Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. · Materials · ref. ETF XLB · 50 calls · price $108.26
What the company does: Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia.
📈 Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) stock price
$108.26+84.0% over range
Aug 28, 25low $55.15 · high $110.28Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
100% recommend buying · 3 analysts
📊 JPI status : Warrior Met Coal, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Buy” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.
🎯 HCC price target & analyst consensus — price $108
The price target · all analysts combined (3 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 3$123+13.6%
Median target · of 3 targets$100-7.6%
Lowest target · 2 firms of 3$98-9.5%
Current price$108.26
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: B. Riley Securities — 67% of its targets hit on this sector (45 calls tested). It aims for $123 (+14 %), call made on June 11, 2026, maturing on June 11, 2027 (78 d ago).
The 1 reliable analyst
$123+14 %
The 2 other firms
$99-8.6 %
How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $123 median. “The 2 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 3 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy3100%
Hold00%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 HCC price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on HCC most reliable
Their real reliability on HCC, firm by firm: who was right, who was wrong.
→ See their reliability on HCCAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Warrior Met Coal, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on HCC
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMO Capital ↗ | 80% | +33.7% | 5 |
| B. Riley Securities ↗ | 76% | +28.2% | 17 |
| Jefferies ↗ | 50% | +7.1% | 4 |
| Credit Suisse | 50% | -0.5% | 2 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 50% | -8.1% | 2 |
| Citigroup ↗ | 17% | -4.3% | 6 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗ | 0% | 0.0% | 2 |
| JMP Securities | 0% | 0.0% | 5 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Warrior Met Coal, Inc. would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Warrior Met Coal, Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $4,629 today, i.e. +19%/yr on average. Best year: 2023 (+76%), worst: 2024 (-10%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,527 | +53% |
| 3 years ago | $2,406 | +141% |
| 5 years ago | $3,909 | +291% |
Return by year (Warrior Met Coal, Inc.)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -7% | $931 (-7%) |
| 2025 | +64% | $1,527 (+53%) |
| 2024 | -10% | $1,367 (+37%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
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📋 All analyst calls on HCC
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
▲ Buy · 🎯$98
Price at call : $91.97 — upside +7%
Today : $108.26 — upside -9%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 27
matures : Aug 6, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $78.26 — upside +28%
Today : $108.26 — upside -8%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 30, 27
matures : Jun 30, 27
B. Riley Securities ↗
Jun 10, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$123
Price at call : $94.02 — upside +31%
Today : $108.26 — upside +14%
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 10, 27
matures : Jun 10, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $84.02 — upside +21%
Today : $108.26 — upside -6%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
matures : May 1, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$105
Price at call : $94.22 — upside +11%
Today : $108.26 — upside -3%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 27, 27
matures : Mar 27, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $90.62 — upside +10%
Today : $108.26 — upside -8%
🎯 on HCC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · -1.8% (66 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 18, 27
matures : Mar 18, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$101
Price at call : $85.12 — upside +19%
Today : $108.26 — upside -7%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
matures : Mar 12, 27
B. Riley Securities ↗
Feb 13, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $86.28 — upside +39%
Today : $108.26 — upside +11%
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 27
matures : Feb 13, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
▲ Buy · 🎯$108
Price at call : $92.09 — upside +17%
Today : $108.26 — upside -0%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
matures : Jan 29, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $99.87 — upside +20%
Today : $108.26 — upside +11%
🎯 on HCC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56% · -0.7% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 20, 27
matures : Jan 20, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$86
Price at call : $83.51 — gap to target +3%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 12, 26
matures : Dec 12, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $77.38 — gap to target +3%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -26%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 24, 26
matures : Nov 24, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $81.19 — gap to target -8%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -31%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 6, 26
matures : Nov 6, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Nov 6, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$72
Price at call : $81.3 — gap to target -11%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -33%
🎯 on HCC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 6, 26
matures : Nov 6, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $65.53 — gap to target +4%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -37%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 26
matures : Oct 8, 26
Texas Capital Securities
Sep 25, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $64.22 — upside +17%
Today : $108.26 — upside -31%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 25, 26
matures : Sep 25, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $57.21 — gap to target +5%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -45%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 20, 26
matures : Aug 20, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Aug 7, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $59.68 — gap to target -8%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -49%
🎯 on HCC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 7, 26
matures : Aug 7, 26
B. Riley Securities ↗
Jul 22, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$74
Price at call : $59.14 — upside +25%
Today : $108.26 — upside -32%
Expected +25% · Actual +37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+37.0%
stock +37% · XLB +9%
matured Jul 22, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $45.29 — gap to target +10%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -54%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 26
matures : May 7, 26
B. Riley Securities ↗
Apr 11, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$76
Price at call : $46.77 — upside +62%
Today : $108.26 — upside -30%
Expected +62% · Actual +88% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+87.7%
stock +88% · XLB +28%
matured Apr 11, 26
B. Riley Securities ↗
Feb 18, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$86
Price at call : $49.89 — upside +72%
Today : $108.26 — upside -21%
Expected +72% · Actual +71% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+71.4%
stock +71% · XLB +18%
matured Feb 18, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50% · +25.7% (6 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 14, 26
matures : Feb 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $53.41 — upside +22%
Today : $108.26 — upside -40%
Expected +22% · Actual +70% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HCC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56% · -0.7% (50 calls)
+70.0%
stock +70% · XLB +13%
matured Jan 6, 26
B. Riley Securities ↗
Oct 31, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $64.64 — upside +39%
Today : $108.26 — upside -17%
Expected +39% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+7.5%
stock +8% · XLB -9%
matured Oct 31, 25
B. Riley Securities ↗
Sep 6, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $52.01 — upside +73%
Today : $108.26 — upside -17%
Expected +73% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+11.6%
stock +12% · XLB +1%
matured Sep 6, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50% · +25.7% (6 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 25
matures : Aug 5, 25
B. Riley Securities ↗
Aug 2, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$92
Price at call : $60.25 — upside +53%
Today : $108.26 — upside -15%
Expected +53% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
-12.5%
stock -13% · XLB -0%
matured Aug 2, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50% · +25.7% (6 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 1, 25
matures : Jul 1, 25
B. Riley Securities ↗
May 2, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$91
Price at call : $66.23 — upside +37%
Today : $108.26 — upside -16%
Expected +37% · Actual -29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
-28.6%
stock -29% · XLB -6%
matured May 2, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50% · +25.7% (6 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 2, 25
matures : May 2, 25
BMO Capital ↗
May 2, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $66.23 — gap to target +6%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -35%
🎯 on HCC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 2, 25
matures : May 2, 25
B. Riley Securities ↗
Apr 15, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$87
Price at call : $68.22 — upside +28%
Today : $108.26 — upside -20%
Expected +28% · Actual -31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
-30.7%
stock -31% · XLB -10%
matured Apr 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $62.51 — upside +20%
Today : $108.26 — upside -31%
Expected +20% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HCC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · -1.8% (66 calls)
-25.2%
stock -25% · XLB -9%
matured Apr 11, 25
B. Riley Securities ↗
Mar 12, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$89
Price at call : $53.85 — upside +65%
Today : $108.26 — upside -18%
Expected +65% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
-10.3%
stock -10% · XLB -7%
matured Mar 12, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $63.23 — gap to target +8%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -37%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.4% · -7.5% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 15, 25
matures : Jan 15, 25
BMO Capital ↗
Nov 3, 23
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $49.07 — gap to target -2%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -56%
🎯 on HCC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 2, 24
matures : Nov 2, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $49.66 — upside +21%
Today : $108.26 — upside -45%
Expected +21% · Actual +29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HCC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56% · -0.7% (50 calls)
+28.7%
stock +29% · XLB +23%
matured Oct 3, 24
B. Riley Securities ↗
Sep 27, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $51.06 — upside +31%
Today : $108.26 — upside -38%
Expected +31% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+26.6%
stock +27% · XLB +23%
matured Sep 26, 24
B. Riley Securities ↗
Jun 20, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$58
Price at call : $37.77 — upside +54%
Today : $108.26 — upside -46%
Expected +54% · Actual +76% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+76.0%
stock +76% · XLB +12%
matured Jun 19, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $36.1 — gap to target -11%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -70%
🎯 on HCC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · -1.8% (66 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 13, 24
matures : Jun 13, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $39.9 — gap to target +0%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on HCC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · -1.8% (66 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 17, 24
matures : Feb 17, 24
BMO Capital ↗
Nov 3, 22
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$39
Price at call : $37.88 — gap to target +3%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -64%
🎯 on HCC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 3, 23
matures : Nov 3, 23
B. Riley Securities ↗
Sep 23, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $27 — upside +85%
Today : $108.26 — upside -54%
Expected +85% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
+73.4%
stock +73% · XLB +15%
matured Sep 23, 23
BMO Capital ↗
Aug 4, 22
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $28.5 — gap to target +30%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -66%
🎯 on HCC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 4, 23
matures : Aug 4, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $40.51 — upside +23%
Today : $108.26 — upside -54%
Expected +23% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HCC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56% · -0.7% (50 calls)
-10.2%
stock -10% · XLB -9%
matured Jun 7, 23
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $42.75 — gap to target -16%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -67%
🎯 on HCC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56% · -0.7% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 9, 23
matures : Mar 9, 23
BMO Capital ↗
Dec 16, 21
▲ Outperform · 🎯$30
Price at call : $22.9 — upside +31%
Today : $108.26 — upside -72%
Expected +31% · Actual +52% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HCC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.3% · -0.4% (61 calls)
+51.7%
stock +52% · XLB -11%
matured Dec 16, 22
B. Riley Securities ↗
Apr 30, 21
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$22
Price at call : $15.85 — gap to target +39%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -80%
🎯 on HCC : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 53.3% · +12.2% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 22
matures : Apr 30, 22
Deutsche bank ↗
Jan 13, 21
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $22.53 — gap to target -7%
Today : $108.26 — gap to target -81%
🎯 on HCC : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 22
matures : Jan 13, 22
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Warrior Met Coal, Inc. stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Warrior Met Coal, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $100 (-8% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 80% of the time (5 calls tracked on Warrior Met Coal, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Warrior Met Coal, Inc.? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is $123 (+14% above today's price); the average is $100. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Warrior Met Coal, Inc. on our site before trusting it.
Is Warrior Met Coal, Inc. still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 8 analysts have a real record on Warrior Met Coal, Inc., the best hitting 80% over 5 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
What has Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: HCC performance & returns.
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