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SM Energy Company (SM) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Live quote · data updated Oct 14, 2026
SM Energy Company · Energy · ref. ETF XLE · 94 calls · price $38.54
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What the company does: SM Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States.

📈 SM Energy Company (SM) stock price

$38.54+70.7% over range
Oct 14, 25low $17.57 · high $41.29Oct 13, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
80% recommend buying · 10 analysts
📊 JPI status : SM Energy Company is no longer in our current JPI rankings, but appeared in the past (2022, 2015) — its upside may be behind it. See the stocks picked in 2022 →

🎯 SM price target & analyst consensus — price $38.54

The price target · all analysts combined (10 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 10$52+34.9%
Median target · of 10 targets$46.5+20.7%
Lowest target · 2 firms of 10$32-17.0%
Current price$38.54
Where these 10 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price 660% $46 ↔ $52
Below 440% $32 ↔ $37
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: UBS — 82% of its targets hit on this sector (22 calls tested). It aims for $48 (+25 %), call made on September 15, 2026, maturing on September 15, 2027 (29 d ago).

The 4 reliable analysts $48+25 %
The 6 other firms $36-6.6 %
How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 4 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $48 median. “The 6 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 10 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy880%
Hold110%
Sell110%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus)  ·  vs  ·  the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about SM Energy Company? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

🏛️ Which US Congress members hold SM Energy Company (SM)?

1 Congress member has disclosed SM buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
→ Full members ranking (who beats the market)

✅ Historical analyst reliability on SM

Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.

Firm ↕ % right i ↕ Gain vs sector i ↕ Calls i ↕
KeyBanc ↗ 100% +292.4% 3
Societe Generale 100% +34.3% 2
Deutsche Bank ↗ 75% +25.7% 4
Mizuho ↗ 69% +6.4% 16
Barrington Research ↗ 67% -0.0% 3
Cowen & Co. 67% -20.9% 3
Raymond James ↗ 62% +16.1% 16
Jefferies ↗ 60% +20.4% 5
Keybanc ↗ 58% +28.4% 19
Credit Suisse 50% +7.8% 2
See the other 13 firms
Scotiabank ↗ 0% -277.1% 2
Capital One 0% -60.3% 2
Tudor Pickering 0% -42.0% 2
Macquarie ↗ 0% -40.3% 2
B of A Securities ↗ 0% -30.5% 2
KLR Group 14% -30.7% 7
Stephens & Co. ↗ 17% -43.8% 6
Seaport Global ↗ 20% -36.1% 5
Stifel ↗ 22% +45.0% 9
Wells Fargo ↗ 25% +119.9% 4
Barclays ↗ 42% -5.7% 26
JP Morgan ↗ 43% -5.0% 7
Guggenheim ↗ 50% -27.0% 2

📊 What $1,000 invested in SM Energy Company would be worth › open the full page

In short — $1,000 invested in SM Energy Company 10 years ago would be worth $1,512 today, i.e. +4%/yr on average. Best year: 2021 (+382%), worst: 2025 (-52%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in SM Energy Company

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$767-23%
3 years ago$853-15%
5 years ago$4,856+386%
→ See SM Energy Company's full return history + gain calculator

Return by year (SM Energy Company)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+59%$1,589 (+59%)
2025-52%$767 (-23%)
2024+0%$768 (-23%)
→ See SM Energy Company's full return history + gain calculator
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

📰 Recent news on SM Energy Company

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📋 All analyst calls on SM

▲ Buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $37.08 — upside +29%
Today : $38.54 — upside +25%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.2% · +6.3% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 7, 27
Keybanc ↗
Sep 15, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$46
Price at call : $41.29 — upside +11%
Today : $38.54 — upside +19%
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 15, 27
UBS ↗
Sep 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $41.29 — upside +16%
Today : $38.54 — upside +25%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 31.8% · -11.2% (22 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 14, 27
▼ Sell · 🎯$35
Price at call : $37.6 — upside -7%
Today : $38.54 — upside -9%
🎯 on SM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.6% · -8.6% (26 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 3, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Aug 13, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$47
Price at call : $32.42 — upside +45%
Today : $38.54 — upside +22%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 39.6% · +9.9% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 13, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $32.51 — upside +32%
Today : $38.54 — upside +12%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.2% · +6.3% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 10, 27
Raymond James ↗
Jul 21, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$48
Price at call : $33.19 — upside +45%
Today : $38.54 — upside +25%
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 27
Susquehanna ↗
Jul 21, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $33.19 — gap to target -4%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 20.6% · -8.1% (34 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 27
See the other 86 calls, newest to oldest
UBS ↗
Jul 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $29.93 — upside +20%
Today : $38.54 — upside -7%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 31.8% · -11.2% (22 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $27.92 — upside +33%
Today : $38.54 — upside -4%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.2% · +6.3% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$52
Price at call : $27.92 — upside +86%
Today : $38.54 — upside +35%
🎯 on SM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 20.6% · -15.9% (34 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 27
Mizuho ↗
Jul 7, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$37
Price at call : $27.92 — upside +33%
Today : $38.54 — upside -4%
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 27
Roth Capital
Jun 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $27.56 — upside +16%
Today : $38.54 — upside -17%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 22, 27
Mizuho ↗
May 27, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$38
Price at call : $30.63 — upside +24%
Today : $38.54 — upside -1%
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 27, 27
Raymond James ↗
May 20, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $34.81 — upside +58%
Today : $38.54 — upside +43%
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 20, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
May 18, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $34.32 — gap to target -7%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 39.6% · +9.9% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 18, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$39
Price at call : $31.17 — upside +25%
Today : $38.54 — upside +1%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.2% · +6.3% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 12, 27
Susquehanna ↗
May 11, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$31
Price at call : $31.35 — gap to target -1%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 20.6% · -8.1% (34 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 21, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$29
Price at call : $28.08 — gap to target +3%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -25%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 39.6% · +9.9% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 27
Roth Capital
Apr 8, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $28.81 — gap to target +15%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 8, 27
BMO Capital ↗
Apr 2, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $30.46 — gap to target +8%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 55% · +1.6% (20 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 2, 27
Keybanc ↗
Apr 2, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$39
Price at call : $30.62 — upside +27%
Today : $38.54 — upside +1%
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 2, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $31.5 — upside +21%
Today : $38.54 — upside -1%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.2% · +6.3% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 24, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Mar 19, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$25
Price at call : $30.04 — gap to target -17%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -35%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 39.6% · +9.9% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 19, 27
TD Cowen ↗
Mar 17, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$30
Price at call : $27.27 — upside +10%
Today : $38.54 — upside -22%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 55.6% · -5.0% (9 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
Stephens & Co. ↗
Feb 19, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$49
Price at call : $23.48 — upside +109%
Today : $38.54 — upside +27%
🎯 on SM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 20.6% · -15.9% (34 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
Susquehanna ↗
Jan 26, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $19.28 — gap to target -1%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -51%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 20.6% · -8.1% (34 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 26, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Jan 13, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$29
Price at call : $18.57 — gap to target +56%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -25%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +3.2% (91 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
Keybanc ↗
Dec 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$28
Price at call : $20.43 — upside +37%
Today : $38.54 — upside -27%
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 10, 26
Susquehanna ↗
Oct 20, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$24
Price at call : $20.58 — gap to target +17%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -38%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 20.6% · -8.1% (34 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 20, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 17, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$23
Price at call : $21.26 — gap to target +8%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -40%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 39.6% · +9.9% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
RBC Capital ↗
Oct 9, 25
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $22.6 — gap to target +55%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +3.2% (91 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
Mizuho ↗
Sep 15, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$39
Price at call : $27.41 — upside +42%
Today : $38.54 — upside +1%
Expected +42% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
+39.2%
stock +39% · XLE +43%
matured Sep 15, 26
Mizuho ↗
Aug 1, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$44
Price at call : $27.03 — upside +63%
Today : $38.54 — upside +14%
Expected +63% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
+18.1%
stock +18% · XLE +38%
matured Aug 1, 26
Susquehanna ↗
Jul 23, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$27
Price at call : $27.78 — gap to target -3%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -30%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 20.6% · -8.1% (34 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 26
Raymond James ↗
Jun 24, 25
▼ Underperform
Actual +7% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
-7.5%
stock +7% · XLE +28%
matured Jun 24, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 16, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$29
Price at call : $27.93 — gap to target +4%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -25%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 39.6% · +9.9% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 16, 26
Raymond James ↗
May 28, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$34
Price at call : $23.8 — upside +43%
Today : $38.54 — upside -12%
Expected +43% · Actual +29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
+29.0%
stock +29% · XLE +37%
matured May 28, 26
Mizuho ↗
May 13, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$42
Price at call : $25.46 — upside +65%
Today : $38.54 — upside +9%
Expected +65% · Actual +23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
+23.2%
stock +23% · XLE +36%
matured May 13, 26
Susquehanna ↗
Apr 22, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$24
Price at call : $22.99 — gap to target +4%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -38%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 20.6% · -8.1% (34 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 26
Keybanc ↗
Apr 21, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$36
Price at call : $22.88 — upside +57%
Today : $38.54 — upside -7%
Expected +57% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
+27.0%
stock +27% · XLE +39%
matured Apr 21, 26
Raymond James ↗
Apr 21, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$30
Price at call : $22.88 — upside +31%
Today : $38.54 — upside -22%
Expected +31% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
+27.0%
stock +27% · XLE +39%
matured Apr 21, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
Apr 15, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$55
Price at call : $21.72 — upside +153%
Today : $38.54 — upside +43%
Expected +153% · Actual +26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 20.6% · -15.9% (34 calls)
+25.8%
stock +26% · XLE +41%
matured Apr 15, 26
Mizuho ↗
Apr 14, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$48
Price at call : $21.72 — upside +121%
Today : $38.54 — upside +25%
Expected +121% · Actual +26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
+25.8%
stock +26% · XLE +41%
matured Apr 14, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Mar 25, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $30.53 — gap to target +8%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 39.6% · +9.9% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 25, 26
JP Morgan ↗
Mar 13, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$41
Price at call : $29.99 — gap to target +37%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 54.1% · +1.8% (61 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 13, 26
Raymond James ↗
Mar 10, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$40
Price at call : $29.07 — upside +38%
Today : $38.54 — upside +4%
Expected +38% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
-11.8%
stock -12% · XLE +30%
matured Mar 10, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $43.92 — gap to target +2%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target +17%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.2% · +6.3% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$57
Price at call : $40.16 — upside +42%
Today : $38.54 — upside +48%
Expected +42% · Actual -52% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 20.6% · -15.9% (34 calls)
-52.4%
stock -52% · XLE +5%
matured Jan 2, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Dec 17, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $37.15 — gap to target +21%
Today : $38.54 — gap to target +17%
🎯 on SM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 39.6% · +9.9% (48 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 17, 25
Mizuho ↗
Dec 16, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $38.87 — upside +41%
Today : $38.54 — upside +43%
Expected +41% · Actual -50% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
-50.1%
stock -50% · XLE +3%
matured Dec 16, 25
Keybanc ↗
Oct 16, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $42.69 — upside +41%
Today : $38.54 — upside +56%
Expected +41% · Actual -49% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
-49.0%
stock -49% · XLE -5%
matured Oct 16, 25
Mizuho ↗
Sep 16, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$57
Price at call : $40.5 — upside +41%
Today : $38.54 — upside +48%
Expected +41% · Actual -32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
-32.3%
stock -32% · XLE +3%
matured Sep 16, 25
Mizuho ↗
May 13, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $49.52 — upside +25%
Today : $38.54 — upside +61%
Expected +25% · Actual -49% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
-48.6%
stock -49% · XLE -9%
matured May 13, 25
Keybanc ↗
Apr 22, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$65
Price at call : $48.85 — upside +33%
Today : $38.54 — upside +69%
Expected +33% · Actual -53% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
-53.2%
stock -53% · XLE -15%
matured Apr 22, 25
Keybanc ↗
Apr 12, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$62
Price at call : $50.73 — upside +22%
Today : $38.54 — upside +61%
Expected +22% · Actual -57% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
-56.7%
stock -57% · XLE -18%
matured Apr 12, 25
Mizuho ↗
Apr 5, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $52.76 — upside +8%
Today : $38.54 — upside +48%
Expected +8% · Actual -59% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
-58.7%
stock -59% · XLE -20%
matured Apr 5, 25
Mizuho ↗
Mar 6, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $44.43 — upside +15%
Today : $38.54 — upside +32%
Expected +15% · Actual -39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
-38.9%
stock -39% · XLE -1%
matured Mar 6, 25
Seaport Global ↗
Jan 31, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $37.08 — upside +35%
Today : $38.54 — upside +30%
Expected +35% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.6% · -8.6% (26 calls)
+6.8%
stock +7% · XLE +8%
matured Jan 30, 25
Keybanc ↗
Jan 11, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$51
Price at call : $37.34 — upside +37%
Today : $38.54 — upside +32%
Expected +37% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
+17.1%
stock +17% · XLE +9%
matured Jan 10, 25
Raymond James ↗
Jan 8, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $38.06 — upside +18%
Today : $38.54 — upside +17%
Expected +18% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
+12.1%
stock +12% · XLE +7%
matured Jan 7, 25
Mizuho ↗
Jan 3, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$44
Price at call : $38.27 — upside +15%
Today : $38.54 — upside +14%
Expected +15% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
+6.0%
stock +6% · XLE +3%
matured Jan 2, 25
Mizuho ↗
Sep 18, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $39.29 — upside +27%
Today : $38.54 — upside +30%
Expected +27% · Actual +4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
+4.2%
stock +4% · XLE -4%
matured Sep 17, 24
Mizuho ↗
Aug 16, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $39.45 — upside +22%
Today : $38.54 — upside +25%
Expected +22% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 51.1% · +1.3% (88 calls)
+18.4%
stock +18% · XLE +4%
matured Aug 15, 24
Raymond James ↗
Jul 24, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $35.14 — upside +28%
Today : $38.54 — upside +17%
Expected +28% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
+26.6%
stock +27% · XLE +5%
matured Jul 23, 24
Raymond James ↗
Apr 21, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$41
Price at call : $28.39 — upside +44%
Today : $38.54 — upside +6%
Expected +44% · Actual +72% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
+72.1%
stock +72% · XLE +11%
matured Apr 20, 24
Raymond James ↗
Mar 31, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$38
Price at call : $28.16 — upside +35%
Today : $38.54 — upside -1%
Expected +35% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
+79.6%
stock +80% · XLE +15%
matured Mar 30, 24
Barclays ↗
Feb 22, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$32
Price at call : $29.01 — upside +10%
Today : $38.54 — upside -17%
Expected +10% · Actual +43% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
-42.5%
stock +43% · XLE +4%
matured Feb 22, 24
Raymond James ↗
Jan 26, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $33.63 — upside +34%
Today : $38.54 — upside +17%
Expected +34% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
+10.6%
stock +11% · XLE -10%
matured Jan 26, 24
Keybanc ↗
Dec 8, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$56
Price at call : $35.38 — upside +58%
Today : $38.54 — upside +45%
Expected +58% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
+0.5%
stock +1% · XLE -3%
matured Dec 8, 23
Barclays ↗
Oct 19, 22
▼ Underweight · 🎯$46
Price at call : $43.28 — upside +6%
Today : $38.54 — upside +19%
Expected +6% · Actual +1% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
-0.5%
stock +1% · XLE +9%
matured Oct 19, 23
Keybanc ↗
Sep 20, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$64
Price at call : $42.13 — upside +52%
Today : $38.54 — upside +66%
Expected +52% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
-9.9%
stock -10% · XLE +17%
matured Sep 20, 23
Raymond James ↗
Jul 26, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $36.42 — upside +51%
Today : $38.54 — upside +43%
Expected +51% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
-3.4%
stock -3% · XLE +18%
matured Jul 26, 23
Barclays ↗
Jun 14, 22
▼ Underweight · 🎯$55
Price at call : $48.68 — upside +13%
Today : $38.54 — upside +43%
Expected +13% · Actual -42% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
+41.7%
stock -42% · XLE -5%
matured Jun 14, 23
Raymond James ↗
Apr 25, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$65
Price at call : $35.31 — upside +84%
Today : $38.54 — upside +69%
Expected +84% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
-23.0%
stock -23% · XLE +15%
matured Apr 25, 23
Keybanc ↗
Apr 8, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $40.42 — upside +24%
Today : $38.54 — upside +30%
Expected +24% · Actual -26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
-26.1%
stock -26% · XLE +8%
matured Apr 8, 23
Raymond James ↗
Mar 28, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$57
Price at call : $41.44 — upside +38%
Today : $38.54 — upside +48%
Expected +38% · Actual -34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 57.6% · +9.9% (92 calls)
-33.5%
stock -34% · XLE +5%
matured Mar 28, 23
Keybanc ↗
Jan 20, 22
▲ Overweight · 🎯$44
Price at call : $32.97 — upside +33%
Today : $38.54 — upside +14%
Expected +33% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
+0.9%
stock +1% · XLE +42%
matured Jan 20, 23
Barclays ↗
Dec 27, 21
▼ Underweight · 🎯$23
Price at call : $31.19 — upside -26%
Today : $38.54 — upside -40%
Expected -26% · Actual +14% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
-13.9%
stock +14% · XLE +57%
matured Dec 27, 22
Keybanc ↗
Nov 3, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$42
Price at call : $35.12 — upside +20%
Today : $38.54 — upside +9%
Expected +20% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
+27.6%
stock +28% · XLE +57%
matured Nov 3, 22
Keybanc ↗
Oct 19, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$37
Price at call : $30.09 — upside +23%
Today : $38.54 — upside -4%
Expected +23% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
+43.8%
stock +44% · XLE +45%
matured Oct 19, 22
Keybanc ↗
Oct 7, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$31
Price at call : $30.31 — upside +2%
Today : $38.54 — upside -20%
Expected +2% · Actual +49% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.7% · -0.1% (75 calls)
+48.7%
stock +49% · XLE +49%
matured Oct 7, 22
Barclays ↗
Jan 14, 21
▼ Underweight
Actual +311% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
-311.4%
stock +311% · XLE +52%
matured Jan 14, 22
Barclays ↗
Aug 30, 19
▼ Underweight · 🎯$9
Price at call : $9.08 — upside -1%
Today : $38.54 — upside -77%
Expected -1% · Actual -73% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
+73.2%
stock -73% · XLE -38%
matured Aug 29, 20
Barclays ↗
Jul 1, 19
▼ Underweight · 🎯$13
Price at call : $12.34 — upside +5%
Today : $38.54 — upside -66%
Expected +5% · Actual -70% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
+69.6%
stock -70% · XLE -41%
matured Jun 30, 20
Barclays ↗
Jan 16, 19
▲ Overweight · 🎯$27
Price at call : $20.02 — upside +35%
Today : $38.54 — upside -30%
Expected +35% · Actual -43% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
-43.3%
stock -43% · XLE -4%
matured Jan 16, 20
Seaport Global ↗
Dec 10, 18
▲ Buy · 🎯$34
Price at call : $18.9 — upside +80%
Today : $38.54 — upside -12%
Expected +80% · Actual -49% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.6% · -8.6% (26 calls)
-48.9%
stock -49% · XLE -5%
matured Dec 10, 19
Barclays ↗
Nov 20, 17
▲ Overweight · 🎯$23
Price at call : $20.05 — upside +15%
Today : $38.54 — upside -40%
Expected +15% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
+5.0%
stock +5% · XLE -2%
matured Nov 20, 18
Barclays ↗
Oct 11, 17
▲ Overweight · 🎯$21
Price at call : $18.63 — upside +13%
Today : $38.54 — upside -46%
Expected +13% · Actual +62% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
+61.7%
stock +62% · XLE +7%
matured Oct 11, 18
Barclays ↗
Aug 8, 17
▲ Overweight · 🎯$20
Price at call : $14.71 — upside +36%
Today : $38.54 — upside -48%
Expected +36% · Actual +87% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
+87.4%
stock +87% · XLE +15%
matured Aug 8, 18
Seaport Global ↗
Aug 30, 16
▲ Buy
Actual -67% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.6% · -8.6% (26 calls)
-66.6%
stock -67% · XLE -10%
matured Aug 30, 17
Barclays ↗
Aug 4, 16
▲ Overweight · 🎯$40
Price at call : $29.3 — upside +37%
Today : $38.54 — upside +4%
Expected +37% · Actual -51% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 42.5% · -0.6% (106 calls)
-50.7%
stock -51% · XLE -4%
matured Aug 4, 17
Seaport Global ↗
Apr 28, 15
▲ Accumulate
Actual -47% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.6% · -8.6% (26 calls)
-47.0%
stock -47% · XLE -18%
matured Apr 27, 16
▲ Accumulate
Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on SM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 34.6% · -8.6% (26 calls)
-24.8%
stock -25% · XLE -21%
matured Dec 2, 15

Frequently asked questions

Should I buy SM Energy Company stock?

This isn't buy advice. For SM Energy Company, the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $46.50 (+21% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (3 calls tracked on SM Energy Company). We show the numbers — you decide.

Is it too late to buy SM Energy Company? How high can it go?

The most bullish analyst target on SM Energy Company is $52.00 (+35% above today's price); the average is $46.50. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on SM Energy Company on our site before trusting it.

Is SM Energy Company still a good buy?

The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 23 analysts have a real record on SM Energy Company, the best hitting 100% over 3 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.

Should you invest in SM Energy Company? The case for and against

The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in SM (and why hesitate).

What has SM Energy Company's past performance been?

Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: SM performance & returns.

What is the best month to buy SM?

The 12 months ranked by the stock's past returns: best & worst month to buy SM.

Other Energy stocks

Go further

JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)