Logo American Financial Group

American Financial Group (AFG) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
American Financial Group · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 53 calls · price $144.61
🏆JPI 2026 portfoliosSee tracking →
What the company does: American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) operates as an insurance holding company, specializing in providing a broad array of property and casualty insurance solutions across the United States.

📈 American Financial Group (AFG) stock price

$144.61+2.7% over range
Oct 14, 25low $124.18 · high $146.73Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
33% recommend buying · 3 analysts
📊 JPI status : American Financial Group has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 AFG price target & analyst consensus — price $145

The price target · all analysts combined (3 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 3$166+14.8%
Median target · of 3 targets$156+7.9%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 3$147+1.7%
Current price$144.61
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Piper Sandler — 72% of its targets hit on this sector (239 calls tested). It aims for $156 (+7.9 %), call made on August 11, 2026, maturing on August 11, 2027 (64 d ago).

The 3 reliable analysts $156+7.9 %
How to read it: the 3 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 3 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $156 median.
The consensus · 3 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy133%
Hold267%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about American Financial Group? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

💰 American Financial Group dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page

4.93%annual yield
That's ~$6.94 per share per year.

📈 American Financial Group fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page

P/E 12.6Net margin 11.8 %Revenue growth +5.8 %Cheap for the growth

Revenue, net income and margin per year

Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 15 %
2023
Rev +7%Profit −5%
2024
Rev +8%Profit +4%
2025
Rev +0%Profit −5%

🔎 Detailed analyses

✅ Historical analyst reliability on AFG

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm ↕ % right i ↕ Gain vs sector i ↕ Calls i ↕
Credit Suisse 100% +62.5% 3
Piper Sandler ↗ 91% +34.7% 11
Citigroup ↗ 67% +11.6% 3

📊 What $1,000 invested in American Financial Group would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in American Financial Group 10 years ago would be worth $2,086 today, i.e. +8%/yr on average. Best year: 2016 (+40%), worst: 2018 (-12%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in American Financial Group

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,108+11%
3 years ago$1,043+4%
5 years ago$1,312+31%
→ See American Financial Group's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (American Financial Group)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+5%$1,052 (+5%)
2025+5%$1,108 (+11%)
2024-1%$1,096 (+10%)
→ See American Financial Group's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on American Financial Group

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📋 All analyst calls on AFG

Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 12, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$166
Price at call : $144.61 — upside +15%
Today : $144.61 — upside +15%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 48.7% · -1.4% (298 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 12, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$147
Price at call : $143.78 — gap to target +2%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 46.1% · -1.1% (284 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 12, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$153
Price at call : $144.35 — gap to target +6%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 46.1% · -1.1% (284 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 10, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$156
Price at call : $144.35 — gap to target +8%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 10, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$173
Price at call : $141.38 — upside +22%
Today : $144.61 — upside +20%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 48.7% · -1.4% (298 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$148
Price at call : $141.2 — gap to target +5%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 46.1% · -1.1% (284 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 8, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
May 26, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $135.73 — gap to target +3%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 26, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
May 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$158
Price at call : $132.25 — upside +19%
Today : $144.61 — upside +9%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 48.7% · -1.4% (298 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
See the other 45 calls, newest to oldest
Piper Sandler ↗
May 1, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $131.4 — gap to target +3%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$155
Price at call : $130.69 — upside +19%
Today : $144.61 — upside +7%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 48.7% · -1.4% (298 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $128.93 — gap to target +9%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 46.1% · -1.1% (284 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 25, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 5, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$160
Price at call : $129.68 — upside +23%
Today : $144.61 — upside +11%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 48.7% · -1.4% (298 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 5, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 15, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$165
Price at call : $131.9 — upside +25%
Today : $144.61 — upside +14%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 48.7% · -1.4% (298 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 15, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Nov 6, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$139
Price at call : $143.06 — gap to target -3%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 6, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$124
Price at call : $130.78 — gap to target -5%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 46.1% · -1.1% (284 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 12, 26
Jefferies ↗
Aug 11, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$130
Price at call : $128.37 — gap to target +1%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44% · -0.4% (109 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$127
Price at call : $127.76 — gap to target -1%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -12%
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 46.1% · -1.1% (284 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$125
Price at call : $123.47 — gap to target +1%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 46.1% · -1.1% (284 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 9, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$126
Price at call : $124.94 — gap to target +1%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 46.1% · -1.1% (284 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$144
Price at call : $126.57 — gap to target +14%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -0%
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 46.1% · -1.1% (284 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 7, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$164
Price at call : $131.31 — upside +25%
Today : $144.61 — upside +13%
Expected +25% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 46.1% · -1.1% (284 calls)
+0.2%
stock +0% · XLF +16%
matured Jan 10, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Nov 15, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$143
Price at call : $139.64 — gap to target +2%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -1%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 19% · -13.3% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 15, 25
Piper Sandler ↗
Nov 12, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$150
Price at call : $143.79 — gap to target +4%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 12, 25
BMO Capital ↗
Oct 8, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $137.23 — gap to target -2%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 19% · -13.3% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 25
Citigroup ↗
Jun 28, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$137
Price at call : $122.93 — gap to target +11%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -5%
🎯 on AFG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 45.2% · -2.1% (210 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 28, 25
Piper Sandler ↗
May 6, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $130.06 — gap to target +4%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 25
Piper Sandler ↗
Apr 1, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$129
Price at call : $135.33 — gap to target -5%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 1, 25
Citigroup ↗
Mar 25, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$145
Price at call : $134.13 — upside +8%
Today : $144.61 — upside +0%
Expected +8% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AFG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 45.2% · -2.1% (210 calls)
-4.5%
stock -5% · XLF +22%
matured Mar 25, 25
Piper Sandler ↗
Feb 8, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$129
Price at call : $120.63 — gap to target +7%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 7, 25
Citigroup ↗
Jan 11, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$131
Price at call : $118.83 — upside +10%
Today : $144.61 — upside -9%
Expected +10% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AFG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 45.2% · -2.1% (210 calls)
+10.5%
stock +11% · XLF +27%
matured Jan 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $121.9 — upside +11%
Today : $144.61 — upside -7%
Expected +11% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
+14.8%
stock +15% · XLF +32%
matured Dec 13, 24
Citigroup ↗
Nov 22, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$125
Price at call : $111.63 — upside +12%
Today : $144.61 — upside -14%
Expected +12% · Actual +29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 45.2% · -2.1% (210 calls)
+28.8%
stock +29% · XLF +42%
matured Nov 21, 24
Piper Sandler ↗
Nov 6, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$129
Price at call : $111.23 — upside +16%
Today : $144.61 — upside -11%
Expected +16% · Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
+20.3%
stock +20% · XLF +47%
matured Nov 5, 24
Piper Sandler ↗
Oct 6, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $112.49 — upside +24%
Today : $144.61 — upside -3%
Expected +24% · Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
+20.1%
stock +20% · XLF +36%
matured Oct 5, 24
Jefferies ↗
Sep 7, 23
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $111.71 — gap to target +7%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44% · -0.4% (109 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 6, 24
Piper Sandler ↗
Jul 6, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$150
Price at call : $117.41 — upside +28%
Today : $144.61 — upside +4%
Expected +28% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
+1.9%
stock +2% · XLF +24%
matured Jul 5, 24
Piper Sandler ↗
Apr 4, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$170
Price at call : $121.2 — upside +40%
Today : $144.61 — upside +18%
Expected +40% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
+9.8%
stock +10% · XLF +31%
matured Apr 3, 24
BMO Capital ↗
Jan 20, 23
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $136.65 — gap to target +13%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 19% · -13.3% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 20, 24
Piper Sandler ↗
Jan 10, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$168
Price at call : $140.98 — upside +19%
Today : $144.61 — upside +16%
Expected +19% · Actual -16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
-15.8%
stock -16% · XLF +7%
matured Jan 10, 24
Morgan Stanley ↗
Nov 22, 22
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$150
Price at call : $142.77 — gap to target +5%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.0% (402 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 22, 23
Morgan Stanley ↗
Aug 19, 22
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$146
Price at call : $135.1 — gap to target +8%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.0% (402 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 19, 23
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 15, 22
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$147
Price at call : $132.94 — gap to target +11%
Today : $144.61 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.5% · +1.0% (402 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 23
Wolfe Research ↗
Aug 17, 21
▲ Outperform · 🎯$145
Price at call : $136.2 — upside +6%
Today : $144.61 — upside +0%
Expected +6% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AFG : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 30.4% · -11.7% (23 calls)
+0.1%
stock +0% · XLF -7%
matured Aug 17, 22
Piper Sandler ↗
Feb 22, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$125
Price at call : $111.43 — upside +12%
Today : $144.61 — upside -14%
Expected +12% · Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
+19.7%
stock +20% · XLF +17%
matured Feb 22, 22
Credit Suisse
Jan 28, 21
▲ Outperform · 🎯$110
Price at call : $94.14 — upside +17%
Today : $144.61 — upside -24%
Expected +17% · Actual +38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+38.4%
stock +38% · XLF +35%
matured Jan 28, 22
Credit Suisse
Nov 17, 20
▲ Outperform · 🎯$98
Price at call : $88.99 — upside +10%
Today : $144.61 — upside -32%
Expected +10% · Actual +61% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+61.1%
stock +61% · XLF +44%
matured Nov 17, 21
Piper Sandler ↗
Oct 27, 20
▲ Overweight · 🎯$81
Price at call : $74 — upside +9%
Today : $144.61 — upside -44%
Expected +9% · Actual +82% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
+82.2%
stock +82% · XLF +65%
matured Oct 27, 21
Credit Suisse
Sep 30, 20
▲ Outperform · 🎯$95
Price at call : $66.98 — upside +42%
Today : $144.61 — upside -34%
Expected +42% · Actual +88% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+87.9%
stock +88% · XLF +56%
matured Sep 30, 21
Raymond James ↗
Aug 13, 20
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on AFG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 42.7% · -2.9% (356 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 13, 21
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 6, 20
▲ Overweight · 🎯$78
Price at call : $65.92 — upside +18%
Today : $144.61 — upside -46%
Expected +18% · Actual +101% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
+101.5%
stock +101% · XLF +53%
matured Aug 6, 21
Piper Sandler ↗
Apr 6, 20
▲ Overweight · 🎯$74
Price at call : $72.13 — upside +3%
Today : $144.61 — upside -49%
Expected +3% · Actual +61% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
+61.4%
stock +61% · XLF +64%
matured Apr 6, 21
Piper Sandler ↗
Mar 11, 20
▲ Overweight · 🎯$100
Price at call : $83.31 — upside +20%
Today : $144.61 — upside -31%
Expected +20% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
+39.0%
stock +39% · XLF +51%
matured Mar 11, 21
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 12, 16
▲ Buy
Actual +41% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AFG : 91% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 42.3% · +0.6% (239 calls)
+41.3%
stock +41% · XLF +29%
matured Aug 12, 17

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy American Financial Group stock?

This isn't buy advice. For American Financial Group, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $156 (+8% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on American Financial Group). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy American Financial Group? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on American Financial Group is $166 (+15% above today's price); the average is $156. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on American Financial Group on our site before trusting it.

Is American Financial Group still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 3 analysts have a real record on American Financial Group, the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.

What has American Financial Group's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: AFG performance & returns.

Does American Financial Group pay a dividend?

Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: AFG's dividend.

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)