Alcoa (AA) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Alcoa · Materials · ref. ETF XLB · 123 calls · price $51.19
What the company does: Alcoa Corporation stands as a global industrial leader, primarily focused on the production and sale of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products.
📈 Alcoa (AA) stock price
$51.19+60.4% over range
Aug 28, 25low $30.93 · high $83.79Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
56% recommend buying · 9 analysts
📊 JPI status : Alcoa has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 AA price target & analyst consensus — price $51.19
The price target · all analysts combined (9 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 9$80+56.3%
Median target · of 9 targets$55+7.4%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 9$51-0.4%
Current price$51.19
Where these 9 targets sit · versus the current price · 1 target per firm, last 6 months
Above the price
889%
$52 ↔ $80
Below
111%
$51
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: B. Riley Securities — 60% of its targets hit on this sector (47 calls tested). It aims for $80 (+56 %), call made on July 8, 2026, maturing on July 8, 2027 (51 d ago).
The 3 reliable analysts
$68+33 %
The 6 other firms
$54+5.5 %
How to read it: the 3 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 3 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $68 median. “The 6 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 9 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy556%
Hold333%
Sell111%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 AA price target all
All 12 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 12 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on AA most reliable
The case for and against, with the numbers, per those who've been right on the stock.
→ Should you invest in AA? The case for & againstAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Alcoa? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
💰 Alcoa dividend: yield, history & growth › open the full page
0.84%annual yield
That's ~$0.40 per share per year.
📈 Alcoa fundamentals: valuation, margins & growth › open the full page
P/E 10.3Net margin 9.4 %Revenue growth +31.4 %Cheap for the growth
🔎 Detailed analyses
🏛️ Which US Congress members hold Alcoa (AA)?
1 Congress member has disclosed AA buys. Click a highlighted name to see their track record (do they beat the S&P 500?).
Virginia Foxx 7× · 38%
✅ Historical analyst reliability on AA
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macquarie ↗ | 80% | +49.4% | 5 |
| B. Riley Securities ↗ | 62% | +53.7% | 8 |
| UBS ↗ | 56% | +25.5% | 9 |
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 55% | +13.0% | 11 |
| BMO Capital ↗ | 50% | -4.3% | 4 |
| Credit Suisse | 43% | +31.3% | 14 |
| JP Morgan ↗ | 42% | +52.0% | 12 |
| Deutsche Bank ↗ | 42% | +48.3% | 12 |
| Citigroup ↗ | 40% | -2.2% | 15 |
| Morgan Stanley ↗ | 39% | +13.1% | 33 |
See the other 7 firms
| Gabelli & Co. | 0% | -39.4% | 2 |
| Tigress Financial ↗ | 0% | -36.3% | 2 |
| Argus Research ↗ | 20% | -18.5% | 5 |
| Stifel ↗ | 20% | -14.2% | 5 |
| Jefferies ↗ | 30% | -8.2% | 10 |
| Wolfe Research ↗ | 33% | -2.3% | 3 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 36% | -20.4% | 14 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Alcoa would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Alcoa 10 years ago would be worth $2,198 today, i.e. +8%/yr on average. Best year: 2021 (+158%), worst: 2018 (-51%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Alcoa
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,380 | +38% |
| 3 years ago | $1,147 | +15% |
| 5 years ago | $2,262 | +126% |
Return by year (Alcoa)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -2% | $981 (-2%) |
| 2025 | +41% | $1,380 (+38%) |
| 2024 | +11% | $1,534 (+53%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Alcoa
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📋 All analyst calls on AA
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Argus Research ↗
Jul 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $46.17 — upside +19%
Today : $51.19 — upside +7%
🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27
matures : Jul 22, 27
BMO Capital ↗
Jul 17, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $43.48 — gap to target +26%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 27
matures : Jul 17, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $43.48 — gap to target +20%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 27
matures : Jul 17, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 17, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$71
Price at call : $43.48 — upside +63%
Today : $51.19 — upside +39%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 27
matures : Jul 17, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $48.72 — gap to target +13%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
matures : Jul 9, 27
B of A Securities ↗
Jul 9, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$51
Price at call : $48.72 — upside +5%
Today : $51.19 — upside -0%
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
matures : Jul 9, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$72
Price at call : $48.72 — upside +48%
Today : $51.19 — upside +41%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27
matures : Jul 9, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 8, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$53
Price at call : $48.51 — gap to target +9%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 8, 27
matures : Jul 8, 27
See the other 115 calls, newest to oldest
B. Riley Securities ↗
Jul 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $49.01 — upside +63%
Today : $51.19 — upside +56%
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 27
matures : Jul 7, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 1, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$79
Price at call : $48.68 — upside +62%
Today : $51.19 — upside +54%
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 1, 27
matures : Jul 1, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $47.48 — upside +43%
Today : $51.19 — upside +33%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 30, 27
matures : Jun 30, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 25, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$71
Price at call : $54.1 — upside +31%
Today : $51.19 — upside +39%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 27
matures : Jun 25, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $74.57 — upside +7%
Today : $51.19 — upside +56%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
matures : May 22, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
May 7, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$70
Price at call : $63.18 — upside +11%
Today : $51.19 — upside +37%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
matures : May 7, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $73.03 — gap to target -4%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +37%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
matures : Apr 9, 27
BMO Capital ↗
Apr 9, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $73.27 — gap to target +2%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +47%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
matures : Apr 9, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Apr 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$80
Price at call : $73.27 — upside +9%
Today : $51.19 — upside +56%
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
matures : Apr 9, 27
B. Riley Securities ↗
Apr 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$96
Price at call : $71.76 — upside +34%
Today : $51.19 — upside +88%
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
matures : Apr 7, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$76
Price at call : $65.42 — upside +16%
Today : $51.19 — upside +48%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.4% · +0.3% (152 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 16, 27
matures : Mar 16, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $63.59 — gap to target +7%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +33%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 13, 27
matures : Mar 13, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $63.59 — gap to target +10%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +37%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
matures : Mar 12, 27
Freedom Broker
Jan 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $56.81 — upside +36%
Today : $51.19 — upside +50%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 30, 27
matures : Jan 30, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jan 27, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $59.66 — gap to target +7%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +25%
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 27, 27
matures : Jan 27, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 23, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $58.55 — gap to target +9%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +25%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 23, 27
matures : Jan 23, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 13, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $65.37 — gap to target +9%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target +39%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
matures : Jan 13, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $61.09 — upside -18%
Today : $51.19 — upside -2%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
matures : Jan 8, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Dec 23, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$58
Price at call : $53.63 — upside +8%
Today : $51.19 — upside +13%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 23, 26
matures : Dec 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $53.72 — upside +1%
Today : $51.19 — upside +5%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.4% · +0.3% (152 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 19, 26
matures : Dec 19, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $45.49 — gap to target +6%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 12, 26
matures : Dec 12, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $44.46 — gap to target +1%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target -12%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 26
matures : Dec 5, 26
Freedom Broker
Nov 7, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $38.79 — upside +3%
Today : $51.19 — upside -22%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 7, 26
matures : Nov 7, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $39.42 — gap to target -11%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
matures : Oct 23, 26
BMO Capital ↗
Oct 23, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $40.14 — gap to target -8%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target -28%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
matures : Oct 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$41
Price at call : $38.96 — upside +5%
Today : $51.19 — upside -20%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50% · +15.0% (4 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
matures : Oct 17, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$34
Price at call : $37 — gap to target -8%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target -34%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
matures : Oct 9, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 8, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$42.5
Price at call : $37 — upside +15%
Today : $51.19 — upside -17%
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 26
matures : Oct 8, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 8, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$40
Price at call : $37.06 — upside +8%
Today : $51.19 — upside -22%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 40.3% · -5.0% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 26
matures : Oct 8, 26
Freedom Broker
Sep 30, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $33.85 — upside +33%
Today : $51.19 — upside -12%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 30, 26
matures : Sep 30, 26
B. Riley Securities ↗
Sep 23, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $31.23 — upside +28%
Today : $51.19 — upside -22%
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 23, 26
matures : Sep 23, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$34
Price at call : $32.63 — gap to target +4%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target -34%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 19, 26
matures : Sep 19, 26
B. Riley Securities ↗
Sep 9, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $30.93 — upside +23%
Today : $51.19 — upside -26%
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 9, 26
matures : Sep 9, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 18, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$38
Price at call : $30.33 — upside +25%
Today : $51.19 — upside -26%
Expected +25% · Actual +43% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
+43.4%
stock +43% · XLB +11%
matured Jul 18, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$27
Price at call : $30.33 — gap to target -11%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target -47%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26
matures : Jul 17, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Jul 17, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$27
Price at call : $29.39 — upside -8%
Today : $51.19 — upside -47%
Expected -8% · Actual +50% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
-49.6%
stock +50% · XLB +12%
matured Jul 17, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 15, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$40
Price at call : $28.56 — upside +40%
Today : $51.19 — upside -22%
Expected +40% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
+64.0%
stock +64% · XLB +14%
matured Jul 15, 26
B. Riley Securities ↗
Jul 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$37
Price at call : $28.56 — upside +30%
Today : $51.19 — upside -28%
Expected +30% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
+64.0%
stock +64% · XLB +14%
matured Jul 15, 26
B. Riley Securities ↗
Jun 24, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $28.17 — upside +35%
Today : $51.19 — upside -26%
Expected +35% · Actual +88% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
+88.4%
stock +88% · XLB +19%
matured Jun 24, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jun 22, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$37.5
Price at call : $28.71 — upside +31%
Today : $51.19 — upside -27%
Expected +31% · Actual +92% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
+91.8%
stock +92% · XLB +17%
matured Jun 22, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$28
Price at call : $28.35 — gap to target -1%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target -45%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · +2.2% (127 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 18, 26
matures : Jun 18, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$31
Price at call : $28.67 — gap to target +8%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target -39%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.6% · -7.0% (101 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 26
matures : May 15, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Apr 21, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$35
Price at call : $24.32 — upside +44%
Today : $51.19 — upside -32%
Expected +44% · Actual +182% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
+181.8%
stock +182% · XLB +27%
matured Apr 21, 26
B. Riley Securities ↗
Apr 17, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$43
Price at call : $23.3 — upside +85%
Today : $51.19 — upside -16%
Expected +85% · Actual +186% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
+185.5%
stock +186% · XLB +31%
matured Apr 17, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Apr 9, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$39
Price at call : $23.75 — upside +64%
Today : $51.19 — upside -24%
Expected +64% · Actual +207% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
+207.5%
stock +207% · XLB +33%
matured Apr 9, 26
B. Riley Securities ↗
Apr 8, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$44
Price at call : $25.86 — upside +70%
Today : $51.19 — upside -14%
Expected +70% · Actual +183% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
+183.3%
stock +183% · XLB +28%
matured Apr 8, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Apr 8, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$26
Price at call : $22.57 — upside +15%
Today : $51.19 — upside -49%
Expected +15% · Actual +218% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
-217.9%
stock +218% · XLB +39%
matured Apr 8, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jan 28, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$51
Price at call : $35.13 — upside +45%
Today : $51.19 — upside -0%
Expected +45% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
+72.6%
stock +73% · XLB +13%
matured Jan 28, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $36.49 — upside +23%
Today : $51.19 — upside -12%
Expected +23% · Actual +74% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
+74.2%
stock +74% · XLB +13%
matured Jan 6, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Dec 11, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$55
Price at call : $39.62 — upside +39%
Today : $51.19 — upside +7%
Expected +39% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
+16.5%
stock +16% · XLB +0%
matured Dec 11, 25
Argus Research ↗
Oct 23, 24
▲ Buy
Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)
-4.2%
stock -4% · XLB -7%
matured Oct 23, 25
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 18, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$49
Price at call : $41.71 — upside +17%
Today : $51.19 — upside -4%
Expected +17% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
-6.6%
stock -7% · XLB -9%
matured Oct 18, 25
B. Riley Securities ↗
Oct 17, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $40.35 — upside +24%
Today : $51.19 — upside -2%
Expected +24% · Actual -11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
-10.9%
stock -11% · XLB -10%
matured Oct 17, 25
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 22, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$48
Price at call : $33.9 — upside +42%
Today : $51.19 — upside -6%
Expected +42% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
-5.3%
stock -5% · XLB +2%
matured Jul 22, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $38.46 — upside +43%
Today : $51.19 — upside +7%
Expected +43% · Actual -18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-17.9%
stock -18% · XLB +4%
matured Jul 9, 25
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jun 21, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $40.4 — upside +24%
Today : $51.19 — upside -2%
Expected +24% · Actual -29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
-28.9%
stock -29% · XLB -3%
matured Jun 21, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $35.53 — upside +35%
Today : $51.19 — upside -6%
Expected +35% · Actual -34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-34.4%
stock -34% · XLB -11%
matured Apr 18, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $36.57 — upside +23%
Today : $51.19 — upside -12%
Expected +23% · Actual -32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-31.6%
stock -32% · XLB -9%
matured Apr 12, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $30.52 — upside +31%
Today : $51.19 — upside -22%
Expected +31% · Actual +26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
+26.0%
stock +26% · XLB +4%
matured Dec 14, 24
Morgan Stanley ↗
Dec 7, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$27
Price at call : $24.94 — upside +8%
Today : $51.19 — upside -47%
Expected +8% · Actual +70% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
-70.4%
stock +70% · XLB +13%
matured Dec 6, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$29
Price at call : $24.94 — gap to target +16%
Today : $51.19 — gap to target -43%
🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50% · +15.0% (4 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 6, 24
matures : Dec 6, 24
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 24, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$27.5
Price at call : $23.44 — upside +17%
Today : $51.19 — upside -46%
Expected +17% · Actual +79% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 45.5% · +3.9% (88 calls)
-78.7%
stock +79% · XLB +27%
matured Oct 23, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$40
Price at call : $26.53 — upside +51%
Today : $51.19 — upside -22%
Expected +51% · Actual +47% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
+47.5%
stock +47% · XLB +23%
matured Oct 3, 24
Argus Research ↗
Jul 24, 23
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 24
matures : Jul 23, 24
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jul 10, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$46
Price at call : $34.69 — upside +33%
Today : $51.19 — upside -10%
Expected +33% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
+10.9%
stock +11% · XLB +8%
matured Jul 9, 24
Goldman Sachs ↗
Oct 13, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $40.88 — upside +25%
Today : $51.19 — upside -0%
Expected +25% · Actual -35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
-35.0%
stock -35% · XLB +10%
matured Oct 13, 23
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jul 14, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $43.06 — upside +109%
Today : $51.19 — upside +76%
Expected +109% · Actual -17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
-17.4%
stock -17% · XLB +16%
matured Jul 14, 23
Argus Research ↗
Mar 21, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$95
Price at call : $90.69 — upside +5%
Today : $51.19 — upside +86%
Expected +5% · Actual -54% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)
-53.8%
stock -54% · XLB -10%
matured Mar 21, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$98
Price at call : $79.52 — upside +23%
Today : $51.19 — upside +91%
Expected +23% · Actual -40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-39.8%
stock -40% · XLB -3%
matured Mar 9, 23
Goldman Sachs ↗
Feb 16, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$88
Price at call : $77.84 — upside +13%
Today : $51.19 — upside +72%
Expected +13% · Actual -37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
-37.4%
stock -37% · XLB -4%
matured Feb 16, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $74.04 — upside +22%
Today : $51.19 — upside +76%
Expected +22% · Actual -35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-34.6%
stock -35% · XLB -2%
matured Feb 15, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $47.08 — upside +27%
Today : $51.19 — upside +17%
Expected +27% · Actual -20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-19.8%
stock -20% · XLB -16%
matured Nov 2, 22
Argus Research ↗
Sep 15, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$58
Price at call : $51.68 — upside +12%
Today : $51.19 — upside +13%
Expected +12% · Actual -17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)
-16.5%
stock -17% · XLB -12%
matured Sep 15, 22
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jul 19, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $31.62 — upside +61%
Today : $51.19 — upside -0%
Expected +61% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
+42.0%
stock +42% · XLB -6%
matured Jul 19, 22
Deutsche Bank ↗
Mar 17, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $31.81 — upside +13%
Today : $51.19 — upside -30%
Expected +13% · Actual +154% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
+153.8%
stock +154% · XLB +9%
matured Mar 17, 22
Goldman Sachs ↗
Mar 3, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $30.83 — upside +4%
Today : $51.19 — upside -37%
Expected +4% · Actual +169% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
+168.9%
stock +169% · XLB +11%
matured Mar 3, 22
B of A Securities ↗
Sep 8, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$17
Price at call : $14.23 — upside +19%
Today : $51.19 — upside -67%
Expected +19% · Actual +221% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
+221.4%
stock +221% · XLB +33%
matured Sep 8, 21
Deutsche Bank ↗
Mar 20, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$10
Price at call : $5.48 — upside +82%
Today : $51.19 — upside -80%
Expected +82% · Actual +455% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
+455.3%
stock +455% · XLB +91%
matured Mar 20, 21
Deutsche Bank ↗
Jan 17, 20
▲ Buy
Actual +31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
+30.5%
stock +31% · XLB +24%
matured Jan 16, 21
B of A Securities ↗
Jan 16, 20
▼ Underperform · 🎯$20
Price at call : $17.69 — upside +13%
Today : $51.19 — upside -61%
Expected +13% · Actual +31% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
-30.5%
stock +31% · XLB +24%
matured Jan 15, 21
B. Riley Securities ↗
Dec 20, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$25
Price at call : $21.48 — upside +16%
Today : $51.19 — upside -51%
Expected +16% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
+2.9%
stock +3% · XLB +17%
matured Dec 19, 20
B of A Securities ↗
Nov 13, 19
▼ Underperform
Actual -26% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
+26.4%
stock -26% · XLB +13%
matured Nov 12, 20
B. Riley Securities ↗
Oct 17, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $20.3 — upside +28%
Today : $51.19 — upside -49%
Expected +28% · Actual -38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
-37.8%
stock -38% · XLB +15%
matured Oct 16, 20
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jan 14, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $28.79 — upside +32%
Today : $51.19 — upside -26%
Expected +32% · Actual -29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
-29.3%
stock -29% · XLB +16%
matured Jan 14, 20
B. Riley Securities ↗
Sep 12, 18
▲ Buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $42.02 — upside +19%
Today : $51.19 — upside -2%
Expected +19% · Actual -46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 40.4% · +8.9% (47 calls)
-46.3%
stock -46% · XLB -1%
matured Sep 12, 19
Deutsche Bank ↗
Jul 24, 18
▲ Buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $42.49 — upside +29%
Today : $51.19 — upside +7%
Expected +29% · Actual -45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
-44.5%
stock -45% · XLB +1%
matured Jul 24, 19
▲ Buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $53.07 — upside +22%
Today : $51.19 — upside +27%
Expected +22% · Actual -51% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
-51.1%
stock -51% · XLB -1%
matured May 2, 19
Argus Research ↗
Apr 20, 18
▲ Buy · 🎯$69
Price at call : $60.01 — upside +15%
Today : $51.19 — upside +35%
Expected +15% · Actual -53% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)
-53.1%
stock -53% · XLB -3%
matured Apr 20, 19
B of A Securities ↗
Apr 19, 18
▲ Buy · 🎯$69
Price at call : $60.23 — upside +15%
Today : $51.19 — upside +35%
Expected +15% · Actual -53% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
-53.3%
stock -53% · XLB -3%
matured Apr 19, 19
B of A Securities ↗
Oct 4, 17
▲ Buy · 🎯$29
Price at call : $48.25 — upside -40%
Today : $51.19 — upside -43%
Expected -40% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
-12.8%
stock -13% · XLB -1%
matured Oct 4, 18
Deutsche Bank ↗
Sep 12, 17
▲ Buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $45 — upside +33%
Today : $51.19 — upside +17%
Expected +33% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
-6.6%
stock -7% · XLB +5%
matured Sep 12, 18
Goldman Sachs ↗
Mar 6, 17
▲ Buy
Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
+27.2%
stock +27% · XLB +15%
matured Mar 6, 18
B of A Securities ↗
Feb 3, 17
▲ Buy
Actual +31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
+31.5%
stock +31% · XLB +12%
matured Feb 3, 18
▲ Outperform · 🎯$39
Price at call : $30.16 — upside +29%
Today : $51.19 — upside -24%
Expected +29% · Actual +63% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 61.9% · +18.1% (21 calls)
+63.3%
stock +63% · XLB +19%
matured Dec 20, 17
Argus Research ↗
Dec 9, 16
▲ Buy
Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)
+35.2%
stock +35% · XLB +16%
matured Dec 9, 17
Deutsche Bank ↗
Dec 1, 16
▼ Sell · 🎯$26
Price at call : $28.88 — upside -10%
Today : $51.19 — upside -49%
Expected -10% · Actual +44% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
-44.2%
stock +44% · XLB +18%
matured Dec 1, 17
B of A Securities ↗
Nov 2, 16
▼ Underperform
Actual +107% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
-107.2%
stock +107% · XLB +27%
matured Nov 2, 17
Goldman Sachs ↗
Nov 2, 16
▼ Sell
Actual +107% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
-107.2%
stock +107% · XLB +27%
matured Nov 2, 17
Deutsche Bank ↗
Oct 12, 16
▲ Buy
Actual +119% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
+118.9%
stock +119% · XLB +25%
matured Oct 12, 17
B of A Securities ↗
May 23, 16
▲ Buy
Actual +49% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
+49.1%
stock +49% · XLB +12%
matured May 23, 17
▲ Outperform · 🎯$28.836
Price at call : $22.83 — upside +26%
Today : $51.19 — upside -44%
Expected +26% · Actual +47% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 61.9% · +18.1% (21 calls)
+47.4%
stock +47% · XLB +17%
matured Apr 6, 17
▲ Outperform · 🎯$26.433
Price at call : $16.58 — upside +59%
Today : $51.19 — upside -48%
Expected +59% · Actual +97% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 61.9% · +18.1% (21 calls)
+96.9%
stock +97% · XLB +32%
matured Jan 14, 17
Deutsche Bank ↗
Jan 12, 16
▲ Buy · 🎯$31.239
Price at call : $17.13 — upside +82%
Today : $51.19 — upside -39%
Expected +82% · Actual +93% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
+92.8%
stock +93% · XLB +32%
matured Jan 11, 17
▲ Outperform · 🎯$31.239
Price at call : $19.39 — upside +61%
Today : $51.19 — upside -39%
Expected +61% · Actual +52% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 61.9% · +18.1% (21 calls)
+52.0%
stock +52% · XLB +26%
matured Jan 7, 17
Deutsche Bank ↗
Oct 5, 15
▲ Buy · 🎯$33.642
Price at call : $26.38 — upside +28%
Today : $51.19 — upside -34%
Expected +28% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
-5.3%
stock -5% · XLB +10%
matured Oct 4, 16
B of A Securities ↗
Sep 8, 15
▲ Buy · 🎯$28.836
Price at call : $23.36 — upside +23%
Today : $51.19 — upside -44%
Expected +23% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
+5.0%
stock +5% · XLB +14%
matured Sep 7, 16
Deutsche Bank ↗
Mar 5, 15
▲ Buy · 🎯$45.6571
Price at call : $34.56 — upside +32%
Today : $51.19 — upside -11%
Expected +32% · Actual -33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
-33.5%
stock -33% · XLB -15%
matured Mar 4, 16
Deutsche Bank ↗
Oct 27, 14
▲ Buy · 🎯$48.0601
Price at call : $39.36 — upside +22%
Today : $51.19 — upside -6%
Expected +22% · Actual -47% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
-46.7%
stock -47% · XLB -6%
matured Oct 27, 15
Tigress Financial ↗
Oct 10, 14
▲ Strong Buy
Actual -30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 overall : 50% · +8.5% (34 calls)
-30.4%
stock -30% · XLB -3%
matured Oct 10, 15
B of A Securities ↗
Sep 30, 14
▲ Buy · 🎯$43.2541
Price at call : $38.66 — upside +12%
Today : $51.19 — upside -16%
Expected +12% · Actual -40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.6% · -0.9% (148 calls)
-40.0%
stock -40% · XLB -20%
matured Sep 30, 15
Tigress Financial ↗
Sep 23, 14
▲ Buy
Actual -42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 overall : 50% · +8.5% (34 calls)
-42.3%
stock -42% · XLB -21%
matured Sep 23, 15
Goldman Sachs ↗
Feb 11, 14
▲ Buy · 🎯$36.045
Price at call : $27.08 — upside +33%
Today : $51.19 — upside -30%
Expected +33% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
+38.9%
stock +39% · XLB +12%
matured Feb 11, 15
Goldman Sachs ↗
Nov 25, 13
▲ Buy · 🎯$26.433
Price at call : $23.04 — upside +15%
Today : $51.19 — upside -48%
Expected +15% · Actual +81% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
+81.1%
stock +81% · XLB +13%
matured Nov 25, 14
Deutsche Bank ↗
Oct 2, 13
▼ Sell · 🎯$13.2165
Price at call : $19.27 — upside -31%
Today : $51.19 — upside -74%
Expected -31% · Actual +92% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
-91.5%
stock +92% · XLB +14%
matured Oct 2, 14
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Alcoa stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Alcoa, the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $55.00 (+7% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 80% of the time (5 calls tracked on Alcoa). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Alcoa? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Alcoa is $80.00 (+56% above today's price); the average is $55.00. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Alcoa on our site before trusting it.
Is Alcoa still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 17 analysts have a real record on Alcoa, the best hitting 80% over 5 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
Will Alcoa stock recover (go back up)?
It's down from its high. We answer with the numbers — the analysts' 12-month target and what happened after its past drops: will AA stock recover (go back up)?
Should you invest in Alcoa? The case for and against
The arguments for and against, one by one, from the numbers: why invest in AA (and why hesitate).
What has Alcoa's past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: AA performance & returns.
Does Alcoa pay a dividend?
Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: AA's dividend.
What is the best month to buy AA?
The 12 months ranked by the stock's past returns: best & worst month to buy AA.
Are insiders buying AA stock?
Executives' and large holders' buys and sells, decoded: insider buying on AA.
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