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MP Materials (MP) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
MP Materials · Materials · ref. ETF XLB · 56 calls · price $59.03
🔔Price alertsCreate an alert →
What the company does: MP Materials Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces rare earth materials in the Western Hemisphere.

📈 MP Materials (MP) stock price

$59.03-19.7% over range
Aug 28, 25low $38.1 · high $98.65Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
100% recommend buying · 7 analysts
📊 JPI status :
MP Materials is part of our 2026 selection (JPI Risk +), bought at the start of the year and tracked live. It no longer shows in today's ranking: its target has been reached, there is no gap left. See the 2026 selection and its performance →

🎯 MP price target & analyst consensusprice $59.03

The price target · all analysts combined (7 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 7$100+69.4%
Median target · of 7 targets$71.5+21.1%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 7$60+1.6%
Current price$59.03
Where these 7 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 7100% $60 ↔ $100
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Deutsche Bank63% of its targets hit on this sector (106 calls tested). It aims for $61 (+3.3 %), call made on July 10, 2026, maturing on July 10, 2027 (49 d ago).

The 1 reliable analyst $61+3.3 %
The 6 other firms $72.25+22 %
How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $61 median. “The 6 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 7 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy7100%
Hold00%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about MP Materials? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

📈 MP Materials fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page

P/E Net margin -14.6 %Revenue growth +119.7 %Not (yet) profitable

Revenue, net income and margin per year

Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 55 %
2023
Rev −52%Profit −92%
2024
Rev −20%Profit −369%
2025
Rev +10%

🏛️ MP Materials insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page

1 insider bought2 buys / 6 mo $1.5M

🔎 Detailed analyses

🏛️ Which US Congress members hold MP Materials (MP)?

1 Congress member has disclosed MP buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
Thomas Suozzi · 38%
→ Full members ranking (who beats the market)

✅ Historical analyst reliability on MP

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm % right i Gain vs sector i Calls i
B of A Securities  100% +114.8% 2
Benchmark  80% +119.2% 5
Baird  67% +133.3% 6
Canaccord Genuity  50% +77.5% 8
JP Morgan  50% +16.4% 4
DA Davidson  40% +65.1% 5
Morgan Stanley  33% -3.0% 15
Jefferies  17% -6.0% 6

📊 What $1,000 invested in MP Materials would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in MP Materials 10 years ago would be worth $5,635 today, i.e. +33%/yr on average. Best year: 2025 (+202%), worst: 2022 (-47%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in MP Materials

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$3,077+208%
3 years ago$2,307+131%
5 years ago$1,741+74%
→ See MP Materials's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (MP Materials)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+2%$1,019 (+2%)
2025+202%$3,077 (+208%)
2024-8%$2,822 (+182%)
→ See MP Materials's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on MP Materials

Loading news…

📋 All analyst calls on MP

DA Davidson 
Aug 24, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $60.17 — upside +36%
Today : $59.03 — upside +39%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.8% · +13.6% (36 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 24, 27
JP Morgan 
Jul 29, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $41.66 — upside +44%
Today : $59.03 — upside +2%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 29, 27
Needham 
Jul 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$73
Price at call : $45.68 — upside +60%
Today : $59.03 — upside +24%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 43.9% · +5.5% (872 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
Barclays 
Jul 16, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$65
Price at call : $45.46 — upside +43%
Today : $59.03 — upside +10%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.5% · -5.4% (65 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 16, 27
Deutsche Bank 
Jul 9, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$61
Price at call : $52.21 — upside +17%
Today : $59.03 — upside +3%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$71.5
Price at call : $53 — upside +35%
Today : $59.03 — upside +21%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 8, 27
DA Davidson 
Jun 5, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $57.58 — upside +42%
Today : $59.03 — upside +39%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.8% · +13.6% (36 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 5, 27
Needham 
Jun 1, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$81
Price at call : $69.29 — upside +17%
Today : $59.03 — upside +37%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 43.9% · +5.5% (872 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 1, 27
See the other 48 calls, newest to oldest
Barclays 
May 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$69
Price at call : $64.46 — upside +7%
Today : $59.03 — upside +17%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.5% · -5.4% (65 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
DA Davidson 
May 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $61.74 — upside +33%
Today : $59.03 — upside +39%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.8% · +13.6% (36 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 20, 27
Morgan Stanley 
May 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$70
Price at call : $65.59 — upside +7%
Today : $59.03 — upside +19%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
Wedbush 
May 8, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$100
Price at call : $67.41 — upside +48%
Today : $59.03 — upside +69%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 44.7% · +2.7% (472 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
Wedbush 
Apr 20, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$90
Price at call : $66.23 — upside +36%
Today : $59.03 — upside +52%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 44.7% · +2.7% (472 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 20, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$62
Price at call : $53.9 — upside +15%
Today : $59.03 — upside +5%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
DA Davidson 
Mar 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $60.03 — upside +37%
Today : $59.03 — upside +39%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.8% · +13.6% (36 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 11, 27
DA Davidson 
Feb 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $58.56 — upside +40%
Today : $59.03 — upside +39%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.8% · +13.6% (36 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 18, 27
William Blair 
Jan 13, 26
▲ Outperform
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 49.1% · +14.7% (112 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$71
Price at call : $62.09 — upside +14%
Today : $59.03 — upside +20%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 26
BMO Capital 
Nov 24, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$75
Price at call : $59.04 — upside +27%
Today : $59.03 — upside +27%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 24, 26
DA Davidson 
Nov 20, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $55.27 — upside +48%
Today : $59.03 — upside +39%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.8% · +13.6% (36 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 20, 26
Goldman Sachs 
Nov 19, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $63.55 — upside +21%
Today : $59.03 — upside +30%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 19, 26
JP Morgan 
Nov 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$74
Price at call : $58.64 — upside +26%
Today : $59.03 — upside +25%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 14, 26
Deutsche Bank 
Nov 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $64.18 — upside +11%
Today : $59.03 — upside +20%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 10, 26
DA Davidson 
Nov 7, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $64.18 — upside +28%
Today : $59.03 — upside +39%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.8% · +13.6% (36 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$112
Price at call : $89.85 — upside +25%
Today : $59.03 — upside +90%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 15, 26
Daiwa Capital 
Sep 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$80
Price at call : $71.23 — upside +12%
Today : $59.03 — upside +36%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 23, 26
DA Davidson 
Sep 2, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $65.99 — upside +24%
Today : $59.03 — upside +39%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.8% · +13.6% (36 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 2, 26
Deutsche Bank 
Aug 11, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $74.95 — gap to target -9%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target +15%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $72.69 — upside +6%
Today : $59.03 — upside +30%
Expected +6% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
-24.8%
stock -25% · XLB +21%
matured Aug 8, 26
Baird 
Jul 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$69
Price at call : $61.14 — upside +13%
Today : $59.03 — upside +17%
Expected +13% · Actual -27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.3% · +17.7% (39 calls)
-27.0%
stock -27% · XLB +9%
matured Jul 23, 26
JP Morgan 
Jul 21, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $59.01 — gap to target +8%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 26
Deutsche Bank 
Jul 17, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $63.22 — gap to target +6%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $58.55 — upside +9%
Today : $59.03 — upside +8%
Expected +9% · Actual -22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
-22.4%
stock -22% · XLB +14%
matured Jul 16, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $45.11 — upside +22%
Today : $59.03 — upside -7%
Expected +22% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
+9.7%
stock +10% · XLB +11%
matured Jul 11, 26
Jefferies 
Jul 7, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $31.05 — gap to target +6%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target -44%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 26
Baird 
Jun 17, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$38
Price at call : $37.22 — upside +2%
Today : $59.03 — upside -36%
Expected +2% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.3% · +17.7% (39 calls)
+63.6%
stock +64% · XLB +19%
matured Jun 17, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$34
Price at call : $27.69 — upside +23%
Today : $59.03 — upside -42%
Expected +23% · Actual +108% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
+107.9%
stock +108% · XLB +13%
matured Jun 6, 26
JP Morgan 
May 12, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $20.77 — gap to target -13%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target -70%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 12, 26
JP Morgan 
May 1, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $25.01 — gap to target -16%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target -64%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 26
BMO Capital 
Mar 20, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$29
Price at call : $26.25 — gap to target +10%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target -51%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 20, 26
DA Davidson 
Mar 19, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $26.25 — upside +22%
Today : $59.03 — upside -46%
Expected +22% · Actual +93% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.8% · +13.6% (36 calls)
+92.8%
stock +93% · XLB +8%
matured Mar 19, 26
BMO Capital 
Jan 27, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$22
Price at call : $20.82 — gap to target +6%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target -63%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 27, 26
Baird 
Jan 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$30
Price at call : $21.41 — upside +40%
Today : $59.03 — upside -49%
Expected +40% · Actual +225% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.3% · +17.7% (39 calls)
+225.0%
stock +225% · XLB +12%
matured Jan 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $20.84 — upside +25%
Today : $59.03 — upside -56%
Expected +25% · Actual +197% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
+197.3%
stock +197% · XLB -5%
matured Nov 27, 25
BMO Capital 
Oct 25, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $18.64 — gap to target -1%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target -69%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 25, 25
JP Morgan 
Oct 21, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $18.08 — gap to target -0%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target -70%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 21, 25
DA Davidson 
Oct 1, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$23
Price at call : $16.96 — upside +36%
Today : $59.03 — upside -61%
Expected +36% · Actual +318% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.8% · +13.6% (36 calls)
+318.4%
stock +318% · XLB -6%
matured Oct 1, 25
BMO Capital 
Sep 30, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $17.54 — gap to target -9%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target -73%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 30, 25
Baird 
Sep 27, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$25
Price at call : $18.39 — upside +36%
Today : $59.03 — upside -58%
Expected +36% · Actual +271% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.3% · +17.7% (39 calls)
+270.7%
stock +271% · XLB -8%
matured Sep 27, 25
Morgan Stanley 
Sep 19, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $13.89 — gap to target +15%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target -73%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 19, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $12.8 — upside +48%
Today : $59.03 — upside -68%
Expected +48% · Actual +458% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
+457.8%
stock +458% · XLB -1%
matured Aug 27, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$22
Price at call : $13.81 — upside +59%
Today : $59.03 — upside -63%
Expected +59% · Actual +94% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
+94.3%
stock +94% · XLB -5%
matured Mar 13, 25
▲ Outperform
Actual -37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 overall : 61.7% · +27.7% (47 calls)
-37.3%
stock -37% · XLB +11%
matured Sep 5, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $25.19 — gap to target +27%
Today : $59.03 — gap to target -46%
🎯 on MP : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 overall : 61.7% · +27.7% (47 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $36.09 — upside +19%
Today : $59.03 — upside -27%
Expected +19% · Actual -59% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
-59.2%
stock -59% · XLB +6%
matured Feb 24, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $28.78 — upside +39%
Today : $59.03 — upside -32%
Expected +39% · Actual -33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 50% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 36.4% · +27.4% (22 calls)
-33.0%
stock -33% · XLB +14%
matured Sep 28, 23

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy MP Materials stock?

This isn't buy advice. For MP Materials, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $71.50 (+21% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on MP Materials). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy MP Materials? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on MP Materials is $100 (+69% above today's price); the average is $71.50. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on MP Materials on our site before trusting it.

Is MP Materials still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 8 analysts have a real record on MP Materials, the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

Will MP Materials stock recover (go back up)?

It's down from its high. We answer with the numbers — the analysts' 12-month target and what happened after its past drops: will MP stock recover (go back up)?

Should you invest in MP Materials? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in MP (and why hesitate).

What has MP Materials's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: MP performance & returns.

Are insiders buying MP stock?

Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on MP.

Other Materials stocks

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JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)