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MP Materials (MP) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
MP Materials · Materials · ref. ETF XLB · 56 calls · price $42.43
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What the company does: MP Materials Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces rare earth materials in the Western Hemisphere.

📈 MP Materials (MP) stock price

$42.43-57.0% over range
Oct 14, 25low $38.1 · high $98.65Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
89% recommend buying · 9 analysts
📊 JPI status :
MP Materials is part of our 2026 selection (JPI Risk +), bought at the start of the year and tracked live. It no longer shows in today's ranking: its target has been reached, there is no gap left. See the 2026 selection and its performance →

🎯 MP price target & analyst consensus — price $42.43

The price target · all analysts combined (9 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 9$100+135.7%
Median target · of 9 targets$65+53.2%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 9$57+34.3%
Current price$42.43
Where these 9 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 9100% $57 ↔ $100
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Baird — 62% of its targets hit on this sector (39 calls tested). It aims for $65 (+53 %), call made on October 2, 2026, maturing on October 2, 2027 (12 d ago).

The 1 reliable analyst $65+53 %
The 8 other firms $65.50+54 %
How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $65 median. “The 8 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 9 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy889%
Hold111%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about MP Materials? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

📈 MP Materials fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page

P/E —Net margin -14.6 %Revenue growth +119.7 %Not (yet) profitable

Revenue, net income and margin per year

Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 55 %
2023
Rev −52%Profit −92%
2024
Rev −20%Profit −369%
2025
Rev +10%

🏛️ MP Materials insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page

1 insider bought2 buys / 6 mo $1.5M

🔎 Detailed analyses

🏛️ Which US Congress members hold MP Materials (MP)?

1 Congress member has disclosed MP buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
Thomas Suozzi 1× · 38%
→ Full members ranking (who beats the market)

✅ Historical analyst reliability on MP

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm ↕ % right i ↕ Gain vs sector i ↕ Calls i ↕
B of A Securities ↗ 100% +114.8% 2
Benchmark ↗ 80% +119.2% 5
Baird ↗ 67% +133.3% 6
Canaccord Genuity ↗ 50% +77.5% 8
JP Morgan ↗ 50% +16.4% 4
DA Davidson ↗ 33% +51.1% 6
Morgan Stanley ↗ 33% -3.0% 15
Jefferies ↗ 17% -6.0% 6

📊 What $1,000 invested in MP Materials would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in MP Materials 10 years ago would be worth $5,635 today, i.e. +33%/yr on average. Best year: 2025 (+202%), worst: 2022 (-47%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in MP Materials

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$3,077+208%
3 years ago$2,307+131%
5 years ago$1,741+74%
→ See MP Materials's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (MP Materials)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+2%$1,019 (+2%)
2025+202%$3,077 (+208%)
2024-8%$2,822 (+182%)
→ See MP Materials's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on MP Materials

Loading news…

📋 All analyst calls on MP

▲ Overweight · 🎯$66
Price at call : $46.14 — upside +43%
Today : $42.43 — upside +56%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 7, 27
Baird ↗
Oct 1, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$65
Price at call : $46.09 — upside +41%
Today : $42.43 — upside +53%
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.3% · +17.7% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 1, 27
Freedom Broker
Sep 16, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $49.38 — gap to target +15%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target +34%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 16, 27
DA Davidson ↗
Aug 24, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $60.17 — upside +36%
Today : $42.43 — upside +93%
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · +9.8% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 24, 27
JP Morgan ↗
Jul 29, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $41.66 — upside +44%
Today : $42.43 — upside +41%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 29, 27
Needham ↗
Jul 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$73
Price at call : $45.68 — upside +60%
Today : $42.43 — upside +72%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 44.2% · +5.5% (889 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
Barclays ↗
Jul 16, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$65
Price at call : $45.46 — upside +43%
Today : $42.43 — upside +53%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.5% · -5.4% (65 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 16, 27
Deutsche Bank ↗
Jul 9, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$61
Price at call : $52.21 — upside +17%
Today : $42.43 — upside +44%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
See the other 48 calls, newest to oldest
▲ Overweight · 🎯$71.5
Price at call : $53 — upside +35%
Today : $42.43 — upside +69%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 8, 27
DA Davidson ↗
Jun 5, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $57.58 — upside +42%
Today : $42.43 — upside +93%
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · +9.8% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 5, 27
Needham ↗
Jun 1, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$81
Price at call : $69.29 — upside +17%
Today : $42.43 — upside +91%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 44.2% · +5.5% (889 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 1, 27
Barclays ↗
May 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$69
Price at call : $64.46 — upside +7%
Today : $42.43 — upside +63%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.5% · -5.4% (65 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
DA Davidson ↗
May 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $61.74 — upside +33%
Today : $42.43 — upside +93%
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · +9.8% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 20, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
May 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$70
Price at call : $65.59 — upside +7%
Today : $42.43 — upside +65%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
Wedbush ↗
May 8, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$100
Price at call : $67.41 — upside +48%
Today : $42.43 — upside +136%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 44.5% · +2.5% (474 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
Wedbush ↗
Apr 20, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$90
Price at call : $66.23 — upside +36%
Today : $42.43 — upside +112%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 44.5% · +2.5% (474 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 20, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$62
Price at call : $53.9 — upside +15%
Today : $42.43 — upside +46%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
DA Davidson ↗
Mar 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $60.03 — upside +37%
Today : $42.43 — upside +93%
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · +9.8% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 11, 27
DA Davidson ↗
Feb 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $58.56 — upside +40%
Today : $42.43 — upside +93%
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · +9.8% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 18, 27
William Blair ↗
Jan 13, 26
▲ Outperform
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 49.1% · +14.7% (112 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$71
Price at call : $62.09 — upside +14%
Today : $42.43 — upside +67%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Nov 24, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$75
Price at call : $59.04 — upside +27%
Today : $42.43 — upside +77%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 24, 26
DA Davidson ↗
Nov 20, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $55.27 — upside +48%
Today : $42.43 — upside +93%
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · +9.8% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 20, 26
Goldman Sachs ↗
Nov 19, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $63.55 — upside +21%
Today : $42.43 — upside +81%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 19, 26
JP Morgan ↗
Nov 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$74
Price at call : $58.64 — upside +26%
Today : $42.43 — upside +74%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 14, 26
Deutsche Bank ↗
Nov 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $64.18 — upside +11%
Today : $42.43 — upside +67%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 10, 26
DA Davidson ↗
Nov 7, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $64.18 — upside +28%
Today : $42.43 — upside +93%
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · +9.8% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$112
Price at call : $89.85 — upside +25%
Today : $42.43 — upside +164%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 15, 26
Daiwa Capital ↗
Sep 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$80
Price at call : $71.23 — upside +12%
Today : $42.43 — upside +89%
Expected +12% · Actual -31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
-30.8%
stock -31% · XLB +12%
matured Sep 23, 26
DA Davidson ↗
Sep 2, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $65.99 — upside +24%
Today : $42.43 — upside +93%
Expected +24% · Actual -19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · +9.8% (39 calls)
-18.5%
stock -19% · XLB +16%
matured Sep 2, 26
Deutsche Bank ↗
Aug 11, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $74.95 — gap to target -9%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target +60%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $72.69 — upside +6%
Today : $42.43 — upside +81%
Expected +6% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
-24.8%
stock -25% · XLB +21%
matured Aug 8, 26
Baird ↗
Jul 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$69
Price at call : $61.14 — upside +13%
Today : $42.43 — upside +63%
Expected +13% · Actual -27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.3% · +17.7% (39 calls)
-27.0%
stock -27% · XLB +9%
matured Jul 23, 26
JP Morgan ↗
Jul 21, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $59.01 — gap to target +8%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target +51%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 26
Deutsche Bank ↗
Jul 17, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $63.22 — gap to target +6%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target +58%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $58.55 — upside +9%
Today : $42.43 — upside +51%
Expected +9% · Actual -22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
-22.4%
stock -22% · XLB +14%
matured Jul 16, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $45.11 — upside +22%
Today : $42.43 — upside +30%
Expected +22% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
+9.7%
stock +10% · XLB +11%
matured Jul 11, 26
Jefferies ↗
Jul 7, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $31.05 — gap to target +6%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 26
Baird ↗
Jun 17, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$38
Price at call : $37.22 — upside +2%
Today : $42.43 — upside -10%
Expected +2% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.3% · +17.7% (39 calls)
+63.6%
stock +64% · XLB +19%
matured Jun 17, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$34
Price at call : $27.69 — upside +23%
Today : $42.43 — upside -20%
Expected +23% · Actual +108% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)
+107.9%
stock +108% · XLB +13%
matured Jun 6, 26
JP Morgan ↗
May 12, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $20.77 — gap to target -13%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target -58%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 12, 26
JP Morgan ↗
May 1, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $25.01 — gap to target -16%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target -51%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Mar 20, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$29
Price at call : $26.25 — gap to target +10%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 20, 26
DA Davidson ↗
Mar 19, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $26.25 — upside +22%
Today : $42.43 — upside -25%
Expected +22% · Actual +93% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · +9.8% (39 calls)
+92.8%
stock +93% · XLB +8%
matured Mar 19, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Jan 27, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$22
Price at call : $20.82 — gap to target +6%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target -48%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 27, 26
Baird ↗
Jan 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$30
Price at call : $21.41 — upside +40%
Today : $42.43 — upside -29%
Expected +40% · Actual +225% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.3% · +17.7% (39 calls)
+225.0%
stock +225% · XLB +12%
matured Jan 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $20.84 — upside +25%
Today : $42.43 — upside -39%
Expected +25% · Actual +197% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
+197.3%
stock +197% · XLB -5%
matured Nov 27, 25
BMO Capital ↗
Oct 25, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $18.64 — gap to target -1%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target -56%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 25, 25
JP Morgan ↗
Oct 21, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $18.08 — gap to target -0%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target -58%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 21, 25
DA Davidson ↗
Oct 1, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$23
Price at call : $16.96 — upside +36%
Today : $42.43 — upside -46%
Expected +36% · Actual +318% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · +9.8% (39 calls)
+318.4%
stock +318% · XLB -6%
matured Oct 1, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $12.8 — upside +48%
Today : $42.43 — upside -55%
Expected +48% · Actual +458% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
+457.8%
stock +458% · XLB -1%
matured Aug 27, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$22
Price at call : $13.81 — upside +59%
Today : $42.43 — upside -48%
Expected +59% · Actual +94% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
+94.3%
stock +94% · XLB -5%
matured Mar 13, 25
▲ Outperform
Actual -37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 overall : 60.4% · +26.6% (48 calls)
-37.3%
stock -37% · XLB +11%
matured Sep 5, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $25.19 — gap to target +27%
Today : $42.43 — gap to target -25%
🎯 on MP : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 overall : 60.4% · +26.6% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $36.09 — upside +19%
Today : $42.43 — upside +1%
Expected +19% · Actual -59% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
-59.2%
stock -59% · XLB +6%
matured Feb 24, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $28.78 — upside +39%
Today : $42.43 — upside -6%
Expected +39% · Actual -33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
-33.0%
stock -33% · XLB +14%
matured Sep 28, 23

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy MP Materials stock?

This isn't buy advice. For MP Materials, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $65.00 (+53% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on MP Materials). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy MP Materials? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on MP Materials is $100 (+136% above today's price); the average is $65.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on MP Materials on our site before trusting it.

Is MP Materials still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 8 analysts have a real record on MP Materials, the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in MP Materials? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in MP (and why hesitate).

What has MP Materials's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: MP performance & returns.

Are insiders buying MP stock?

Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on MP.

Other Materials stocks

Go further

JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)