The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. (CAKE) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 92 calls · price $110.09
What the company does: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated primarily operates restaurants.
📈 The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. (CAKE) stock price
$110.09+77.5% over range
Aug 28, 25low $43.14 · high $117.29Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
100% recommend buying · 2 analysts
📊 JPI status : The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Buy” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.
🎯 CAKE price target & analyst consensus — price $110
The price target · all analysts combined (2 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 2$75-31.9%
Median target · of 2 targets$73.5-33.2%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 2$72-34.6%
Current price$110.09
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.
The consensus · 2 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy2100%
Hold00%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 CAKE price target all
All 92 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 92 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on CAKE most reliable
Their real reliability on CAKE, firm by firm: who was right, who was wrong.
→ See their reliability on CAKEAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on CAKE
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Suisse | 100% | +13.2% | 2 |
| Piper Sandler ↗ | 88% | +73.5% | 8 |
| B of A Securities ↗ | 75% | +11.1% | 4 |
| Goldman Sachs ↗ | 75% | +6.3% | 4 |
| Stifel ↗ | 75% | +5.0% | 4 |
| Citigroup ↗ | 67% | +17.7% | 6 |
| Stephens & Co. ↗ | 57% | +1.4% | 21 |
| Wedbush ↗ | 52% | +11.7% | 23 |
| Wells Fargo ↗ | 50% | +66.7% | 4 |
| Raymond James ↗ | 50% | +5.1% | 10 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $1,745 today, i.e. +6%/yr on average. Best year: 2024 (+36%), worst: 2017 (-20%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $1,696 | +70% |
| 3 years ago | $2,537 | +154% |
| 5 years ago | $2,171 | +117% |
Return by year (The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | +59% | $1,594 (+59%) |
| 2025 | +6% | $1,696 (+70%) |
| 2024 | +36% | $2,298 (+130%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.
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📋 All analyst calls on CAKE
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Oppenheimer ↗
Apr 21, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$72
Price at call : $63.27 — upside +14%
Today : $110.09 — upside -35%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 26.8% · -3.4% (123 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 27
matures : Apr 21, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $60.24 — upside +25%
Today : $110.09 — upside -32%
🎯 on CAKE : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 27
matures : Apr 15, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$74
Price at call : $63.54 — upside +16%
Today : $110.09 — upside -33%
🎯 on CAKE : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
matures : Feb 19, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 19, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $62.42 — gap to target -4%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -45%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
matures : Feb 19, 27
Stephens & Co. ↗
Feb 19, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $62.42 — gap to target +4%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -41%
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
matures : Feb 19, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $58.69 — upside +19%
Today : $110.09 — upside -36%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30.6% · -14.1% (49 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
matures : Feb 12, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$72
Price at call : $60.57 — upside +19%
Today : $110.09 — upside -35%
🎯 on CAKE : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 9, 27
matures : Feb 9, 27
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jan 20, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $59.83 — upside -16%
Today : $110.09 — upside -55%
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 20, 27
matures : Jan 20, 27
See the other 84 calls, newest to oldest
▼ Underweight · 🎯$51
Price at call : $56.99 — upside -11%
Today : $110.09 — upside -54%
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
matures : Jan 7, 27
Freedom Capital Markets
Dec 17, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $50.26 — gap to target +11%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -49%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 17, 26
matures : Dec 17, 26
Argus Research ↗
Nov 7, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $45.96 — upside +20%
Today : $110.09 — upside -50%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.3% · -8.8% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 7, 26
matures : Nov 7, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$52
Price at call : $49.8 — upside +4%
Today : $110.09 — upside -53%
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 30, 26
matures : Oct 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $49.11 — upside +32%
Today : $110.09 — upside -41%
🎯 on CAKE : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 26
matures : Oct 29, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$65
Price at call : $49.11 — upside +32%
Today : $110.09 — upside -41%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30.6% · -14.1% (49 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 26
matures : Oct 29, 26
Raymond James ↗
Oct 29, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$60
Price at call : $49.11 — upside +22%
Today : $110.09 — upside -45%
🎯 on CAKE : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.5% · +10.2% (190 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 26
matures : Oct 29, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 29, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $49.11 — gap to target +12%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -50%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 26
matures : Oct 29, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$48
Price at call : $49.11 — upside -2%
Today : $110.09 — upside -56%
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 26
matures : Oct 29, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Oct 29, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $50.39 — gap to target +11%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -49%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 26
matures : Oct 29, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
Oct 29, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$64
Price at call : $50.39 — upside +27%
Today : $110.09 — upside -42%
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 26
matures : Oct 29, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $54.33 — upside +29%
Today : $110.09 — upside -36%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 30.6% · -14.1% (49 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 28, 26
matures : Oct 28, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $55.92 — upside -11%
Today : $110.09 — upside -55%
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
matures : Oct 22, 26
Raymond James ↗
Oct 16, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $53.97 — upside +30%
Today : $110.09 — upside -36%
🎯 on CAKE : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.5% · +10.2% (190 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 16, 26
matures : Oct 16, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Oct 16, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $54.27 — gap to target +11%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -45%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 16, 26
matures : Oct 16, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $54.42 — upside +25%
Today : $110.09 — upside -38%
🎯 on CAKE : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 26
matures : Oct 14, 26
Raymond James ↗
Aug 15, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$73
Price at call : $61.94 — upside +18%
Today : $110.09 — upside -34%
Expected +18% · Actual +76% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.5% · +10.2% (190 calls)
+76.1%
stock +76% · XLY +2%
matured Aug 15, 26
Piper Sandler ↗
Aug 4, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $61.63 — gap to target +1%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -44%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.1% · +10.6% (102 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 4, 26
matures : Aug 4, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 31, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$47
Price at call : $62.38 — upside -25%
Today : $110.09 — upside -57%
Expected -25% · Actual +68% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-68.2%
stock +68% · XLY +9%
matured Jul 31, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$62
Price at call : $63.91 — upside -3%
Today : $110.09 — upside -44%
Expected -3% · Actual +59% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-58.7%
stock +59% · XLY +5%
matured Jul 30, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $63.91 — gap to target +0%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -42%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.5% · +0.3% (107 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 26
matures : Jul 30, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 30, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $63.91 — gap to target +2%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -41%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 30, 26
matures : Jul 30, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$50
Price at call : $63.91 — upside -22%
Today : $110.09 — upside -55%
Expected -22% · Actual +35% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
-34.7%
stock +35% · XLY +3%
matured Jul 18, 26
B of A Securities ↗
Jul 18, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $63.91 — gap to target +5%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -39%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.7% · +0.3% (277 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 18, 26
matures : Jul 18, 26
Raymond James ↗
Jul 17, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $62.68 — upside +12%
Today : $110.09 — upside -36%
Expected +12% · Actual +37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.5% · +10.2% (190 calls)
+37.4%
stock +37% · XLY +3%
matured Jul 17, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Jul 17, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $62.68 — gap to target -4%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -45%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26
matures : Jul 17, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$57
Price at call : $62.68 — upside -9%
Today : $110.09 — upside -48%
Expected -9% · Actual +37% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-37.4%
stock +37% · XLY +3%
matured Jul 17, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 14, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$45
Price at call : $62.42 — upside -28%
Today : $110.09 — upside -59%
Expected -28% · Actual +29% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-28.6%
stock +29% · XLY +7%
matured Jul 14, 26
Goldman Sachs ↗
Jul 10, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $64.17 — gap to target +4%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -39%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.2% · -9.0% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 26
matures : Jul 10, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$58
Price at call : $61.25 — upside -5%
Today : $110.09 — upside -47%
Expected -5% · Actual +31% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
-31.2%
stock +31% · XLY +6%
matured Jun 25, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
May 1, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$40
Price at call : $50.31 — upside -20%
Today : $110.09 — upside -64%
Expected -20% · Actual +18% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-17.8%
stock +18% · XLY +17%
matured May 1, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
May 1, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $50.31 — gap to target -1%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -55%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 26
matures : May 1, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $48.16 — gap to target +2%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -55%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.5% · +0.3% (107 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 26
matures : May 1, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
May 1, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $48.16 — upside +25%
Today : $110.09 — upside -45%
Expected +25% · Actual +25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
+25.0%
stock +25% · XLY +20%
matured May 1, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$46
Price at call : $51.3 — upside -10%
Today : $110.09 — upside -58%
Expected -10% · Actual +21% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-20.6%
stock +21% · XLY +24%
matured Apr 22, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 22, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $50.41 — gap to target -11%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -59%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 26
matures : Apr 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $46.81 — upside +32%
Today : $110.09 — upside -44%
Expected +32% · Actual +29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · -2.7% (279 calls)
+28.7%
stock +29% · XLY +28%
matured Apr 15, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$46
Price at call : $44.4 — gap to target +4%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -58%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.5% · +0.3% (107 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 26
matures : Apr 7, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$48
Price at call : $48.7 — upside -1%
Today : $110.09 — upside -56%
Expected -1% · Actual +16% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.0% (323 calls)
-16.1%
stock +16% · XLY +12%
matured Mar 20, 26
Morgan Stanley ↗
Feb 20, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$40
Price at call : $54.65 — upside -27%
Today : $110.09 — upside -64%
Expected -27% · Actual +17% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-17.0%
stock +17% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 20, 26
▼ Sell · 🎯$45
Price at call : $54.65 — upside -18%
Today : $110.09 — upside -59%
Expected -18% · Actual +17% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +8.4% (157 calls)
-17.0%
stock +17% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 20, 26
Wells Fargo ↗
Feb 20, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $54.97 — gap to target -5%
Today : $110.09 — gap to target -53%
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.3% · -8.5% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 20, 26
matures : Feb 20, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $54.97 — upside -9%
Today : $110.09 — upside -55%
Expected -9% · Actual +16% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-15.6%
stock +16% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 20, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$61
Price at call : $54.97 — upside +11%
Today : $110.09 — upside -45%
Expected +11% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+15.6%
stock +16% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 20, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
Feb 20, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $54.97 — upside +9%
Today : $110.09 — upside -45%
Expected +9% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
+15.6%
stock +16% · XLY +5%
matured Feb 20, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$46
Price at call : $50.45 — upside -9%
Today : $110.09 — upside -58%
Expected -9% · Actual +10% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-10.3%
stock +10% · XLY +9%
matured Jan 7, 26
Stephens & Co. ↗
Dec 12, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$57
Price at call : $49.96 — upside +14%
Today : $110.09 — upside -48%
Expected +14% · Actual -0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
-0.2%
stock -0% · XLY +3%
matured Dec 12, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$59
Price at call : $48.06 — upside +23%
Today : $110.09 — upside -46%
Expected +23% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
-7.7%
stock -8% · XLY +7%
matured Nov 14, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$52
Price at call : $46.94 — upside +11%
Today : $110.09 — upside -53%
Expected +11% · Actual -2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
-2.1%
stock -2% · XLY +9%
matured Nov 8, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$44
Price at call : $46.22 — upside -5%
Today : $110.09 — upside -60%
Expected -5% · Actual +8% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-7.8%
stock +8% · XLY +22%
matured Oct 30, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$52
Price at call : $46.64 — upside +11%
Today : $110.09 — upside -53%
Expected +11% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+5.3%
stock +5% · XLY +17%
matured Oct 30, 25
Stephens & Co. ↗
Oct 30, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$51
Price at call : $46.64 — upside +9%
Today : $110.09 — upside -54%
Expected +9% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
+5.3%
stock +5% · XLY +17%
matured Oct 30, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$38
Price at call : $41.51 — upside -8%
Today : $110.09 — upside -65%
Expected -8% · Actual +35% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-34.7%
stock +35% · XLY +23%
matured Oct 22, 25
Stephens & Co. ↗
Oct 22, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $42.04 — upside +19%
Today : $110.09 — upside -55%
Expected +19% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
+34.8%
stock +35% · XLY +20%
matured Oct 22, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $42.04 — upside +7%
Today : $110.09 — upside -59%
Expected +7% · Actual +35% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+34.8%
stock +35% · XLY +20%
matured Oct 22, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $35.1 — upside +28%
Today : $110.09 — upside -59%
Expected +28% · Actual +78% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+78.3%
stock +78% · XLY +24%
matured Aug 1, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$35
Price at call : $35.1 — upside -0%
Today : $110.09 — upside -68%
Expected -0% · Actual +78% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-78.3%
stock +78% · XLY +24%
matured Aug 1, 25
Stephens & Co. ↗
Aug 1, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $36.85 — upside +36%
Today : $110.09 — upside -55%
Expected +36% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
+69.3%
stock +69% · XLY +18%
matured Aug 1, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $39.2 — upside +15%
Today : $110.09 — upside -59%
Expected +15% · Actual +63% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+63.0%
stock +63% · XLY +18%
matured Jul 19, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $38.46 — upside +17%
Today : $110.09 — upside -59%
Expected +17% · Actual +43% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+43.5%
stock +43% · XLY +22%
matured May 30, 25
Stephens & Co. ↗
May 15, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $40.69 — upside +23%
Today : $110.09 — upside -55%
Expected +23% · Actual +38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
+37.8%
stock +38% · XLY +22%
matured May 15, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$32
Price at call : $37.65 — upside -15%
Today : $110.09 — upside -71%
Expected -15% · Actual +40% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-39.5%
stock +40% · XLY +19%
matured May 9, 25
Stephens & Co. ↗
May 9, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$44
Price at call : $36.06 — upside +22%
Today : $110.09 — upside -60%
Expected +22% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
+39.0%
stock +39% · XLY +13%
matured May 9, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $36.06 — upside +25%
Today : $110.09 — upside -59%
Expected +25% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+39.0%
stock +39% · XLY +13%
matured May 9, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$40
Price at call : $34.44 — upside +16%
Today : $110.09 — upside -64%
Expected +16% · Actual +32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+31.6%
stock +32% · XLY +5%
matured Apr 10, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$33
Price at call : $35.85 — upside -8%
Today : $110.09 — upside -70%
Expected -8% · Actual +54% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-53.6%
stock +54% · XLY +20%
matured Feb 21, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$40
Price at call : $35.33 — upside +13%
Today : $110.09 — upside -64%
Expected +13% · Actual +55% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+54.7%
stock +55% · XLY +20%
matured Feb 21, 25
▲ Outperform
Actual +36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.9% · +0.9% (265 calls)
+36.3%
stock +36% · XLY +27%
matured Dec 20, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$26
Price at call : $31.09 — upside -16%
Today : $110.09 — upside -76%
Expected -16% · Actual +47% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-46.5%
stock +47% · XLY +24%
matured Nov 1, 24
Stephens & Co. ↗
Nov 2, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$35
Price at call : $31.09 — upside +13%
Today : $110.09 — upside -68%
Expected +13% · Actual +47% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
+46.5%
stock +47% · XLY +24%
matured Nov 1, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$28
Price at call : $30.36 — upside -8%
Today : $110.09 — upside -75%
Expected -8% · Actual +37% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 0% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 40.7% · -7.8% (339 calls)
-36.7%
stock +37% · XLY +26%
matured Oct 22, 24
Morgan Stanley ↗
Oct 11, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$28
Price at call : $29 — upside -3%
Today : $110.09 — upside -75%
Expected -3% · Actual +36% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-36.4%
stock +36% · XLY +22%
matured Oct 10, 24
Morgan Stanley ↗
Aug 4, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$31
Price at call : $36.13 — upside -14%
Today : $110.09 — upside -72%
Expected -14% · Actual -5% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+5.2%
stock -5% · XLY -1%
matured Aug 3, 24
Stephens & Co. ↗
Aug 3, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$40
Price at call : $36.11 — upside +11%
Today : $110.09 — upside -64%
Expected +11% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
-2.8%
stock -3% · XLY +4%
matured Aug 2, 24
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 17, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$31
Price at call : $36.07 — upside -14%
Today : $110.09 — upside -72%
Expected -14% · Actual +10% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-10.4%
stock +10% · XLY +9%
matured Jul 16, 24
Stephens & Co. ↗
May 11, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$40
Price at call : $31.78 — upside +26%
Today : $110.09 — upside -64%
Expected +26% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
+18.5%
stock +18% · XLY +19%
matured May 10, 24
Stephens & Co. ↗
Feb 23, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$40
Price at call : $38.6 — upside +4%
Today : $110.09 — upside -64%
Expected +4% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.6% · -9.5% (128 calls)
-7.1%
stock -7% · XLY +24%
matured Feb 23, 24
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jan 18, 23
▼ Underweight · 🎯$31
Price at call : $37.46 — upside -17%
Today : $110.09 — upside -72%
Expected -17% · Actual -13% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+12.7%
stock -13% · XLY +29%
matured Jan 18, 24
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jul 18, 22
▼ Underweight · 🎯$26
Price at call : $28.48 — upside -9%
Today : $110.09 — upside -76%
Expected -9% · Actual +31% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-30.7%
stock +31% · XLY +18%
matured Jul 18, 23
Morgan Stanley ↗
Apr 14, 22
▼ Underweight · 🎯$36
Price at call : $36.77 — upside -2%
Today : $110.09 — upside -67%
Expected -2% · Actual -11% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+11.0%
stock -11% · XLY -17%
matured Apr 14, 23
Morgan Stanley ↗
Feb 17, 22
▼ Underweight · 🎯$39
Price at call : $42.95 — upside -9%
Today : $110.09 — upside -65%
Expected -9% · Actual -7% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
+7.4%
stock -7% · XLY -19%
matured Feb 17, 23
Morgan Stanley ↗
Jan 14, 22
▼ Underweight · 🎯$38
Price at call : $37.51 — upside +1%
Today : $110.09 — upside -65%
Expected +1% · Actual +1% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CAKE : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · -0.3% (380 calls)
-1.0%
stock +1% · XLY -29%
matured Jan 14, 23
Maxim Group
Jun 22, 18
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 70% · -0.3% (10 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 22, 19
matures : Jun 22, 19
Maxim Group
Nov 15, 16
■ Hold neutral · not a buy
🎯 on CAKE : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 70% · -0.3% (10 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 15, 17
matures : Nov 15, 17
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. stock?
This isn't buy advice. For The Cheesecake Factory, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $73.50 (-33% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. is $75.00 (-32% above today's price); the average is $73.50. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. on our site before trusting it.
Is The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 15 analysts have a real record on The Cheesecake Factory, Inc., the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
What has The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.'s past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: CAKE performance & returns.
What is the best month to buy CAKE?
The 12 months ranked by the stock's past returns: best & worst month to buy CAKE.
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