Home › Stocks › S&P 400 Mid Cap › Murphy USA (MUSA) Murphy USA (MUSA) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Murphy USA · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 51 calls · price $509.08
🔔 Price alerts Create an alert → Target Consensus Dividend Fundamentals Reliability $1,000 invested Analyses All calls What the company does: Murphy USA Inc., together with subsidiaries, engages in marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise.
📈 Murphy USA (MUSA) stock price 24h 7d 30d 90d 6mo 1yr 5yr
$509.08 +36.0% over range
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
Sell Buy
Hold
No recent rating
📊 JPI status : Murphy USA has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks → 🎯 MUSA price target & analyst consensus — price $509 The price target
Highest target —
Median target —
Lowest target —
Current price $509.08
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.
The consensus · 0 ratings (last 6 months)
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Murphy USA? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
Should I buy Murphy USA stock? Are the analysts reliable on MUSA? How high can MUSA go?
0.43% annual yield
📈 Steady dividend — 5 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$2.43 per share per year .
P/E 16.3 Net margin 3.2 % Revenue growth +40.8 % Cheap for the growth
Revenue, net income and margin per year Revenue Net income · hover a bar for details
✅ Historical analyst reliability on MUSA Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
📰 Recent news on Murphy USA Loading news…
📋 All analyst calls on MUSA ▲ Overweight · 🎯$460
Price at call : $378.6 — upside +22%
Today : $509.08 — upside -10%
🎯 on MUSA : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.2% · +2.2% (210 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Oct 23, 26
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$405
Price at call : $379.57 — gap to target +7%
Today : $509.08 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Oct 15, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$440
Price at call : $366.16 — upside +20%
Today : $509.08 — upside -14%
Expected +20% · Actual +62% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+61.9% stock +62% · XLY +8%
matured Aug 1, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$480
Price at call : $422.59 — upside +14%
Today : $509.08 — upside -6%
Expected +14% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.2% · +2.2% (210 calls)
+44.5% stock +44% · XLY -1%
matured Jul 25, 26
■ Market Perform
neutral · not a buy 🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : May 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$475
Price at call : $439.48 — upside +8%
Today : $509.08 — upside -7%
Expected +8% · Actual +32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+31.5% stock +32% · XLY +12%
matured May 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$525
Price at call : $439.48 — upside +19%
Today : $509.08 — upside +3%
Expected +19% · Actual +32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.2% · +2.2% (210 calls)
+31.5% stock +32% · XLY +12%
matured May 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$550
Price at call : $513.92 — upside +7%
Today : $509.08 — upside +8%
Expected +7% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.2% · +2.2% (210 calls)
-3.6% stock -4% · XLY +20%
matured Apr 11, 26
See the other 43 calls, newest to oldest ▲ Overweight · 🎯$550
Price at call : $481.04 — upside +14%
Today : $509.08 — upside +8%
Expected +14% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
-23.3% stock -23% · XLY +4%
matured Feb 7, 26
■ Sector Perform
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$554
Price at call : $481.04 — gap to target +15%
Today : $509.08 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Feb 6, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$435
Price at call : $492.76 — upside -12%
Today : $509.08 — upside -15%
Expected -12% · Actual -22% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.6% · -0.3% (372 calls)
+22.3% stock -22% · XLY +22%
matured Sep 19, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$560
Price at call : $508.63 — upside +10%
Today : $509.08 — upside +10%
Expected +10% · Actual -28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
-28.0% stock -28% · XLY +28%
matured Aug 2, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$545
Price at call : $508.63 — upside +7%
Today : $509.08 — upside +7%
Expected +7% · Actual -28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
-28.0% stock -28% · XLY +28%
matured Aug 2, 25
■ Sector Perform
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$537
Price at call : $513.14 — gap to target +5%
Today : $509.08 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Aug 1, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$530
Price at call : $511.11 — upside +4%
Today : $509.08 — upside +4%
Expected +4% · Actual -17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
-17.4% stock -17% · XLY +19%
matured Jul 18, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$460
Price at call : $418.07 — upside +10%
Today : $509.08 — upside -10%
Expected +10% · Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+19.6% stock +20% · XLY +6%
matured Apr 19, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$470
Price at call : $412.93 — upside +14%
Today : $509.08 — upside -8%
Expected +14% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+16.8% stock +17% · XLY +5%
matured Apr 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$470
Price at call : $395.28 — upside +19%
Today : $509.08 — upside -8%
Expected +19% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+23.7% stock +24% · XLY +26%
matured Feb 8, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$440
Price at call : $393.71 — upside +12%
Today : $509.08 — upside -14%
Expected +12% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+24.2% stock +24% · XLY +26%
matured Feb 8, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$425
Price at call : $393.71 — upside +8%
Today : $509.08 — upside -17%
Expected +8% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+24.2% stock +24% · XLY +26%
matured Feb 7, 25
■ Sector Perform
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$408
Price at call : $393.71 — gap to target +4%
Today : $509.08 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Feb 7, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$425
Price at call : $374.23 — upside +14%
Today : $509.08 — upside -17%
Expected +14% · Actual +34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.9% · +2.1% (145 calls)
+33.7% stock +34% · XLY +31%
matured Jan 3, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$425
Price at call : $374.32 — upside +14%
Today : $509.08 — upside -17%
Expected +14% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+28.3% stock +28% · XLY +24%
matured Nov 2, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$410
Price at call : $378.84 — upside +8%
Today : $509.08 — upside -19%
Expected +8% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+26.8% stock +27% · XLY +24%
matured Nov 1, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$280
Price at call : $363.84 — upside -23%
Today : $509.08 — upside -45%
Expected -23% · Actual +33% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-32.6% stock +33% · XLY +35%
matured Oct 25, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$385
Price at call : $340.09 — upside +13%
Today : $509.08 — upside -24%
Expected +13% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+43.8% stock +44% · XLY +26%
matured Sep 24, 24
■ Sector Perform
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$360
Price at call : $300.6 — gap to target +20%
Today : $509.08 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Aug 2, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$370
Price at call : $300.6 — upside +23%
Today : $509.08 — upside -27%
Expected +23% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+69.2% stock +69% · XLY -0%
matured Aug 2, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$350
Price at call : $320.18 — upside +9%
Today : $509.08 — upside -31%
Expected +9% · Actual +53% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+52.8% stock +53% · XLY +9%
matured Jul 17, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$315
Price at call : $291.88 — upside +8%
Today : $509.08 — upside -38%
Expected +8% · Actual +38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+37.9% stock +38% · XLY +22%
matured May 4, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$360
Price at call : $281.59 — upside +28%
Today : $509.08 — upside -29%
Expected +28% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+39.4% stock +39% · XLY +23%
matured May 3, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$330
Price at call : $281.59 — upside +17%
Today : $509.08 — upside -35%
Expected +17% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+39.4% stock +39% · XLY +23%
matured May 3, 24
■ Sector Perform
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$360
Price at call : $281.59 — gap to target +28%
Today : $509.08 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : May 2, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$345
Price at call : $280.53 — upside +23%
Today : $509.08 — upside -32%
Expected +23% · Actual +41% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+41.3% stock +41% · XLY +22%
matured May 2, 24
■ Sector Perform
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$360
Price at call : $273.12 — gap to target +32%
Today : $509.08 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Apr 24, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$325
Price at call : $259.75 — upside +25%
Today : $509.08 — upside -36%
Expected +25% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+39.4% stock +39% · XLY +16%
matured Feb 3, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$305
Price at call : $253.77 — upside +20%
Today : $509.08 — upside -40%
Expected +20% · Actual +43% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+42.7% stock +43% · XLY +16%
matured Feb 3, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$350
Price at call : $258.33 — upside +35%
Today : $509.08 — upside -31%
Expected +35% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
+39.3% stock +39% · XLY +23%
matured Jan 23, 24
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$305
Price at call : $268.7 — gap to target +14%
Today : $509.08 — gap to target -40%
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Jan 4, 24
■ Sector Perform
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$360
Price at call : $279.11 — gap to target +29%
Today : $509.08 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 54.5% · +3.8% (176 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Dec 15, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$355
Price at call : $314.51 — upside +13%
Today : $509.08 — upside -30%
Expected +13% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+14.8% stock +15% · XLY +5%
matured Oct 28, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$335
Price at call : $317.58 — upside +5%
Today : $509.08 — upside -34%
Expected +5% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+13.7% stock +14% · XLY +4%
matured Oct 28, 23
▼ Sell · 🎯$228
Price at call : $276.98 — upside -18%
Today : $509.08 — upside -55%
Expected -18% · Actual +30% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.3% (262 calls)
-30.4% stock +30% · XLY +10%
matured Oct 19, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$315
Price at call : $284.36 — upside +11%
Today : $509.08 — upside -38%
Expected +11% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+8.0% stock +8% · XLY +7%
matured Jul 29, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$300
Price at call : $271.5 — upside +10%
Today : $509.08 — upside -41%
Expected +10% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+17.3% stock +17% · XLY +12%
matured Jul 20, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$300
Price at call : $266.79 — upside +12%
Today : $509.08 — upside -41%
Expected +12% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+16.8% stock +17% · XLY +20%
matured Jul 11, 23
■ Equal-Weight
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$230
Price at call : $244.66 — gap to target -6%
Today : $509.08 — gap to target -55%
🎯 on MUSA : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.8% · +7.0% (338 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : May 25, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$270
Price at call : $240.45 — upside +12%
Today : $509.08 — upside -47%
Expected +12% · Actual +21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+21.4% stock +21% · XLY -8%
matured May 5, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$260
Price at call : $244.6 — upside +6%
Today : $509.08 — upside -49%
Expected +6% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+11.3% stock +11% · XLY -20%
matured Apr 19, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$215
Price at call : $192.37 — upside +12%
Today : $509.08 — upside -58%
Expected +12% · Actual +40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.2% · +7.5% (219 calls)
+39.5% stock +40% · XLY -18%
matured Jan 28, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$100
Price at call : $88.97 — upside +12%
Today : $509.08 — upside -80%
Expected +12% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60.7% · +17.5% (56 calls)
+43.6% stock +44% · XLY +26%
matured Oct 14, 20
Frequently asked questions Should I buy Murphy USA stock? This isn't buy advice. For Murphy USA, the analyst consensus is "Hold". What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (13 calls tracked on Murphy USA). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is Murphy USA still a good buy? The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 7 analysts have a real record on Murphy USA, the best hitting 100% over 13 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
What has Murphy USA's past performance been? Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: MUSA performance & returns .
Does Murphy USA pay a dividend? Yield, consistency and growth history of the dividend: MUSA's dividend .