Alcoa (AA) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability

Oct 7, 26

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50

Price at call : $42.83 — gap to target +17%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +21%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 7, 27

Oct 7, 26

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50

Price at call : $42.83 — gap to target +17%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +21%

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 7, 27

Sep 22, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$76

Price at call : $44.02 — upside +73%

Today : $41.49 — upside +83%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall

in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 22, 27

Sep 18, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$60

Price at call : $44.43 — upside +35%

Today : $41.49 — upside +45%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 18, 27

Jul 22, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$55

Price at call : $46.17 — upside +19%

Today : $41.49 — upside +33%

🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 27

BMO Capital ↗

Jul 17, 26

■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55

Price at call : $43.48 — gap to target +26%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +33%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 27

Jul 17, 26

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$52

Price at call : $43.48 — gap to target +20%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +25%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 27

Jul 17, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$71

Price at call : $43.48 — upside +63%

Today : $41.49 — upside +71%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 27

See the other 117 calls, newest to oldest

Jul 9, 26

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55

Price at call : $48.72 — gap to target +13%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +33%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27

Jul 9, 26

▼ Underperform · 🎯$51

Price at call : $48.72 — upside +5%

Today : $41.49 — upside +23%

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27

Jul 9, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$72

Price at call : $48.72 — upside +48%

Today : $41.49 — upside +74%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 27

Jul 8, 26

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$53

Price at call : $48.51 — gap to target +9%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +28%

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 8, 27

Jul 7, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$80

Price at call : $49.01 — upside +63%

Today : $41.49 — upside +93%

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 27

Jul 1, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$79

Price at call : $48.68 — upside +62%

Today : $41.49 — upside +90%

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 1, 27

Jun 30, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$68

Price at call : $47.48 — upside +43%

Today : $41.49 — upside +64%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 42.2% · -6.8% (102 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 30, 27

Jun 25, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$71

Price at call : $54.1 — upside +31%

Today : $41.49 — upside +71%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 27

Jun 8, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$82

Price at call : $72.41 — upside +13%

Today : $41.49 — upside +98%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 8, 27

May 22, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$80

Price at call : $74.57 — upside +7%

Today : $41.49 — upside +93%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 42.2% · -6.8% (102 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27

May 7, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$70

Price at call : $63.18 — upside +11%

Today : $41.49 — upside +69%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27

Apr 9, 26

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70

Price at call : $73.03 — gap to target -4%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +69%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27

BMO Capital ↗

Apr 9, 26

■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75

Price at call : $73.27 — gap to target +2%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +81%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27

Apr 9, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$80

Price at call : $73.27 — upside +9%

Today : $41.49 — upside +93%

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27

Apr 7, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$96

Price at call : $71.76 — upside +34%

Today : $41.49 — upside +131%

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27

Citigroup ↗

Mar 16, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$76

Price at call : $65.42 — upside +16%

Today : $41.49 — upside +83%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.8% · +0.0% (157 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 16, 27

Mar 13, 26

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68

Price at call : $63.59 — gap to target +7%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +64%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 13, 27

Mar 12, 26

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68

Price at call : $63.59 — gap to target +7%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +64%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27

Mar 12, 26

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70

Price at call : $63.59 — gap to target +10%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +69%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 42.2% · -6.8% (102 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27

Jan 30, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$77

Price at call : $56.81 — upside +36%

Today : $41.49 — upside +86%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 30, 27

Jan 27, 26

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64

Price at call : $59.66 — gap to target +7%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +54%

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 27, 27

Jan 23, 26

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64

Price at call : $58.55 — gap to target +9%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +54%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 23, 27

Jan 13, 26

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$71

Price at call : $65.37 — gap to target +9%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +71%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27

Jan 8, 26

▼ Underweight · 🎯$50

Price at call : $61.09 — upside -18%

Today : $41.49 — upside +21%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27

Dec 23, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$58

Price at call : $53.63 — upside +8%

Today : $41.49 — upside +40%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 23, 26

Citigroup ↗

Dec 19, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$54

Price at call : $53.72 — upside +1%

Today : $41.49 — upside +30%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.8% · +0.0% (157 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 19, 26

Dec 12, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$48

Price at call : $45.49 — gap to target +6%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +16%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 42.2% · -6.8% (102 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 12, 26

Dec 5, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45

Price at call : $44.46 — gap to target +1%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target +8%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 26

Nov 7, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$40

Price at call : $38.79 — upside +3%

Today : $41.49 — upside -4%

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall

in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 7, 26

Oct 23, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35

Price at call : $39.42 — gap to target -11%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target -16%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26

BMO Capital ↗

Oct 23, 25

■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37

Price at call : $40.14 — gap to target -8%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target -11%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.8% · +6.4% (116 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26

HSBC ↗

Oct 17, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$41

Price at call : $38.96 — upside +5%

Today : $41.49 — upside -1%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50% · +15.0% (4 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26

Oct 9, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$34

Price at call : $37 — gap to target -8%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target -18%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26

Oct 8, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$42.5

Price at call : $37 — upside +15%

Today : $41.49 — upside +2%

Expected +15% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

+14.1%

stock +14% · XLB +11%

matured Oct 8, 26

Oct 8, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$40

Price at call : $37.06 — upside +8%

Today : $41.49 — upside -4%

Expected +8% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 40.6% · -5.2% (187 calls)

+15.6%

stock +16% · XLB +10%

matured Oct 8, 26

Sep 30, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$45

Price at call : $33.85 — upside +33%

Today : $41.49 — upside +8%

Expected +33% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall

+24.3%

stock +24% · XLB +9%

matured Sep 30, 26

Sep 23, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$40

Price at call : $31.23 — upside +28%

Today : $41.49 — upside -4%

Expected +28% · Actual +37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

+36.7%

stock +37% · XLB +12%

matured Sep 23, 26

Sep 19, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$34

Price at call : $32.63 — gap to target +4%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target -18%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 42.2% · -6.8% (102 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 19, 26

Sep 9, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$38

Price at call : $30.93 — upside +23%

Today : $41.49 — upside -8%

Expected +23% · Actual +56% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

+56.2%

stock +56% · XLB +12%

matured Sep 9, 26

Jul 18, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$38

Price at call : $30.33 — upside +25%

Today : $41.49 — upside -8%

Expected +25% · Actual +43% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

+43.4%

stock +43% · XLB +11%

matured Jul 18, 26

Jul 17, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$27

Price at call : $30.33 — gap to target -11%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target -35%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.7% · +2.3% (128 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26

Jul 17, 25

▼ Underperform · 🎯$27

Price at call : $29.39 — upside -8%

Today : $41.49 — upside -35%

Expected -8% · Actual +50% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

-49.6%

stock +50% · XLB +12%

matured Jul 17, 26

Jul 15, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$40

Price at call : $28.56 — upside +40%

Today : $41.49 — upside -4%

Expected +40% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

+64.0%

stock +64% · XLB +14%

matured Jul 15, 26

Jul 15, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$37

Price at call : $28.56 — upside +30%

Today : $41.49 — upside -11%

Expected +30% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

+64.0%

stock +64% · XLB +14%

matured Jul 15, 26

Jun 24, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$38

Price at call : $28.17 — upside +35%

Today : $41.49 — upside -8%

Expected +35% · Actual +88% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

+88.4%

stock +88% · XLB +19%

matured Jun 24, 26

Jun 22, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$37.5

Price at call : $28.71 — upside +31%

Today : $41.49 — upside -10%

Expected +31% · Actual +92% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

+91.8%

stock +92% · XLB +17%

matured Jun 22, 26

Apr 21, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$35

Price at call : $24.32 — upside +44%

Today : $41.49 — upside -16%

Expected +44% · Actual +182% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

+181.8%

stock +182% · XLB +27%

matured Apr 21, 26

Apr 17, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$43

Price at call : $23.3 — upside +85%

Today : $41.49 — upside +4%

Expected +85% · Actual +186% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

+185.5%

stock +186% · XLB +31%

matured Apr 17, 26

Apr 9, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$39

Price at call : $23.75 — upside +64%

Today : $41.49 — upside -6%

Expected +64% · Actual +207% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

+207.5%

stock +207% · XLB +33%

matured Apr 9, 26

Apr 8, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$44

Price at call : $25.86 — upside +70%

Today : $41.49 — upside +6%

Expected +70% · Actual +183% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

+183.3%

stock +183% · XLB +28%

matured Apr 8, 26

Apr 8, 25

▼ Underperform · 🎯$26

Price at call : $22.57 — upside +15%

Today : $41.49 — upside -37%

Expected +15% · Actual +218% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

-217.9%

stock +218% · XLB +39%

matured Apr 8, 26

Jan 28, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$51

Price at call : $35.13 — upside +45%

Today : $41.49 — upside +23%

Expected +45% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

+72.6%

stock +73% · XLB +13%

matured Jan 28, 26

Jan 6, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$45

Price at call : $36.49 — upside +23%

Today : $41.49 — upside +8%

Expected +23% · Actual +74% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

+74.2%

stock +74% · XLB +13%

matured Jan 6, 26

Dec 11, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$55

Price at call : $39.62 — upside +39%

Today : $41.49 — upside +33%

Expected +39% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

+16.5%

stock +16% · XLB +0%

matured Dec 11, 25

Oct 23, 24

▲ Buy

Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)

-4.2%

stock -4% · XLB -7%

matured Oct 23, 25

Oct 18, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$49

Price at call : $41.71 — upside +17%

Today : $41.49 — upside +18%

Expected +17% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

-6.6%

stock -7% · XLB -9%

matured Oct 18, 25

Oct 17, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$50

Price at call : $40.35 — upside +24%

Today : $41.49 — upside +21%

Expected +24% · Actual -11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

-10.9%

stock -11% · XLB -10%

matured Oct 17, 25

Jul 22, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$48

Price at call : $33.9 — upside +42%

Today : $41.49 — upside +16%

Expected +42% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

-5.3%

stock -5% · XLB +2%

matured Jul 22, 25

Jul 9, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$55

Price at call : $38.46 — upside +43%

Today : $41.49 — upside +33%

Expected +43% · Actual -18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

-17.9%

stock -18% · XLB +4%

matured Jul 9, 25

Jun 21, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$50

Price at call : $40.4 — upside +24%

Today : $41.49 — upside +21%

Expected +24% · Actual -29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

-28.9%

stock -29% · XLB -3%

matured Jun 21, 25

Apr 18, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$48

Price at call : $35.53 — upside +35%

Today : $41.49 — upside +16%

Expected +35% · Actual -34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

-34.4%

stock -34% · XLB -11%

matured Apr 18, 25

Apr 12, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$45

Price at call : $36.57 — upside +23%

Today : $41.49 — upside +8%

Expected +23% · Actual -32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

-31.6%

stock -32% · XLB -9%

matured Apr 12, 25

Dec 15, 23

▲ Buy · 🎯$40

Price at call : $30.52 — upside +31%

Today : $41.49 — upside -4%

Expected +31% · Actual +26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

+26.0%

stock +26% · XLB +4%

matured Dec 14, 24

Dec 7, 23

▼ Underweight · 🎯$27

Price at call : $24.94 — upside +8%

Today : $41.49 — upside -35%

Expected +8% · Actual +70% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 46.1% · +3.8% (89 calls)

-70.4%

stock +70% · XLB +13%

matured Dec 6, 24

HSBC ↗

Dec 7, 23

■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$29

Price at call : $24.94 — gap to target +16%

Today : $41.49 — gap to target -30%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50% · +15.0% (4 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 6, 24

Oct 4, 23

▲ Buy · 🎯$40

Price at call : $26.53 — upside +51%

Today : $41.49 — upside -4%

Expected +51% · Actual +47% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

+47.5%

stock +47% · XLB +23%

matured Oct 3, 24

Jul 10, 23

▲ Buy · 🎯$46

Price at call : $34.69 — upside +33%

Today : $41.49 — upside +11%

Expected +33% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

+10.9%

stock +11% · XLB +8%

matured Jul 9, 24

Oct 13, 22

▲ Buy · 🎯$51

Price at call : $40.88 — upside +25%

Today : $41.49 — upside +23%

Expected +25% · Actual -35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

-35.0%

stock -35% · XLB +10%

matured Oct 13, 23

Jul 14, 22

▲ Buy · 🎯$90

Price at call : $43.06 — upside +109%

Today : $41.49 — upside +117%

Expected +109% · Actual -17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

-17.4%

stock -17% · XLB +16%

matured Jul 14, 23

Mar 21, 22

▲ Buy · 🎯$95

Price at call : $90.69 — upside +5%

Today : $41.49 — upside +129%

Expected +5% · Actual -54% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)

-53.8%

stock -54% · XLB -10%

matured Mar 21, 23

Mar 9, 22

▲ Buy · 🎯$98

Price at call : $79.52 — upside +23%

Today : $41.49 — upside +136%

Expected +23% · Actual -40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

-39.8%

stock -40% · XLB -3%

matured Mar 9, 23

Feb 16, 22

▲ Buy · 🎯$88

Price at call : $77.84 — upside +13%

Today : $41.49 — upside +112%

Expected +13% · Actual -37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

-37.4%

stock -37% · XLB -4%

matured Feb 16, 23

Feb 15, 22

▲ Buy · 🎯$90

Price at call : $74.04 — upside +22%

Today : $41.49 — upside +117%

Expected +22% · Actual -35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

-34.6%

stock -35% · XLB -2%

matured Feb 15, 23

Nov 2, 21

▲ Buy · 🎯$60

Price at call : $47.08 — upside +27%

Today : $41.49 — upside +45%

Expected +27% · Actual -20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

-19.8%

stock -20% · XLB -16%

matured Nov 2, 22

Sep 15, 21

▲ Buy · 🎯$58

Price at call : $51.68 — upside +12%

Today : $41.49 — upside +40%

Expected +12% · Actual -17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)

-16.5%

stock -17% · XLB -12%

matured Sep 15, 22

Jul 19, 21

▲ Buy · 🎯$51

Price at call : $31.62 — upside +61%

Today : $41.49 — upside +23%

Expected +61% · Actual +42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

+42.0%

stock +42% · XLB -6%

matured Jul 19, 22

Mar 17, 21

▲ Buy · 🎯$36

Price at call : $31.81 — upside +13%

Today : $41.49 — upside -13%

Expected +13% · Actual +154% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

+153.8%

stock +154% · XLB +9%

matured Mar 17, 22

Mar 3, 21

▲ Buy · 🎯$32

Price at call : $30.83 — upside +4%

Today : $41.49 — upside -23%

Expected +4% · Actual +169% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

+168.9%

stock +169% · XLB +11%

matured Mar 3, 22

Sep 8, 20

▲ Buy · 🎯$17

Price at call : $14.23 — upside +19%

Today : $41.49 — upside -59%

Expected +19% · Actual +221% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

+221.4%

stock +221% · XLB +33%

matured Sep 8, 21

Mar 20, 20

▲ Buy · 🎯$10

Price at call : $5.48 — upside +82%

Today : $41.49 — upside -76%

Expected +82% · Actual +455% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

+455.3%

stock +455% · XLB +91%

matured Mar 20, 21

Jan 17, 20

▲ Buy

Actual +31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

+30.5%

stock +31% · XLB +24%

matured Jan 16, 21

Jan 16, 20

▼ Underperform · 🎯$20

Price at call : $17.69 — upside +13%

Today : $41.49 — upside -52%

Expected +13% · Actual +31% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

-30.5%

stock +31% · XLB +24%

matured Jan 15, 21

Dec 20, 19

▲ Buy · 🎯$25

Price at call : $21.48 — upside +16%

Today : $41.49 — upside -40%

Expected +16% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

+2.9%

stock +3% · XLB +17%

matured Dec 19, 20

Nov 13, 19

▼ Underperform

Actual -26% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

+26.4%

stock -26% · XLB +13%

matured Nov 12, 20

Oct 17, 19

▲ Buy · 🎯$26

Price at call : $20.3 — upside +28%

Today : $41.49 — upside -37%

Expected +28% · Actual -38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

-37.8%

stock -38% · XLB +15%

matured Oct 16, 20

Jan 14, 19

▲ Buy · 🎯$38

Price at call : $28.79 — upside +32%

Today : $41.49 — upside -8%

Expected +32% · Actual -29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

-29.3%

stock -29% · XLB +16%

matured Jan 14, 20

Sep 12, 18

▲ Buy · 🎯$50

Price at call : $42.02 — upside +19%

Today : $41.49 — upside +21%

Expected +19% · Actual -46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.9% · +10.0% (49 calls)

-46.3%

stock -46% · XLB -1%

matured Sep 12, 19

Jul 24, 18

▲ Buy · 🎯$55

Price at call : $42.49 — upside +29%

Today : $41.49 — upside +33%

Expected +29% · Actual -45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

-44.5%

stock -45% · XLB +1%

matured Jul 24, 19

May 2, 18

▲ Buy · 🎯$65

Price at call : $53.07 — upside +22%

Today : $41.49 — upside +57%

Expected +22% · Actual -51% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

-51.1%

stock -51% · XLB -1%

matured May 2, 19

Apr 20, 18

▲ Buy · 🎯$69

Price at call : $60.01 — upside +15%

Today : $41.49 — upside +66%

Expected +15% · Actual -53% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)

-53.1%

stock -53% · XLB -3%

matured Apr 20, 19

Apr 19, 18

▲ Buy · 🎯$69

Price at call : $60.23 — upside +15%

Today : $41.49 — upside +66%

Expected +15% · Actual -53% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

-53.3%

stock -53% · XLB -3%

matured Apr 19, 19

Oct 4, 17

▲ Buy · 🎯$29

Price at call : $48.25 — upside -40%

Today : $41.49 — upside -30%

Expected -40% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

-12.8%

stock -13% · XLB -1%

matured Oct 4, 18

Sep 12, 17

▲ Buy · 🎯$60

Price at call : $45 — upside +33%

Today : $41.49 — upside +45%

Expected +33% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

-6.6%

stock -7% · XLB +5%

matured Sep 12, 18

Mar 6, 17

▲ Buy

Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

+27.2%

stock +27% · XLB +15%

matured Mar 6, 18

Feb 3, 17

▲ Buy

Actual +31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

+31.5%

stock +31% · XLB +12%

matured Feb 3, 18

Dec 20, 16

▲ Outperform · 🎯$39

Price at call : $30.16 — upside +29%

Today : $41.49 — upside -6%

Expected +29% · Actual +63% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 61.9% · +18.1% (21 calls)

+63.3%

stock +63% · XLB +19%

matured Dec 20, 17

Dec 9, 16

▲ Buy

Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 33.3% · -7.4% (12 calls)

+35.2%

stock +35% · XLB +16%

matured Dec 9, 17

Dec 1, 16

▼ Sell · 🎯$26

Price at call : $28.88 — upside -10%

Today : $41.49 — upside -37%

Expected -10% · Actual +44% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

-44.2%

stock +44% · XLB +18%

matured Dec 1, 17

Nov 2, 16

▼ Underperform

Actual +107% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

-107.2%

stock +107% · XLB +27%

matured Nov 2, 17

Nov 2, 16

▼ Sell

Actual +107% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

-107.2%

stock +107% · XLB +27%

matured Nov 2, 17

Oct 12, 16

▲ Buy

Actual +119% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

+118.9%

stock +119% · XLB +25%

matured Oct 12, 17

May 23, 16

▲ Buy

Actual +49% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

+49.1%

stock +49% · XLB +12%

matured May 23, 17

Apr 6, 16

▲ Outperform · 🎯$28.836

Price at call : $22.83 — upside +26%

Today : $41.49 — upside -30%

Expected +26% · Actual +47% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 61.9% · +18.1% (21 calls)

+47.4%

stock +47% · XLB +17%

matured Apr 6, 17

Jan 15, 16

▲ Outperform · 🎯$26.433

Price at call : $16.58 — upside +59%

Today : $41.49 — upside -36%

Expected +59% · Actual +97% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 61.9% · +18.1% (21 calls)

+96.9%

stock +97% · XLB +32%

matured Jan 14, 17

Jan 12, 16

▲ Buy · 🎯$31.239

Price at call : $17.13 — upside +82%

Today : $41.49 — upside -25%

Expected +82% · Actual +93% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

+92.8%

stock +93% · XLB +32%

matured Jan 11, 17

Jan 8, 16

▲ Outperform · 🎯$31.239

Price at call : $19.39 — upside +61%

Today : $41.49 — upside -25%

Expected +61% · Actual +52% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 61.9% · +18.1% (21 calls)

+52.0%

stock +52% · XLB +26%

matured Jan 7, 17

Oct 5, 15

▲ Buy · 🎯$33.642

Price at call : $26.38 — upside +28%

Today : $41.49 — upside -19%

Expected +28% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

-5.3%

stock -5% · XLB +10%

matured Oct 4, 16

Sep 8, 15

▲ Buy · 🎯$28.836

Price at call : $23.36 — upside +23%

Today : $41.49 — upside -30%

Expected +23% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

+5.0%

stock +5% · XLB +14%

matured Sep 7, 16

Mar 5, 15

▲ Buy · 🎯$45.6571

Price at call : $34.56 — upside +32%

Today : $41.49 — upside +10%

Expected +32% · Actual -33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

-33.5%

stock -33% · XLB -15%

matured Mar 4, 16

Oct 27, 14

▲ Buy · 🎯$48.0601

Price at call : $39.36 — upside +22%

Today : $41.49 — upside +16%

Expected +22% · Actual -47% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

-46.7%

stock -47% · XLB -6%

matured Oct 27, 15

Tigress Financial ↗

Oct 10, 14

▲ Strong Buy

Actual -30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 overall : 48.6% · +7.9% (35 calls)

-30.4%

stock -30% · XLB -3%

matured Oct 10, 15

Sep 30, 14

▲ Buy · 🎯$43.2541

Price at call : $38.66 — upside +12%

Today : $41.49 — upside +4%

Expected +12% · Actual -40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.7% · -1.1% (150 calls)

-40.0%

stock -40% · XLB -20%

matured Sep 30, 15

Tigress Financial ↗

Sep 23, 14

▲ Buy

Actual -42% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 overall : 48.6% · +7.9% (35 calls)

-42.3%

stock -42% · XLB -21%

matured Sep 23, 15

Feb 11, 14

▲ Buy · 🎯$36.045

Price at call : $27.08 — upside +33%

Today : $41.49 — upside -13%

Expected +33% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

+38.9%

stock +39% · XLB +12%

matured Feb 11, 15

Nov 25, 13

▲ Buy · 🎯$26.433

Price at call : $23.04 — upside +15%

Today : $41.49 — upside -36%

Expected +15% · Actual +81% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 55% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 56.1% · +4.4% (66 calls)

+81.1%

stock +81% · XLB +13%

matured Nov 25, 14

Oct 2, 13

▼ Sell · 🎯$13.2165

Price at call : $19.27 — upside -31%

Today : $41.49 — upside -68%

Expected -31% · Actual +92% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)

-91.5%

stock +92% · XLB +14%

matured Oct 2, 14