Logo Provident Financial Services, Inc.

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Provident Financial Services, Inc. · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 45 calls · price $23.56
🏆JPI 2026 portfoliosSee tracking →
What the company does: Provident Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Provident Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals, families, and businesses in the United States.

📈 Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) stock price

$23.56+18.4% over range
Aug 28, 25low $17.77 · high $25.28Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
60% recommend buying · 5 analysts
📊 JPI status : Provident Financial Services, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 PFS price target & analyst consensusprice $23.56

The price target · all analysts combined (5 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 5$29+23.1%
Median target · of 5 targets$27+14.6%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 5$23-2.4%
Current price$23.56
Where these 5 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 480% $24 ↔ $29
Below 120% $23
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Stephens & Co.68% of its targets hit on this sector (109 calls tested). It aims for $24 (+1.9 %), call made on June 9, 2026, maturing on June 9, 2027 (80 d ago).

The 4 reliable analysts $27.50+17 %
The 1 other firm $23-2.4 %
How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 4 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $27.50 median. “The 1 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 5 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy120%
Buy240%
Hold240%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Provident Financial Services, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

✅ Historical analyst reliability on PFS

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm % right i Gain vs sector i Calls i
Piper Sandler  100% +38.3% 3
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods  100% +13.7% 3
DA Davidson  67% +5.4% 3
RBC Capital  58% +5.1% 12

📊 What $1,000 invested in Provident Financial Services, Inc. would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Provident Financial Services, Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $1,168 today, i.e. +2%/yr on average. Best year: 2016 (+40%), worst: 2020 (-27%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Provident Financial Services, Inc.

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,247+25%
3 years ago$1,102+10%
5 years ago$1,310+31%
→ See Provident Financial Services, Inc.'s full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Provident Financial Services, Inc.)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+19%$1,191 (+19%)
2025+5%$1,247 (+25%)
2024+5%$1,305 (+31%)
→ See Provident Financial Services, Inc.'s full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Provident Financial Services, Inc.

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📋 All analyst calls on PFS

▲ Outperform · 🎯$28
Price at call : $25.28 — upside +11%
Today : $23.56 — upside +19%
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 3, 27
Piper Sandler 
Jul 31, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$29
Price at call : $25.18 — upside +15%
Today : $23.56 — upside +23%
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 27
Raymond James 
Jul 1, 26
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$27
Price at call : $23.54 — upside +15%
Today : $23.56 — upside +15%
🎯 on PFS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 39.9% · -2.6% (353 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 1, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$24
Price at call : $22.96 — gap to target +5%
Today : $23.56 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on PFS : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 48.6% · -0.4% (109 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 8, 27
DA Davidson 
May 1, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$23
Price at call : $22.25 — gap to target +3%
Today : $23.56 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on PFS : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53% · +4.3% (100 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$26
Price at call : $22.25 — upside +17%
Today : $23.56 — upside +10%
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
DA Davidson 
Feb 25, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$25
Price at call : $22.15 — gap to target +13%
Today : $23.56 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on PFS : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53% · +4.3% (100 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 25, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$25
Price at call : $22.14 — upside +13%
Today : $23.56 — upside +6%
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
See the other 37 calls, newest to oldest
DA Davidson 
Jul 28, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$24
Price at call : $18.97 — upside +27%
Today : $23.56 — upside +2%
Expected +27% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PFS : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53% · +4.3% (100 calls)
+26.9%
stock +27% · XLF +7%
matured Jul 28, 26
Raymond James 
Jun 26, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $17.71 — upside +19%
Today : $23.56 — upside -11%
Expected +19% · Actual +33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PFS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 39.9% · -2.6% (353 calls)
+32.6%
stock +33% · XLF +3%
matured Jun 26, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$22
Price at call : $16.64 — upside +32%
Today : $23.56 — upside -7%
Expected +32% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
+34.7%
stock +35% · XLF +7%
matured Apr 28, 26
RBC Capital 
Jan 30, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$23
Price at call : $18.57 — upside +24%
Today : $23.56 — upside -2%
Expected +24% · Actual +22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
+22.2%
stock +22% · XLF +5%
matured Jan 30, 26
Hovde Group
Dec 13, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$25
Price at call : $20.36 — upside +23%
Today : $23.56 — upside +6%
Expected +23% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 41.7% · +1.9% (12 calls)
+3.4%
stock +3% · XLF +11%
matured Dec 13, 25
DA Davidson 
Nov 15, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$27
Price at call : $21.16 — upside +28%
Today : $23.56 — upside +15%
Expected +28% · Actual -16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53% · +4.3% (100 calls)
-16.0%
stock -16% · XLF +3%
matured Nov 15, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$21
Price at call : $18.07 — upside +16%
Today : $23.56 — upside -11%
Expected +16% · Actual +4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
+3.8%
stock +4% · XLF +21%
matured Aug 15, 25
RBC Capital 
Jul 29, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$21
Price at call : $18.85 — upside +11%
Today : $23.56 — upside -11%
Expected +11% · Actual -2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
-2.1%
stock -2% · XLF +20%
matured Jul 29, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $18.85 — gap to target +6%
Today : $23.56 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 29, 25
RBC Capital 
Jul 9, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$18
Price at call : $15.09 — upside +19%
Today : $23.56 — upside -24%
Expected +19% · Actual +25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
+24.5%
stock +25% · XLF +26%
matured Jul 9, 25
RBC Capital 
Apr 22, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$19
Price at call : $15.52 — upside +22%
Today : $23.56 — upside -19%
Expected +22% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
+5.5%
stock +5% · XLF +16%
matured Apr 22, 25
DA Davidson 
Apr 22, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $15.2 — upside +32%
Today : $23.56 — upside -15%
Expected +32% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53% · +4.3% (100 calls)
+5.3%
stock +5% · XLF +15%
matured Apr 22, 25
RBC Capital 
Apr 9, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$18
Price at call : $13.49 — upside +33%
Today : $23.56 — upside -24%
Expected +33% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
+10.0%
stock +10% · XLF +12%
matured Apr 9, 25
DA Davidson 
Mar 28, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$15
Price at call : $14.51 — gap to target +3%
Today : $23.56 — gap to target -36%
🎯 on PFS : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53% · +4.3% (100 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 28, 25
RBC Capital 
Mar 26, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$19
Price at call : $13.93 — upside +36%
Today : $23.56 — upside -19%
Expected +36% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
+24.5%
stock +24% · XLF +21%
matured Mar 26, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$17
Price at call : $13.93 — gap to target +22%
Today : $23.56 — gap to target -28%
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 26, 25
RBC Capital 
Oct 30, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$18
Price at call : $14.05 — upside +28%
Today : $23.56 — upside -24%
Expected +28% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
+35.4%
stock +35% · XLF +46%
matured Oct 29, 24
Piper Sandler 
Aug 22, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$20
Price at call : $16.43 — upside +22%
Today : $23.56 — upside -15%
Expected +22% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+10.3%
stock +10% · XLF +30%
matured Aug 21, 24
RBC Capital 
Jul 31, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$22
Price at call : $18.66 — upside +18%
Today : $23.56 — upside -7%
Expected +18% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
-0.6%
stock -1% · XLF +24%
matured Jul 30, 24
RBC Capital 
May 1, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$22
Price at call : $16.94 — upside +30%
Today : $23.56 — upside -7%
Expected +30% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
-13.3%
stock -13% · XLF +22%
matured Apr 30, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$25
Price at call : $18.58 — gap to target +35%
Today : $23.56 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 5, 24
RBC Capital 
Sep 28, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$27
Price at call : $20.01 — upside +35%
Today : $23.56 — upside +15%
Expected +35% · Actual -24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
-23.6%
stock -24% · XLF +8%
matured Sep 28, 23
Piper Sandler 
Aug 19, 22
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $24.92 — gap to target +4%
Today : $23.56 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 19, 23
RBC Capital 
Aug 1, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$30
Price at call : $24.27 — upside +24%
Today : $23.56 — upside +27%
Expected +24% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
-23.1%
stock -23% · XLF +6%
matured Aug 1, 23
RBC Capital 
Mar 5, 21
▲ Outperform · 🎯$26
Price at call : $22.52 — upside +15%
Today : $23.56 — upside +10%
Expected +15% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
+1.6%
stock +2% · XLF +6%
matured Mar 5, 22
Piper Sandler 
Sep 28, 20
▲ Overweight · 🎯$15
Price at call : $12.18 — upside +23%
Today : $23.56 — upside -36%
Expected +23% · Actual +95% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+95.1%
stock +95% · XLF +61%
matured Sep 28, 21
RBC Capital 
Oct 11, 19
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $24.32 — gap to target +7%
Today : $23.56 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on PFS : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 38.9% · -0.5% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 10, 20
Piper Sandler 
Nov 30, 17
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 30, 18
DA Davidson 
Sep 1, 17
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$25
Price at call : $24.72 — gap to target +1%
Today : $23.56 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on PFS : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53% · +4.3% (100 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 1, 18
Piper Sandler 
Sep 13, 16
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 13, 17
▲ Outperform · 🎯$20
Price at call : $19.78 — upside +1%
Today : $23.56 — upside -15%
Expected +1% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
+2.4%
stock +2% · XLF -7%
matured Aug 3, 16
Piper Sandler 
Jun 5, 15
▲ Overweight · 🎯$20
Price at call : $18.49 — upside +8%
Today : $23.56 — upside -15%
Expected +8% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+9.5%
stock +9% · XLF -5%
matured Jun 4, 16
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on PFS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 16, 16
▲ Outperform · 🎯$19
Price at call : $17.06 — upside +11%
Today : $23.56 — upside -19%
Expected +11% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PFS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
+7.9%
stock +8% · XLF +14%
matured Feb 20, 15
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on PFS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 28, 14
Sterne Agee
Jan 3, 13
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on PFS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 3, 14
Sterne Agee
Nov 19, 12
▲ Buy · 🎯$15
Price at call : $13.64 — upside +10%
Today : $23.56 — upside -36%
Expected +10% · Actual +36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PFS : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
+36.0%
stock +36% · XLF +36%
matured Nov 19, 13

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Provident Financial Services, Inc. stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Provident Financial Services, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $27.00 (+15% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on Provident Financial Services, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Provident Financial Services, Inc.? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Provident Financial Services, Inc. is $29.00 (+23% above today's price); the average is $27.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Provident Financial Services, Inc. on our site before trusting it.

Is Provident Financial Services, Inc. still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 4 analysts have a real record on Provident Financial Services, Inc., the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in Provident Financial Services, Inc.? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in PFS (and why hesitate).

What has Provident Financial Services, Inc.'s past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: PFS performance & returns.

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
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