Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 50 calls · price $10.74
What the company does: Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) functions as a real estate finance entity, primarily engaged in originating senior-level debt secured by commercial properties.
📈 Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) stock price
$10.74-42.1% over range
Oct 14, 25low $10.74 · high $20.63Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
60% recommend buying · 5 analysts
📊 JPI status : Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 BXMT price target & analyst consensus — price $10.74
The price target · all analysts combined (4 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 4$21+95.5%
Median target · of 4 targets$18+67.6%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 4$13+21.0%
Current price$10.74
Where these 4 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
4100%
$13 ↔ $21
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Keefe, Bruyette & Woods — 67% of its targets hit on this sector (296 calls tested). It aims for $13 (+21 %), call made on October 10, 2026, maturing on October 10, 2027 (4 d ago).
The 2 reliable analysts
$15.50+44 %
The 2 other firms
$19.50+82 %
How to read it: the 2 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 2 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $15.50 median. “The 2 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 5 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy360%
Hold240%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 BXMT price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on BXMT most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in BXMT? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
🏛️ Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page
1 insider bought1 buys / 6 mo $143k
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on BXMT
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Suisse | 100% | +9.8% | 2 |
| FBR Capital | 100% | +9.3% | 2 |
| Wells Fargo ↗ | 75% | +6.0% | 4 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 75% | +4.2% | 4 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 60% | +2.9% | 5 |
| JMP Securities | 50% | +5.0% | 2 |
| BTIG ↗ | 0% | -0.9% | 2 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗ | 0% | -12.0% | 2 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $691 today, i.e. -4%/yr on average. Best year: 2016 (+26%), worst: 2022 (-33%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $823 | -18% |
| 3 years ago | $808 | -19% |
| 5 years ago | $586 | -41% |
Return by year (Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -11% | $890 (-11%) |
| 2025 | -8% | $823 (-18%) |
| 2024 | +2% | $839 (-16%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
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📋 All analyst calls on BXMT
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Oct 9, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13
Price at call : $10.83 — gap to target +20%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +21%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 27
matures : Oct 9, 27
Raymond James ↗
Aug 6, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -2.5% (356 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 27
matures : Aug 6, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 3, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$18
Price at call : $14.42 — upside +25%
Today : $10.74 — upside +68%
🎯 on BXMT : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · -1.7% (79 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 3, 27
matures : Aug 3, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$18
Price at call : $14.57 — upside +24%
Today : $10.74 — upside +68%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 27
matures : Jul 31, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jul 31, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $14.54 — gap to target +10%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +49%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 27
matures : Jul 31, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$19
Price at call : $17.08 — upside +11%
Today : $10.74 — upside +77%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 27
matures : Jul 17, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jun 26, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$20
Price at call : $17.42 — upside +15%
Today : $10.74 — upside +86%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 27
matures : Jun 26, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $18.31 — upside +15%
Today : $10.74 — upside +96%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 2, 27
matures : Jun 2, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
▲ Overweight · 🎯$20
Price at call : $19.07 — upside +5%
Today : $10.74 — upside +86%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
matures : May 1, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$21
Price at call : $20.22 — upside +4%
Today : $10.74 — upside +96%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 27
matures : Apr 16, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 12, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$21.5
Price at call : $19.54 — upside +10%
Today : $10.74 — upside +100%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
matures : Feb 12, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$23
Price at call : $19.61 — upside +17%
Today : $10.74 — upside +114%
🎯 on BXMT : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 53.7% · +9.5% (41 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 10, 27
matures : Feb 10, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $19.88 — gap to target +1%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +86%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
matures : Dec 4, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Nov 17, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$21
Price at call : $18.34 — upside +15%
Today : $10.74 — upside +96%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 17, 26
matures : Nov 17, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $18.48 — gap to target +3%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +77%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 30, 26
matures : Oct 30, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $18.09 — gap to target +2%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +72%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 20, 26
matures : Oct 20, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Oct 9, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $17.96 — gap to target +11%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +86%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
matures : Oct 9, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jul 31, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$19.5
Price at call : $18.48 — gap to target +6%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +82%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 26
matures : Jul 31, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $19.72 — gap to target +1%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +86%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 26
matures : Jul 15, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jul 10, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $19.91 — gap to target +0%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +86%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 26
matures : Jul 10, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$19.5
Price at call : $18.68 — gap to target +4%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +82%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 21, 26
matures : May 21, 26
JMP Securities
May 1, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 26
matures : May 1, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $18.35 — gap to target -2%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +68%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 26
matures : Apr 16, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $18.09 — gap to target +2%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +72%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 26
matures : Apr 16, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Apr 7, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $17.75 — gap to target +13%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +86%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 26
matures : Apr 7, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Mar 31, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20.5
Price at call : $20 — gap to target +3%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +91%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 31, 26
matures : Mar 31, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$19.5
Price at call : $20.55 — gap to target -5%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +82%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 25, 26
matures : Feb 25, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $20.65 — gap to target -3%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +86%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 18, 26
matures : Feb 18, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 13, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$19.5
Price at call : $20.33 — gap to target -4%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +82%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 26
matures : Feb 13, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$17.5
Price at call : $18.26 — gap to target -4%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +63%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 26
matures : Jan 21, 26
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jan 14, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $18.16 — gap to target +2%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +72%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 26
matures : Jan 14, 26
Wolfe Research ↗
Dec 11, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$20
Price at call : $19.23 — upside +4%
Today : $10.74 — upside +86%
Expected +4% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BXMT : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -8.5% (18 calls)
+6.5%
stock +7% · XLF +10%
matured Dec 11, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Sep 20, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$22
Price at call : $19.94 — upside +10%
Today : $10.74 — upside +105%
Expected +10% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BXMT : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · -1.7% (79 calls)
-4.5%
stock -5% · XLF +19%
matured Sep 20, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 25, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$19
Price at call : $17.59 — upside +8%
Today : $10.74 — upside +77%
Expected +8% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BXMT : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · -1.7% (79 calls)
+9.7%
stock +10% · XLF +22%
matured Jul 25, 25
JMP Securities
Jul 23, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 25
matures : Jul 23, 25
Wolfe Research ↗
Jun 25, 24
■ Peer Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on BXMT : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -8.5% (18 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 25
matures : Jun 25, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jun 18, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $17.95 — gap to target +0%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +68%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 18, 25
matures : Jun 18, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Apr 26, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $17.91 — gap to target +1%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +68%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 26, 25
matures : Apr 26, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$17.5
Price at call : $17.91 — gap to target -2%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +63%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 25, 25
matures : Apr 25, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $17.91 — gap to target +6%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +77%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 25, 25
matures : Apr 25, 25
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 25, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$20
Price at call : $17.91 — upside +12%
Today : $10.74 — upside +86%
Expected +12% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BXMT : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · -1.7% (79 calls)
+6.3%
stock +6% · XLF +18%
matured Apr 25, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$22
Price at call : $18.33 — upside +20%
Today : $10.74 — upside +105%
Expected +20% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BXMT : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 53.7% · +9.5% (41 calls)
-0.7%
stock -1% · XLF +15%
matured Apr 17, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Apr 10, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20.5
Price at call : $18.93 — gap to target +8%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +91%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 25
matures : Apr 10, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $18.63 — gap to target -1%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +72%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 57.5% · +6.1% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 25
matures : Apr 10, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $20.3 — gap to target +3%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +96%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 20, 25
matures : Mar 20, 25
B of A Securities ↗
Mar 4, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $19.65 — gap to target +7%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +96%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 60.3% · +8.4% (121 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 4, 25
matures : Mar 4, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 16, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $19.32 — gap to target +9%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +96%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 15, 25
matures : Feb 15, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$23.5
Price at call : $20.68 — gap to target +14%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +119%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.5% · -8.6% (85 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 24
matures : Dec 5, 24
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jul 27, 23
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$22.5
Price at call : $23.04 — gap to target -2%
Today : $10.74 — gap to target +109%
🎯 on BXMT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.9% · +0.7% (296 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 26, 24
matures : Jul 26, 24
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $18.00 (+68% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. is $21.00 (+96% above today's price); the average is $18.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. on our site before trusting it.
Is Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 8 analysts have a real record on Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
Will Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. stock recover (go back up)?
It's down from its high. We answer with the numbers — the analysts' 12-month target and what happened after its past drops: will BXMT stock recover (go back up)?
Should you invest in Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in BXMT (and why hesitate).
What has Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.'s past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: BXMT performance & returns.
Are insiders buying BXMT stock?
Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on BXMT.
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