Logo Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 50 calls · price $123.62
🏆JPI 2026 portfoliosSee tracking →
What the company does: Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates hotels and casinos.

📈 Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) stock price

$123.62+17.6% over range
Aug 28, 25low $89.05 · high $133.87Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
25% recommend buying · 4 analysts
📊 JPI status : Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →

🎯 MCRI price target & analyst consensusprice $124

The price target · all analysts combined (4 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 4$144+16.5%
Median target · of 4 targets$128+3.5%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 4$114-7.8%
Current price$123.62
Where these 4 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 375% $128 ↔ $144
Below 125% $114
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say

No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.

The consensus · 4 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy125%
Hold375%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

✅ Historical analyst reliability on MCRI

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm % right i Gain vs sector i Calls i
Imperial Capital 100% +12.8% 2
Jefferies  100% +11.1% 2
Stifel  67% +45.2% 3
Truist Securities  67% +11.2% 9
Wells Fargo  50% -9.2% 2

📊 What $1,000 invested in Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $5,528 today, i.e. +19%/yr on average. Best year: 2017 (+74%), worst: 2018 (-15%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,592+59%
3 years ago$1,633+63%
5 years ago$2,051+105%
→ See Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.'s full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+31%$1,312 (+31%)
2025+21%$1,592 (+59%)
2024+14%$1,816 (+82%)
→ See Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.'s full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

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📋 All analyst calls on MCRI

Macquarie 
Aug 17, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$128
Price at call : $123.27 — gap to target +4%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on MCRI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30% · -14.1% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 17, 27
Wells Fargo 
Jul 21, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$114
Price at call : $118.27 — gap to target -4%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -8%
🎯 on MCRI : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 27
Stifel 
Jul 21, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$128
Price at call : $118.27 — gap to target +8%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$144
Price at call : $117.45 — upside +23%
Today : $123.62 — upside +16%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 20, 27
Wells Fargo 
Jul 14, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$116
Price at call : $125.59 — gap to target -8%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on MCRI : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 27
Macquarie 
May 19, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$122
Price at call : $116.16 — gap to target +5%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -1%
🎯 on MCRI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30% · -14.1% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 19, 27
Macquarie 
Apr 22, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $116.65 — gap to target +3%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on MCRI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30% · -14.1% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
Wells Fargo 
Apr 22, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$99
Price at call : $116.65 — gap to target -15%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on MCRI : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
Stifel 
Apr 22, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $114.24 — gap to target -11%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$125
Price at call : $114.24 — upside +9%
Today : $123.62 — upside +1%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
Wells Fargo 
Apr 16, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$97
Price at call : $97.95 — gap to target -1%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on MCRI : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 27
Wells Fargo 
Feb 5, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$93
Price at call : $95.49 — gap to target -3%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -25%
🎯 on MCRI : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 5, 27
Wells Fargo 
Oct 22, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$91
Price at call : $93.21 — gap to target -2%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -26%
🎯 on MCRI : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
Stifel 
Oct 22, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$97
Price at call : $93.21 — gap to target +4%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
Stifel 
Jul 17, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$92
Price at call : $104.83 — gap to target -12%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -26%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $104.83 — upside +14%
Today : $123.62 — upside -3%
Expected +14% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
+17.4%
stock +17% · XLY +5%
matured Jul 17, 26
Wells Fargo 
Jul 17, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$89
Price at call : $104.83 — gap to target -15%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -28%
🎯 on MCRI : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$105
Price at call : $104.83 — upside +0%
Today : $123.62 — upside -15%
Expected +0% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
+17.4%
stock +17% · XLY +5%
matured Jul 16, 26
Macquarie 
Apr 23, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$92
Price at call : $77.06 — gap to target +19%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -26%
🎯 on MCRI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30% · -14.1% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 26
Stifel 
Apr 23, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$81
Price at call : $77.06 — gap to target +5%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -34%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $77.06 — upside +30%
Today : $123.62 — upside -19%
Expected +30% · Actual +49% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
+49.2%
stock +49% · XLY +22%
matured Apr 23, 26
Wells Fargo 
Feb 12, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$82
Price at call : $94.16 — upside -13%
Today : $123.62 — upside -34%
Expected -13% · Actual -1% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCRI : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
+0.9%
stock -1% · XLY +2%
matured Feb 12, 26
Stifel 
Feb 12, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $94.16 — gap to target -4%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $82.57 — upside +21%
Today : $123.62 — upside -19%
Expected +21% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
+10.9%
stock +11% · XLY +10%
matured Jan 14, 26
Jefferies 
Jan 3, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$88
Price at call : $78.24 — gap to target +12%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on MCRI : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 3, 26
Wells Fargo 
Dec 16, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$79
Price at call : $83.05 — upside -5%
Today : $123.62 — upside -36%
Expected -5% · Actual +19% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCRI : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
-19.3%
stock +19% · XLY +2%
matured Dec 16, 25
Stifel 
Oct 24, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $79.08 — gap to target -3%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -38%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $78.43 — gap to target +5%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -34%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 25
Macquarie 
Jul 25, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$76
Price at call : $77.83 — gap to target -2%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -39%
🎯 on MCRI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30% · -14.1% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $77.83 — gap to target -4%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -39%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 25
Macquarie 
Apr 18, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$76
Price at call : $67.34 — gap to target +13%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -39%
🎯 on MCRI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30% · -14.1% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 18, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$74
Price at call : $69 — gap to target +7%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -40%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 14, 25
Stifel 
Jan 5, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $65.12 — gap to target +7%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -43%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 4, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $57.99 — gap to target +12%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -47%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 18, 24
Stifel 
Oct 19, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$83
Price at call : $57.99 — upside +43%
Today : $123.62 — upside -33%
Expected +43% · Actual +31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
+30.9%
stock +31% · XLY +29%
matured Oct 18, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $57.99 — upside +55%
Today : $123.62 — upside -27%
Expected +55% · Actual +31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
+30.9%
stock +31% · XLY +29%
matured Oct 17, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$95
Price at call : $70.07 — upside +36%
Today : $123.62 — upside -23%
Expected +36% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
-3.7%
stock -4% · XLY +10%
matured Jun 26, 24
Macquarie 
Jan 18, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$81
Price at call : $75.76 — gap to target +7%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -34%
🎯 on MCRI : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30% · -14.1% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 18, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$89
Price at call : $74.05 — upside +20%
Today : $123.62 — upside -28%
Expected +20% · Actual -19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
-19.0%
stock -19% · XLY +7%
matured Oct 20, 23
Stifel 
Oct 20, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $71.17 — upside +8%
Today : $123.62 — upside -38%
Expected +8% · Actual -17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
-17.1%
stock -17% · XLY +10%
matured Oct 20, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$85
Price at call : $61.74 — upside +38%
Today : $123.62 — upside -31%
Expected +38% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
+13.3%
stock +13% · XLY +12%
matured Jul 20, 23
Stifel 
Apr 21, 22
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$96
Price at call : $75.01 — gap to target +28%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 23
Jefferies 
Apr 21, 22
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $75.01 — gap to target +20%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on MCRI : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $90.81 — upside +10%
Today : $123.62 — upside -19%
Expected +10% · Actual -16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 28.6% · -15.5% (276 calls)
-15.6%
stock -16% · XLY -20%
matured Apr 19, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $40.69 — upside +23%
Today : $123.62 — upside -60%
Expected +23% · Actual +77% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MCRI : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
+76.9%
stock +77% · XLY +38%
matured May 27, 21
Stifel 
Apr 27, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$42
Price at call : $30.83 — upside +36%
Today : $123.62 — upside -66%
Expected +36% · Actual +122% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
+121.9%
stock +122% · XLY +56%
matured Apr 27, 21
Stifel 
Mar 13, 20
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $17.32 — gap to target +102%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -72%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 13, 21
Jefferies 
Jan 6, 20
▲ Buy
Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MCRI : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
+16.4%
stock +16% · XLY +27%
matured Jan 5, 21
Stifel 
Jul 25, 18
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $47.52 — gap to target +3%
Today : $123.62 — gap to target -60%
🎯 on MCRI : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 36.2% · +1.0% (232 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 19
Jefferies 
Jul 25, 18
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on MCRI : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -5.0% (149 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 19

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. stock?

This isn't buy advice. For Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $128 (+4% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. is $144 (+16% above today's price); the average is $128. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. on our site before trusting it.

Is Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 5 analysts have a real record on Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.

What has Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.'s past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: MCRI performance & returns.

Other Cons. disc. stocks

Go further

JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)