Illinois Tool Works (ITW) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Illinois Tool Works · Industrials · ref. ETF XLI · 50 calls · price $281.67
What the company does: Illinois Tool Works Inc. provides industrial products and equipment in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America.
📈 Illinois Tool Works (ITW) stock price
$281.67+6.0% over range
Aug 28, 25low $241.07 · high $299.6Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
14% recommend buying · 7 analysts
📊 JPI status : Illinois Tool Works has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 ITW price target & analyst consensus — price $282
The price target · all analysts combined (7 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 7$350+24.3%
Median target · of 7 targets$297+5.4%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 7$250-11.2%
Current price$281.67
Where these 7 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
571%
$287 ↔ $350
Below
229%
$250 ↔ $255
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Truist Securities — 80% of its targets hit on this sector (205 calls tested). It aims for $301 (+6.9 %), call made on July 3, 2026, maturing on July 3, 2027 (56 d ago).
The 4 reliable analysts
$305+8.3 %
The 3 other firms
$255-9.5 %
How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 4 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $305 median. “The 3 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 7 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy114%
Hold343%
Sell343%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 ITW price target all
All 50 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 50 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on ITW most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in ITW? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Illinois Tool Works? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
💰 Illinois Tool Works dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page
2.39%annual yield
🏆 Aristocrat — 39 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$6.44 per share per year.
📈 Illinois Tool Works fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 25.8Net margin 19.4 %Revenue growth +6.1 %Somewhat expensive
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 19 %
2023
Rev +1%Profit −3%
2024
Rev −1%Profit +18%
2025
Rev +1%Profit −12%
🏛️ Illinois Tool Works insider buying: who's buying and how much › open the full page
1 insider bought1 buys / 6 mo $200k
🔎 Detailed analyses
🏛️ Which US Congress members hold Illinois Tool Works (ITW)?
3 Congress members have disclosed ITW buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
✅ Historical analyst reliability on ITW
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISI Group | 100% | +24.8% | 3 |
| Barrington Research ↗ | 100% | +18.3% | 3 |
| Jefferies ↗ | 90% | +19.5% | 10 |
| BMO Capital ↗ | 80% | +22.2% | 5 |
| Stifel ↗ | 75% | +9.1% | 4 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 75% | +7.2% | 12 |
| Argus Research ↗ | 75% | +4.0% | 4 |
| Evercore ISI Group ↗ | 67% | +0.3% | 3 |
| Credit Suisse | 60% | +3.2% | 10 |
| Seaport Global ↗ | 50% | +12.4% | 2 |
See the other 8 firms
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 17% | -22.8% | 6 |
| Morgan Stanley ↗ | 30% | -9.2% | 30 |
| Barclays ↗ | 33% | -5.6% | 18 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 40% | -13.1% | 5 |
| Truist Securities ↗ | 43% | +0.6% | 7 |
| Wells Fargo ↗ | 43% | +5.7% | 14 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 45% | +1.7% | 11 |
| Citigroup ↗ | 50% | +9.6% | 6 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Illinois Tool Works would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Illinois Tool Works 10 years ago would be worth $2,870 today, i.e. +11%/yr on average. Best year: 2016 (+40%), worst: 2018 (-11%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Illinois Tool Works
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,025 | +2% |
| 3 years ago | $1,160 | +16% |
| 5 years ago | $1,338 | +34% |
Return by year (Illinois Tool Works)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -7% | $931 (-7%) |
| 2025 | +10% | $1,025 (+2%) |
| 2024 | +1% | $1,032 (+3%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Illinois Tool Works
Loading news…
📋 All analyst calls on ITW
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Aug 11, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$309
Price at call : $293.15 — upside +5%
Today : $281.67 — upside +10%
🎯 on ITW : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 59.3% · +13.8% (145 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 27
matures : Aug 11, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$350
Price at call : $283.7 — upside +23%
Today : $281.67 — upside +24%
🎯 on ITW : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51% · +6.8% (569 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 29, 27
matures : Jul 29, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$297
Price at call : $292.45 — gap to target +2%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 45.1% · +1.5% (366 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 29, 27
matures : Jul 29, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$310
Price at call : $272.28 — upside +14%
Today : $281.67 — upside +10%
🎯 on ITW : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51% · +6.8% (569 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 13, 27
matures : Jul 13, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Jul 2, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$301
Price at call : $272.76 — gap to target +10%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on ITW : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 50.7% · +5.9% (205 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 2, 27
matures : Jul 2, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
May 4, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$255
Price at call : $254.55 — upside +0%
Today : $281.67 — upside -9%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 55.2% · +2.9% (578 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 4, 27
matures : May 4, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$287
Price at call : $254.55 — gap to target +13%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.7% · +8.0% (716 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 4, 27
matures : May 4, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$295
Price at call : $251.65 — upside +17%
Today : $281.67 — upside +5%
🎯 on ITW : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51% · +6.8% (569 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
matures : May 1, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
▲ Overweight · 🎯$303
Price at call : $274.51 — upside +10%
Today : $281.67 — upside +8%
🎯 on ITW : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51% · +6.8% (569 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 27
matures : Apr 10, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$250
Price at call : $258.21 — upside -3%
Today : $281.67 — upside -11%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 1, 27
matures : Apr 1, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 1, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$245
Price at call : $258.21 — upside -5%
Today : $281.67 — upside -13%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 55.2% · +2.9% (578 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 1, 27
matures : Apr 1, 27
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Feb 23, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$296
Price at call : $294.56 — upside +0%
Today : $281.67 — upside +5%
🎯 on ITW : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 59.3% · +13.8% (145 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 23, 27
matures : Feb 23, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$275
Price at call : $290.58 — upside -5%
Today : $281.67 — upside -2%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 9, 27
matures : Feb 9, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$284
Price at call : $288.29 — gap to target -1%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.7% · +8.0% (716 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 4, 27
matures : Feb 4, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 4, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$270
Price at call : $288.29 — upside -6%
Today : $281.67 — upside -4%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 55.2% · +2.9% (578 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 4, 27
matures : Feb 4, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 7, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$250
Price at call : $253.73 — upside -1%
Today : $281.67 — upside -11%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 55.2% · +2.9% (578 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
matures : Jan 7, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
Dec 16, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$230
Price at call : $250.66 — upside -8%
Today : $281.67 — upside -18%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 53.4% · +10.8% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 16, 26
matures : Dec 16, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Nov 18, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$255
Price at call : $241.93 — gap to target +5%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.5% · +2.9% (497 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 18, 26
matures : Nov 18, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$244
Price at call : $245.87 — upside -1%
Today : $281.67 — upside -13%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 27, 26
matures : Oct 27, 26
Truist Securities ↗
Oct 27, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$275
Price at call : $245.87 — gap to target +12%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on ITW : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 50.7% · +5.9% (205 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 27, 26
matures : Oct 27, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 27, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$245
Price at call : $247.81 — upside -1%
Today : $281.67 — upside -13%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 55.2% · +2.9% (578 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 27, 26
matures : Oct 27, 26
Truist Securities ↗
Oct 8, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$298
Price at call : $248.29 — gap to target +20%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on ITW : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 50.7% · +5.9% (205 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 26
matures : Oct 8, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$243
Price at call : $262.49 — upside -7%
Today : $281.67 — upside -14%
Expected -7% · Actual +11% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
-10.8%
stock +11% · XLI +23%
matured Aug 14, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$243
Price at call : $256.04 — gap to target -5%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 4, 26
matures : Aug 4, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$261
Price at call : $252.31 — gap to target +3%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.4% · +2.7% (442 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 26
matures : Jul 31, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 31, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$250
Price at call : $252.31 — upside -1%
Today : $281.67 — upside -11%
Expected -1% · Actual +14% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ITW : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 55.2% · +2.9% (578 calls)
-14.3%
stock +14% · XLI +22%
matured Jul 31, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$255
Price at call : $252.31 — gap to target +1%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.9% · +3.8% (477 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 26
matures : Jul 31, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$255
Price at call : $254.64 — gap to target +0%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.4% · +2.7% (442 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 26
matures : Jul 21, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$265
Price at call : $256.37 — gap to target +3%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.7% · +8.0% (716 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 26
matures : Jul 14, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$240
Price at call : $262.12 — gap to target -8%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 26
matures : Jul 9, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 1, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$235
Price at call : $256.45 — upside -8%
Today : $281.67 — upside -17%
Expected -8% · Actual +6% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ITW : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 55.2% · +2.9% (578 calls)
-6.4%
stock +6% · XLI +24%
matured Jul 1, 26
Evercore ISI Group ↗
May 19, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$249
Price at call : $251.71 — upside -1%
Today : $281.67 — upside -12%
Expected -1% · Actual -2% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ITW : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 59.3% · +13.8% (145 calls)
+1.7%
stock -2% · XLI +17%
matured May 19, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$233
Price at call : $242.32 — gap to target -4%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.4% · +2.7% (442 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 26
matures : May 1, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$237
Price at call : $242.32 — gap to target -2%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 26
matures : May 1, 26
Truist Securities ↗
May 1, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$284
Price at call : $242.32 — upside +17%
Today : $281.67 — upside +1%
Expected +17% · Actual +4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ITW : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 50.7% · +5.9% (205 calls)
+3.9%
stock +4% · XLI +27%
matured May 1, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$244
Price at call : $239.24 — gap to target +2%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 45.1% · +1.5% (366 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 26
matures : May 1, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$253
Price at call : $231.5 — gap to target +9%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.7% · +8.0% (716 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 14, 26
matures : Apr 14, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$227
Price at call : $231.5 — gap to target -2%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -19%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.4% · +2.7% (442 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 14, 26
matures : Apr 14, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$240
Price at call : $232.32 — gap to target +3%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 26
matures : Apr 10, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$234
Price at call : $218.41 — gap to target +7%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.9% · +3.8% (477 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 26
matures : Apr 7, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$252
Price at call : $255.89 — gap to target -2%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -11%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 26, 26
matures : Mar 26, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$260
Price at call : $267.67 — gap to target -3%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -8%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 10, 26
matures : Mar 10, 26
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Feb 19, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$252
Price at call : $265.54 — upside -5%
Today : $281.67 — upside -11%
Expected -5% · Actual +11% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ITW : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 59.3% · +13.8% (145 calls)
-11.1%
stock +11% · XLI +29%
matured Feb 19, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$262
Price at call : $257.61 — gap to target +2%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on ITW : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +3.2% (943 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 7, 26
matures : Feb 7, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$259
Price at call : $255.56 — gap to target +1%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -8%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.4% · +2.7% (442 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 6, 26
matures : Feb 6, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 6, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$245
Price at call : $255.56 — upside -4%
Today : $281.67 — upside -13%
Expected -4% · Actual +14% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ITW : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 55.2% · +2.9% (578 calls)
-13.7%
stock +14% · XLI +26%
matured Feb 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$295
Price at call : $254.68 — upside +16%
Today : $281.67 — upside +5%
Expected +16% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ITW : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51% · +6.8% (569 calls)
+13.4%
stock +13% · XLI +24%
matured Feb 3, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$266
Price at call : $264.42 — gap to target +1%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.4% · +2.7% (442 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 24, 26
matures : Jan 24, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$265
Price at call : $252.97 — gap to target +5%
Today : $281.67 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on ITW : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.7% · +8.0% (716 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 26
matures : Jan 13, 26
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Illinois Tool Works stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Illinois Tool Works, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $297 (+5% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on Illinois Tool Works). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Illinois Tool Works? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Illinois Tool Works is $350 (+24% above today's price); the average is $297. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Illinois Tool Works on our site before trusting it.
Is Illinois Tool Works still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 18 analysts have a real record on Illinois Tool Works, the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
Should you invest in Illinois Tool Works? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in ITW (and why hesitate).
What has Illinois Tool Works's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: ITW performance & returns.
Does Illinois Tool Works pay a dividend?
Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: ITW's dividend.
Are insiders buying ITW stock?
Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on ITW.
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