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Commercial Metals (CMC) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Commercial Metals · Materials · ref. ETF XLB · 57 calls · price $68.76
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What the company does: Commercial Metals Company manufactures, recycles, and fabricates steel and metal products, and related materials and services in the United States, Poland, China, and internationally.

📈 Commercial Metals (CMC) stock price

$68.76+18.7% over range
Aug 28, 25low $55.35 · high $83.21Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
63% recommend buying · 8 analysts
📊 JPI status : Commercial Metals has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 CMC price target & analyst consensusprice $68.76

The price target · all analysts combined (8 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 8$89+29.4%
Median target · of 8 targets$80+16.3%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 8$75+9.1%
Current price$68.76
Where these 8 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 8100% $75 ↔ $89
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: BMO Capital60% of its targets hit on this sector (116 calls tested). It aims for $80 (+16 %), call made on August 7, 2026, maturing on August 7, 2027 (21 d ago).

The 2 reliable analysts $77.50+13 %
The 6 other firms $80+16 %
How to read it: the 2 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 2 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $77.50 median. “The 6 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 8 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy563%
Hold338%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Commercial Metals? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

💰 Commercial Metals dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page

0.91%annual yield
That's ~$0.56 per share per year.

📈 Commercial Metals fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page

P/E 12.9Net margin 6.7 %Revenue growth +22.9 %Cheap for the growth

🏛️ Commercial Metals insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page

2 insiders bought2 buys / 6 mo $604k👥 Cluster buy

🔎 Detailed analyses

✅ Historical analyst reliability on CMC

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm % right i Gain vs sector i Calls i
Credit Suisse 100% +56.0% 3
Wolfe Research  100% +48.1% 2
Keybanc  82% +14.9% 11
JP Morgan  75% +11.4% 4
Goldman Sachs  75% +7.4% 4
Jefferies  56% +9.1% 9
Longbow Research 50% +6.5% 2
BMO Capital  50% -9.9% 2
Citigroup  40% +5.6% 5
Deutsche Bank  33% -3.5% 3
See the other 2 firms
B of A Securities  29% -2.0% 7
UBS  33% -7.4% 3

📊 What $1,000 invested in Commercial Metals would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Commercial Metals 10 years ago would be worth $4,272 today, i.e. +16%/yr on average. Best year: 2021 (+53%), worst: 2018 (-32%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Commercial Metals

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,295+30%
3 years ago$1,213+21%
5 years ago$2,495+150%
→ See Commercial Metals's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Commercial Metals)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)-14%$856 (-14%)
2025+51%$1,295 (+30%)
2024-10%$1,162 (+16%)
→ See Commercial Metals's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Commercial Metals

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📋 All analyst calls on CMC

Barclays 
Aug 7, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $75.13 — gap to target +6%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target +16%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.5% · -5.4% (65 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 7, 27
BMO Capital 
Aug 6, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $73.69 — gap to target +9%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target +16%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$78
Price at call : $60.12 — upside +30%
Today : $68.76 — upside +13%
🎯 on CMC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
Citigroup 
Jul 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $61.58 — upside +22%
Today : $68.76 — upside +9%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.4% · +0.3% (152 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 27
BMO Capital 
Jun 29, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $64.63 — gap to target +19%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 29, 27
Wells Fargo 
Jun 26, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $64.63 — gap to target +24%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target +16%
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 27
Morgan Stanley 
Jun 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$88
Price at call : $73.29 — upside +20%
Today : $68.76 — upside +28%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 22, 27
Wells Fargo 
Jun 4, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $76.27 — gap to target +1%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 4, 27
See the other 49 calls, newest to oldest
▲ Overweight · 🎯$83
Price at call : $75.75 — upside +10%
Today : $68.76 — upside +21%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 1, 27
Barclays 
May 22, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $73.73 — gap to target +2%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.5% · -5.4% (65 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
UBS 
May 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$89
Price at call : $72.75 — upside +22%
Today : $68.76 — upside +29%
🎯 on CMC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 14, 27
JP Morgan 
Apr 14, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$78
Price at call : $64.91 — upside +20%
Today : $68.76 — upside +13%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 14, 27
JP Morgan 
Mar 27, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$83
Price at call : $60.09 — upside +38%
Today : $68.76 — upside +21%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 27, 27
Wells Fargo 
Mar 27, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$77
Price at call : $58.28 — upside +32%
Today : $68.76 — upside +12%
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 27, 27
Wells Fargo 
Mar 2, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$80
Price at call : $71.61 — upside +12%
Today : $68.76 — upside +16%
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 2, 27
Citigroup 
Jan 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$85
Price at call : $74.26 — upside +14%
Today : $68.76 — upside +24%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.4% · +0.3% (152 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 12, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$85
Price at call : $72.46 — upside +17%
Today : $68.76 — upside +24%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 9, 27
Wells Fargo 
Dec 15, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$79
Price at call : $71.02 — upside +11%
Today : $68.76 — upside +15%
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 15, 26
Jefferies 
Dec 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$78
Price at call : $69.57 — upside +12%
Today : $68.76 — upside +13%
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 10, 26
JP Morgan 
Dec 5, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$78
Price at call : $66.86 — upside +17%
Today : $68.76 — upside +13%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 26
Wells Fargo 
Nov 6, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$68
Price at call : $58.77 — upside +16%
Today : $68.76 — upside -1%
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 6, 26
Morgan Stanley 
Oct 24, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$68
Price at call : $61.08 — upside +11%
Today : $68.76 — upside -1%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
Goldman Sachs 
Oct 23, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$76
Price at call : $61.08 — upside +24%
Today : $68.76 — upside +11%
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
Jefferies 
Oct 22, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $59.72 — gap to target +17%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
JP Morgan 
Oct 20, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $62.05 — gap to target +3%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 20, 26
Citigroup 
Oct 17, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $58.62 — upside +11%
Today : $68.76 — upside -5%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.4% · +0.3% (152 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
JP Morgan 
Oct 13, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $60.43 — gap to target +4%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -8%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 13, 26
Wells Fargo 
Sep 19, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$64
Price at call : $58.17 — upside +10%
Today : $68.76 — upside -7%
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 19, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $58.2 — upside +20%
Today : $68.76 — upside +2%
🎯 on CMC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 15, 26
Wells Fargo 
Aug 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$61
Price at call : $57.13 — upside +7%
Today : $68.76 — upside -11%
Expected +7% · Actual +25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
+25.4%
stock +25% · XLB +17%
matured Aug 14, 26
UBS 
Aug 13, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $57.13 — gap to target -2%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -19%
🎯 on CMC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 13, 26
JP Morgan 
Jul 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $50.91 — gap to target +6%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 26
Morgan Stanley 
Jun 25, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$57.5
Price at call : $50.09 — gap to target +15%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 26
BMO Capital 
Jun 24, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $49.18 — gap to target +12%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 24, 26
Morgan Stanley 
Jun 20, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$53
Price at call : $49.27 — gap to target +8%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 20, 26
JP Morgan 
May 30, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $46.59 — gap to target +12%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -24%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 30, 26
Wolfe Research 
May 27, 25
▲ Outperform
Actual +57% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 61.5% · +5.2% (13 calls)
+56.6%
stock +57% · XLB +17%
matured May 27, 26
UBS 
Mar 24, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $48.75 — gap to target +1%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on CMC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 24, 26
BMO Capital 
Mar 21, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $46.59 — gap to target +16%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 21, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$53
Price at call : $43.22 — gap to target +23%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 7, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $47.94 — gap to target +17%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -19%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 3, 26
UBS 
Jan 10, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $46.89 — gap to target +15%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on CMC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 10, 26
Jefferies 
Jan 6, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $50.41 — upside +23%
Today : $68.76 — upside -10%
Expected +23% · Actual +48% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
+48.0%
stock +48% · XLB +13%
matured Jan 6, 26
BMO Capital 
Jan 3, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$58
Price at call : $50.41 — gap to target +15%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 3, 26
UBS 
Dec 12, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$56
Price at call : $58.61 — upside -4%
Today : $68.76 — upside -19%
Expected -4% · Actual +20% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CMC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
-20.4%
stock +20% · XLB +0%
matured Dec 12, 25
Goldman Sachs 
Dec 2, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $63.32 — upside +18%
Today : $68.76 — upside +9%
Expected +18% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
+0.4%
stock +0% · XLB -7%
matured Dec 2, 25
■ Peer Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on CMC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 61.5% · +5.2% (13 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 25
Jefferies 
Sep 3, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $50.94 — upside +28%
Today : $68.76 — upside -5%
Expected +28% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
+11.5%
stock +11% · XLB -1%
matured Sep 3, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$69
Price at call : $53.49 — upside +29%
Today : $68.76 — upside +0%
Expected +29% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CMC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
-6.5%
stock -6% · XLB -1%
matured Jun 26, 25
BMO Capital 
Mar 22, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $58.35 — gap to target +3%
Today : $68.76 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on CMC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 22, 25
Jefferies 
Oct 30, 17
▲ Buy · 🎯$24
Price at call : $19.49 — upside +23%
Today : $68.76 — upside -65%
Expected +23% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-7.1%
stock -7% · XLB -12%
matured Oct 30, 18
Jefferies 
Oct 17, 17
▲ Buy
Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-12.3%
stock -12% · XLB -7%
matured Oct 17, 18
Jefferies 
Nov 9, 16
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $20.44 — upside -2%
Today : $68.76 — upside -71%
Expected -2% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-8.9%
stock -9% · XLB +21%
matured Nov 9, 17
Jefferies 
Sep 16, 15
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $15.28 — upside +31%
Today : $68.76 — upside -71%
Expected +31% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-1.4%
stock -1% · XLB +9%
matured Sep 15, 16
Jefferies 
Mar 16, 15
▲ Buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $14.51 — upside +45%
Today : $68.76 — upside -69%
Expected +45% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
+13.1%
stock +13% · XLB -11%
matured Mar 15, 16
Jefferies 
Sep 16, 13
▲ Buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $16.39 — upside +16%
Today : $68.76 — upside -72%
Expected +16% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
+7.3%
stock +7% · XLB +17%
matured Sep 16, 14
Jefferies 
Apr 26, 13
▲ Buy · 🎯$17
Price at call : $14.43 — upside +18%
Today : $68.76 — upside -75%
Expected +18% · Actual +31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CMC : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
+31.4%
stock +31% · XLB +21%
matured Apr 26, 14

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Commercial Metals stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Commercial Metals, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $80.00 (+16% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on Commercial Metals). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Commercial Metals? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Commercial Metals is $89.00 (+29% above today's price); the average is $80.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Commercial Metals on our site before trusting it.

Is Commercial Metals still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 12 analysts have a real record on Commercial Metals, the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in Commercial Metals? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in CMC (and why hesitate).

What has Commercial Metals's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: CMC performance & returns.

Does Commercial Metals pay a dividend?

Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: CMC's dividend.

Are insiders buying CMC stock?

Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on CMC.

Other Materials stocks

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)