : $96.85 — upside +12%
Expected +17% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
+1.3%
stock +1% · XLF +4%
matured May 1, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Apr 9, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$104
Price at call : $90.58 — upside +15%
Today : $96.85 — upside +7%
Expected +15% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
+5.9%
stock +6% · XLF +11%
matured Apr 9, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 13, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$113
Price at call : $88.2 — upside +28%
Today : $96.85 — upside +17%
Expected +28% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
+12.1%
stock +12% · XLF +1%
matured Feb 13, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 12, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$106
Price at call : $88.26 — upside +20%
Today : $96.85 — upside +9%
Expected +20% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
+13.1%
stock +13% · XLF +1%
matured Feb 12, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$107
Price at call : $93.62 — upside +14%
Today : $96.85 — upside +10%
Expected +14% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
-2.9%
stock -3% · XLF +10%
matured Jan 14, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jan 10, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$120
Price at call : $90.83 — upside +32%
Today : $96.85 — upside +24%
Expected +32% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
+2.6%
stock +3% · XLF +16%
matured Jan 10, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Nov 19, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$109
Price at call : $95.71 — upside +14%
Today : $96.85 — upside +13%
Expected +14% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
-4.0%
stock -4% · XLF +3%
matured Nov 19, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Nov 4, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$118
Price at call : $95 — upside +24%
Today : $96.85 — upside +22%
Expected +24% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
-7.9%
stock -8% · XLF +13%
matured Nov 4, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 10, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$126
Price at call : $114.4 — upside +10%
Today : $96.85 — upside +30%
Expected +10% · Actual -19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
-19.4%
stock -19% · XLF +13%
matured Oct 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$125
Price at call : $109.49 — upside +14%
Today : $96.85 — upside +29%
Expected +14% · Actual -16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 40% · -3.0% (25 calls)
-16.1%
stock -16% · XLF +20%
matured Aug 23, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 12, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $97.73 — upside +13%
Today : $96.85 — upside +14%
Expected +13% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
-8.0%
stock -8% · XLF +24%
matured Aug 12, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Aug 7, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$121
Price at call : $98.4 — upside +23%
Today : $96.85 — upside +25%
Expected +23% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
-9.7%
stock -10% · XLF +23%
matured Aug 7, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 11, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$111
Price at call : $96.5 — upside +15%
Today : $96.85 — upside +15%
Expected +15% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
-6.1%
stock -6% · XLF +24%
matured Jul 11, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
May 1, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $95.17 — upside +16%
Today : $96.85 — upside +14%
Expected +16% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +1.2% (715 calls)
-2.8%
stock -3% · XLF +23%
matured May 1, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
May 1, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$88
Price at call : $75.9 — upside +16%
Today : $96.85 — upside -9%
Expected +16% · Actual +23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
+23.2%
stock +23% · XLF +22%
matured Apr 30, 24
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 16, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$75
Price at call : $67.1 — upside +12%
Today : $96.85 — upside -23%
Expected +12% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
+28.3%
stock +28% · XLF +9%
matured Feb 16, 24
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Mar 22, 18
▲ Outperform
Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
+14.0%
stock +14% · XLF -8%
matured Mar 22, 19
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Nov 3, 14
▼ Underperform · 🎯$17.3333
Price at call : $18.8 — upside -8%
Today : $96.85 — upside -82%
Expected -8% · Actual +32% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
-32.3%
stock +32% · XLF +2%
matured Nov 3, 15
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Aug 12, 13
▼ Underperform
Actual +3% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.2% (497 calls)
-2.5%
stock +3% · XLF +10%
matured Aug 12, 14
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Arch Capital Group stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Arch Capital Group, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $107 (+10% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (8 calls tracked on Arch Capital Group). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Arch Capital Group? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Arch Capital Group is $134 (+38% above today's price); the average is $107. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Arch Capital Group on our site before trusting it.
Is Arch Capital Group still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 15 analysts have a real record on Arch Capital Group, the best hitting 100% over 8 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
Should you invest in Arch Capital Group? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in ACGL (and why hesitate).
What has Arch Capital Group's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: ACGL performance & returns.
What is the best month to buy ACGL?
The 12 months ranked by the stock's past returns: best & worst month to buy ACGL.
Are insiders buying ACGL stock?
Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on ACGL.
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