Penske Automotive Group (PAG) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Penske Automotive Group · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 50 calls · price $195.67
What the company does: Penske Automotive Group, Inc., a diversified transportation services company, operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Japan, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally.
📈 Penske Automotive Group (PAG) stock price
$195.67+12.5% over range
Oct 14, 25low $140.6 · high $223.44Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
25% recommend buying · 8 analysts
📊 JPI status : Penske Automotive Group has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 PAG price target & analyst consensus — price $196
The price target · all analysts combined (7 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 7$238+21.6%
Median target · of 7 targets$210+7.3%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 7$192-1.9%
Current price$195.67
Where these 7 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
686%
$210 ↔ $238
Below
114%
$192
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Stephens & Co. — 71% of its targets hit on this sector (56 calls tested). It aims for $210 (+7.3 %), call made on August 4, 2026, maturing on August 4, 2027 (71 d ago).
The 1 reliable analyst
$210+7.3 %
The 6 other firms
$210+7.3 %
How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $210 median. “The 6 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 8 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy225%
Hold675%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 PAG price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on PAG most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in PAG? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Penske Automotive Group? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
💰 Penske Automotive Group dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page
3.12%annual yield
📈 Steady dividend — 5 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$5.52 per share per year.
📈 Penske Automotive Group fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 13.8Net margin 2.8 %Revenue growth +6.0 %Low P/E
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 5 %
2023
Rev +6%Profit −24%
2024
Rev +3%Profit −13%
2025
Rev +1%Profit +2%
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on PAG
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephens & Co. ↗ | 100% | +106.9% | 2 |
| Sterne Agee | 100% | +25.3% | 2 |
| Benchmark ↗ | 80% | +22.1% | 5 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 78% | +27.2% | 9 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | 75% | +90.0% | 4 |
| Seaport Global ↗ | 67% | +32.5% | 3 |
| Citigroup ↗ | 67% | +5.9% | 3 |
| Morgan Stanley ↗ | 64% | +28.0% | 22 |
| Truist Securities ↗ | 50% | +51.4% | 2 |
| Keybanc ↗ | 50% | -12.7% | 2 |
See the other 2 firms
| JP Morgan ↗ | 12% | -8.4% | 8 |
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 50% | -14.3% | 2 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Penske Automotive Group would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Penske Automotive Group 10 years ago would be worth $4,226 today, i.e. +16%/yr on average. Best year: 2021 (+81%), worst: 2018 (-16%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Penske Automotive Group
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,174 | +17% |
| 3 years ago | $1,557 | +56% |
| 5 years ago | $3,013 | +201% |
Return by year (Penske Automotive Group)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | +13% | $1,131 (+13%) |
| 2025 | +4% | $1,174 (+17%) |
| 2024 | -5% | $1,115 (+11%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Penske Automotive Group
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📋 All analyst calls on PAG
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$210
Price at call : $194.22 — gap to target +8%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 6, 27
matures : Oct 6, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$210
Price at call : $194.22 — upside +8%
Today : $195.67 — upside +7%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +2.7% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 6, 27
matures : Oct 6, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$225
Price at call : $216.55 — upside +4%
Today : $195.67 — upside +15%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +2.7% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 19, 27
matures : Aug 19, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$215
Price at call : $215.76 — gap to target -0%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 4, 27
matures : Aug 4, 27
Stephens & Co. ↗
Aug 3, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$210
Price at call : $219.05 — gap to target -4%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 3, 27
matures : Aug 3, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 24, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$210
Price at call : $217.35 — gap to target -3%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on PAG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.1% · +2.4% (425 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 24, 27
matures : Jul 24, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$210
Price at call : $217.35 — gap to target -3%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on PAG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.8% (325 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 27
matures : Jul 23, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on PAG : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 29.3% · -1.5% (41 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 27
matures : Jul 23, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on PAG : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 29.3% · -1.5% (41 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
matures : Jul 22, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$220
Price at call : $200.4 — upside +10%
Today : $195.67 — upside +12%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +2.7% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 27
matures : Jul 15, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$192
Price at call : $193.22 — gap to target -1%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · +1.3% (220 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 27
matures : Jul 10, 27
B of A Securities ↗
Jul 9, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$238
Price at call : $191.49 — upside +24%
Today : $195.67 — upside +22%
🎯 on PAG : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.6% · +0.7% (324 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
matures : Jul 9, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$167
Price at call : $168.17 — gap to target -1%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · +1.3% (220 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 27, 27
matures : May 27, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $173.81 — gap to target -2%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
matures : May 7, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$199
Price at call : $171.61 — upside +16%
Today : $195.67 — upside +2%
🎯 on PAG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.8% (325 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
matures : May 6, 27
Stephens & Co. ↗
May 4, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$160
Price at call : $164.91 — gap to target -3%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -18%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 4, 27
matures : May 4, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $162.82 — gap to target +1%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 27
matures : Apr 17, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$193
Price at call : $155.15 — upside +24%
Today : $195.67 — upside -1%
🎯 on PAG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.8% (325 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 8, 27
matures : Apr 8, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$190
Price at call : $153.26 — upside +24%
Today : $195.67 — upside -3%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +2.7% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
matures : Apr 7, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $145.54 — gap to target +17%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 20, 27
matures : Mar 20, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$195
Price at call : $168.18 — upside +16%
Today : $195.67 — upside -0%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +2.7% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 17, 27
matures : Feb 17, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$190
Price at call : $163.31 — upside +16%
Today : $195.67 — upside -3%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +2.7% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 27
matures : Jan 21, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$195
Price at call : $159.81 — upside +22%
Today : $195.67 — upside -0%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +2.7% (400 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 12, 26
matures : Nov 12, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $154.86 — gap to target +13%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 5, 26
matures : Nov 5, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$180
Price at call : $173.94 — gap to target +3%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -8%
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 26
matures : Oct 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$206
Price at call : $171.74 — upside +20%
Today : $195.67 — upside +5%
Expected +20% · Actual +21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PAG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.8% (325 calls)
+20.7%
stock +21% · XLY -9%
matured Sep 25, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$190
Price at call : $178.55 — upside +6%
Today : $195.67 — upside -3%
Expected +6% · Actual +19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PAG : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 29.3% · -1.5% (41 calls)
+19.1%
stock +19% · XLY -8%
matured Sep 17, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Aug 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$190
Price at call : $180.35 — upside +5%
Today : $195.67 — upside -3%
Expected +5% · Actual +21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on PAG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.1% · +2.4% (425 calls)
+20.8%
stock +21% · XLY +2%
matured Aug 14, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $176.92 — gap to target -1%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 26
matures : Aug 5, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$155
Price at call : $165.03 — upside -6%
Today : $195.67 — upside -21%
Expected -6% · Actual +18% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
-18.5%
stock +18% · XLY +3%
matured Jul 17, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Jun 16, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$205
Price at call : $169.29 — upside +21%
Today : $195.67 — upside +5%
Expected +21% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.6% · +0.7% (324 calls)
+1.2%
stock +1% · XLY +10%
matured Jun 16, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
Jun 11, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $167.1 — gap to target -16%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -28%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 11, 26
matures : Jun 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$195
Price at call : $166.08 — upside +17%
Today : $195.67 — upside -0%
Expected +17% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.8% (325 calls)
-4.3%
stock -4% · XLY +9%
matured May 19, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
May 5, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $156.23 — gap to target -10%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -28%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 5, 26
matures : May 5, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$185
Price at call : $158.12 — upside +17%
Today : $195.67 — upside -5%
Expected +17% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.1% · -5.8% (325 calls)
+1.5%
stock +1% · XLY +22%
matured Apr 23, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Apr 22, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$190
Price at call : $154.71 — upside +23%
Today : $195.67 — upside -3%
Expected +23% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.6% · +0.7% (324 calls)
+3.1%
stock +3% · XLY +28%
matured Apr 22, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $141.31 — upside -1%
Today : $195.67 — upside -28%
Expected -1% · Actual +5% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
-4.7%
stock +5% · XLY +7%
matured Mar 27, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$165
Price at call : $167.92 — upside -2%
Today : $195.67 — upside -16%
Expected -2% · Actual -0% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
+0.4%
stock -0% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 19, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
Feb 18, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $171.5 — gap to target -4%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 18, 26
matures : Feb 18, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
Jan 24, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $160.97 — gap to target +3%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 24, 26
matures : Jan 24, 26
Seaport Global ↗
Nov 22, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$170
Price at call : $170.38 — upside -0%
Today : $195.67 — upside -13%
Expected -0% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 58.6% · +5.1% (29 calls)
-7.2%
stock -7% · XLY +4%
matured Nov 22, 25
Morgan Stanley ↗
Sep 25, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$180
Price at call : $161.87 — upside +11%
Today : $195.67 — upside -8%
Expected +11% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.1% · +2.4% (425 calls)
+6.1%
stock +6% · XLY +20%
matured Sep 25, 25
Stephens & Co. ↗
Sep 12, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$161
Price at call : $149.27 — gap to target +8%
Today : $195.67 — gap to target -18%
🎯 on PAG : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 12, 25
matures : Sep 12, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$160
Price at call : $148.45 — upside +8%
Today : $195.67 — upside -18%
Expected +8% · Actual +25% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
-24.9%
stock +25% · XLY +26%
matured Sep 10, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $161.75 — upside -13%
Today : $195.67 — upside -28%
Expected -13% · Actual +10% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
-10.1%
stock +10% · XLY +29%
matured Aug 6, 25
B of A Securities ↗
Jul 22, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$180
Price at call : $154.24 — upside +17%
Today : $195.67 — upside -8%
Expected +17% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.6% · +0.7% (324 calls)
+12.3%
stock +12% · XLY +20%
matured Jul 22, 25
B of A Securities ↗
Apr 10, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$180
Price at call : $150.14 — upside +20%
Today : $195.67 — upside -8%
Expected +20% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.6% · +0.7% (324 calls)
-0.9%
stock -1% · XLY +5%
matured Apr 10, 25
Morgan Stanley ↗
Feb 29, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$115
Price at call : $153.5 — upside -25%
Today : $195.67 — upside -41%
Expected -25% · Actual +10% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.1% · +2.4% (425 calls)
-9.9%
stock +10% · XLY +17%
matured Feb 28, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $147.74 — upside -5%
Today : $195.67 — upside -28%
Expected -5% · Actual +2% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on PAG : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.8% · +0.3% (377 calls)
-1.9%
stock +2% · XLY +28%
matured Oct 30, 24
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Penske Automotive Group stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Penske Automotive Group, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $210 (+7% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Penske Automotive Group). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Penske Automotive Group? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Penske Automotive Group is $238 (+22% above today's price); the average is $210. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Penske Automotive Group on our site before trusting it.
Is Penske Automotive Group still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 12 analysts have a real record on Penske Automotive Group, the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
Should you invest in Penske Automotive Group? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in PAG (and why hesitate).
What has Penske Automotive Group's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: PAG performance & returns.
Does Penske Automotive Group pay a dividend?
Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: PAG's dividend.
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