Northrop Grumman (NOC) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
Northrop Grumman · Industrials · ref. ETF XLI · 50 calls · price $481.38
What the company does: Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense technology company in the United States, Asia/Pacific, Europe, and internationally.
📈 Northrop Grumman (NOC) stock price
$481.38-23.2% over range
Oct 14, 25low $473.46 · high $768.02Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
50% recommend buying · 14 analysts
📊 JPI status : Northrop Grumman has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 NOC price target & analyst consensus — price $481
The price target · all analysts combined (14 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 14$815+69.3%
Median target · of 14 targets$616+28.0%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 14$419-13.0%
Current price$481.38
Where these 14 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
1393%
$525 ↔ $815
Below
17%
$419
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Guggenheim — 82% of its targets hit on this sector (27 calls tested). It aims for $612 (+27 %), call made on September 16, 2026, maturing on September 16, 2027 (28 d ago).
The 9 reliable analysts
$612+27 %
The 5 other firms
$680+41 %
How to read it: the 9 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 8 aim above the price, 1 below, hence their $612 median. “The 5 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 14 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy750%
Hold643%
Sell17%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 NOC price target all
All 13 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 13 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on NOC most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in NOC? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Northrop Grumman? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
💰 Northrop Grumman dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page
1.81%annual yield
That's ~$9.40 per share per year.
📈 Northrop Grumman fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 15.3Net margin 10.5 %Revenue growth +5.1 %Average P/E
Revenue, net income and margin per year
Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
2022
marg. 13 %
2023
Rev +7%Profit −58%
2024
Rev +4%Profit +103%
2025
Rev +2%Profit +0%
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on NOC
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drexel Hamilton | 100% | +36.5% | 3 |
| Citigroup ↗ | 100% | +32.0% | 13 |
| Argus Research ↗ | 100% | +26.2% | 3 |
| Seaport Global ↗ | 100% | +16.9% | 3 |
| Cowen & Co. | 100% | +10.0% | 2 |
| Bernstein ↗ | 100% | +7.1% | 2 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 88% | +18.2% | 8 |
| Jefferies ↗ | 86% | +27.2% | 7 |
| UBS ↗ | 83% | +10.7% | 6 |
| Truist Securities ↗ | 75% | +20.1% | 4 |
See the other 12 firms
| Wolfe Research ↗ | 0% | -5.1% | 2 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 40% | -14.9% | 5 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 40% | -13.8% | 5 |
| Alembic Global | 50% | +7.0% | 2 |
| Credit Suisse | 50% | +11.0% | 6 |
| Baird ↗ | 50% | +14.9% | 2 |
| Morgan Stanley ↗ | 58% | +7.8% | 19 |
| Wells Fargo ↗ | 62% | +15.9% | 8 |
| Susquehanna ↗ | 67% | +11.0% | 12 |
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 67% | +19.9% | 3 |
| RBC Capital ↗ | 70% | +12.7% | 10 |
| Barclays ↗ | 75% | +10.4% | 4 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Northrop Grumman would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Northrop Grumman 10 years ago would be worth $2,650 today, i.e. +10%/yr on average. Best year: 2025 (+57%), worst: 2018 (-17%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Northrop Grumman
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,103 | +10% |
| 3 years ago | $1,097 | +10% |
| 5 years ago | $1,746 | +75% |
Return by year (Northrop Grumman)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -30% | $703 (-30%) |
| 2025 | +57% | $1,103 (+10%) |
| 2024 | +0% | $1,105 (+10%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Northrop Grumman
Loading news…
📋 All analyst calls on NOC
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$540
Price at call : $485 — gap to target +11%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.1% · +8.7% (114 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 27
matures : Oct 9, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$419
Price at call : $480.72 — upside -13%
Today : $481.38 — upside -13%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 27
matures : Oct 9, 27
Rothschild & Co
Oct 6, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$680
Price at call : $483.11 — upside +41%
Today : $481.38 — upside +41%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 6, 27
matures : Oct 6, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Oct 2, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$525
Price at call : $478 — gap to target +10%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47.1% · +3.2% (469 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 2, 27
matures : Oct 2, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$620
Price at call : $514.42 — gap to target +21%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +29%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.1% · -1.0% (81 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 23, 27
matures : Sep 23, 27
Guggenheim ↗
Sep 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$612
Price at call : $531.25 — upside +15%
Today : $481.38 — upside +27%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 70.4% · +33.9% (27 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 15, 27
matures : Sep 15, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$704
Price at call : $515.57 — upside +37%
Today : $481.38 — upside +46%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.2% (486 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 8, 27
matures : Sep 8, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$590
Price at call : $563.86 — gap to target +5%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +23%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.1% · +8.7% (114 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 19, 27
matures : Aug 19, 27
See the other 42 calls, newest to oldest
▲ Buy · 🎯$667
Price at call : $585.87 — upside +14%
Today : $481.38 — upside +39%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.8% · +7.9% (731 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 13, 27
matures : Aug 13, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$600
Price at call : $542.24 — gap to target +11%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +25%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.9% · +6.8% (582 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 27
matures : Jul 23, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$550
Price at call : $533.48 — gap to target +3%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.1% · +8.7% (114 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
matures : Jul 22, 27
Susquehanna ↗
Jul 22, 26
▲ Positive · 🎯$655
Price at call : $533.48 — upside +23%
Today : $481.38 — upside +36%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +5.4% (211 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
matures : Jul 22, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$685
Price at call : $533.48 — upside +28%
Today : $481.38 — upside +42%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.2% (486 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
matures : Jul 22, 27
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jul 14, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$533
Price at call : $525.22 — gap to target +1%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +11%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 53.1% · +10.6% (354 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 27
matures : Jul 14, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$580
Price at call : $528.67 — gap to target +10%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +20%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.1% · +8.7% (114 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 13, 27
matures : Jul 13, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$587
Price at call : $549.01 — upside +7%
Today : $481.38 — upside +22%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.8% · +7.9% (731 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 1, 27
matures : Jul 1, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$580
Price at call : $496.02 — gap to target +17%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +20%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 62.1% · +9.3% (293 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 27
matures : Jun 26, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$620
Price at call : $551.34 — gap to target +12%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +29%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 62.1% · +9.3% (293 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 26, 27
matures : May 26, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$628
Price at call : $556.34 — upside +13%
Today : $481.38 — upside +30%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.8% · +7.9% (731 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 18, 27
matures : May 18, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$745
Price at call : $575.11 — upside +30%
Today : $481.38 — upside +55%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.2% (486 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
matures : Apr 23, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$742
Price at call : $575.11 — upside +29%
Today : $481.38 — upside +54%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.8% · +7.9% (731 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
matures : Apr 23, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Apr 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$745
Price at call : $587.66 — upside +27%
Today : $481.38 — upside +55%
🎯 on NOC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 55% · +3.6% (1011 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
matures : Apr 22, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$815
Price at call : $589.62 — upside +38%
Today : $481.38 — upside +69%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 56.2% · +17.5% (16 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
matures : Apr 22, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$710
Price at call : $673.73 — gap to target +5%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +47%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 62.1% · +9.3% (293 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
matures : Apr 9, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$807
Price at call : $695.79 — upside +16%
Today : $481.38 — upside +68%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.8% · +7.9% (731 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 2, 27
matures : Apr 2, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 1, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$800
Price at call : $702.5 — upside +14%
Today : $481.38 — upside +66%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 54.7% · +2.8% (589 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 1, 27
matures : Apr 1, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$690
Price at call : $704.98 — gap to target -2%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +43%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 62.1% · +9.3% (293 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 2, 27
matures : Feb 2, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$781
Price at call : $695.35 — upside +12%
Today : $481.38 — upside +62%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.8% · +7.9% (731 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 28, 27
matures : Jan 28, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Jan 28, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$750
Price at call : $695.35 — upside +8%
Today : $481.38 — upside +56%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47.1% · +3.2% (469 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 28, 27
matures : Jan 28, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$778
Price at call : $695.35 — upside +12%
Today : $481.38 — upside +62%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.2% (486 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 28, 27
matures : Jan 28, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$815
Price at call : $689.13 — upside +18%
Today : $481.38 — upside +69%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 56.2% · +17.5% (16 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 28, 27
matures : Jan 28, 27
B of A Securities ↗
Jan 28, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$750
Price at call : $689.13 — upside +9%
Today : $481.38 — upside +56%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.4% · +3.0% (502 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 28, 27
matures : Jan 28, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$777
Price at call : $666.9 — upside +17%
Today : $481.38 — upside +61%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.2% (486 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 15, 27
matures : Jan 15, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$715
Price at call : $653.14 — upside +9%
Today : $481.38 — upside +49%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.8% · +7.9% (731 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
matures : Jan 13, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Jan 9, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$623
Price at call : $629.32 — gap to target -1%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +29%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 51.4% · +6.4% (210 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 9, 27
matures : Jan 9, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Dec 16, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$714
Price at call : $564.19 — upside +27%
Today : $481.38 — upside +48%
🎯 on NOC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 55% · +3.6% (1011 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 16, 26
matures : Dec 16, 26
Alembic Global
Dec 15, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$662
Price at call : $568.72 — upside +16%
Today : $481.38 — upside +38%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 15, 26
matures : Dec 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$654
Price at call : $575.79 — upside +14%
Today : $481.38 — upside +36%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 52.8% · +7.9% (731 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 12, 26
matures : Dec 12, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$696
Price at call : $605.58 — gap to target +15%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +45%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.1% · -1.0% (81 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
matures : Oct 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$770
Price at call : $605.74 — upside +27%
Today : $481.38 — upside +60%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.2% (486 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
matures : Oct 22, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$640
Price at call : $605.74 — gap to target +6%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +33%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.9% · +6.8% (582 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
matures : Oct 22, 26
Susquehanna ↗
Oct 22, 25
▲ Positive · 🎯$690
Price at call : $596.48 — upside +16%
Today : $481.38 — upside +43%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.8% · +5.4% (211 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
matures : Oct 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$680
Price at call : $596.48 — upside +14%
Today : $481.38 — upside +41%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 56.2% · +17.5% (16 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
matures : Oct 22, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$674
Price at call : $602 — gap to target +12%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +40%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.1% · -1.0% (81 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 20, 26
matures : Oct 20, 26
Truist Securities ↗
Oct 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$688
Price at call : $598.98 — upside +15%
Today : $481.38 — upside +43%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 51.4% · +6.4% (210 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 15, 26
matures : Oct 15, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 15, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$720
Price at call : $608.93 — upside +18%
Today : $481.38 — upside +50%
🎯 on NOC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 55% · +3.6% (1011 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 15, 26
matures : Oct 15, 26
Deutsche Bank ↗
Oct 8, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$700
Price at call : $635.01 — upside +10%
Today : $481.38 — upside +45%
Expected +10% · Actual -24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NOC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 54.2% · +7.6% (465 calls)
-24.3%
stock -24% · XLI +10%
matured Oct 8, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$580
Price at call : $572.81 — gap to target +1%
Today : $481.38 — gap to target +20%
🎯 on NOC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 49.3% · +2.8% (957 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 29, 26
matures : Jul 29, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 23, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$625
Price at call : $568.48 — upside +10%
Today : $481.38 — upside +30%
Expected +10% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on NOC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 55% · +3.6% (1011 calls)
-4.6%
stock -5% · XLI +19%
matured Jul 23, 26
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Northrop Grumman stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Northrop Grumman, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $616 (+28% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on Northrop Grumman). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Northrop Grumman? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Northrop Grumman is $815 (+69% above today's price); the average is $616. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Northrop Grumman on our site before trusting it.
Is Northrop Grumman still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 22 analysts have a real record on Northrop Grumman, the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
Will Northrop Grumman stock recover (go back up)?
It's down from its high. We answer with the numbers — the analysts' 12-month target and what happened after its past drops: will NOC stock recover (go back up)?
Should you invest in Northrop Grumman? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in NOC (and why hesitate).
What has Northrop Grumman's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: NOC performance & returns.
Does Northrop Grumman pay a dividend?
Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: NOC's dividend.
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