Logo Century Aluminum Company

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Century Aluminum Company · Materials · ref. ETF XLB · 55 calls · price $45.89
🏆JPI 2026 portfoliosSee tracking →
What the company does: Century Aluminum Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces primary aluminum and alumina in the United States and Iceland.

📈 Century Aluminum Company (CENX) stock price

$45.89+105.0% over range
Aug 28, 25low $21.69 · high $68.77Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
100% recommend buying · 3 analysts
📊 JPI status : Century Aluminum Company has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 CENX price target & analyst consensusprice $45.89

The price target · all analysts combined (3 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 3$79+72.2%
Median target · of 3 targets$74+61.3%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 3$60+30.7%
Current price$45.89
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: B. Riley Securities67% of its targets hit on this sector (45 calls tested). It aims for $74 (+61 %), call made on July 8, 2026, maturing on July 8, 2027 (51 d ago).

The 1 reliable analyst $74+61 %
The 2 other firms $69.50+51 %
How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $74 median. “The 2 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 3 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy3100%
Hold00%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Century Aluminum Company? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

✅ Historical analyst reliability on CENX

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm % right i Gain vs sector i Calls i
B. Riley Securities  58% +32.1% 12
Cowen & Co. 50% +3.5% 2
Morgan Stanley  50% -14.4% 2
JP Morgan  44% -11.0% 9
BMO Capital  29% +17.1% 7
Wolfe Research  25% -40.4% 4
Deutsche Bank  14% -40.5% 7
B of A Securities  0% -71.8% 2

📊 What $1,000 invested in Century Aluminum Company would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Century Aluminum Company 10 years ago would be worth $10,425 today, i.e. +26%/yr on average. Best year: 2017 (+129%), worst: 2018 (-63%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Century Aluminum Company

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$2,529+153%
3 years ago$5,633+463%
5 years ago$4,178+318%
→ See Century Aluminum Company's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Century Aluminum Company)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+18%$1,176 (+18%)
2025+115%$2,529 (+153%)
2024+50%$3,796 (+280%)
→ See Century Aluminum Company's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Century Aluminum Company

Loading news…

📋 All analyst calls on CENX

UBS 
Aug 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $48.17 — upside +25%
Today : $45.89 — upside +31%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$74
Price at call : $45.28 — upside +63%
Today : $45.89 — upside +61%
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 27
Wells Fargo 
May 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$79
Price at call : $60.18 — upside +31%
Today : $45.89 — upside +72%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 36.1% · -13.0% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
Wells Fargo 
Apr 16, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$77
Price at call : $65.61 — upside +17%
Today : $45.89 — upside +68%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 36.1% · -13.0% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$86
Price at call : $65.57 — upside +31%
Today : $45.89 — upside +87%
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
Wells Fargo 
Mar 12, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$69
Price at call : $57.71 — upside +20%
Today : $45.89 — upside +50%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 36.1% · -13.0% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $53.02 — upside +28%
Today : $45.89 — upside +48%
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 24, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $50.51 — upside +27%
Today : $45.89 — upside +39%
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 3, 27
See the other 47 calls, newest to oldest
Wells Fargo 
Jan 13, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$61
Price at call : $47.92 — upside +27%
Today : $45.89 — upside +33%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 36.1% · -13.0% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
Wells Fargo 
Dec 23, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$46
Price at call : $39.31 — upside +17%
Today : $45.89 — upside +0%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 36.1% · -13.0% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 23, 26
Wells Fargo 
Nov 7, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$37
Price at call : $32.31 — upside +15%
Today : $45.89 — upside -19%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 36.1% · -13.0% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 7, 26
BMO Capital 
Nov 7, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$34
Price at call : $33.05 — upside +3%
Today : $45.89 — upside -26%
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 7, 26
Wells Fargo 
Oct 23, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$34
Price at call : $29.94 — upside +14%
Today : $45.89 — upside -26%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 36.1% · -13.0% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
Wells Fargo 
Oct 8, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$37
Price at call : $31.6 — upside +17%
Today : $45.89 — upside -19%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 36.1% · -13.0% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$28
Price at call : $22.37 — upside +25%
Today : $45.89 — upside -39%
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 9, 26
BMO Capital 
Aug 8, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$26
Price at call : $22.49 — upside +16%
Today : $45.89 — upside -43%
Expected +16% · Actual +131% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
+130.7%
stock +131% · XLB +21%
matured Aug 8, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$25
Price at call : $23.01 — upside +9%
Today : $45.89 — upside -46%
Expected +9% · Actual +125% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+125.5%
stock +125% · XLB +20%
matured Aug 8, 26
BMO Capital 
Feb 24, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$22
Price at call : $18.55 — upside +19%
Today : $45.89 — upside -52%
Expected +19% · Actual +188% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
+188.5%
stock +188% · XLB +21%
matured Feb 24, 26
▲ Outperform
Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CENX : 25% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 22.2% · -17.6% (9 calls)
+29.9%
stock +30% · XLB -5%
matured Dec 3, 25
BMO Capital 
Nov 5, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $21.98 — gap to target -18%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -61%
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 5, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$24
Price at call : $21.98 — upside +9%
Today : $45.89 — upside -48%
Expected +9% · Actual +32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+31.9%
stock +32% · XLB -11%
matured Nov 5, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$22
Price at call : $13.95 — upside +58%
Today : $45.89 — upside -52%
Expected +58% · Actual +61% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+61.2%
stock +61% · XLB -0%
matured Aug 9, 25
BMO Capital 
Aug 9, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$15
Price at call : $13.95 — gap to target +8%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -67%
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 9, 25
BMO Capital 
May 2, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $16.81 — gap to target -5%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -65%
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 2, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$14
Price at call : $11.69 — upside +20%
Today : $45.89 — upside -69%
Expected +20% · Actual +65% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+65.4%
stock +65% · XLB +1%
matured Jan 8, 25
BMO Capital 
Dec 20, 23
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12
Price at call : $12.24 — gap to target -2%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -74%
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 19, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$9
Price at call : $8.08 — gap to target +11%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -80%
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 13, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$10
Price at call : $9.14 — gap to target +9%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -78%
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 24, 24
Wolfe Research 
Jul 11, 23
▼ Underperform · 🎯$6
Price at call : $8.2 — upside -27%
Today : $45.89 — upside -87%
Expected -27% · Actual +119% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 25% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 22.2% · -17.6% (9 calls)
-118.5%
stock +119% · XLB +8%
matured Jul 10, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12
Price at call : $12.28 — gap to target -2%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -74%
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 29, 24
Wolfe Research 
Feb 24, 23
■ Peer Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on CENX : 25% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 22.2% · -17.6% (9 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 24, 24
Wolfe Research 
Sep 30, 22
▼ Underperform · 🎯$4
Price at call : $5.28 — upside -24%
Today : $45.89 — upside -91%
Expected -24% · Actual +32% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 25% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 22.2% · -17.6% (9 calls)
-32.0%
stock +32% · XLB +14%
matured Sep 30, 23
BMO Capital 
Jun 23, 22
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$9
Price at call : $7.11 — gap to target +27%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -80%
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 23, 23
Wolfe Research 
May 18, 22
■ Peer Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$14
Price at call : $11.54 — gap to target +21%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -69%
🎯 on CENX : 25% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 22.2% · -17.6% (9 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 18, 23
BMO Capital 
Apr 29, 22
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$24
Price at call : $16.25 — gap to target +48%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -48%
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 29, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $27.41 — upside +17%
Today : $45.89 — upside -30%
Expected +17% · Actual -66% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
-65.5%
stock -66% · XLB -9%
matured Apr 13, 23
Wolfe Research 
Nov 17, 21
▲ Outperform · 🎯$19
Price at call : $14.21 — upside +34%
Today : $45.89 — upside -59%
Expected +34% · Actual -41% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 25% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 22.2% · -17.6% (9 calls)
-41.0%
stock -41% · XLB -11%
matured Nov 17, 22
▲ Buy
Actual -44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
-44.5%
stock -44% · XLB -8%
matured Jul 27, 22
BMO Capital 
Jun 25, 20
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$7
Price at call : $6.72 — gap to target +4%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -85%
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 21
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$5
Price at call : $3.67 — gap to target +36%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -89%
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 24, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$11
Price at call : $6.39 — upside +72%
Today : $45.89 — upside -76%
Expected +72% · Actual +121% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+121.3%
stock +121% · XLB +25%
matured Feb 20, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$10
Price at call : $5.94 — upside +68%
Today : $45.89 — upside -78%
Expected +68% · Actual +111% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+111.5%
stock +111% · XLB +22%
matured Feb 17, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$10
Price at call : $5.8 — upside +72%
Today : $45.89 — upside -78%
Expected +72% · Actual +122% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+122.2%
stock +122% · XLB +23%
matured Feb 17, 21
BMO Capital 
Nov 6, 19
▲ Outperform · 🎯$9
Price at call : $8.33 — upside +8%
Today : $45.89 — upside -80%
Expected +8% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
-12.8%
stock -13% · XLB +13%
matured Nov 5, 20
Morgan Stanley 
Mar 26, 19
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$9
Price at call : $8.19 — gap to target +10%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -80%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (24 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 25, 20
Berenberg 
Jan 14, 19
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$9
Price at call : $8.53 — gap to target +6%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -80%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 20
Morgan Stanley 
Dec 21, 18
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$10
Price at call : $6.91 — gap to target +45%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -78%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (24 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 21, 19
BMO Capital 
Oct 26, 18
▲ Outperform · 🎯$14
Price at call : $8.02 — upside +75%
Today : $45.89 — upside -69%
Expected +75% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
-23.1%
stock -23% · XLB +15%
matured Oct 26, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $10.23 — upside +96%
Today : $45.89 — upside -56%
Expected +96% · Actual -38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
-37.9%
stock -38% · XLB -3%
matured Oct 4, 19
Deutsche Bank 
Oct 2, 18
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$15
Price at call : $11.9 — gap to target +26%
Today : $45.89 — gap to target -67%
🎯 on CENX : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · -3.3% (70 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 2, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$25
Price at call : $13.11 — upside +91%
Today : $45.89 — upside -46%
Expected +91% · Actual -46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
-46.5%
stock -46% · XLB -2%
matured Aug 2, 19
BMO Capital 
Aug 2, 18
▲ Outperform · 🎯$22
Price at call : $13.11 — upside +68%
Today : $45.89 — upside -52%
Expected +68% · Actual -46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
-46.5%
stock -46% · XLB -2%
matured Aug 2, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$27
Price at call : $16.83 — upside +60%
Today : $45.89 — upside -41%
Expected +60% · Actual -59% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
-58.8%
stock -59% · XLB -0%
matured Jun 21, 19
BMO Capital 
Mar 12, 18
▲ Outperform
Actual -61% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
-60.7%
stock -61% · XLB -9%
matured Mar 12, 19
BMO Capital 
Jul 11, 12
▼ Underperform
Actual +56% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CENX : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
-56.4%
stock +56% · XLB +17%
matured Jul 11, 13

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Century Aluminum Company stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Century Aluminum Company, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $74.00 (+61% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 58% of the time (12 calls tracked on Century Aluminum Company). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Century Aluminum Company? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Century Aluminum Company is $79.00 (+72% above today's price); the average is $74.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Century Aluminum Company on our site before trusting it.

Is Century Aluminum Company still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 8 analysts have a real record on Century Aluminum Company, the best hitting 58% over 12 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

Will Century Aluminum Company stock recover (go back up)?

It's down from its high. We answer with the numbers — the analysts' 12-month target and what happened after its past drops: will CENX stock recover (go back up)?

What has Century Aluminum Company's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: CENX performance & returns.

Other Materials stocks

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)